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ISM: Manufacturing Activity Falls Slightly in June

The Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Report On Business Survey. (Photo: REUTERS)

The Manufacturing Report on Business, a gauge of factory activity by the Institute for Supply Management, fell to 52.6 in July from 53.2 in June. The results missed the median economic forecast, as economists’ expected a less stark decline to 53.0 for the month.

Readings above 50 show expansion in the manufacturing, while those below indicate contraction.

The New Orders Index came in at 56.9%, a decline of 0.1 percentage point from June. The Production Index was 55.4%, a 0.7 percentage point increase and the Employment Index was 49.4%, a decline of 1%. Inventories of raw materials were 49.5%, a gain of 1% from the month prior. The Prices Index was 55%, a decrease of 5.5%, which suggests higher raw materials prices for the fifth consecutive month.

The manufacturing sector, though weak, grew in July for the fifth consecutive month, as 12 of our 18 industries reported an increase in new orders in July (same as in June), and 9 of 18 industries reported an increase in production in July (down from 12 in June).

Of the 18 manufacturing industries, 11 are reporting growth in July in the following order: Textile Mills; Printing & Related Support Activities; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Wood Products; Furniture & Related Products; Chemical Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; and Computer & Electronic Products. The seven industries reporting contraction in July — listed in order — are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Plastics & Rubber Products; Machinery; Primary Metals; Transportation Equipment; and Paper Products.

MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE
JULY 2016
Index Series
Index
Jul
Series
Index
Jun
Percentage
Point
Change
Direction Rate
of
Change
Trend*
(Months)
PMI® 52.6 53.2 -0.6 Growing Slower 5
New Orders 56.9 57.0 -0.1 Growing Slower 7
Production 55.4 54.7 +0.7 Growing Faster 7
Employment 49.4 50.4 -1.0 Contracting From Growing 1
Supplier Deliveries 51.8 55.4 -3.6 Slowing Slower 3
Inventories 49.5 48.5 +1.0 Contracting Slower 13
Customers’ Inventories 51.0 51.0 0.0 Too High Same 2
Prices 55.0 60.5 -5.5 Increasing Slower 5
Backlog of Orders 48.0 52.5 -4.5 Contracting From Growing 1
New Export Orders 52.5 53.5 -1.0 Growing Slower 5
Imports 52.0 52.0 0.0 Growing Same 2
OVERALL ECONOMY Growing Slower 86
Manufacturing Sector Growing Slower 5

Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for New Orders, Production, Employment and Supplier Deliveries indexes.

*Number of months moving in current direction.

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PPD Business Staff

PPD Business, the economy-reporting arm of People's Pundit Daily, is "making sense of current events." We are a no-holds barred, news reporting pundit of, by, and for the people.

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