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Un mur de propagande, or a propaganda wall, promoting socialism in Havana, Cuba. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Un mur de propagande, or a propaganda wall, promoting socialism in Havana, Cuba. (Photo: AdobeStock)

What’s socialism?

Is it the centrally planned economies of Cuba and North Korea? Or the kleptocracies of Zimbabwe and Venezuela?

How about the interventionist welfare states of GreeceItaly, and France? Or the redistribution-oriented Nordic nations?

Since socialism means different things to different people, the answers will be all over the map.

But there’s one constant. However it’s defined, it doesn’t work.

Joshua Muravchik, writing for the Wall Street Journal, shares the many and inevitable failures of socialism.

It’s hard to think of another idea that has been tried and failed as many times in as many ways or at a steeper price in human suffering. …Marx (1818-83)…called his vision “scientific socialism.” Inspired by the dream of proletarian revolution overthrowing capitalist immiseration, socialist parties sprouted across Europe. Yet instead of growing poorer, workers in industrialized countries saw improvement in their living standards; and instead of disappearing, middle classes expanded—all disproving Marx. …Lenin pioneered modern communism, which in the 20th century was imposed on 18 countries and one-third of mankind. Repression was justified by socialism’s purported economic benefits, but the actual trade-off entailed economic misery and the snuffing out of as many as 100 million lives. …“Social democrats” and “democratic socialists” rejected Lenin’s methods. But their goals remained transformational. …British Labour Party leader Clement Attlee…sought to bring “main factors in the economic system”—including banks, mining and energy—under “public ownership and control.” Nationalization worked so badly, however, that Attlee soon beat a retreat and was voted out in 1951.

Though there was plenty of socialism until Margaret Thatcher was elected.

And if you consider the creaky National Health Service, some sectors of the economy remain socialized.

Anyhow, self-described American socialists claim they simply want to be like Scandinavian countries.

But as Muravchik notes, those nations aren’t technically socialist (i.e., they don’t have government ownershipcentral planningprice controls).

Yes, they have expensive welfare states (which have hampered growth), but markets determine how resources are allocated.

American socialists like Mr. Sanders, while often defending the likes of Fidel Castro, Daniel Ortega, Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro, prefer to point to Scandinavia as a model. But Scandinavian social democrats learned to settle for dense social safety nets underwritten by remarkably free, capitalist economies. On the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business scale, Denmark ranks third of 190 countries, Norway seventh and Sweden 12th.

The bottom line is that socialism has failed every place it’s been tried.

Socialism has failed everywhere it’s been tried… Surely today’s young people can create their own ideas and make their own mistakes rather than repeat those that darkened the times of their parents, grandparents and the generations before.

Now let’s look at a column by Richard Geddes of the American Enterprise Institute.

He notes that there’s a grim relationship not only between socialism and economic failure, but also that the ideology has a long list of victims.

Socialism has an abysmal record in the twentieth and twenty-first century, its effects include economic destruction, failure, and misery — Venezuela being the latest in a long line of wretched examples. Yet today, Democratic Party leaders such as Bernie Sanders and Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez are still proud to adopt the label of “democratic socialist.” …the more rigorously socialist principles are applied, the greater the human suffering, regardless of race, creed, or geographic location. …the grim statistics of those who died in the Soviet Union and elsewhere in the name of socialist experimentation (such as those who suffered forced starvation during the collectivization of agriculture) are pegged at about 100 million.

Geddes looks at the argument over how to define socialism and notes that regulation can be a back door form of socialism.

The Oxford English Dictionary defines socialism as: “A political and economic theory of social organization which advocates that the means of production, distribution, and exchange should be owned or regulated by the community as a whole.” New socialists argue that the distinction between government ownership and regulation is critical, and that they want extensive regulation but not nationalization. Yet, if regulation is sufficiently intrusive and onerous, private property rights are neutered, and control is effectively transferred to the socialist state.

That’s also a good definition of fascism, for what it’s worth. In other words, nominal private ownership, but the heavy hand of government actually determines how resources are allocated.

Geddes notes that American socialists don’t favor dictatorship, but that doesn’t change the fact that their policies will have a very adverse impact on the economy.

New socialists argue that, unlike their 20th century counterparts, they oppose the use of force to achieve their policy goals, instead preferring peaceful democratic processes. …however, whether socialist ends are achieved through forceful or democratic processes matters little when it comes to the nefarious effects of policies such as “free” healthcare, “free” college tuition, and so on. The destructive effects on both the supply and demand side of those markets would be much the same in the end.

Like Muravchik, Geddes also explains that Nordic nations don’t qualify as socialist.

Nordic countries (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden) — beloved by some as examples of successful socialism. …those countries are in many ways more market-oriented that the United States… Indeed, those countries are decades ahead of the United States in adopting market reforms in two of my areas of policy expertise: postal services and infrastructure delivery.

My two cents is that the Scandinavian nations are not socialist based on the technical definition.

And here’s my amateur depiction of how that works, with degree of intervention measured from top to bottom. Notice that Sweden is well above the line and isn’t socialist (indeed, it is farther from socialism than the United States.

But if everyone now thinks socialism simply means a lot of redistribution, then we get a different picture.

Under this Crazy Bernie/AOC approach, Sweden is to the right of the line and is socialist but (perversely) Venezuela doesn’t qualify.

But maybe the way to accommodate both the traditional definition and the modern usage is to draw a diagonal line.

Here’s my depiction, and I deliberately put Sweden on the socialist side to make some of my lefty friends happy (though if you’re looking at overall levels of economic freedom, they shouldn’t be socialist unless the United States also is socialist).

The obvious takeaway is that it’s best to be near the top left, near Hong Kong. And it’s also good to avoid the bottom right (Venezuela being closest to that corner, which makes sense since it is in last place according to Economic Freedom of the World).

Socialism means different things to different people,

On Liberty Never Sleeps, Tom argues the separation of right and left in America is more than just political, it’s based in a clash of cultures.

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New residential construction, hew homes, housing starts, building permits, depicted on blueprints. (Photo: AdobeStock)
New residential construction, hew homes, housing starts, building permits, depicted on blueprints. (Photo: AdobeStock)

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) finds builder confidence rose 1 point to 63 in April, meeting the forecast. The HMI has held in the low 60s for the past three months.

PriorConsensusForecastActual
Housing Market Index (HMI)62 63 62  to 64 

Released On April 16, 2019 at 10:00 AM EST for April, 2019

“Builders report solid demand for new single-family homes but they are also grappling with affordability concerns stemming from a chronic shortage of construction workers and buildable lots,” said NAHB Chairman Greg Ugalde, a home builder and developer from Torrington, Conn.

The NAFB/Wells Fargo & Co. (^WFC) Housing Market Index (HMI) gauges builder sentiment on current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as “good,” “fair” or “poor.” It also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average” or “low to very low.”

A seasonally adjusted index above 50 indicates more builders view conditions as good than poor.

“Ongoing job growth, favorable demographics and a low-interest rate environment will help to modestly spark sales growth in the near term,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “However, supply-side headwinds that are putting upward pressure on housing costs will limit more robust growth in the housing market.”

The HMI component measuring traffic of prospective buyers rose three points to 47. The measure charting sales expectations in the next six months fell one point to 71.

The three-month moving averages for regional HMI scores in the Northeast posted a three-point increase to 51. The Midwest rose two points to 53, and the South inched up 1 point to 67. The West was unchanged at 69.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo

Industry production 4.0 and technology concept, depicting factory production on a conveyor belt with factory operational workers in uniform. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Industry production 4.0 and technology concept, depicting factory production on a conveyor belt with factory operational workers in uniform. (Photo: AdobeStock)

The Federal Reserve said industrial production ticked down 0.1% in March, a forecast miss fueled by a decline in mining output.

The consensus forecast was looking for a gain of 0.3%, ranging from a low of -0.2% to a high of 0.4%.

PriorConsensusRangeActual
Production – M/M0.1%0.3%-0.2% — 0.4%-0.1%
Manufacturing – M/M-0.4%0.3%0.1% — 0.5%-0.4%
Capacity Utilization Rate78.2%79.1%78.4% — 79.4%

Industrial production inched up 0.1% in February. For the first quarter (Q1) 2019 as a whole, the index has declined 0.3% on an annual basis.

Manufacturing production was unchanged in March after declining in both January and February. The consensus forecast for manufacturing was looking for a gain of 0.3%, ranging from a low of 0.1% to a high of 0.5%.

The index for utilities increased 0.2%, while mining output moved down 0.8%.

At 110.2 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 2.8% higher in March than it was a year earlier. The Capacity Utilization Rate declined by 0.2% in March to 78.8%, a rate that is 1.0% below its long-run (1972–2018) average.

The consensus forecast was looking for a gain to 79.1%, ranging from a low of 78.4% to a high of 79.4%.

The Federal Reserve said industrial production ticked

The ides of April are far worse than the ides of March, as Tom talks about the loss of Notre Dame on this episode of Liberty Never Sleeps.

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To help our show out, please support us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/LibertyNeverSleeps

The money pledged thru Patreon.com will go toward show costs such as advertising, server time, and broadcasting equipment. If we can get
enough listeners, we will expand the show to two hours and hire additional staff.

All bumper music and sound clips are not owned by the show, are commentary, and of educational purposes, or de minimus effect, and not for monetary gain.

No copyright is claimed in any use of such materials and to the extent that material may appear to be infringed, I assert that such alleged infringement is permissible under fair use principles in U.S. copyright laws. If you believe material has been used in an unauthorized manner, please contact the poster.

The ides of April are far worse

Big brother is watching you vector graphic concept to illustrate secret government surveillance programs. (Photo: Adobe)
A vector graphic concept with Big Brother Is Watching You to illustrate government surveillance programs. (Photo: AdobeStock)

On Saturday, conservative talk radio host Don Smith replayed an interview he conducted with then-Republican frontrunner Donald Trump in November 2015. The roughly 12-minute long interview was repeatedly interrupted by a strange static humming, and other noises.

“During this interview there was something going on. I’ve never experienced this before,” Mr. Smith said on air Saturday. “I’ve done thousands of interviews, and I have never experienced this before. You could hear something.”

“Something was going on.”

The host of the namesake Don Smith Show said he initially thought the campaign was taping the interview for posterity. The media had repeatedly taken the GOP frontrunner out of context, seemingly on a daily basis.

“But all of a sudden, then candidate Trump brings it up. He hears it,” Smith added. “Now, on my line, the way I’m doing pre-tapes there’s no way that somebody else could buzz in on the line. So, I knew that it was not on my end. But he brings this up and he could hear it, too.”

That’s more evident if you listen to the reactions from then-candidate Donald Trump and the host at the time in the archived interview (also below). Faint static humming begins and fades immediately after the first question, before returning on multiple occasions.

“You could actually hear breathing at one point,” Mr. Smith continued. “You could hear all these things. And I’m going, ‘What in the heck is going on here?'”

Now-President Trump was sitting at his desk at Trump Tower during the interview, which we now know to have been the target of surveillance.

As the candidate discusses exporting U.S. coal to China, an audible static sound interferes with the connection two times separated by only moments.

“Whoops. You have a buzzer going off there, Don. But that’s okay. Did you hear that buzzer?” Mr. Trump asks the host.

“I heard it in the background,” Mr. Smith replies as he himself is interrupted by a third static humming sound on the line. “I’m not sure what that is.”

“Something’s going on, but that’s okay. I’m not sure if it’s your phone or mine,” the president said at the time. “But that’s okay. Regardless, it just makes the conversation more interesting.”

“Maybe that’s the Chinese calling asking us to stop talking about them,” Mr. Trump said in jest, to which Mr. Smith jokingly replied, “I think we’re being hacked, Don.”

Strange noises are certainly not unheard of nor are they conclusive evidence of surveillance. But static, as well as echoes, clicks, humming, and scratching noises are known indicators.

Frequency of occurrence over a period of time–for instance, more than once within a minute–is also a tell, though also not conclusive.

Last Wednesday, Attorney General William Barr said in testimony before a U.S. Senate committee he does “think spying did occur” in the 2016 election.

“I think spying on a political campaign is a big deal,” Mr. Barr said in a back and forth exchange with Senator Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H., who asked if he believed the Obama Administration spied on members of the Trump Campaign.

“Yes, I think spying did occur,” Attorney General Barr told Senator Shaheen. “But the question is whether it was predicated, adequately predicated.”

Rep. Devin Nunes, R-Calif., claimed last week spying on the Trump Campaign actually began in “late 2015,” which would make the interview a match to the timeline of events.

Retired Major General Paul Vallely joined the show to react to the noise on the line, not all of which is audible in the recording.

“When it was live General, it was so much more pronounced. And again, you could hear soft breathing in the background,” Mr. Smith stressed. “You could even hear at one point a soft conversation between two people.”

“Did I just play proof of what was going on?” the host asked.

General Paul Vallely, a senior military analyst for Fox News and former deputy commanding general of Pacific Command, believed it was likely that he did, and that the sound was radio wave interference.

“I think you did because evidently there’s an electronic transmission, or something generated by radio frequency waves, and that’s what you heard there,” the retired major general said in response.

“That kind of electronic transmission indicates that there’s something going on with your line, and it probably wasn’t the utility or telephone service, but somebody actually listening in who didn’t realize that much of the transmission could be heard on the air.”

Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) allows intelligence agencies to collect information on foreign targets abroad.

However, as People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) previously reported, it was “routinely” abused and misused under the Obama Administration to spy on domestic targets. That includes President Trump, his associates and other U.S. citizens.

PPD first reported in March 2017, and has repeatedly reported since, officials at the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and Justice Department (DOJ) used the cover of a counterintelligence investigation to spy on members of the Trump campaign.

Mr. Smith noted that static humming and other audible sounds interfered for roughly 7 minutes, or until the candidate himself mentioned it. Then, the noises stopped immediately.

“As soon as he said that General, nothing. It was completely gone,” he said. “There was no background noise, there was nothing. The second he said it, it stopped.”

Don Smith Show Archived Episode (Trump Interview Begins at 1:36:03)

Radio host Don Smith replayed an interview

Small Donations Indicate Grassroots Enthusiasm, Working Class Support

Supporters of President Donald Trump hold up Make America Great American and Keep America Great signs A supporter of Donald Trump dons a T-shirt with a new twist on an old joke targeting Hillary Clinton during a rally in Tampa, Florida on Tuesday, July 31, 2018. (Photo: Laura Baris/People's Pundit Daily)
Supporters of President Donald Trump hold up Make America Great American and Keep America Great signs A supporter of Donald Trump dons a T-shirt with a new twist on an old joke targeting Hillary Clinton during a rally in Tampa, Florida on Tuesday, July 31, 2018. (Photo: Laura Baris/People’s Pundit Daily)

The Trump Campaign raised more than $30 million for the first quarter (Q1) 2019, and now has $40.8 million cash-on-hand. The fundraising haul is nearly $10 million more than Q4 2018, and exceeds the amount raised by the top declared Democratic candidates, combined.

The average donation to the campaign was just $34.26. “Low-dollar” contributions are defined as $200 or less, and are indicative of grassroots enthusiasm and working-class support.

“Our prodigious fundraising is further proof of President Trump’s clear record of accomplishment on behalf of the American people,” Brad Parscale, Trump campaign manager wrote in an emailed statement to PPD.

The Trump Campaign now has nearly 21 times more cash-on-hand than the Obama Campaign had at this point in the re-election cycle.

As People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) previously reported, roughly 98.5% of contributions to the Trump Campaign in Q4 2018 came from donations of $200 or less. That percentage ticked slightly higher to 98.79% in Q1 2019.

“The President is in a vastly stronger position at this point than any previous incumbent president running for re-election, and only continues to build momentum,” Mr. Pascale added.

The Republican National Committee (RNC) also announced raising $45.8 million for Q1 2019. It is the committee’s largest haul for a non-election year Q1 and their second largest overall.

“The success of our fundraising is a testament to the continued enthusiasm and support for President Trump, his policies, and the litany of promises he has fulfilled for the American people,” RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel also wrote in a statement.

The RNC said $27 million of the total for Q1 came from small donors. Separately, the RNC has $41.2 million cash-on-hand.

“The RNC is already investing these donations into our expansive, permanent, data-driven field program to put President Trump and Republicans in prime-position for another historic election night in 2020,” Chairwoman McDaniel added.

The Trump Campaign and RNC’s joint fundraising committees have added 100,000 new small donors so far in 2019, and more than one million new small donors since Inauguration Day.

The Trump Campaign raised $30.3 million for


H&R Block (NYSE:HRB) released data through March 31, 2019 showing the overall tax liability for their clients was down an average 24.9% under the first year of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). All 50 states and the District of Columbia (D.C.) saw their average tax liability decrease anywhere from 18.0% to 29.1%.

The biggest takeaway from the data is the gap between the overall reduction in liability and the size of the increase in tax refunds.

The average size of tax refunds increased by 1.4% even as the overall liability declined by roughly 25%, on average. When the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) changed withholding tables in February 2018, they automatically adjusted take-home pay.

This gap can and will undoubtedly be used to push misleading conclusions surrounding the impact tax reform has had on average Americans.

Tax liability in real dollars is down nearly $1,200 on average, but tax refunds are up just $43. That’s because an average of $1,156 went into paychecks during the year, or about $50 for a biweekly paycheck starting in March of 2018.

“Relying on their refund size to determine what tax reform means to them may not only be misleading, but can also put them further at risk of not getting the tax outcome they want when they file next year,” said Kathy Pickering, executive director of The Tax Institute and vice president of regulatory affairs at H&R Block.

Ms. Pickering noted those who did not update their W-4 will experience this impact more significantly when they file next year. The impact of the withholding changes will be amplified in 2019 as the new changes will impact taxpayers during all 12 months of the year.

The TCJA, due largely to the efforts of Ivanka Trump, still increased the Child Tax Credit (CTC) from $1,000 per child to $2,000 per child.

The District of Columbia (D.C.) saw the least decrease in overall tax liability, though it still fell 18% on average. D.C. saw the largest decline in the amount of an average tax refund at 6.1%, while North Dakota saw the largest increase at 6.7% on average.

H&R Block clients who don’t update their W-4s could experience an additional drop of $200 or more on their next tax refunds.

Homeowners who deducted their mortgage interest over the last two years saw their refunds drop an average of 11.8%. But their tax liability also dropped on average by 28.3%. The benefit showed up in their paycheck instead of their refund.

“It’s reasonable to assume that a tax cut would mean your refund will increase, but that’s not necessarily the case,” said Pickering. “The IRS updated how employers calculate how much tax to withhold from paychecks, which means you could have been getting all your tax cut – and then some – in your paychecks.”

We will update this report, table and map as more data becomes available.

State Tax Liability Tax Refund
Alabama -24.2 1.9
Alaska -22.5 3.2
Arizona -25 3.5
Arkansas -25.5 4.5
California -27.1 -1.6
Colorado -24.7 1.2
Connecticut -26.2 -4.2
Delaware -24.6 -0.1
Florida -25.5 1.8
Georgia -26.2 0.3
Hawaii -20.9 0.9
Idaho -23.5 5
Illinois -24.5 -0.5
Indiana -25.1 3.7
Iowa -24 3.2
Kansas -26.2 4.1
Kentucky -24.2 2.8
Louisiana -24.2 2.6
Maine -23.2 1.8
Maryland -21.1 -5.6
Massachusetts -27.6 -3
Michigan -24.7 2.6
Minnesota -23.4 1.8
Mississippi -23.6 3.4
Missouri -24 3.3
Montana -22 4.9
Nebraska -22.3 4.7
Nevada -23.5 3.6
New Hampshire -25.2 0.1
New Jersey -29.1 -5.7
New Mexico -22.8 4.6
New York -23.2 -2
North Carolina -25.9 2
North Dakota -25.9 6.7
Ohio -23.3 2.3
Oklahoma -23.4 4.8
Oregon -18.5 -0.7
Pennsylvania -24.5 0.9
Rhode Island -22.6 -2.6
South Carolina -23.2 2
South Dakota -25.3 6.5
Tennessee -24.8 3.2
Texas -25.6 2.2
Utah -19.6 3.6
Vermont -22.1 1.3
Virginia -24.9 -0.6
Washington -24.9 2.4
West Virginia -23.8 3.4
Wisconsin -21.1 1.8
Wyoming -23.1 4.2

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner width="1/2"][vc_raw_html]JTNDZGl2JTIwaWQlM0QlMjJjb250YWluZXIlMjIlMjBzdHlsZSUzRCUyMm1hcmdpbiUzQWF1dG8lM0IlMjIlM0UlM0MlMkZkaXYlM0U=[/vc_raw_html][vc_gutenberg] H&R Block (NYSE:HRB) released data through

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey rose six points to 10.1, beating the consensus on the high end of the forecast range. However, the six-month outlook in the index for future business conditions fell 17 points to 12.4—its lowest level in more than three years.

The consensus forecast was looking for a reading of 6.8, ranging from a low of 5 to a high of 11.5

For April, 2019PriorConsensus ForecastForecast RangeActual
General Business Conditions Index3.7 6.8 5.0  to 11.5 10.1 

Thirty-three percent (33%) of respondents said conditions improved over the month, while 23% said they had worsened. The new orders index rose five points to 7.5, while the shipments index tick up one point to 8.6.

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey rose 6

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