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Despite Shutdown, Dems Lose Lead In Generic Ballot

Dems lose lead in Generic Ballot.

As the federal government shutdown continues without an end in sight, Democrats have lost their lead of the last two weeks and are again running even with Republicans on the generic ballot. So much for Republicans taking the blame, or Politico’s ridiculous report claiming shutdown politics will cause the GOP the House.

The latest Rasmussen generic ballot tracking survey for the week ending Sunday, October 6, found that 40 percent of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while another 40 percent would choose the Republican instead.

As previously stated, Politico and Democratic polling firm PPP, or Public Polling Policy, released a ridiculous study concluding that the shutdown has caused a sufficient number of House Republicans to become vulnerable for the Democrats to take the House back in 2014.

As we have repeated over and over at People’s Pundit Daily, the reality is that the generic ballot doesn’t account for individual districts and the political landscape in 2014 — which favor Republican candidates — because the generic ballot is blind to districts due to its national measurements.

For a table of averages of Generic Ballot polling, click here. To view the People’s Pundit Daily interactive Senate Map with ratings and analysis, click here.

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Richard D. Baris

Rich, the People's Pundit, is the Data Journalism Editor at PPD and Director of the PPD Election Projection Model. He is also the Director of Big Data Poll, and author of "Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract."

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Richard D. Baris

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