Widget Image
Follow PPD Social Media
Saturday, February 1, 2025
HomeStandard Blog Whole Post (Page 234)

White House chief economic adviser Gary Cohn speaks during a press briefing at the White House in Washington, U.S., September 28, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

White House chief economic adviser Gary Cohn speaks during a press briefing at the White House in Washington, U.S., September 28, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

The biggest challenge, when I talk to politicians about the free-market agenda, is convincing them that they should restrain the growth of government. To be more specific, I think they often understand and accept the argument that ever-rising fiscal burdens are bad for a nation’s economic and moral health, but they are afraid that voters and interest groups will kick them out of office if they reduce the size and scope of the public sector.

I have a different challenge when talking to ordinary people about the free-market agenda. They’re quite comfortable (at least in theory) with the notion that it’s good to cap the growth of government spending, but there is a lot of skepticism about trade. And their doubts sometimes persist even after I share my eight questions and five charts showing the folly of protectionism.

In part, I think these skeptics share Trump’s mistaken belief that a trade deficit is a sign of weakness. But I’ve also found in my many conversations that some people simply are not comfortable with globalization.

But what does that concept even mean?

In his latest column for the New York Times, Bret Stephens points out that there’s no clear definition of what it means to be pro-globalist.

I grew up in Mexico City… Since then, I have lived in Chicago, London, Brussels, Jerusalem, New York and Hamburg. I suppose this makes me a “globalist” in certain eyes… To be a globalist means almost nothing — even “Davos Man” has to trundle home somewhere after the annual forum draws to a close. Rex Tillerson is as much a globalist as Samantha Power. Ditto for John Bolton and John Kerry, Charles Koch and George Soros, Mike Pompeo and Julian Assange. A term that embraces opposites has almost no explanatory power.

So he suggests a definition of what it means.

Maybe it’s time now to make “globalist” mean something after all. An earlier generation of globalists — they called themselves internationalists — had learned the lessons of the 1930s and understood that the U.S. could not cut itself off from the world and expect to remain safe from it. Successive generations of Americans — military and foreign-service officers, businessmen and teachers, humanitarians and entertainers — went out into the world and sought to make it a better place.

All of that sounds very appealing.

Especially when compared to what it means to be on the other side.

To be an anti-globalist…does specify something. …In short, anti-globalism is economic illiteracy married to a conspiracy mind-set.

Since I’ve written about the foolishness of protectionism and also explained why it’s silly to believe in conspiracy theories, I obviously agree.

But we have a problem. Globalism (or globalization, or internationalism, or the policies of “Davos Man,”, or whatever you want to call it) increasingly is perceived to be about more than free trade and comity between nations. In the minds of market-oriented people, it is getting linked with other policies that cause considerable angst.

  • Does globalism mean supporting the OECD’s efforts to undermine tax competition so that it’s easier for politicians to impose bad tax policy and more redistribution?
  • Does globalism mean agreeing with the IMF’s support for bailouts and higher taxes, policies which arguably are only for the benefit of politically connected big banks?
  • Does globalism mean adding regulatory harmonization to trade agreements, supplanting the much more market-friendly approach of mutual recognition?
  • Does globalism mean signing onto agreements that give powers to unaccountable and corrupt international bureaucracies such as the United Nations?
  • Does globalism mean siding with the European Commission in imposing one-size-fits-all rules for member nations notwithstanding the subsidiarity principle?

This is why I find this issue so frustrating.

Like Bret Stephens, I consider myself a globalist. To me, it’s a way of saying I want peaceful trade and investment flows between people in different nations. Heck, it’s also a way of saying I like and appreciate other peoples and other cultures.

But many of the other people who self-identify as globalists support policies that increase the power of governments over the private economy.

Here’s my simplified way to looking at this issues. All globalists are in favor of free trade and cross-border investment flows, but there’s then a division based on whether they want governments to compete or collude. And that’s basically a proxy for whether they favor small government or big government.

In this 2×2 matrix, the globalists are on the left side, but they’re divided between “Good Globalism” and “Bad Globalism.” Sort of the difference between Switzerland and Sweden.

 

I initially identified the bottom-right as “Anti Globalism,” but decided that “Statism” was the better label. After all, there should be a place for those who want global agreements to expand the power of government while also closing borders to trade and investment. Maybe India would be a good example of this bad approach.

But I couldn’t figure out a good label for the top-right. So I put “Irrationality” for the obvious reason that competition and protectionism are mutually exclusive concepts. And I have no idea what country belongs in this box.

People are quite comfortable (at least in

I’ve narrated a video on why big government is theoretically bad for an economy, another video looking at the empirical evidence on government spending and economic performance, and also a video on the growth-maximizing size of the public sector.

But if you want to see a lot of what I said condensed into one video, here’s Dennis Prager talking about differences in how the left and right view government. The opening part of the video is interesting, though I suspect his descriptions only apply to philosophically motivated activists on each side.

The part I want to focus on begins about 1:15, when he outlines seven adverse consequences of ever-growing government.

I think he put together a very good list. Here’s my two cents on his seven points.

  1. More Corruption – He points out that a government with lots of power and control will be very susceptible to misbehavior as interest groups and politicians figure out ways of scamming the system. Very similar to the message in one of my videos.
  2. Less Liberty – It is basically a tautology that ever-larger government necessitates a reduction in liberty. Not in a totalitarian sense, but taxes and regulations constrain the freedom of individual to earn and control income.
  3. Fiscal Crisis – He warns that big government is a recipe for fiscal crisis. I’m not sure if this has to be inevitable, but from a practical perspective, he is rightDemographic change and entitlements are a poisonous combination.
  4. Punitive Taxation – If government consistently expands faster than the productive sector of the economy, that almost certainly means ever-higher taxes, which ultimately will be self defeating because of the Laffer Curve.
  5. Unsustainable Debt – An expanding burden of government spending also will mean ever-higher levels of red ink, especially once the tax burden is so high that additional levies don’t produce much – if any – revenue.
  6. Totalitarianism – This is probably Prager’s weakest point. He’s right that bad people do very bad things when they control a government, but I suspect western nations will suffer societal breakdown rather that dictatorship.
  7. Dependency – He closes very strong with observations about the danger of luring people into reliance on government. This concern about the erosion of societal capital is much more important than most people think.

For all intents and purposes, Prager’s video is a very good description of “goldfish government.”

This is the term I use to describe the unfortunate tendency of politicians to over-tax and over-spend until a society faces a crisis.

For what it’s worth, I don’t think western nations necessarily will collapse (though some almost certainly will depending on the degree to which societal capital has been destroyed).

But I will acknowledge that politicians generally don’t like taking the necessary steps to avert fiscal crisis.

Which is one of the reasons I’m such a big fan of tax competition. I don’t want politicians to think that endless tax increases are a way of postponing the fiscal day of reckoning.

In a new video, Dennis Prager outlines

New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Murphy rests his hand on a box of petitions as he answers a question before delivering the petitions to meet Monday's deadline for candidates to file petitions to run, Monday, April 3, 2017, in Trenton, N.J. (Photo: AP)

New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Murphy rests his hand on a box of petitions as he answers a question before delivering the petitions to meet Monday’s deadline for candidates to file petitions to run, Monday, April 3, 2017, in Trenton, N.J. (Photo: AP)

A couple of decades can make a huge difference in the political and economic life of a jurisdiction.

And here’s something especially amazing from a bit more than five decades in the past. New Jersey used to have no state income tax and no state sales tax.

Yes, your eyes are not deceiving you. The basket case of New Jersey used to be a mid-Atlantic version of New Hampshire. But once the sales tax was imposed in 1966 and the income tax was imposed in 1976, it’s been all downhill ever since.

An article in the City Journal helps to explain the state’s fiscal decay.

Brendan Byrne, a Democratic former governor of the Garden State, …told mayors that the state would need a “large revenue package”… The heart of the package would be a new statewide income tax, which went into permanent effect in 1977. Byrne promised that the additional money would help relieve the high property-tax burden on New Jersey’s citizens… Four decades later, the plan has failed. …politicians and special interests don’t see new streams of tax revenue as a means to replace or eliminate an existing stream, but rather as a way of adding to the public coffers. (For those who entertain fantasies of a value-added tax replacing the federal income tax, take heed.) New Jersey’s income tax started with a top rate of about 2.5 percent; it’s now around 9 percent.

Needless to say, nothing politicians promised has happened.

Property taxes haven’t been reduced. They’ve gone up. The government schools haven’t improved. Instead, the test scores in the state are embarrassing. And debt hasn’t gone down. Red ink instead has skyrocketed.

And what’s amazing – and depressing – is that New Jersey politicians continue to make a bad situation worse. Here are some excerpts from a Bloomberg report.

New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy proposed taxing online-room booking, ride-sharing, marijuana, e-cigarettes and Internet transactions along with raising taxes on millionaires and retail sales to fund a record $37.4 billion budget that would boost spending on schools, pensions and mass transit. …Murphy, a Democrat…has promised additional spending on underfunded schools and transportation in a credit-battered state with an estimated $8.7 billion structural deficit for the fiscal year that starts July 1. …Murphy said Tuesday in his budget address to lawmakers. “A millionaire’s tax is the right thing to do –- and now is the time to do it.” …The budget…would…restore the state’s sales tax to 7 percent from 6.625 percent… Murphy’s proposal would almost triple the direct state subsidy for New Jersey Transit, which has been plagued by safety and financial issues.

More taxes, more spending, followed by even more taxes and more spending.

I wonder if Greek taxpayers would want to tell their counterparts in New Jersey how that story ends.

Assuming, of course, there are any taxpayers left in the Garden State. There’s already been a big exodus of productive people who are tired of being treated like fatted calves.

And don’t forget that New Jersey taxpayers no longer have unlimited ability to deduct their state and local taxes on their federal tax return. So these tax hikes will hurt much more than past increases.

In any event, taxpayers better escape before the die.

Though I know one guy who won’t be leaving.

New Jersey used to be a mid-Atlantic

FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe pauses while testifying before a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) in Washington, U.S., June 7, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe pauses while testifying before a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) in Washington, U.S., June 7, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

President Donald Trump reacted to Attorney General Jeff Sessions firing former FBI deputy director Andrew McCabe, calling it a “great day” for the FBI and a “great day for Democracy.”

“Andrew McCabe FIRED, a great day for the hard working men and women of the FBI – A great day for Democracy,” President Trump tweeted. “Sanctimonious James Comey was his boss and made McCabe look like a choirboy. He knew all about the lies and corruption going on at the highest levels of the FBI!”

As People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) reported, the “outrage” among the rank-and-file was threatening to “boil over” if Attorney General Sessions didn’t fire Mr. McCabe on Friday.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation disciplinary process conducted by the Office of Professional Responsibility recommended he be terminated after the Department of Justice (DOJ) Inspector General Michael Horowitz discovered he lied during an internal review.

Attorney General Session made the decision that could impact the 21-year veteran’s pension just days before his retirement went into effect. FBI pensions are determined by a formula that is based on years of service and prior salaries.

Mr. McCabe was removed from his post over misconduct and apparent corruption, but had been trying to ride out the scandals currently at the center of at the FBI and DOJ. Internal investigations include but are not limited to the Clinton email case and abuses of secret government spying programs authorized by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA).

Section 702 of FISA allows intelligence agencies to collect information on foreign targets abroad. However, as People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) previously reported, it has been “routinely” abused and misused to spy on domestic targets, including President Trump, his associates and other U.S. citizens.

A bombshell memo authored largely by Rep. Devin Nunes, the Chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI), revealed officials at FBI and DOJ used false information to obtain a FISA warrant to spy on Team Trump via peripheral advisors Carter Page.

The FISA court was not explicitly made aware that the dossiers were political opposition research funded by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and the campaign for Hillary Clinton. Christopher Steele, a former MI6 British Intelligence Officer and author of the dossier, was notably the head of the Russia desk at MI6.

Ironically, he almost exclusively used Kremlin sources connected to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The nonprofit Campaign Legal Center (CLC) has filed a complaint with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) alleging both the Clinton campaign and the DNC violated campaign finance law by failing to accurately disclose payments for the dossier. The DNC and Clinton campaign hired the shadowy smear firm Fusion GPS, who in turn hired Mr. Steele.

The HPSCI concluded that there is “no evidence of collusion” between Russia and the Trump campaign. The ending of the probe comes a few weeks after Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein announced no “American was a knowing participant” in any election-meddling plot by the Russians.

But the Republican-led probe uncovered corruption that no doubt would’ve gone unknown to the American public had President Trump not won the election in 2016.

In 2015, when Hillary Clinton was the subject and target of serious criminal investigations, Mr. McCabe’s wife ran as a Democrat for a Virginia Senate seat. She received at least several hundreds of thousands of dollars — an unheard of amount for a state senate race — from a group tied to Governor Terry McAuliffe, a longtime Clinton ally.

Mr. Horowitz’s highly-anticipated findings will be the result of numerous investigations into misconduct on behalf of top-level officials in the Obama Administration, including Mr. McCabe and his former boss Mr. Comey.

The inspector general “succeeded in using forensic tools to recover text messages” between anti-Trump FBI officials Peter Strzok and his lover Lisa Page. The FBI agent and lawyer were involved in an apparent effort to undermine President Trump before and after the 2016 presidential election.

The two lovers discussed needing to talk to “Andy” about an “insurance policy” in the event President Trump defeated Mrs. Clinton, a widely-believed reference to Mr. McCabe. Subsequent texts and other reports indicate that the insurance was the so-called “Russia collusion” investigation.

People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) most recently reported that U.S. District Court Judge Rudolph Contreras, who presided over the case against former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, had a personal relationship with Mr. Strzok.

Meanwhile, John Dowd, who serves as President Trump’s personal lawyer, provided The Daily Beast an emailed statement applauding the firing of Mr. McCabe. He said Mr. Rosenstein should follow the example of his boss, Mr. Sessions.

“I pray that Acting Attorney General Rosenstein will follow the brilliant and courageous example of the FBI Office of Professional Responsibility and Attorney General Jeff Sessions and bring an end to alleged Russia Collusion investigation manufactured by McCabe’s boss James Comey based upon a fraudulent and corrupt Dossier,” Dowd then wrote.

Mr. Dowd also emailed The Daily Beast the text below, which is an annotated version of a line from a well-known 20th century play.

“What’s that smell in this room[Bureau}? Didn’t you notice it, Brick [Jim]? Didn’t you notice a powerful and obnoxious odor of mendacity in this room[Bureau}?… There ain’t nothin’ more powerful than the odor of mendacity[corruption]… You can smell it. It smells like death.” Tennessee Williams — ‘Cat on a Hot Tin Roof’

President Trump reacted to the firing of

Peter Strzok, left, a top counterintelligence agent at the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), District Judge Rudolph Contreras, center, and Strzok's lover Lisa Page, right, a lawyer at the FBI.

Peter Strzok, left, a top counterintelligence agent at the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), District Judge Rudolph Contreras, center, and Strzok’s lover Lisa Page, right, a lawyer at the FBI.

U.S. District Court Judge Rudolph Contreras, who presided over the case against former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, had a personal relationship with Peter Strzok, the corrupt counterintelligence agent at the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).

The unethical conflict of interest, which is clear from a new batch of text messages obtained by Fox news between Mr. Strzok and his lover Lisa Page, has only now been discovered after Judge Contreras recused himself.

“Rudy is on the FISC! Did you know that?” Ms. Page texted Mr. Strzok on July 25, 2016. “Just appointed two months ago.”

“I did,” Mr. Strzok replied. “We talked about it before and after. I need to get together with him.”

Source: FOX News

Judge Contreras, referred to in the text messages by his first name, was appointed to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) in 2016. Mr. Strzok mentions “a graduation party” he and Judge Contreras had recently attended together and even stressed the need for “being circumspect in talking to him in terms of not placing him into a situation where he’d have to recuse himself.”

Page replied that she couldn’t “imagine either one of you could talk about anything in detail meaningful enough to warrant recusal.”

“Standards for recusal are quite high,” she adds. “I just don’t think this poses an actual conflict. And he doesn’t know what you do?”

Source: FOX News

“Generally he does know what I do. Not the level or scope or area,” Mr. Strzok messaged. “But he’s super thoughtful and rigorous about ethics and conflicts.”

He was replaced by District Judge Emmet G. Sullivan, a no-nonsense man who was appointed by Barack Obama. Judge Sullivan ended the stonewalling by the State Department over a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) lawsuit filed by Judicial Watch. The material provided was damning to Hillary Clinton and the FBI investigation into her illegal use of a private server to conduct official State business.

FBI agents, to include Mr. Strzok, interviewed Michael Flynn over his conversation with a Russian ambassador. As fired former FBI director James Comey told Congress, the team concluded that General Flynn did not intentionally mislead agents and did not believe charges were warranted.

However, Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who hired both Mr. Strzok and Ms. Page before he fired last summer in an attempt to avoid criticism, decided to override those recommendations and charge General Flynn.

General Flynn was forced to sell his house to pay his legal fees only to end up having to plead guilty.

Judge Sullivan filed an order directing Mr. Mueller to provide General Flynn with any evidence in the special counsel’s possession that is favorable to him, whether on the issue of guilt or of sentencing. The order stresses that Mr. Mueller is permitted to determine whether evidence is “material” or if General Flynn is entitled to disclosure of it.

Mr. Mueller must show the evidence to the court. Judge Sullivan made it clear that he will decide whether to mandate its disclosure.

Former U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia Joe diGenova told Fox News on Friday Judge Contreras “never should have taken the case.”

“That explains why he recused himself,” he said. “He knew he was a friend of Strzok’s when the case came to him. He should allow Flynn to withdraw the guilty plea.”

Judge Rudolph Contreras, who presided over the

Danny Tarkanian participates in a Republican debate for Nevada's 3rd Congressional District in Henderson, Nev., on April 26, 2016. (Photo: AP)

Danny Tarkanian participates in a Republican debate for Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District in Henderson, Nev., on April 26, 2016. (Photo: AP)

Nevada businessman Danny Tarkanian has ended his primary challenge against unpopular incumbent Republican Senator Dean Heller. The commercial real estate developer from Las Vegas announced he will instead run for the 3rd Congressional District.

“.@POTUS is adamant that a unified GOP ticket in Nevada is the best direction for the America First movement,” he tweeted. “Thank you Mr. President for your full support & endorsement, I’m filing to run again in CD3 with the firm belief that we will finish what we started in 2016 & win in 2018.”

Unlike the Senator Heller, Mr. Tarkanian has been a solid and staunch supporter of President Trump and the base would’ve rewarded him for it. Polls showed the incumbent trailing the Trump-aligned challenger in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate. Loyal perhaps to a fault, Mr. Tarkanian’s decision came at the request of President Trump.

“It would be great for the Republican Party of Nevada, and it’s unity if good guy Danny Tarkanian would run for Congress and Dean Heller, who is doing a really good job, could run for Senate unopposed!” he tweeted.

Nevada businessman Danny Tarkanian has ended his

Chairwoman Louise Slaughter (D-NY) sits during the House Committee on Rules meeting on Capitol Hill in Washington March 20, 2010.

Chairwoman Louise Slaughter (D-NY) sits during the House Committee on Rules meeting on Capitol Hill in Washington March 20, 2010.

Representative Louise Slaughter, D-N.Y., the oldest sitting member of the U.S. Congress, has died at 88 after being hospitalized for a fall at her home last week. With more than 31 years in the U.S. House of Representatives, she was currently serving her 16th term and was one of the longest-serving House Democrats ever.

She represented the 30th District from 1987 to 1993, the 28th District from 1993 to 2013, and the 25th district from 2013 to 2018. Her base of support came from Rochester and included most of surrounding Monroe County.

Representative Slaughter was the Chairwoman of the House Rules Committee from 2007 until 2011, and served as ranking minority member of the Committee from 2005 to 2007, and from 2011 until her death.

She voted against the impeachment of former President William “Bill” Jefferson Clinton, though is billed as a champion of women’s rights by most Corporate Big Media outlets.

Electoral Career

In 1982, local Democrats convinced Louise Slaughter to run for the New York State Assembly against a Republican incumbent, Thomas A. Hanna. She won by a very slim, narrow margin. But in 1984, she was re-elected by 10 points. She sat in the 185th and 186th New York State Legislatures before deciding to run for the Democratic nomination in New York’s 30th Congressional District.

At that time, the district included downtown and eastern Rochester, Genesee County, the majority of eastern Monroe County, northern Livingston County and Ontario County.

State Assembly
Year Democratic Party Result Republican Party Result Other Result
1984 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 30,556 (54.79%) Donald S. Milton 24,703 (44.29%) Other 506 (.90%)
1982 Louise M. Slaughter 23,236 (52.18%) Thomas A. Hanna (i) 21,289 (47.81%)

Moderate Republican Barber Conable represented the district for 20 years before the more conservative Fred J. Eckert took it in 1985. Slaughter defeated Eckert by a single point during the 1986 midterm election and became the first Democrat to represent the 30th District since 1910.

She was also the first woman to represent Western New York, as well as the first Democratic representative ever elected to a full term from the 30th since its creation in 1893. It had been renumbered numerous times in the previous century.

The 1990 census sparked redistricting and the 30th Congressional District became the 28th, taking it from Republicans and turning it into a solidly Democratic district that included all of Rochester. The changed put her up against her friend and 30-year incumbent Republican Frank Horton. But Mr. Horton decided to retire rather than run in the new and solidy blue district.

The 2000 census merged much of her newly safe district with the 29th, which was represented by fellow Democratic Representative John LaFalce. It included Niagara Falls and the northern third of Buffalo.

Originally, the plan was to merge her district with the one represented by Republican Jack Quinn, in an effort to gerrymander a more favorable map. But the effort was defeated and, while the new district was named after Rep. Slaughter’s number, it geographically encompassed much of Rep. LaFalce’s district. Fortunately for her, Democratic Party bosses convinced Mr. LaFalce not to seek a 15th term, handing the seat to Rep. Slaughter.

The 2010 census once again renumbered her, this time as the 25th Congressional District. It was significantly less Democratic and included most of Monroe County. However, it lost the geographic territory near Buffalo, which voted heavily for her in the past.

In his 2008 landslide victory, President Barack Obama carried the old 28th Congressional District with 68% of the vote and would have carried the new 25th Congressional District with 59% of the vote. But Rep. Slaughter faced a solid and well-funded challenge from Republican Monroe County Executive Maggie Brooks.

She won a 14th term with 57.4% of the vote, on November 6, 2012. In the 2014 midterm election, Rep. Slaughter narrowly defeated Gates town supervisor Mark Assini by just 869 votes. The Republican eventually conceded defeat on November 12, 2014, more than a week after the election.

It was the first close race that Rep. Slaughter had faced since her first bid for the seat due to gerrymandering. In 2016, she again defeated Assini in a rematch by a 55.7%-44.3% margin.

Congressional Races
Year Democratic Party Result Republican Party Result Other Result
2016 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 169,179 (55.7%) Mark Assini 134,285 (44.3%)
2014 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 96,803 (50.2%) Mark Assini 95,932 (49.8%)
2012 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 179,810 (57.4%) Maggie Brooks 133,389 (42.5%)
2010 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 102,514 (64.9%) Jill Rowland 55,392 (35.1%)
2008 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 172,655 (78.00%) David W. Crimmen 48,690 (22.00%)
2006 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 111,386 (73.17%) John E. Donnelly 40,844 (26.83%)
2004 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 159,655 (72.61%) Michael D. Laba 54,543 (24.81%) Other 5,678 (2.58%)
2002 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 99,057 (62.45%) Henry F. Wojtaszek 59,547 (37.54%)
2000 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 151,688 (65.70%) Mark C. Johns 83,445 (36.14%) Other 3,820 (1.65%)
1998 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 118,856 (64.78%) Richard A. Kaplan 56,443 (30.76%) Other 8,159 (4.47%)
1996 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 133,084 (57.25%) Geoff H. Rosenberger 99,366 (42.74%)
1994 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 110,987 (56.63%) Renee Forgensi Davison 78,516 (40.06%) Other 6,464 (3.29%)
1992 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 140,908 (53.97%) William P. Polito 112,273 (43.003%) Other 7,897 (3.02%)
1990 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 97,280 (59.02%) John M. Regan, Jr. 67,534 (40.97%)
1988 Louise M. Slaughter (i) 128,364 (56.87%) John D. Bouchard 89,126 (39.48%) Other 8,222 (3.64%)
1986 Louise M. Slaughter 86,777 (50.99%) Fred J. Eckert (i) 83,402 (49.00%)

Representative Louise Slaughter, D-N.Y., the oldest sitting

President Donald J. Trump speaks during a celebratory bill passage event following the final passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act by Congress. (Photo: AP)

President Donald J. Trump speaks during a celebratory bill passage event following the final passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act by Congress. (Photo: AP)

Job market confidence among adult Americans hit the highest level ever in March since regular tracking began by Rasmussen Reports in 2010. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 46% of American think the job market is better than it was a year ago, up from 39% in November and a new all-time high.

Just 15% think the job market today is worse than it was a year ago, while 35% think it’s about the same.

The gains in job market confidence measured by Rasmussen was across the board including 47% of whites, 32% of blacks and 51% of other races and ethnicities. While there remains a disparity among party affiliation, 74% Republicans, 25% of Democrats and 44% of unaffiliated Americans agree “the job market better than it was a year ago.”

American workers are more confident than ever that they will get a salary boost in the near future, and most continue to believe the best opportunity for career advancement is to stay put. Those results are mirrored by other survey statistics and government data.

The latest jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the U.S. economy added 313,000 jobs in February, the most in several years and far more than economists had anticipated. The ADP National Employment Report showed job creation in the U.S. private sector was “red hot,” adding 235,000 jobs in February and mostly in higher-paying sectors.

The Conference Board said the Consumer Confidence Index soared in February to 130.8 (1985=100), up from 124.3 in January to a near 18-year high.

The Survey of Consumers, a closely-watched gauge of consumer sentiment, rose in early March to its highest level since 2004 fueled by an all-time record assessment of current economic conditions. The Index of Consumer Sentiment rose to 102.0 from a preliminary 98.8, easily beating the median forecast and the 99.7 reading for February.

Now, 62% of Americans now believe it is possible for anyone who really wants to work to find a job, just a point less than the all-time high measured last August. Just 26% disagree and say it’s not possible for anyone who wants to work to find a job and 12% are not sure.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on March 11-12, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. See methodology.

Job market confidence among adult Americans hit

Consumer Spending and Consumer Sentiment. (Photo: AP)

Consumer Spending and Consumer Sentiment. (Photo: AP)

The Survey of Consumers, a closely-watched gauge of consumer sentiment, rose in early March to its highest level since 2004 fueled by an all-time record assessment of current economic conditions. The Index of Consumer Sentiment rose to 102.0 from a preliminary 98.8, easily beating the median forecast and the 99.7 reading for February.

“All of the gain in the Sentiment Index was among households with incomes in the bottom third (+15.7), while the economic assessments of those with incomes in the top third posted a significant monthly decline (-7.3),” said Richard Curtin, chief economist for the Surveys of Consumers. “The decline among upper income consumers was focused on the outlook for the economy and their personal finances.”

The Current Economic Conditions rose from 114.9 last month to hit a new all-time high at 122.8. The Survey of Consumers shows working Americans are beginning to feel the trickle down impact of the economic turnaround.

The Index of Consumer Expectations declined from 90.0 to 88.6, as higher-income Americans fret over the impact of tariffs President Donald Trump imposed recently to protect U.S. producers and workers.

Consumers continued to adjust their expectations in reaction to these new economic policies.

“In early March, favorable mentions of the tax reform legislation were offset by unfavorable references to the tariffs on steel and aluminum-each was spontaneously cited by one-in-five consumers,” Mr. Curtain said. “Importantly, near term inflation expectations jumped to their highest level in several years, and interest rates were expected to increase by the largest proportion since 2004.”

However, the gains in expectations for a wage increase among lower- and middle-income Americans were somewhat offset by pessimism among higher-earners.

“These trends have prompted consumers to more favorably cite buying as well as borrowing in advance of those expected increases,” he continued. “While income gains are still anticipated, the March survey found that the size of the expected income increase returned to the lows recorded in the past year.”

Among the top-third income households, income expectations fell more and inflation expectations rose more. These households account for more than half of all consumption expenditures.

Worth noting, despite the strength in the Survey of Consumers under the Trump Administration, it has generally lagged other optimism gauges until now. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index soared in February to 130.8 (1985=100), up from 124.3 in January to a near 18-year high.

The Present Situation Index increased from 154.7 to 162.4, while the Expectations Index improved from 104.0 last month to 109.7.

The Survey of Consumers, a closely-watched gauge

Workers assemble built-in appliances at the Whirlpool manufacturing plant in Cleveland, Tennessee August 21, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

Workers assemble built-in appliances at the Whirlpool manufacturing plant in Cleveland, Tennessee August 21, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

The Federal Reserve said U.S. industrial production rose 1.1% in February, easily surpassing the 0.4% median economic forecast. The biggest gain since October 2017 was fueled largely by a 1.2% boost in manufacturing, also the largest gain since last October and easily beating the 0.4% median forecast.

This follows a decline of 0.3% for industrial production in January.

Mining output jumped 4.3%, largely reflecting strong gains in oil and gas extraction. The index for utilities declined by 4.7%, as warmer-than-normal temperatures in January reduced the demand for heating.

At 108.2 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production in February was 4.4% higher than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector climbed 0.7% in February to 78.1%, its highest reading since January 2015.

However, that is still 1.7% below its long-run (1972–2017) average. The roughly 40-year gauge shows that — even though the manufacturing and mining sectors are making a comeback under the Trump Administration — there is still a long way to go before returning to historical levels of strength in industrial production.

[caption id="attachment_53077" align="aligncenter" width="1200"] Workers assemble built-in

People's Pundit Daily
You have %%pigeonMeterAvailable%% free %%pigeonCopyPage%% remaining this month. Get unlimited access and support reader-funded, independent data journalism.

Start a 14-day free trial now. Pay later!

Start Trial