Widget Image
Follow PPD Social Media
Friday, January 31, 2025
HomeStandard Blog Whole Post (Page 204)

Group of friends sitting outdoors with shopping bags; several people holding smartphones and tablets. (Photo: AdobeStock/ OneInchPunch/PPD)

Group of friends sitting outdoors with shopping bags; several people holding smartphones and tablets. (Photo: AdobeStock/ OneInchPunch/PPD)

The U.S. Census Bureau said retail sales came in at $502.0 billion in May, a 0.8% monthly gain that doubled the consensus forecast. The report backs Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) claims that U.S. consumer spending ramped up and, with the monthly, retail sales are now 5.9% higher than May 2017.

Total sales for the March 2018 through May 2018 period were up 5.2% from the same period a year ago. The March 2018 to April 2018 percent change was revised from up 0.2% to up 0.4%. Retail trade sales were up 0.8% from April 2018, and 6.0% above last year.

Gasoline Stations were up 17.7% from May 2017, while Non-store Retailers were up 9.1% from last year.

The U.S. Census Bureau said retail sales

Weekly Jobless Claims Graphic. Number of Americans applying for first-time jobless benefits.

Weekly Jobless Claims Graphic. Number of Americans applying for first-time jobless benefits.

The Labor Department said jobless claims fell more than expected by 4,000 to 218,000 for the week ending June 9, easily beating the 225,000 forecast. The 4-week moving average was 224,250, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week’s unrevised average of 225,500.

Extended Benefits were payable in the Virgin Islands during the week ending May 26.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was unchanged at a historic low 1.2% for the week ending June 2. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 2 was 1,697,000, down 49,000 from the previous week’s revised level.

This is the lowest level for insured unemployment since December 1, 1973 when it was 1,692,000. The 4-week moving average fell 3,750 to 1,726,250, the lowest level for this average since December 8, 1973 when it was 1,715,500.

The highest insured unemployment rates in the week ending May 26 were in the Virgin Islands (2.9), Alaska (2.5), New Jersey (2.0), California (1.9), Connecticut (1.9), Puerto Rico (1.8), Pennsylvania (1.7), Illinois (1.5), Nevada (1.4), and Rhode Island (1.4).

The largest increases in initial claims for the week ending June 2 were in Tennessee (+1,587), Illinois (+1,567), Ohio (+698), Arkansas (+387), and New Mexico (+353), while the largest decreases were in Michigan (-3,638), California (-1,938), New Jersey (-1,678), New York (-1,454), and Pennsylvania (-953).

The Labor Department said jobless claims fell

President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a document on Tuesday pledging Pyongyang would work toward “complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.” Chairman Kim said the world would see a “major change” in his regime, which agreed to destroy a “major” missile testing site.

“We are starting that process very quickly,” President Trump said when asked by a reporter if Kim agreed to denuclearize.

In return, the U.S. gave Pyongyang security guarantees. President Trump pledged to ensure Chairman Kim’s personal and regime security, hold off on additional sanctions and joint military exercises with South Korea.

The historic summit is the first-ever between the U.S. and North Korea after more than six decades of hostility.

President Donald Trump and North Korean leader

President Donald Trump, left, greets Tony Kim, Kim Hak Song, seen in the shadow, and Kim Dong Chul, three Americans detained in North Korea. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, center right, shakes hands with South Korean President Moon Jae-in, right, on April 27, 2018. (Photos: AP/Reuters)

President Donald Trump, left, greets Tony Kim, Kim Hak Song, seen in the shadow, and Kim Dong Chul, three Americans detained in North Korea. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, center right, shakes hands with South Korean President Moon Jae-in, right, on April 27, 2018. (Photos: AP/Reuters)

President Donald Trump and Chairman Kim Jong Un have arrived in Singapore for the highly-anticipated and historic summit. Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong greeted President Trump on the runway at Paya Lebar Airbase ahead of the meeting with Kim scheduled for 9 a.m. local time Tuesday, or 9 p.m. ET.

He was accompanied by National Security Adviser John Bolton, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and White House Chief of Staff John Kelly. Secretary Pompeo played a key role in the meeting, traveling first to North Korea to meet the chairman over Easter weekend.

When asked by a reporter on the tarmac how he was feeling about the summit, President Trump, who called his trip a “mission of peace,” replied: “Very good.”

“It’s unknown territory in the truest sense, but I really feel confident,” President Trump told reporters Saturday at the G7 summit. “I feel that Kim Jong Un wants to do something great for his people and he has that opportunity and he won’t have that opportunity again.”

Hours before, a private jet carrying Kim landed amid huge security precautions on the city-state island. The chairman has only left North Korea three times since taking power. His motorcade included a large limousine with North Korea flags attached to the hood. It was seen speeding through the streets of Singapore headed for the heavily guarded St. Regis Hotel.

The nuclear summit would be the first-ever between the U.S. and North Korea after more than six decades of hostility.

Chairman Kim announced that he suspended Pyongyang’s nuclear testing program in anticipation of the summit, which included a freeze on intercontinental ballistic missile tests and the closing of a nuclear site.

The development came after North Korea announced they dropped demands for a freeze to U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises and the withdrawal of U.S. troops as preconditions for talks.

President Donald Trump and Chairman Kim Jong

Offshore company touchscreen is operated by businesswoman background. (Photo: AdobeStock/wsf-f)

Offshore company touchscreen is operated by businesswoman background. (Photo: AdobeStock/wsf-f)

Since I consider myself the world’s biggest advocate for tax competition and tax havens (even when it’s risky), I’m always on the lookout for new material to share.

So I was delighted to see a new monograph from the London-based Institute of Economic Affairs on the benefits of “offshore” financial centers. Authored by Diego Zuluaga, it explains why low-tax jurisdictions are good news for those of us laboring in less-enlightened places.

Offshore finance serves several purposes, the most salient of which is the efficient allocation of capital. Some of this activity is tax-related, aimed at raising after-tax investment returns. If it were not for offshore jurisdictions, much foreign investment would be vulnerable to double or triple taxation. Because, under such punitive rates of tax, some of this investment would not take place, the existence of offshore centres has real positive effects on economic activity alongside the (plausibly) negative impact on the tax revenue of individual countries. These welfare gains have been amply documented… Beyond their impact on aggregate investment, research shows that the existence of an OFC is associated with better economic outcomes in neighbouring countries. Contrary to the popular narrative, these jurisdictions are well-governed and peaceful. Who, after all, would wish to use intermediaries in places where investors were regularly expropriated or harassed? …It is difficult to imagine the process of globalisation that has taken place over the last fifty years, bringing hundreds of millions of people out of poverty, happening without the robust financial and legal framework which offshore jurisdictions provide for investment. It would be counterproductive, for both the developing and the rich world, to undermine their essential functions. …Clamping down on offshore centres…would make societies less productive and prosperous, and this effect would compound over time.

He provides some fiscal history, including the fact that government used to be very small in the industrialized world (indeed, that’s one of the big reasons why today’s rich nations got that way).

And he notes that low-tax jurisdictions became more important to global commerce as governments adopted dirigiste policies.

Before World War I, governments played only a small role in economic activity, rarely taking up shares of national income in excess of 15 per cent during peacetime. After the Great War, they took upon themselves ever larger fiscal and administrative functions, notably trade restrictions and capital controls. …In a context of punitive marginal tax rates, constrained capital movements…, OFCs were vital to the revival of cross-border trade and investment after World War II. Without stable intermediary jurisdictions with robust rule of law and low taxation, much international investment would have been too costly, whether because of the associated tax burden or the risks of expropriation and inflation.

Zuluaga notes that tax competition ties the hands of politicians.

Theory and evidence suggest that countries may have any two of free capital mobility, an independent tax policy and no tax competition (Figure 2). But they cannot have all three.

And here is the aforementioned Figure 2 from the report.

wrote about a version of the tax trilemma two years ago and noted that there’s only a problem if a country has high taxes.

So I made the following correction.

Returning to the article, Zuluaga points out that low-tax jurisdictions have a much better track record in the fight against bad behavior than high-tax nations.

OFCs are neither the original source nor the ultimate destination of illegal financial flows. So long as there remain corrupt politicians, drug users and people willing to engage in terrorist acts, history suggests that some illegal financial activity will take place to make it possible. Furthermore, as we saw above, OFCs are as a rule far more compliant and transparent in their prevention of unlawful activities than onshore jurisdictions, including the United States and the United Kingdom.

Zuluaga concludes with a warning about how the attack on tax havens is really an attack on globalization. And the global economy will suffer if the statists prevail.

…an ominous alliance of revenue-greedy politicians, ideological campaigners and rent-seekers has emerged in recent years. Gradually, but relentlessly, they aim to dismantle the liberal financial order of which free capital movement is a fundamental component. …the alliance’s real goal: to eliminate tax competition and constrain the movement of capital in order to bring it under their control. The consequences of this effort would be long-standing and go far beyond a few tiny offshore financial centres.

Excellent points. I strongly recommend reading the entire publication.

Though I’m not sure Zuluaga and I agree on everything. His article notes, seemingly with approval, that offshore jurisdictions largely have agreed to help enforce the bad tax laws of onshore nations. Yet that’s a recipe for the application of more double taxation on income that is saved and invested, which he acknowledges is a bad thing.

In other words, I think financial privacy is a good thing since predatory governments are less likely to misbehave if they know taxpayers have safe (and confidential) places to put their money. Now that privacy has been weakened, however, anti-tax competition folks at the OECD are openly chortling that there can be higher taxes on capital.

The bottom line is that tax competition without privacy is not very effective. I wonder if Zuluaga understands and agrees.

Another IEA author, Richard Teather, got that key point.

In a 2005 monograph, he explained the vital role of financial privacy.

Although the country of residence may theoretically impose taxes on foreign income, it can only do so practically if its tax authorities have knowledge of that income. It is therefore common for tax havens to have strong privacy laws that protect investors’ personal information from enquirers (including foreign tax authorities). The best-known of these was Switzerland, which introduced banking secrecy to protect Jewish customers from Nazi confiscation, and there remains a genuine strong feeling in many of these countries that privacy is about more than just tax avoidance.

But I’m digressing. Since we’ve looked at one U.K.-based defense of low-tax jurisdictions, let’s also look at some excerpts from a column by Matthew Lynn in the London-based Spectator.

He makes a very interesting point about how so-called tax havens are basically the financial equivalent of free zones for goods.

…in a globalised economy, offshore finance plays an important role, enabling money to move across borders relatively easily. Rather oddly, a lot of the media seem to have decided that while it is fine for people and goods to move around the world, having a bank account or an investment in a different country makes you virtually a criminal. …The world already has an extensive network of free ports, tax-free zones where goods in transit can be processed or temporarily stored without having to pay local tariffs. There are an estimated 3,500 of them across 135 countries, facilitating the movement of goods around the world. They have helped trade grow hugely over the past couple of decades. Offshore centres…are now mainly financial ‘free ports’ — places where cash can easily be parked and transferred as it moves around the world.

He also makes a very important observation about how the theft of data leading to the Panama Papers and Paradise Papers revealed very little illegal behavior.

…one of the interesting things about the leaks is not how much wrongdoing they expose, but how little. Take last year’s Panama Papers scandal, for example. …For all the drama, it was pretty small beer. The reason? All the data revealed might have been interesting, and made for some lurid headlines, but very few people turned out to be breaking any laws. In only a handful of cases were taxes being evaded or money-laundered.

Which is a point I’ve made as well.

And here’s his conclusion.

…it turns out that offshore centres are used by just about everyone. Most pension funds use them, including those looking after the savings of the politicians queuing up to condemn them. They are part of the infrastructure of globalisation, as much as the container ships, airports and fibre optic cables. It is ironic that many of the same people who proudly describe themselves as citizens of the world think that applies to everything except money.

Amen. Once again, this is really a fight about globalization. Or, to be more accurate, a fight between good globalism and bad globalism.

To wrap up, here’s the video I narrated for the Center for Freedom and Prosperity on the economic benefits of tax havens.

A new monograph from the London-based Institute of

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney speaks to members of the media at the main clubhouse at Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, U.S., November 19, 2016. (Photo: Reuters)

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney speaks to members of the media at the main clubhouse at Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, U.S., November 19, 2016. (Photo: Reuters)

Mitt Romney told GOP donors at a closed-door summit in Utah on Thursday that President Donald Trump will “solidly” win re-election in 2020, the leftwing website Politico reported. The former Massachusetts governor and 2012 Republican presidential nominee is now running for the U.S. Senate in Utah.

He was forced to face Mike Kennedy in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Utah after losing the runoff vote at the state party’s convention in West Valley City.

Mr. Romney told a group of GOP donors that President Trump will “easily” be the party’s nominee and go on to beat his Democratic rival.

“I think that not just because of the strong economy and the fact that people are going to see increasingly rising wages, but I think it’s also true because I think our Democrat friends are likely to nominate someone who is really out of the mainstream of American thought and will make it easier for a president who’s presiding over a growing economy,” Romney said.

Worth noting, a recent poll found only 26% of likely voters think the eventual Democratic nominee can defeat President Trump in 2020. The survey, which was conducted in early May, also found 41% believe he will be reelected in 2020, up from 34% in late December.

Mitt Romney told GOP donors at a

A worker stacks boxes of television sets after they have been assembled, checked and repackaged, before moving them to the warehouse at Element Electronics in Winnsboro, South Carolina May 29, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

A worker stacks boxes of television sets after they have been assembled, checked and repackaged, before moving them to the warehouse at Element Electronics in Winnsboro, South Carolina May 29, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

The U.S. Census Bureau report on wholesale trade showed sales and inventories both gained in April, though inventory gains lagged sales.

Sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $493.3 billion, up 0.8% from the revised March level. They were up 7.8% (±3.3%) from the April 2017 level.

The February 2018 to March 2018 percent change was unrevised from the Monthly Wholesale Annual Revision Report and is up 0.4%.

Total inventories of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations but not for price changes, were $630.2 billion at the end of April, up 0.1% from the revised March level. Total inventories were up 5.8% from the revised April 2017 level.

The March 2018 to April 2018 percent change was revised from the advance estimate of virtually unchanged to up 0.1%.

Inventories/Sales Ratio

The April inventories/sales ratio for merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, based on seasonally adjusted data, was 1.28. The April 2017 ratio was 1.30.

The U.S. Census Bureau report on wholesale

Muhammad Ali battles Joe Frasier during the legendary Thrilla in Manila in 1975.

Muhammad Ali battles Joe Frasier during the legendary Thrilla in Manila in 1975.

President Donald Trump revealed he was considering granting a pardon for Muhammad Ali, the former and arguably greatest heavyweight boxing champion of the world. Ali, who was convicted for refusing to join the U.S. military during the Vietnam War, later had it vacated by the U.S. Supreme Court.

“I’m thinking about someone that you all know very well, and he wasn’t very popular then,” he said Friday morning. “His memory is very popular now. I’m thinking about Muhammad Ali.”

Ali is just one of 3,000 people President Trump revealed he is considering pardoning. But he wouldn’t be the first boxing legend.

President Trump posthumously pardoned boxing legend Jack Johnson, the first black world heavyweight champion (1908–1915) at the height of the Jim Crow era. Actor Sylvester Stallone, who played the legendary role of Rocky Balboa, played a pivotal role in bringing the injustice to the president’s attention.

“I thought Jack Johnson, who was recommended by Sylvester Stallone, was a great one,” he said.

President Trump also commuted the sentence of Alice Johnson, a 63-year-old great-grandmother who served nearly 22 years in federal prison for a first-time offense.

President Donald Trump revealed he was considering

U.S. President Donald Trump participates in the swearing-in ceremony for the Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Alex Azar at the White House in Washington, U.S., January 29, 2018. (Photo: Reuters)

U.S. President Donald Trump participates in the swearing-in ceremony for the Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Alex Azar at the White House in Washington, U.S., January 29, 2018. (Photo: Reuters)

Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Alex Azar said “no one individual has done more to raise awareness of our country’s opioid crisis than President Trump.” His remarks come after the Trump Administration released a set of advertisements promoting awareness to opioid addiction among young people.

“No one individual has done more to raise awareness of our country’s opioid crisis than President Trump,” Secretary Azar said. “Raising awareness is a key piece of defeating the threat of opioid addiction, which too many Americans still do not fully understand.”

President Trump campaigned on combating the opioid crisis and, as commander-in-chief, has made the scourge of opioid abuse a central focus of his administration.

In April 2017, the Trump Administration announced it would provide grants to all 50 states to combat opioid addiction. The funding was the first of two rounds to be allocated under the 21st Century Cures Act.

In August 2017, President Trump officially declared the opioid crisis a national emergency. The Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis said that executive action would make the opioid crisis a top priority and allow the Cabinet to take “bold steps” against drug abuse.

In March 2018, the White House unveiled the Initiative to Stop Opioids Abuse and Reduce Drug Supply and Demand. The three-pronged strategy targets the factors the Commission and others identified as fueling the opioid crisis, including increased prosecution of those fueling the crisis.

The Justice Department (DOJ) recently announced on the 500th day of the Trump Administration that they have added 311 new Assistant U.S. Attorneys “to assist in priority areas” such as the opioid criss, immigration and violent crimes. It is the largest increase in AUSAs in decades.

The National Institute of Drug Abuse found nearly 80% of heroin users started with prescription opioids. From 1999 to 2016, overdose deaths as a result of heroin use increased 7x, and deaths from synthetic opioids such as fentanyl has risen by nearly 21x.

HHS and DOJ released a joint report in April 2018 showing the Fiscal Year (FY) 2017 Takedown event was the single largest healthcare fraud bust in history.

The (FY) 2017 Health Care Fraud and Abuse Control Program report shows for every dollar the federal government spent on healthcare-related fraud and abuse in the last three years, they recovered $4. In FY 2017, the Trump Administration’s efforts recovered $2.6 billion in taxpayer dollars from individuals and entities.

Along with enforcement, awareness is a major part of President Trump’s initiative, which calls on government to play a greater role in educating “Americans about the dangers of opioid and other drug use and seek to curb over-prescription.” It’s the part of the first of the three-pronged approach.

The Trump Administration launched the ads on an awareness website, Opioids, the Truth. Video advertisements detail the stories of individuals suffering from addiction, and facts surrounding the national crisis, can be found on the website.

Every day, more than 115 Americans die from opioid overdoses.  That’s more than one person every 15 minutes.

“These ads are a targeted effort to promote awareness, especially among our youth, about the deadliness of opioid misuse and the risks of opioid addiction,” Secretary Azar added. “HHS is proud to support these efforts, which reflect a recommendation from the President’s Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis, and to continue our department’s work to educate the public about opioid addiction.”

HHS Secretary Alex Azar said "no one

Graphic for the Generic Ballot, otherwise known as the Generic Congressional Ballot or Generic House Vote. (Photo: Christos Georghiou/Adobe Stock/PPD)

Graphic for the Generic Ballot, otherwise known as the Generic Congressional Ballot or Generic House Vote. (Photo: Adobe Stock/PPD)

Republicans are now more enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming midterm elections in November than Democrats and unaffiliated voters.

A new Rasmussen Reports survey, which tracks the Generic Congressional Ballot monthly (and weekly as the election draws closer), finds 70% of Republican voters say they are more likely to vote this year than they have been in past election years. That compares to 64% of Democrats and 51% of voters not affiliated with either major political party.

While the pre-Labor Day generic ballot does appear to have swung back to Democrats this week, the results in California on Tuesday back up the Rasmussen survey. The path back to control of the U.S. House of Representatives for Democrats goes through California.

But Republican voters stepped right in front of them on that path, representing 50% of the vote or more in all but one district identified as pivot districts in 2016. The retirement of Representative Darrell Issa, R-Calif., in Congressional District 49, gave Democrats a prime pickup opportunity.

Republicans fell just shy of the 50% threshold in that district on Tuesday, alone.

Among all likely voters, 62% say they are more likely to vote this year juxtaposed to July 2014, when 57% said they were more likely to vote that November compared to past elections. Enthusiasm was unsurprisingly higher 2 years ago during the presidential campaign, with 67% who said they were more likely to vote.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on June 5-6, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. See methodology.

Republicans are now more enthusiastic about voting

People's Pundit Daily
You have %%pigeonMeterAvailable%% free %%pigeonCopyPage%% remaining this month. Get unlimited access and support reader-funded, independent data journalism.

Start a 14-day free trial now. Pay later!

Start Trial