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On Liberty Never Sleeps, Tom ends the week with a discussion about why liberals never seem to be willing to look at facts, or think logically.

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$bp("Brid_56198451", {"id":"2077","width":"1200","height":"630","video":"407672"});

Manufacture of rails for trains and freight wagon, boxcars. Rail manufacturing plant. Stack of steel round bar - iron metal rail lines material for industry construction in warehouse. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Manufacture of rails for trains and freight wagon, boxcars. Rail manufacturing plant. Stack of steel round bar – iron metal rail lines material for industry construction in warehouse. (Photo: AdobeStock)

The U.S. Census Bureau reported new orders for manufactured durable goods rose $6.8 billion or 2.7% to $258.5 billion in March, easily beating the consensus. The increase follows a decrease of 1.1% in February.

The consensus forecast was looking for a gain of 0.7%, ranging from a low of -0.5% to a high of 1.9%. Durable goods have been up four of the last five months.

Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.4%. Excluding defense, new orders increased 2.3%.

PriorRevisedConsensusRangeActual
New Orders – M/M ∆-1.6%-1.1%0.7%-0.5% – 1.9%2.7%
Ex-Transportation – M/M ∆0.1 %-0.2 %0.2 %0.1 % – 0.6 %0.4 %
Core Capital Goods – M/M ∆-0.1 %0.1 %0.1 %0.1 % – 0.4 %1.3 %

Transportation equipment, also up four of the last five months, led the increase, rising $6.1 billion or 7.0% to $93.8 billion.

Shipments

Shipments of manufactured durable goods increased $0.9 billion, or 0.3% to $259.6 billion in March, and are up four of the last five months. This followed a 0.3% gain in February. Transportation equipment, up following two consecutive monthly decreases, drove the increase, $1.0 billion or 1.1% to $90.7 billion.

Unfilled Orders

Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in March, rose $3.2 billion or 0.3% to $1,181.9 billion, and have been up two of the last three months. This followed a 0.2% decline in February.

Transportation equipment, also up two of the last three months, led the increase, rising $3.1 billion or 0.4% to $811.9 billion.

Inventories

Inventories of manufactured durable goods have been up twenty‐six of the last twenty‐seven months, and rose $1.4 billion or 0.3% to $420.5 billion in March. This followed a 0.4 percent February increase.

Machinery, up fifteen of the last sixteen months, led the gain rising $0.7 billion or 1.0% to $71.6 billion.

Capital Goods

Nondefense new orders for capital goods in March increased $4.9 billion or 6.5% to $80.5 billion, with shipments increasing less than $0.1 billion at $79.0 billion.

Unfilled orders rose $1.4 billion or 0.2% to $708.2 billion. Inventories increased $1.3 billion or 0.7% to $184.9 billion. Defense new orders for capital goods in March rose $1.0 billion or 7.4% to $13.9 billion. Shipments increased $0.1 billion or 1.0% to $12.6 billion.

Unfilled orders increased $1.4 billion or 0.9% to $158.1 billion. Inventories increased $0.2 billion or 0.8% to $23.1 billion.

New orders for manufactured durable goods rose

U.S. jobless claims graph on a tablet screen. (Photo: AdobeStock)
U.S. jobless claims graph on a tablet screen. (Photo: AdobeStock)

The Labor Department said initial jobless claims jumped 37,000 to 230,000 for the week ending April 20, more than the consensus forecast. The 4-week moving average rose 4,5000 to 206,000.

PriorRevisedConsensusRangeActual
Initial Claims192K193K209K199K – 210K230K
4-Week Average201.25K201.5K206K

The jump comes after jobless claims fell to 50-year lows two weeks in a row.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was unchanged at a very low 1.2% for the week ending April 13.

No state was triggered “on” the Extended Benefits program during the week ending April 6.

The highest insured unemployment rates in the week ending April 6 were in Alaska (2.6), New Jersey (2.2), California (2.0), Connecticut (2.0), Illinois (1.9), Rhode Island (1.9), Massachusetts (1.8), Montana (1.8), Pennsylvania (1.8), and Puerto Rico (1.8).

The largest increases in initial claims for the week ending April 13 were in California (+3,202), Connecticut (+1,125), Arizona (+819), Texas (+775), and Washington (+640), while the largest decreases were in Tennessee (-2,154), Illinois (-1,148), Michigan (-1,103), Arkansas (-799), and Ohio (-776).

The Labor Department said initial jobless claims

Former vice president Joe Biden released a video on social media officially announcing he will run for president in 2020.

“The core values of this nation… our standing in the world… our very democracy…everything that has made America — America –is at stake,” the campaign wrote on Twitter. “That’s why today I’m announcing my candidacy for President of the United States.”

In the announcement video, Mr. Biden didn’t mention a single policy or achievement, nor an issue he championed over the decades he served in public life.

Instead, the video focuses on Charlottesville, Virginia. That’s the site where white nationalists clashed with violent members of the radical leftwing group Antifa. For the record, President Donald Trump was not referring to white nationalists as “fine people,” which Mr. Biden claims in the video.

Mr. Biden has had a rocky start.

The first announcement video was produced by his new media consultant, Mark Putnam. But it was rejected by his other advisors. His longtime aide Mike Donilon produced an alternative.

He enters a crowded Democratic field with no money, and his advisors fear the 76-year-old two-time failed presidential candidate will not be able to match his opponents.

As Breitbart News reported, Mr. Biden will need to raise at least $100,000 each day from now until Christmas if he even wants to match the amount of cash his socialist rival Senator Bernie Sanders, I/D-Vt., had in the bank on April 1st.

Meanwhile, the Trump Campaign and Republican National Committee are already seizing on the announcement. The message is clear: the nation needs to move forward, not backward.

“Joe Biden has been running for president and losing since the ‘80s. 2020 won’t be any different. Biden’s fingerprints are all over foreign policy blunders and the weakest economic recovery since World War II,” RNC Communications Director Michael Ahrens said in a statement.

“We don’t need eight more years of Biden. Just ask President Obama, who isn’t even endorsing his right-hand man.”


Former vice president Joe Biden released a

Democratic Party nomination intra-party fight concept as two mountain cliffs each shaped as a donkey clash head to head damaging the party as a 3D illustration. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Democratic Party nomination intra-party fight concept as two mountain cliffs each shaped as a donkey clash head to head damaging the party as a 3D illustration. (Photo: AdobeStock)

Luckily for Democrats, elections are decided on the fundamentals, not news cycles. The week is still young, and it has already proven fraught with political landmines for 2020 Democratic hopefuls.

Former Vice President Joe Biden is surrounded by doubters, a team of tense advisers making last-minute changes that betray their uncertainty. A series of reports confirms sources’ doubts surrounding pre-launch preparations.

The New York Times confirms Mr. Biden will enter the crowded Democratic field with no money on Thursday, and his advisors fear the 76-year-old two-time failed presidential candidate will not be able to match his opponents.

As Breitbart News reported, Mr. Biden will need to raise at least $100,000 each day from now until Christmas if he even wants to match the amount of cash his socialist rival Senator Bernie Sanders, I/D-Vt., had in the bank on April 1st.

That’s not his only woe. The initial plan was to announce his 2020 bid for the White House in Charlottesville, Virginia, the site where white nationalists clashed with violent members of the radical leftwing group Antifa.

But that was scrapped in favor of a simple announce video, and a rally in Pittsburg, Pennsylvania on Thursday.

The first video produced by Mr. Biden’s new media consultant, Mark Putnam, was rejected by his other advisors. His longtime aide Mike Donilon produced an alternative.

Senator Kamala Harris, D-Calif., flip-flopped on whether murderers and terrorists “should be deprived of their rights,” including to vote. The change in tone came just one day after she said the nation should “have a conversation” about restoring the voting rights of terrorists and violent felons.

“Do I think that people who commit murder, people who are terrorists, should be deprived of their rights? Yeah, I do,” Senator Harris told reporters in New Hampshire on Tuesday. “I’m a prosecutor. I believe that in terms of, there has to be serious consequence for the most extreme types of crimes.”

That’s a far cry from her take on the issue during a CNN town hall on Monday, just one day before. Senator Harris was asked her position on a controversial answer given by Senator Sanders, and pandered to the far-leftwing base.

“Yes, even for terrible people, because once you start chipping away and you say, ‘Well, that guy committed a terrible crime, not going to let him vote,” the socialist frontrunner said of Boston Marathon Bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, in response to a question from the crowd. “Well, that person did that. Not going to let that person vote,’ you’re running down a slippery slope.”

The Tsarnaev brothers killed three and injured 280. But Senator Sanders refused to backtrack when given the chance, even after CNN warned him that he was “writing an attack ad” for Republicans.

The week is young, but it has

U.S. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One as he returns from a day trip to Atlanta on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, U.S., April 28, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)
U.S. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One as he returns from a day trip to Atlanta on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, U.S., April 28, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

President Donald Trump responded to the latest House Democratic subpoena, calling it “ridiculous” and stressing it is time to get back to the business of governing.

“I have been the most transparent president in history, by far,” he said. “I thought after two years we’d be finished with it. But no.”

Leaving the White House for an opioid crisis event in Atlanta, Georgia, he touted the reduction in use nationally, markets closing at all-time highs on Tuesday and the strongest labor market in more than 50 years.

On March 22, Special Counsel Robert Mueller concluded his investigation and submitted his confidential report to the Attorney General William Barr. Despite Justice Department (DOJ) regulations, the president allowed the attorney general to decide whether to make the report public.

He is the first president in history not to exercise executive privilege on such a matter, even though the attorney general said he would’ve been “well within his right to do so.”

Attorney General Barr and Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein held a press conference on April 18 to discuss the findings of the Mueller report. The attorney general said “the bottom line” is the Special Counsel found no evidence of collusion an no corrupt intent to support charges of obstruction of justice.

But that hasn’t satisfied Chairman Nadler, House Democrats and 2020 Democratic hopefuls, many of whom are calling for impeachment proceedings. While Mr. Mueller offered a complete exoneration on Russian collusion, he refused to offer the same on obstruction.

Democrats have seized on the second section of the Mueller report, which essentially provided Democrats with ten instances of potential obstruction the team investigated, though he didn’t indict.

Chairman Nadler issued a subpoena to compel testimony from former White House Counsel Don McGahn, and President Trump is suing House Democrats over another subpoena for his tax records.

“Mueller, I assume after $35 million, checked my taxes,” President Trump added. “They checked by taxes, my financials, I assume. It was the most thorough investigation in history.”

The Special Counsel employed 19 lawyers assisted by a team of roughly 40 FBI agents, intelligence analysts, forensic accountants, and other professional staff.

That team issued more than 2,800 subpoenas, executed nearly 500 search warrants, obtained more than 230 orders for communication records, issued almost 50 orders authorizing use of pen registers, made 13 requests to foreign governments for evidence, and interviewed approximately 500 witnesses.

“Get back to infrastructure. Get back to cutting taxes. Get back to lowing prescription drug prices,” President Trump concluded. “These aren’t impartial people. This has been litigated for more than two years.”

President Trump invited Congressional Democrats to the White House on Monday to discuss plans to lower prescription drug cost.

“If you want to litigate, go after the corruption at the DNC, the dirty cops. I am breaking down the swamp. I am draining the swamp.”

President Trump responded to the latest House

On Liberty Never Sleeps, Tom argues Republicans support Donald Trump because his ideas are representative of the U.S. Constitution’s original intent. Individuals take a back seat to the U.S. Constitution.

The money pledged thru Patreon.com will go toward show costs such as advertising, server time, and broadcasting equipment. If we can get enough listeners, we will expand the show to two hours and hire additional staff.

To help our show out, please support us on Patreon.

All bumper music and sound clips are not owned by the show, are commentary, and of educational purposes, or de minimus effect, and not for monetary gain.

No copyright is claimed in any use of such materials and to the extent that material may appear to be infringed, I assert that such alleged infringement is permissible under fair use principles in U.S. copyright laws. If you believe material has been used in an unauthorized manner, please contact the poster.


On Liberty Never Sleeps, Tom argues Republicans

Markets concept depicting the American flag draped over the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at Wall Street. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Markets concept depicting the American flag draped over the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at Wall Street. (Photo: AdobeStock)

The NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) and S&P 500 (^SPX) closed at record highs after a broad-based stock market rally on Tuesday.

The NASDAQ closed +105.56 (1.32%) at 8,120.82, above the August 31, 2018 closing high of 8109.64. The NASDAQ was +4.8% MTD after posting a stellar +16.5% gain in Q1. The rally in the NASDAQ has been fueled by renewed leadership from the FANG family of Social Media and Internet Commerce stocks.

The S&P 500, after closing above the 2900-threshold for six consecutive days, gained +24.82 (0.85%) to close at 2,932.79. The rally is making a serious challenge to the September 20, 2018 closing high of 2930.75. The S&P 500 posted a gain of +13% in Q1 and is +3.5% MTD in April with 5 full trading days left on the calendar.

Facebook (FB) gained +2.34 (1.29%) to close at $183.78. Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), which closed at an all-time high on Monday, gained +1.68 (1.36%) to close at $125.44. Amazon (AMZN) closed at $1,923.77, or +36.46 (1.93%).

While both of these benchmark indices posting new highs would be cheered by investors — as well as provide a “breaking news” headline for the financial media — the Russell 2000 (^RUT) has yet to catch up to the larger cap and higher-profile market averages.

Even though the Russell gaining +24.97 (1.60%) to close at 1,585.02 is the best performing broad market average of the day, it remains at a 8% deficit to its all-time high of 1740.75 from August 31 of last year.

In the near term, it would be very positive to see the Russell trade through the 1600 level, from which failed convincingly to break through the 3rd week of February.

The NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) and S&P 500

Former President Barack Obama and former White House Counsel Gregory Craig talk with Supreme Court Justice David Souter during an Oval Office phone all Friday afternoon, May 1, 2009. (Photo: Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)
Former President Barack Obama and former White House Counsel Gregory Craig talk with Supreme Court Justice David Souter during an Oval Office phone call on Friday, May 1, 2009. (Photo: Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

In a move sending ripples throughout Washington, the Justice Department (DOJ) indicted President Obama’s former White House Counsel Gregory Craig on Thursday, April 11. Craig was charged with lying to investigators and violating the Foreign Agents Registration Act, also known as FARA. The DOJ’s FARA enforcement efforts appear to be ramping up and political spectators should not be surprised if major Democrat players are next to feel the heat.

Experts believe that Craig’s indictment will trigger “shock waves” through legal circles given Craig’s ties to former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort and, by extension, the Trump administration. What remains underreported is the fact that the Ukrainian trail of influence that implicates Manafort and Craig leads directly to Obama and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

Craig, a longtime Clinton friend and Democrat powerbroker, left the Obama White House in January 2010 and joined the international law firm Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP. Prosecutors allege that Craig lied about Skadden’s work on behalf of former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych and that he failed to disclose his activities between 2012 and 2013, as required by FARA. If convicted, Craig faces up to five years in prison for each charge against him.

In 2012, Craig and his team from Skadden were hired to investigate the controversial imprisonment of Yanukovych’s opponent, Yulia Tymoshenko. The report that Craig’s team produced was deemed favorable to Yanukovych and was used to foster support for the Ukrainian leader. Craig, the Podesta Group lobbying firm, and others promoted or otherwise coordinated the report’s public relations strategy, which implies FARA activity. The Podesta Group bagged more than $1.2 million from a pro-Yanukovych group. To date, none of the firm’s principals have been charged with any crimes.

In a statement released on the day of the indictment, Craig revealed that a longtime pollster for the Clintons, Doug Schoen, was the one who introduced him to the Ukrainian project—not Manafort as has been widely reported. Craig also revealed that Ukrainian oligarch Victor Pinchuk paid Skadden more than $4 million for the Ukrainian efforts. The indictment refers to Pinchuk as a wealthy “Private Ukrainian” and alleges that “A truthful and complete FARA registration by CRAIG would have made a public record of [Pinchuk’s] role in funding the report, and the amounts he paid to the Law Firm.”

Pinchuk, a longtime ally of Yanukovych, first hired Schoen as a consultant in 2000 and paid him $40,000 per month. Schoen registered as a lobbyist for Pinchuk in 2011 and met with Obama administration officials to advance Pinchuk’s agenda. Between September 2011 and November 2012, Schoen arranged “roughly a dozen meetings” for Pinchuk with the Clinton State Department, according to the New York Times. Whether or not Schoen’s relationship with Pinchuk should trigger FARA disclosure remains unclear.

Schoen reportedly introduced Pinchuk to Bill Clinton in 2004. Pinchuk’s foundation has since donated as much as $25 million to the Clinton Foundation. Furthermore, Pinchuk’s meetings with Clinton Foundation personnel and senior officials at Clinton’s State Department sometimes overlapped. In 2012, Pinchuk met with Hillary Clinton’s close aide, Melanne Verveer, in a hotel suite on the fringes of the Clinton Global Initiative meeting in New York. This occurred while Craig and Manafort were allegedly lobbying as Pinchuk’s unregistered foreign agents.

The connections between Craig, Schoen and Pinchuk are significant, as are their ties to both the Clintons and the Podestas. Since Craig and Manafort were charged with violating FARA based on their relationship with Pinchuk, then Schoen, the Podesta Group, and the Clinton Foundation also warrant deeper FARA investigations. The Clinton Foundation has been widely accused of major FARA violations as numerousforeign governments donated lavish sums while Clinton was secretary of state. 

Emails obtained by Wikileaks reveal that Clinton staffers debated internally about accepting FARA-linked contributions during the 2016 campaign. A staffer specifically mentioned that the Podesta Group’s representation of Iraq, Azerbaijan, and Egypt might raise red flags.

Ultimately, the campaign decided to “Take the money!!” Likewise, the Podesta Group has been accused of violating FARA in the past and criticized over the massive fees that foreign principals from Saudi Arabia and Russia and elsewhere paid the firm to lobby the Obama White House.

The Clinton Foundation’s and the Podesta Group’s power and influence in Washington have waned in the Trump era and their exposure to FARA is finally coming into focus.While Clinton and her allies have always seemed keen to “take the money,” many such payments are now facing intense scrutiny and unforeseen consequences.

In April 2017, the Podesta Group retroactively disclosed their Ukrainian lobbying efforts—roughly five years late and only after investigations had begun. The firm’s co-founder, Tony Podesta, stepped down six months later. Two weeks after Podesta stepped down, CEO Kimberly Fritts told employees that the firm would be closing for good on November 11. Fritts gave employees less than one week to clean out their desks. The Podesta Group may still be under investigation by the DOJ’s FARA division.

The DOJ had been widely criticized in recent years due to lax FARA enforcement. FARA filings plummeted in the mid-1990s under the Clinton administration when changes to the statute effectively created incentives not to file—including the imposition of fees and a loophole to avoid disclosure.

The FARA charges against Craig and Manafort, among other individuals, signal an abrupt departure from the DOJ’s longstanding lull. The results are positive and undeniable.

After Manafort was indicted and effectively “perp-walked,” FARA registrations skyrocketed. Craig resigned from Skadden last year and the firm was slapped with a $4.6 million penalty by the DOJ in January for the undisclosed Ukrainian activity. As part of that settlement, Skadden agreed to retroactively disclose their activity to the DOJ’s FARA division.

The recent FARA indictments provide a clear solution to rampant shady behaviors for which Washington has earned its nickname, “the Swamp.” Individuals found guilty of skirting FARA—among myriad other serially abused statutes—must be held accountable, publicly. Sunlight is, as always, the greatest disinfectant and the sooner justice is served, the better.

Seamus Bruner is the associate director of research at the Government Accountability Institute and author of “Compromised: How Money and Politics Drive FBI Corruption.”

The DOJ’s FARA enforcement efforts appear to

An exchange showing one hand giving cash to the another for new house and keys, a vector illustration for new home sales. (Photo: AdobeStock)
An exchange showing one hand giving cash to the another for new house and keys, a vector illustration for new home sales. (Photo: AdobeStock)

New home sales rose 4.5% (±17.6%) to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 692,000 in March, easily beating the high end of the forecast range. The figure for March is 3.0% (±11.4%) above the March 2018 estimate of 672,000.


PriorRevisedConsensusRangeActual
New Home Sales – SAAR667K662K645K630K to 660K692K

The median sales price of new houses sold in March 2019 was $302,700. The average sales price was $376,000. The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of March was 344,000. This represents a supply of 6.0 months at the current sales rate.

New home sales rose 4.5% (±17.6%) to

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