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Five Key Metrics Indicate President Trump, Republicans Can Tolerate Shutdown Longer than Democrats

Government shutdown 3D illustration and graphic concept. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Government shutdown 3D illustration and graphic concept. (Photo: AdobeStock)

President Donald Trump invited and met with congressional leaders at the White House on Wednesday to discuss negotiations to end the partial government shutdown.

Fearing a progressive revolt before securing the gavel in the U.S. House, Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., did not come to negotiate in good faith.

Following what was supposed to be a border security briefing, Senator Schumer told reporters outside that Republicans “are starting to feel the heat.”

But a new study finds government shutdowns disproportionately impact Blue States and Democratic constituencies juxtaposed to Red States and Republican constituencies.

RankStates Most ImpactRankStates Least Impact
1District of Columbia42Ohio
2New Mexico43North Dakota
3Maryland44New Jersey
4Hawaii45Kansas
5Alaska46Wisconsin
6Virginia47Indiana
7West Virginia48Iowa
8Mississippi49Nebraska
9Alabama50New Hampshire
10Arizona51Minnesota

The result of the study conducted by WalletHub backs up PPD’s editor Rich Baris, who has been making the same case on social media for days.

WalletHub compared 50 states and the District of Columbia (D.C.) across 5 key metrics, ranging from each state’s share of federal jobs to federal contract dollars per capita to the share of families receiving food stamps.

Overall RankStateTotal ScoreOverall RankStateTotal Score
1District of Columbia78.5927Vermont30.46
2New Mexico65.9528Texas29.59
3Maryland65.7029Utah29.05
4Hawaii62.9130Connecticut29.00
5Alaska61.0831Colorado28.42
6Virginia56.6132Nevada28.35
7West Virginia46.2533Pennsylvania27.20
8Mississippi45.5634Massachusetts27.09
9Alabama43.4635New York27.08
10Arizona40.7336Delaware26.98
11Rhode Island37.7437California26.65
12Montana37.2838North Carolina26.64
13Maine36.5739Arkansas25.82
14Florida36.2540Michigan24.96
15Oregon36.0841Illinois24.76
16Oklahoma35.8742Ohio24.66
17Kentucky35.8143North Dakota23.69
18Washington35.7144New Jersey19.30
19Georgia35.5045Kansas18.84
20Wyoming33.0146Wisconsin17.56
21South Carolina32.8847Indiana17.02
22South Dakota32.6248Iowa16.49
23Tennessee32.5549Nebraska16.40
24Louisiana32.3650New Hampshire15.59
25Idaho32.2051Minnesota10.54
26Missouri32.15

The partial government shutdown entered its 13th day on Thursday and President Trump has invited congressional leaders back to the White House on Friday to again reopen negotiations.

These findings indicate Speaker Pelosi and Minority Leader Schumer will be feeling more “heat” than the president and Republican leaders on Capitol Hill.

Worth noting, unlike constituencies who rely on SNAP, otherwise known as food stamps, large Republican constituencies who might’ve been impacted are not in this case.

For example, the Department of Veteran Affairs (VA) has been fully funded through Fiscal Year 2019.

A new study finds government shutdowns disproportionately

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With 2020 just around the corner, Mitt

Job seekers wait to meet with employers at a career fair in New York City, October 24, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)
Job seekers wait to meet with employers at a career fair in New York City, October 24, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

The ADP National Employment Report said the U.S. private sector added 271,000 jobs in December, far exceeding the 175,000 consensus forecast. Analysts had forecast the number between 160,000 to 180,000.

“We wrapped up 2018 with another month of significant growth in the labor market,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. “Although there were increases in most sectors, the busy holiday season greatly impacted both trade and leisure and hospitality. Small businesses also experienced their strongest month of job growth all year.”

Small businesses with 1 to 49 employees added 89,000 private sector jobs, while those with 50 to 499 employees added 129,000. Large businesses added 54,000, a good breakdown for wage growth for a seasonal month.

“Businesses continue to add aggressively to their payrolls despite the stock market slump and the trade war,” Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said. “Favorable December weather also helped lift the job market. At the current pace of job growth, low unemployment will get even lower.”

The services sector added 224,000 jobs for the month.

The goods-producing sector added 47,000 that included 12,000 in manufacturing and 37,000 in construction. Natural resources and mining lost 2,000.

The ADP National Employment Report said the

U.S. jobless claims graph on a tablet screen. (Photo: AdobeStock)
U.S. jobless claims graph on a tablet screen. (Photo: AdobeStock)

The Labor Department said initial jobless claims rose by 10,000 to an advance seasonally adjusted 231,000, much higher than the 217,000 consensus forecast.

The 4-week moving average –which tends to iron out volatility — came in at 218,750, a decline of 500 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised up by 1,250 from 218,000 to 219,250.

No state was triggered “on” the Extended Benefits program during the week ending December 15.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate remained at a very low 1.2% for the week ending December 22

The highest insured unemployment rates in the week ending December 15 were in Alaska (3.3), New Jersey (2.2), California (2.0), Connecticut (1.9), Montana (1.9), Pennsylvania (1.9), Illinois (1.8), Massachusetts (1.8), Minnesota (1.8), Puerto Rico (1.8), and Washington (1.8).

The largest increases in initial claims for the week ending December 22 were in New Jersey (+6,248), Pennsylvania (+3,053), Missouri (+2,555), Massachusetts (+2,212), and Ohio (+2,164), while the largest decreases were in Michigan (-846), Florida (-462), Louisiana (-246), Arizona (-156), and Maine (-149).

The Labor Department said initial jobless claims

GOP Donor: “She Is Very Clear About Her intentions”

Nikki Haley, the former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (UN), intends to run for president in 2024 and will not run against Donald Trump.

The apparent future presidential candidate has told multiple Republican donors in recent weeks that she will in fact run for the highest office in the land, just not against President Trump.

“Nikki Haley is already telling donors she is running for president in 2024,” one source who spoke to People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) on the condition of anonymity said. She stressed it would only be “sooner if something were to happen with Trump.”

Worth noting, the news of her refusal to challenge President Trump in 2020 will disappoint many in the D.C. Republican Establishment, who welcome a primary challenge to Mr. Trump.

They believe the Republican Party would be best served in the longterm if the incumbent president ends up losing his reelection bid in 2020. Mrs. Haley’s name has been floated repeatedly as a potential challenger.

On October 9, 2018, the president held a send off at the White House for his top diplomat at the U.N., praising her for a job well done at the international body and in the administration.

The friendly farewell stood in stark contrast to other departures by high-level officials during the first two years of the Trump Administration.

The president tends to lavish praise on officials on their way out the door. More times than not, they have burned him, as was most recently the case with General James Mattis.

But unlike others, Mrs. Haley has defended President Trump’s tactics and his America First Foreign Policy Doctrine, otherwise known as “principled realism.”

While opposed to foreign intervention, principled realism is predicated on the principles of offensive realism. It calls for firm responses to regimes pursuing nuclear weapons, intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) or regional hegemony.

U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley and President Donald Trump attend a working lunch with ambassadors on the UN Security Council. (Photo: Reuters)
U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley and President Donald Trump attend a working lunch with ambassadors on the UN Security Council. (Photo: Reuters)

As U.S. Ambassador to the U.N., she was a supporter of President Trump’s strategy to confront North Korea and Iran, though she herself holds far more hawkish views on foreign intervention and the use of military force.

Despite those differences of opinion, she carried out the president’s agenda, including controversial decisions to move the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and to withdraw the U.S. from UNESCO, citing badly-needed reforms and a continued anti-Israel bias.

The United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) has long been under fire for exposed corruption and bias that continues to go unaddressed.

On the day of the resignation announcement, she was asked about a potential future presidential bid. However, she was adamant about not eyeing a run for the presidency in 2020.

“No, I’m not running for 2020. I can tell you what I’ll be doing is campaigning for this one,” she said turning to the president.

According to donors and insiders, who tell PPD the former ambassador has not been shy about her presidential aspirations, it was the truth.

“Everyone obviously knows this,” another donor said when asked if it was correct to characterize her plans as an open secret. “She is very clear about her intentions.”

Nikki Haley, the former U.S. Ambassador to

Government Shutdown graphic concept. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Government Shutdown graphic concept. (Photo: AdobeStock)

President Donald Trump invited congressional leaders to the White House on Wednesday to negotiate an end to the partial government shutdown.

The meeting, which the president kicked off in the Situation Room, ended without resolution.

The understanding was that Democrats would be able to negotiate on Friday after House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., was sworn in as Speaker of the U.S. House on Thursday.

As soon as the president tossed the meeting to Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., told Rep. Pelosi to interrupt the briefing.

It was Schumer who ultimately did.

“I”m a little disappointed with, I would say, some on the other side,” Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., told reporters outside the White House after the meeting. “Once the secretary started, Senator Schumer interrupted her, and they really didn’t want to hear it.”

The shutdown is now headed for its 13th day and, given the consensus at the end of the meeting, will almost certainly continue for another two at least.

“It doesn’t have to last much longer at all — I think we can come to an agreement rather quickly,” Leader McCarthy said when asked how long the partial government shutdown would continue. “I know that’s why the president thought maybe after the leadership races, people would be more willing to come to an agreement.”

Democrats have proposed to fund DHS at current levels to reopen the government, while providing just $1.3 billion on border security not allocated for a physical barrier, something Secretary Nielsen intended to demonstrate was required in certain areas.

The president threatened to and subsequently did shutdown the government amid news a police officer in California was killed by an illegal immigrant.

Several new migrant caravans backed by liberal activist groups, including what PPD has been told is the largest ever, are headed to the southern border.

Top Senate Republicans including Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., have backed the president’s effort. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Kty., said the Democratic proposal would be dead on arrival.

Congressional Leadership Present at Meeting

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif.

House Whip Steny Hoyer, D-N.Y.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif.

House Whip Steve Scalise, R-La.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Kty.

Senate Majority Whip John Thune, R-N.D.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y.

Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin, D-Ill.

President Trump called on congressional leaders to

President Donald Trump, left, and RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, right, then the Michigan Republican Party chair, speaking before a Republican presidential primary debate in Detroit on March 3, 2016. (Photo: AP)
President Donald Trump, left, and RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, right, then the Michigan Republican Party chair, speaking before a Republican presidential primary debate in Detroit on March 3, 2016. (Photo: AP)

RNC Chairwomen Ronna McDaniel joined a chorus of conservative voices on Wednesday in criticizing her uncle, Senator-elect Mitt Romney.

“POTUS is attacked and obstructed by the MSM media and Democrats 24/7,” Chairwomen McDaniel tweeted. “For an incoming Republican freshman senator to attack @realdonaldtrump as their first act feeds into what the Democrats and media want and is disappointing and unproductive.”

Mr. Romney, the failed 2012 GOP nominee who won his Utah Senate race in November, wrote in a scathing op-ed for The Washington Post that President Trump “has not risen to the mantle of the office.”

“Policies and appointments are only a part of a presidency,” he tweeted along with the op-ed in the uber-liberal D.C. paper. “A president must also unite us, inspire us, and defend our vital institutions.”

While there is no doubt that the nomination and subsequent presidency of Mr. Trump has resulted in a political realignment, the heart of the Republican Party remains unquestionably with him, not the wing represented by the freshman senator-elect.

Conservative voices slammed the op-ed on Twitter.

Matt Schlapp, the head of the American Conservative Union, let it be known that Mr. Romney should not expect an invitation to CPAC 2019. The annual gathering of conservative activists was a staple for Mr. Romney when he was eying the presidency.

President Trump endorsed the former Massachusetts governor for the GOP nomination in 2012, and despite the constant criticism that has been seen by supporters as opportunism, he gave him his blessing again in the race for U.S. Senate in Utah.

The president, who also considered him for secretary of state, extended the olive branch on numerous occasions, saying he’ll “make a great Senator and worthy successor” to retiring Senator Orrin Hatch.

Mr. Hatch, who was the longest-serving Republican senator in U.S. history, grew quite close to President Trump and the two men developed an unlikely but strong personal relationship.

But he has decided to end his 42-year long career. The U.S. Senate post-2018 is far more Trump-friendly than it was before the midterms, leaving Mr. Romney the opportunity to make a name for himself as the new leader of the NeverTrump Establishment.

RNC Chairwomen Ronna McDaniel joined a chorus

No Political Theatre Allowed, Meeting to Be Held in Situation Room

Cut fence and an American flag as a 3D concept illustrating Illegal immigration. (Photo: AdobeStock)
Cut fence and an American flag as a 3D concept illustrating Illegal immigration. (Photo: AdobeStock)

President Donald Trump invited congressional leaders to the White House for a border security briefing Wednesday in the Situation Room.

The location is noteworthy given the Situation Room is a secure facility. Cellular phones and other devices are not allowed, and neither are members of the press.

So, with the partial government shutdown now headed for its 12th day, there will be no political theatre.

The president was initially seeking $5 billion, a minuscule amount for a security appropriation, though he has made it clear that half of his demand would mean a deal to reopen the government.

House Democrats intend to introduce legislation to do just that, albeit temporarily. It does not provide funding for the president’s border wall, which U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and Homeland Security (DHS) have said they desperately need in most areas.

Border Patrol fended off another attack from a “caravan” of several hundred migrants Tuesday night. CBP fired tear gas after those attempting to enter the U.S. illegally again began to throw large rocks at border patrol agents.

The president threatened to and subsequently did shutdown the government amid news a police officer in California was killed by an illegal immigrant.

Several new migrant caravans backed by liberal activist groups, including what PPD has been told is the largest ever, are headed to the southern border.

Top Senate Republicans including Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., have backed the president’s effort. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Kty., said the House bill is dead on arrival.

The meeting will take place at 3:00 p.m. EST.

Leadership Invited to Meeting

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif.

House Whip Steny Hoyer, D-N.Y.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif.

House Whip Steve Scalise, R-La.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Kty.

Senate Majority Whip John Thune, R-N.D.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y.

Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin, D-Ill.

President Donald Trump invited congressional leaders to

Tom is back from vacation with the first new episode of Liberty Never Sleeps in 2019. Now on LIVE feed with Facebook video, tape delay on YouTube and the podcast on IHeart Radio, and other outlets near you.

*Mary Poppins and Assigned Seating
*The Wall and Government Shutdown
*Clinton Probably Won’t Run
*Weakness in Market? Blame Government
*New Years Train Wreck

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Tom is back from vacation with the

Senator Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., announced she is launching an exploratory committee for president in 2020.

“No matter what our differences, most of us want the same thing,” the 69-year-old Massachusetts Democrat said in a video that continues to insinuate highlights her family’s history in Oklahoma. “To be able to work hard, play by the same set of rules and take care of the people we love. That’s what I’m fighting for and that’s why today I’m launching an exploratory committee for president.”

Forming an exploratory committee is the first major legal step toward officially running for president. While she is the first prominent Democrat to take the first formal step, she will not be the last.

Senators Kamala Harris, D-Calif., and Cory Booker, D-N.J., are both expected to make their announcements in the coming weeks.

Julian Castro previously announced an exploratory committee, which legally allows potential candidates to begin raising money. However, he served as housing chief in the Obama Administration.

But it’s worth noting Senator Warren forming an exploratory committee comes less than 3 months after her disastrous decision to release a DNA test purportedly serving as proof she is in fact of Native American heritage.

It was widely criticized and her claims have been widely debunked. Senator Warren, a darling of the far left, has long understood the unsupported claim had legs as a negative story.

As a 2020 presidential candidate, there will be significant political exposure in the general election against President Donald Trump.

The president has slammed her unsupported claim to Native American heritage, dubbing her “Pocahontas” on the campaign trail. He openly mocks her as a challenge in 2020.

But he will never get his wish if Democratic rivals use it effectively, themselves.

As the People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) previously reported, the initial math published by The Boston Globe, was incorrect.

Cherokee Nation Secretary of State Chuck Hoskin Jr., left, and Senator Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass, right, gives her "Americans Will Die" speech about repealing ObamaCare on the floor of the U.S. Senate. (Photo: Cherokee Nation/PPD)
Cherokee Nation Secretary of State Chuck Hoskin Jr., left, and Senator Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass, right, gives her “Americans Will Die” speech about repealing ObamaCare on the floor of the U.S. Senate. (Photo: Cherokee Nation/PPD)

The paper corrected their claim that Senator Warren might be 1/512 Native American, which she still questionably used as proof for her claim. At best, the results indicated just 1/1,024th Native American heritage.

Even if the results are accurate, it would mean Senator Warren could have as little as .09%.

According to a study conducted by 23andMe.com, it would make her less than the average Native ancestry for European-Americans (0.18%) and African-Americans (0.8%).

But that’s not even likely to be an accurate account, given her results were not compared with an industry-accepted population sample.

The Cherokee Nation issued a scathing statement not only in response to the results, but what they see as a political ploy in the form of repeated false claims to their heritage.

“A DNA test is useless to determine tribal citizenship,” Cherokee Nation Secretary of State Chuck Hoskin Jr. said. “Current DNA tests do not even distinguish whether a person’s ancestors were indigenous to North or South America.”

“Sovereign tribal nations set their own legal requirements for citizenship, and while DNA tests can be used to determine lineage, such as paternity to an individual, it is not evidence for tribal affiliation.”

Still, such false claims may not carry the weight in a Democratic primary that it will in a general election. She maintains a war-chest advantage over many of her Democratic counterparts, considering the $12.5 million left over from her 2018 reelection campaign.

To be sure, Senator Warren will need all the help she can get. The controversy over falsifying her heritage for academic and professional advancement is not the only falsehood in her story.

Cherokee genealogist Twila Barnes uncovered a newspaper clipping from the Muskogee Times Democrat dated August 17, 1906. The story is about Senator Warren’s great grandfather, John H. Crawford, who was identified in the story as white.

Mr. Crawford wasn’t Native American. But he shot one.

The clipping also offered further proof to debunk the story about her parents eloping. The local paper also referred to Senator Warren’s mother’s family as white.

Senator Elizabeth Warren announced she is launching

People's Pundit Daily
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