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A board shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average as it rises above 25,000 on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly after the opening bell in New York, U.S., January 4, 2018. (Photo: Reuters)

A board shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average as it rises above 25,000 on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly after the opening bell in New York, U.S., January 4, 2018. (Photo: Reuters)

All 3 major U.S. stock market indexes closed out the first week of trading in 2018 at record highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossing a 1,000-point milestone at the fastest pace ever in U.S. history.

On Friday, the Dow rallied 220.74 points (0.88%) to close at 25,295.87, a new record high. For the week, it already saw a gain of 2.33%.

The 30-member blue-chip index crossed five 1,000-point marks, notched 71 record closes and soared 25.08% in 2017 on the back of President Donald Trump’s pro-growth agenda and solid corporate earnings.

The 1,000-point rally from 24,000 to 25,000 took only 23 trading days, beating the previous 24-day record set in 1999 that took the index to 11,000 and matched in March 2017 when it hit 21,000.

The Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ: .IXIC) was up 58.64 points (0.83%) on the final day of trading to close out the week at 7,136.56, a gain of 3.38%. The S&P 500 (INDEXCBOE: .INX) rose 19.16 points (0.70%) on Friday to close out the week at 2,743.15, a 2.60% gain.

Wall Street clearly ignored the disappointing jobs report released by the Labor Department via the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday morning. While unemployment remained at a 17-year low at 4.1%, the U.S. economy created just 148,000 jobs, a large discrepancy from the ADP National Employment Report released earlier in the week.

U.S. factory orders rose for the fourth straight month and have been rising for 5 out of the last 6 months, beating forecasts and leading to revisions for fourth quarter (4Q) economic growth. Forecast models are now calling for U.S. economic growth as measured by gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by at least 3% on an annual basis in the 4Q.

In 2016, the U.S. economy grew at just 1.6% on an annual basis, it’s worst performance since 2011. But if the 4Q forecasts are matches or exceeded, it’ll mark the third straight quarter of economic growth at or above 3% since 2004.

Further, if the 4Q for 2017 comes in at the lower end of the regional Federal Reserve forecasts, roughly 3.2%, economic growth during the first year under President Trump will easily exceed the strongest year under Barack Obama.

The PPD GDP Forecast-of-Forecasts, which averages regional and comparable models, currently shows 4Q GDP standing at 3.56%.

All 3 major U.S. stock market indexes

State Treasurer Josh Mandel, right, celebrates his 2010 win with his wife, Ilana, in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo: AP)

State Treasurer Josh Mandel, right, celebrates his 2010 win with his wife, Ilana, in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo: AP)

Republican Josh Mandel has ended his bid for U.S. Senate in Ohio, citing health issues with his wife. The PPD Big Data Poll, also known as the PPD Buckeye State Battleground Poll, gave Mr. Mandel a solid edge against incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown.

In July, Mr. Mandel expanded his lead over Sen. Brown. In May, the state treasurer led 49% to 44%, but that 5-point advantage widened to 8 points, 50% to 42%.

In 2016, President Donald Trump easily defeated Hillary Clinton in Ohio, 52.1% to 43.5%. Republican Sen. Rob Portman crushed Clinton ally Ted Strickland, 58.3% to 36.9%. Sen. Portman is one of the most popular politicians PPD has polled this or last year to date. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of likely voters in Ohio approve of the job he is doing in the U.S. Senate, while just 36% disapprove.

Now, the race for U.S. Senate in Ohio has shifted back to Democrats unless Republicans can field a candidate with as much broad support.

Here’s the release:

Friends & Family,

Over a year ago, I launched a campaign for US Senate to make our state and country a better place for my children and yours. Since then, we’ve built a campaign that has us on a path to defeating Sherrod Brown this November. We’ve led him in every public poll and we’ve been the top fundraising Republican challenger in the country.

That being said, I was raised to believe that family always comes first. I still remember the first two words of advice my father gave me when Ilana and I had our first child: “Be there.” These were the same two words his father told him when I was born.

We recently learned that my wife has a health issue that will require my time, attention and presence. In other words, I need to be there.

Understanding and dealing with this health issue is more important to me than any political campaign. For as long as that takes, whether it is months or years, it is important that I heed my dad’s advice and be there for my wife and our kids.

After recent discussions with our family and healthcare professionals, it has become clear to us that it’s no longer possible for me to be away from home and on the campaign trail for the time needed to run a US Senate race.

Therefore, I’m writing today to let you know that I am ending my campaign for US Senate in order to be there for my wife and our three children. This was a difficult decision for us, but it’s the right one.

While unexpected, I accept that this changeof course is what God has in store for our family at this time. As we read in the Book of Proverbs, “Many are the plans in a person’s heart, but it’s God’s purpose that prevails.”

The issues facing our country are profound and I believe we had a voice and perspective better than the current one in the office. At the same time, I think it’s important to acknowledge the respect I have for Senator Brown for having the passion to advocate for his beliefs and, as Teddy Roosevelt once aptly said, the courage to be “The Man in the Arena.”

I will continue to serve out the remainder of my term as State Treasurer and hope to have the opportunity to serve my state and country again in the future. But in the meantime, I must put my family first. I’m grateful for your understanding.

Josh

Republican Josh Mandel has ended his bid

Robotic arms spot welds on the chassis of a Ford Transit Van under assembly at the Ford Claycomo Assembly Plant in Claycomo, Missouri April 30, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

Robotic arms spot welds on the chassis of a Ford Transit Van under assembly at the Ford Claycomo Assembly Plant in Claycomo, Missouri April 30, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

U.S. factory orders for manufactured goods in November increased $6.5 billion or 1.3% to $488.1 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. The manufacturers’ shipments, inventories and orders report has shown factory orders in the U.S. have now risen for the fourth straight month and have been up in five of the last six months.

This latest report followed a 0.4% gain in October.

Shipments, which have been up eleven of the last twelve months, increased $5.7 billion or 1.2% to $491.2 billion following a 0.8% increase in October.

Unfilled orders, up for three consecutive months, gained $1.2 billion or 0.1% to $1,137.1 billion following a 0.1% increase in October. The unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio was 6.60, down from 6.68 in October.

Inventories, up twelve of the last thirteen months, increased $2.5 billion or 0.4% to $665.1 billion following a 0.3% rise in October. The inventories-to-shipments ratio was 1.35, down from 1.36 in October.

New orders for manufactured durable goods have been up three of the last four months, and in November they increased $3.0 billion or 1.3% to $241.4 billion. This strong data followed a 0.4% in October. Transportation equipment, which has also been up three of the last four months, largely fueled the increase, rising $3.2 billion or 4.1% to $80.8 billion.

New orders for manufactured nondurable goods also increased by 1.4%, in this case by $3.4 billion to $246.7 billion.

U.S. factory orders for manufactured goods in

UNITED STATES - MAY 29: Rep. Ron DeSantis, R-Fla., speaks with a fellow committee member before the start of the House Judiciary Committee hearing on "Oversight of the United States Department of Homeland Security" on Thursday, May 29, 2014. (Photo: AP)

UNITED STATES – MAY 29: Rep. Ron DeSantis, R-Fla., speaks with a fellow committee member before the start of the House Judiciary Committee hearing on “Oversight of the United States Department of Homeland Security” on Thursday, May 29, 2014. (Photo: AP)

Republican Representative Ron DeSantis announced on Friday he will run for governor in Florida, an anticipated move backed by President Donald Trump. Mr. DeSantis represents the 6th Congressional District, which includes Daytona Beach and the suburbs south of Jacksonville.

“As somebody who is a military officer, Iraq veteran, a proven conservative, and then with the support of the president, I’m in a position to exercise the leadership that can build on the great work that Governor Rick Scott has done,” Rep. DeSantis said on “Fox & Friends” Friday. He vowed to build on Gov. Scott’s work to “advance economic opportunity, reform education and drain the swamp in Tallahassee.”

President Trump recently took to Twitter to voice his support for Rep. DeSantis in the Republican primary and, as a result, small and large GOP donors have flocked to his campaign.

“Congressman Ron DeSantis is a brilliant young leader, Yale and then Harvard Law, who would make a GREAT Governor of Florida,” the President tweeted. “He loves our Country and is a true FIGHTER!”

The 39-year old congressman was just touting a recent poll from Remington Research Group, which found him leading Florida Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam, 28% to 25%, followed by House Speaker Richard Corcoran at 3%. However, 44% of respondents were undecided in the poll, which carried a 2.6% margin of error.

He is positioning himself as the conservative alternative to Mr. Putnam.

The poll also found that 69% of the respondents were more likely to support Mr. DeSantis given the support from President Trump, of whom 84% had a favorable view. Thirty-six percent (36%) considered themselves “Trump Republicans.”

There are also 5 declared Democratic candidates hoping to earn the chance to replace Gov. Scott, who cannot seek a third term due to term limits. He has governed effectively under a Republican trifecta. A recent analysis on People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) revealed Gov. Scott has far surpassed his economic promises made before he was first elected in 2010.

While Florida is characterized as a BATTLEGROUND on the PPD Election Projection Model, Gov. Scott’s economic success is likely to give the eventual GOP nominee a slight edge. PPD’s Battleground State Likely Voter Profiles shows the Sunshine State marginally moving toward and favoring the Republican Party.

Republican Representative Ron DeSantis announced on Friday

United States Postal Service (USPS) clerks sort mail at the Lincoln Park carriers annex in Chicago, Illinois on November 29, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

United States Postal Service (USPS) clerks sort mail at the Lincoln Park carriers annex in Chicago, Illinois on November 29, 2012. (Photo: Reuters)

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI) finally offered some welcomed news of cooling in the U.S. service sector during December. Though it still showed solid expansion at 55.9%, the median forecast was calling for a higher reading of 57.6.

In truth, the strength in the index had been viewed by most analysts as overheating. The last two months have pulled back from elevated levels that were seen as unsustainable.

“There has been a second consecutive month of pullback in the rate of growth,” Anthony Nieves, Chair of the ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. “Overall, the majority of respondents’ comments indicate that they finished the year on a positive note. They also indicate optimism for business conditions and the economic outlook going forward.”

The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 57.3 percent, 4.1 percentage points lower than the November reading of 61.4 percent, reflecting growth for the 101st consecutive month, at a slower rate in December. The New Orders Index registered 54.3 percent, 4.4 percentage points lower than the reading of 58.7 percent in November. The Employment Index increased 1 percentage point in December to 56.3 percent from the November reading of 55.3 percent. The Prices Index increased by 0.1 percentage point from the November reading of 60.7 percent to 60.8 percent, indicating that prices increased in December for the seventh consecutive month.

The 14 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in December — listed in order — are: Retail Trade; Utilities; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Other Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Accommodation & Food Services; Finance & Insurance; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Transportation & Warehousing; Mining; Construction; Wholesale Trade; Public Administration; and Professional, Scientific & Technical Services.

The three industries reporting contraction in December are: Information; Educational Services; and Management of Companies & Support Services.

Panel Responses

“Many suppliers are proposing price increases, but few are being implemented. Increases in volume and efficiencies seem to be outperforming commodity pricing.” (Accommodation & Food Services)
“December is slowing, as is seasonally expected after a strong fall. Business in general is strong [and] within the normal pattern of seasonal fluctuation.” (Management of Companies & Support Services)
“Some improvement is jobs from the private sector.” (Professional, Scientific & Technical Services)
“Lumber prices are increasing due to product [being] damaged in the recent wildfires. Duties on steel from Vietnam is expected to cause an increase in steel prices. Ongoing shortages in construction related [to] labor continue to be a problem.” (Construction)
“Ending the year with profits and business levels on track. 2018 is projected to be as productive with an optimistic outlook.” (Finance & Insurance)
“IV solutions are still on national manufacturer back order. Hospital gauze back orders are also causing issues in the industry.” (Health Care & Social Assistance)
“We are seeing a resurgence in the business activity of our oil and gas customers, in a positive direction that is impacting our sales.” (Other Services)
“Steady end-of-year demand. Forecasting substantial increase in 2018 activity.” (Public Administration)
“Sales have slowed in food supply after last month’s buildup for the holidays.” (Retail Trade)

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing

Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton, left, attend a meeting with President Donald J. Trump on Inauguration Day. FBI graphic, right. (Photo: AP)

Hillary Clinton and Bill Clinton, left, attend a meeting with President Donald J. Trump on Inauguration Day. FBI graphic, right. (Photo: AP)

The Justice Department (DOJ) has launched a new investigation into allegations the Clinton Foundation used “pay to play” politics while Hillary Clinton served as Secretary of the U.S. State Department. The Hill first reported the reopening of the investigation on Thursday, which sources confirmed is being led jointly by the U.S. Attorney’s office and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) in Little Rock, Arkansas.

Federal agents from Little Rock, where the Clinton Foundation was started, have interviewed at least one witness in the last month, though they are expecting to ramp up activities in the coming weeks. In addition to looking into pay-for-play allegations, the probe is examining potential tax law violations.

One witness recently interviewed by the FBI described the session to The Hill as ‘extremely professional and unquestionably thorough’ and focused on questions about whether donors to Clinton charitable efforts received any favorable treatment from the Obama administration on a policy decision previously highlighted in media reports.

However, while the investigation is technically considered new, People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) has learned that the agents are building on evidence gathered over a more than year-long period. Material dates back to connected investigations dating back to the early years of the Obama Administration.

“Let’s call this what it is: a sham,” Clinton’s chief spokesman Nick Merrill said on Friday. “This is a philanthropy that does life-changing work, which Republicans have tried to turn into a political football. It began with a now long-debunked project spearheaded by Steve Bannon during the presidential campaign. It continues with Jeff Sessions doing Trump’s bidding by heeding his calls to meddle with a department that is supposed to function independently.”

Clinton Took $1M from Qatar Without State Department Approval, Breaking Agreement

The new investigation comes after DOJ confirmed it received multiple referrals for criminal investigations over the past year related to Uranium One and the Clinton Foundation. Circa News reported that the referrals sent to the Justice Department have led to ongoing investigations into the controversial deal that allowed 20% of U.S. uranium resources to be placed under the control of Moscow.

DOJ spokeswoman Sarah Isgur Flores said “the department takes seriously all allegations from Congress of criminal conduct in determining whether to open an investigation.” She said that “requests to open an investigation would be referred to the appropriate investigative agency, such as the FBI, for review.”

A bombshell report recently revealed the FBI uncovered a massive bribery, corruption and racketeering scheme before the Obama Administration approved the deal. The revelation came shortly after the Trump DOJ cleared a confidential informant for the FBI)to testify before Congress on Uranium One.

The decision lifted an unprecedented non-disclosure agreement, allowing him to testify about what he witnessed undercover surrounding Russia’s efforts to corner the global uranium market. It could also prove damning to Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who ran the FBI during what numerous experts say appears to be a scheme to coverup potential crimes resulting from the deal.

Special Counsel Robert Mueller Leaking Like A Sieve, Conduct Disturbs Legal Experts

Then-U.S. Attorney Rod Rosenstein, who is now the Deputy Attorney General and the man who appointed Mr. Mueller, oversaw the investigation.

FBI documents show Vadim Mikerin, the director of Rosatom’s Tenex in Moscow, was engaged in illegal activity as early as the fall of 2009. That could prove challenging to federal investigators given the statute of limitations on many of the alleged crimes is 5 years.

“As part of the scheme, Mikerin, with the consent of higher level officials at TENEX and Rosatom (both Russian state-owned entities) would offer no-bid contracts to US businesses in exchange for kickbacks in the form of money payments made to some offshore banks accounts,” Agent David Gadren testified. “Mikerin apparently then shared the proceeds with other co-conspirators associated with TENEX in Russia and elsewhere.”

Mueller Probed Witnesses About Podesta Group Lobbying for Russian Interests at Clinton State Department

However, the Obama Administration still allowed him to enter the country with a L1 temporary work visa in December 2011.

At the time, the FBI had gathered substantial evidence against him and the Russian plot to corner the global uranium market. Worth noting, the Uranium One deal did not permit the exporting of the material out of the U.S., but unknown quantities have been exported to unknown nations and parties.

A Russian bank pushing the Uranium One deal paid former President Bill Clinton roughly $500,000 in 2010 for a speaking fee, while all of the board members from Rosatom donated to the Clinton Foundation, bringing the total upwards of $100 million.

Senator Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, called for another special counsel to investigate the Obama-Clinton era deal, particularly given Mr. Mueller’s role in the investigation. While his committee has launched a probe as well, only the powers granted to a federal prosecutor can get to the bottom of what appears to be a clear cut Clinton quid pro quo.

Clinton Charities Violating NY State Law Governing Disclosure of Foreign Donations

A growing number of lawmakers in both the House and Senate have joined Chairman Grassley in that call.

The Justice Department (DOJ) has launched a

A "Now Hiring" sign hangs on the door to the Urban Outfitters store at Quincy Market in Boston, Massachusetts September 5, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

A “Now Hiring” sign hangs on the door to the Urban Outfitters store at Quincy Market in Boston, Massachusetts September 5, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

The Labor Department via the Bureau of Labor Statistics said 148,000 jobs were created in December, missing the consensus 191,000 forecast, and unemployment remained unchanged at the 17-year low at 4.1%.

The labor force participation rate came in at 62.7%, largely unchanged over both the month and over the year. However, the less-cited but arguably more important employment-population ratio was unchanged at 60.1% in December, but was up by 0.3 percentage point over the year.

The silver lining in the report is the quality of jobs created.

Construction added 30,000 job, with most of the increase among specialty trade contractors (+24,000). In 2017, construction employment increased by 210,000, compared with 155,000 in 2016. Manufacturing employment rose by 25,000, largely reflecting a gain in durable goods industries (+21,000). Manufacturing added 196,000 jobs in 2017, following a net -16,000 loss in 2016.

In December, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 9 cents to $26.63. On a yearly basis, average hourly earnings have risen by 65 cents, or 2.5%. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 7 cents to $22.30 in December.

The report follows the ADP National Employment Report, which gauges payrolls in the private sector. It found the U.S. private sector added 250,000 jobs in the month of December.

The Labor Department via the Bureau of

A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX: .DJI) closed above 25,000 for the first time ever and posted its fastest 1,000-point rally in history. The Blue Chip index breached 24,000 for the first time in history only minutes into the third trading day of 2018.

The index closed up 152.45 points (0.61%) to 25,075.13 and even climbed as high as 25,105.96.

“We’re 3 trading days into 2018, and expectations for a swift correction to counter the sharp gains in the last 6 weeks of 2017 are being severely tested,” TJM Investments analyst Tim Anderson said. “Both the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 have shown little hesitation at major ’round number’ milestones of 7,000 and 2,700, respectively.”

The S&P 500 Index (INDEXCBOE: .INX) climbed to 2,729.29 before closing 10.93 points (0.40%) higher at 2,723.99, while the Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ: .IXIC) rose to 7,098.05 before closing up 12.38 points (0.18%) at 7,077.91.

The rally from 24,000 took only 23 trading days, beating the previous 24-day record set in 1999 that took the index to 11,000 and matched in March 2017 when it hit 21,000.

In 2017, the Dow Jones notched 71 record closes and soared slightly more than 25.08%. The Nasdaq rallied 28.24% on the year and the S&P 500 ended the year up 19.42%. The surge for the Dow above 25,000 for the first time came after the ADP National Employment Report showed job creation in the U.S. private sector was much stronger than expected.

On Wednesday, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index (PMI) easily beat expectations with new orders hitting a 14-year high. The U.S. Census Bureau New Construction report showed broad strength in both the public and private sector, leading to upward revisions to fourth quarter (4Q) economic growth.

Forecast models are now calling for U.S. economic growth as measured by gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by at least 3% on an annual basis in the 4Q.

In 2016, the U.S. economy grew at just 1.6% on an annual basis, it’s worst performance since 2011. But if the 4Q forecasts are matches or exceeded, it’ll mark the third straight quarter of economic growth at or above 3% since 2004.

Further, if the 4Q for 2017 comes in at the lower end of the regional Federal Reserve forecasts, roughly 3.2%, economic growth during the first year under President Trump will easily exceed the strongest year under Barack Obama.

The PPD GDP Forecast-of-Forecasts, which averages regional and comparable models, currently shows 4Q GDP standing at 3.56%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX: .DJI)

President Donald Trump signs the Presidential Space Directive - 1, directing NASA to return to the moon, alongside members of the Senate, Congress, NASA, and commercial space companies in the Roosevelt room of the White House in Washington, Monday, Dec. 11, 2017. Photo Credit: (NASA/Aubrey Gemignani)

President Donald Trump signs the Presidential Space Directive – 1, directing NASA to return to the moon, alongside members of the Senate, Congress, NASA, and commercial space companies in the Roosevelt room of the White House in Washington, Monday, Dec. 11, 2017. Photo Credit: (NASA/Aubrey Gemignani)

Whether they agree with him or not, more voters say President Donald Trump is driving the national agenda in Washington, D.C. and the sentiment crosses party lines.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 42% of likely voters think President Trump is in charge of The Swamp, while the Republican-led Congress came in a very distant second with 19%. Thirteen percent (13%) say the national media is in charge and only 8% feel the Democratic opposition is setting the agenda.

Nearly as many (7%) think it’s someone else, and 12% are undecided.

Men (46%) are slightly more likely than women (38%) to say the man in the White House is in charge, though 45% of both Republicans and Democrats agree. Similarly, a nearly identical percentage of conservatives (44%) and liberals (45%) view it the same way, while 38% of moderates also agree.

Worth noting, 40% now say the country is headed in the right direction, which is the highest level of optimism since mid-April after lagging in the mid- to upper 20s for much of 2016. Following Inauguration Day, optimism in the direction of the county rose to the mid-to upper 40s and remained there for the first month of his presidency.

Seventy-one (71%) of Republicans credit President Trump with the improving economic condition in the U.S., while 23% of Democrats and 44% of voters unaffiliated with any party agree.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on December 27-28, 2017 and the margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Whether they agree with him or not,

U.S. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One as he returns from a day trip to Atlanta on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, U.S., April 28, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

U.S. President Donald Trump walks from Marine One as he returns from a day trip to Atlanta on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, U.S., April 28, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

I was not optimistic about a Trump presidency. Before the 2016 election, I characterized him as a “statist” and a “typical big-government Republican.”

I’ve also criticized his policies on entitlementstradechild carecapital gains taxationgovernment spending, and infrastructure.

But one good thing about being libertarian is that I feel no pressure to spin. I will criticize politicians who I normally like and praise politicians I normally dislike.

So I’ve also applauded some of Trump’s policies, whether they are big reforms like a cut in the corporate income tax or small changes like killing Obama’s Operation Chokepoint.

Today, I’m going to give Trump some credit for what’s happening with regulation and red tape.

Wayne Crews of the Competitive Enterprise Institute measures the change.

The calendar year concluded with 61,950 pages in the Federal Register. …This is the lowest count since 1993’s 61,166 pages. A year ago, Obama set the all-time Federal Register page record with 95,894 pages. Trump’s Federal Register is a 35 percent drop from Obama’s record. …After the National Archives processes all the blank pages and skips in the 2017 Federal Register, Trump’s final count will ultimately be even lower. 

Here’s a visual that captures what has happened.

 

Wayne explains that the numbers of rules have dropped in addition to the number of pages.

…the Federal Register may be a poor guide for regulation… The “problem” of assessing magnitude is even worse this year, because many of Trump’s “rules” are rules written to get rid of rules. …There has also been a major reduction in the number of rules and regulations under Trump. Today the Federal Register closed out with 3,281 final rules within its pages. This is the lowest count since records began being kept in the mid-1970s.

Susan Dudley of George Washington University looked at what’s happening to regulation for Forbes.

…what has the administration achieved on the regulatory front in 2017? …President Trump issued Executive Order 13771 directing federal agencies to remove two regulations for every new one they issued, and to cap the total cost of new regulations at zero. …An Office of Management and Budget report…finds that during the first eight months of the administration (through September 30th), executive agencies issued 67 deregulatory actions and only 3 significant regulatory actions. …More meaningful is the report’s estimate that these actions will save Americans more than $570 million per year on net. …This was the year of the Congressional Review Act. Working with the Republican Congress, President Trump has disapproved 15 regulations, most issued at the end of the Obama administration.

She looks specifically at regulations that involve a lot of money.

The pace of new regulation has visibly slowed in the Trump administration. A search of OMB’s database reveals that, between January 21 and December 20, 2017, the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs concluded review of 21 “economically significant” regulations—those with impacts (costs or benefits) expected to be $100 million or more in a year. As the chart below shows, that is dramatically fewer rules than previous presidents have issued in their first years.

Here’s an impressive chart from her column.

 

And here’s most impressive part. Some of these “significant” rules are actually designed to reduce red tape.

…a further breakdown of those 21 economically significant actions this year: …Three are classified as “regulatory,” including two from HHS and one from the IRS. …Four are “deregulatory,” including three HHS rules as well as the congressionally-disapproved FAR rule mentioned earlier.

So what does this shift in regulation mean?

Well, as the New York Times has just reported, less red tape is good for the economy.

A wave of optimism has swept over American business leaders, and it is beginning to translate into the sort of investment in new plants, equipment and factory upgrades that bolsters economic growth, spurs job creation — and may finally raise wages significantly. …the newfound confidence was initially inspired by the Trump administration’s regulatory pullback, not so much because deregulation is saving companies money but because the administration has instilled a faith in business executives that new regulations are not coming.

I fully agree with this point.

What seems to be helping growth is that companies are getting some “breathing room” simply because the regulatory onslaught of the Bush and Obama years has finally abated.

…in the administration and across the business community, there is a perception that years of increased environmental, financial and other regulatory oversight by the Obama administration dampened investment and job creation — and that Mr. Trump’s more hands-off approach has unleashed the “animal spirits” of companies that had hoarded cash after the recession of 2008. …with tax cuts coming and a generally improving economic outlook, both domestically and internationally, economists are revising growth forecasts upward for last year and this year. Even before it became clear that Republicans would pass a major tax cut, capital spending had risen significantly, climbing at an annualized rate of 6.2 percent during the first three quarters of last year. Surveys of planned spending also show increases. …business executives are largely convinced that the cost of complying with rules diverts money that could be invested elsewhere. And economists see a plausible connection between Mr. Trump’s determination to prune the federal rule book and the willingness of businesses to crank open their vaults. Measures of business confidence have climbed to record heights during Mr. Trump’s first year. …The Business Roundtable, a corporate lobbying group in Washington, reported last month that “regulatory costs” were no longer the top concern of American executives, for the first time in six years. …The National Association of Manufacturers’ fourth-quarter member survey found that fewer than half of manufacturers cited an “unfavorable business climate” — including regulations and taxes — as a challenge to their business, down from nearly three-quarters a year ago.

The bottom line is that Trump has out-performed my expectations on this issue. But I don’t care about that. I’m more interested in a freer and more prosperous America.

So, when you’re contemplating the shift in regulatory policy, here are a few factoids.

  • Americans spend 8.8 billion hours every year filling out government forms.
  • The economy-wide cost of regulation is now $1.75 trillion.
  • For every bureaucrat at a regulatory agency, 100 jobs are destroyed in the economy’s productive sector.
  • A World Bank study determined that moving from heavy regulation to light regulation “can increase a country’s average annual GDP per capita growth by 2.3 percentage points.”
  • The European Central Bank estimated that product market and employment regulation has led to costly “misallocation of labour and capital in eight macro-sectors.”

Red tape accounts for 20 percent of a nation’s grade according to Economic Freedom of the World. If the current deregulatory momentum is sustained, the United States will rise in the rankings and Americans will be richer.

Regulations in the 2017 calendar year were

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