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Trump, Clinton Favored to Rack Up More Delegates on Super Saturday

Donald Trump visits Turnberry Golf Club, after its $10 Million refurbishment, June 8, 2015, in Turnberry, Scotland. | Hillary Clinton speaks at the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials’ (NALEO) 32nd Annual Conference at the in Las Vegas, June 18, 2015. (PHOTO: GETTY)

Donald J. Trump and Hillary R. Clinton are poised to rack up more delegates on Super Saturday when Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine and Nebraska hold contests. While Mr. Trump is the clear frontrunner, his path to secure the nomination is less certain than Mrs. Clinton, who has fewer opponents and a larger proportional delegate lead.

However, if the polls are correct, the GOP frontrunner could run the table on Super Saturday.

Mr. Trump leads on the PPD average of Louisiana Primary Polls by 19.5% and in Kentucky by 13%. The Donald holds a smaller average 9 point lead in Kansas. Both states will award 46 delegates on a proportionate Kansas, which is a caucus, will award 40 delegates on a proportional basis.

In Maine, where only Republicans will have a contest, there hasn’t been any recent polling since last year that PPD considers to be reliable and trustworthy. However, two-term Gov. Paul LePage endorsed the businessman a few weeks ago and recent visits have drawn large crowds. Maine will award 23 delegates in a winner-take-most contest.

Nebraska, which awards 30 total delegates, may present socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders with a chance to grab a win in the vote and a loss in the delegate count. Nebraska is whiter, more liberal electorate than the contests in the South, which is more favorable to the Vermont socialist.

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Richard D. Baris

Rich, the People's Pundit, is the Data Journalism Editor at PPD and Director of the PPD Election Projection Model. He is also the Director of Big Data Poll, and author of "Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract."

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Richard D. Baris

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