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President Donald Trump, right, shakes hands with Senator Luther Strange in Huntsville, Alabama on September 22, 2017. (Photo: AP)

President Donald Trump, right, shakes hands with Senator Luther Strange in Huntsville, Alabama on September 22, 2017. (Photo: AP)

President Donald Trump endorsed Judge Roy Moore for U.S. Senate in Alabama on Monday, calling Democrat Doug Jones “a Pelosi/Schumer Puppet.” The president said voters should look at the big picture after the vote on tax reform, which passed the U.S. Senate for the first time in 31 years last weekend.

“Democrats refusal to give even one vote for massive Tax Cuts is why we need Republican Roy Moore to win in Alabama,” President Trump tweeted. “We need his vote on stopping crime, illegal immigration, Border Wall, Military, Pro Life, V.A., Judges 2nd Amendment and more. No to Jones, a Pelosi/Schumer Puppet!”

Shortly after President Trump’s tweet, Judge Moore responded on Twitter.

“Thankful for President Trump’s support,” He tweeted. “The America First agenda will #MAGA. Can’t wait to help him #DrainTheSwamp.”

Judge Moore was had briefing been trailing Mr. Jones in some polls following the allegations of sexual harassment, while leading in others.  Many of those allegations — including the two most serious — have not held up well under further scrutiny.

Gloria Allred, the lawyer for the woman who accused Judge Moore of rape, refuses to submit the yearbook she provided as exculpatory evidence to independent analysis. Leigh Corfman, who said she was inappropriately touched by Judge Moore when she was 14, didn’t provide a timeline that fit the events.

Now, Republicans are less likely to believe the allegations and again say they will vote. Judge Moore leads Mr. Jones 49% to 44%, the same margin the same poll found a day after the allegations were first made; he leads 46% to 43% in a new CBS News Poll; and, by 49% to 46% in the latest Emerson College Poll released Monday.

Conservatives have hammered Mr. Jones, a former federal prosecutor, over his positions on the issues. He supports abortions up to the moment before birth, is considered weak on crime and initially backed sanctuary cities before flip-flopping during the election.

White House legislative director Marc Short said that President Trump was “making the case to the people of Alabama that it’s a factor to consider that not one Democrat has been able to find time to say they support” the GOP tax plan.

“When allegations arise 38 years later, when Roy Moore has been a very public figure for those 38 years, he’s run multiple times statewide in Alabama, the people in Alabama have an opportunity to choose and make some decisions about Roy Moore’s character,” he said. “Putting all that together, he’s encouraging the people of Alabama to make the right decision.”

President Donald Trump endorsed Judge Roy Moore

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on tax reform at the state fairgrounds in Indianapolis, Indiana, on Wednesday September 27, 2017. (Photo: PPD)

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on tax reform at the state fairgrounds in Indianapolis, Indiana, on Wednesday September 27, 2017. (Photo: PPD)

As part of yesterday’s column about the comparatively tiny – and temporary – tax cut in the Republican tax reform plan, I quoted a leftist columnist for US News & World Report, who argued that there should be a big tax increase — including a big tax hike on middle-income taxpayers — and that such a tax hike would not hurt the economy.

Today, I want to address the latter argument about taxes and economic growth. When this topic arises, I normally cite both public-finance theory and empirical research to make the case that taxes do impact economic performance, and I try to always stress that not all taxes are created equal.

And if the focus is corporate taxation, I usually share my primer on the issue, and then link to research from AustraliaCanadaGermany, and the United Kingdom.

But maybe it will be more persuasive to look at some new academic evidence from a study on U.S. corporate taxes by Professor Eric Ohrn, forthcoming in the American Economic Journal.

If you don’t want to dwell on the details, the paper’s abstract tells you the highlights. Simply stated, a lower corporate rate translates into more investment and less debt.

I exploit quasi-experimental variation created by the Domestic Production Activities Deduction, a corporate tax expenditure created in 2005. A one percentage point reduction in tax rates increases investment by 4.7 percent of installed capital, increases payouts by 0.3 percent of sales, and decreases debt by 5.3 percent of total assets. These estimates suggest that lower corporate tax rates and faster accelerated depreciation each stimulate a similar increase in investment, per dollar in lost revenue.

But hopefully there will be interest in some of the details from the study.

Here’s the problem Professor Ohrn identified.

…relatively little empirical work has been able to directly estimate the effects of a reduction in the corporate income tax rate on business activity. This study provides new evidence on these effects.

His evidence is based on the fact lawmakers created a lower tax rate for America-based manufacturing, a.k.a., the Domestic Production Activities Deduction, or DPAD.

In 2005, when the DPAD was implemented, firms could deduct 3 percent of manufacturing income. This rate was scaled to 6 percent in 2007 and 9 percent in 2010, where it remains today. As a result of the policy, after 2010, firms that derive all of their income from domestic manufacturing activities and face the top statutory corporate income tax rate have a 3.15 (= 0.09 × 35 percent) percentage point lower effective tax rate than firms with no domestic manufacturing activities. …I use data provided by the IRS Statistics of Income (SOI) Division. The SOI publishes the aggregate annual dollar values of the DPAD and Net Taxable Income for corporations in 75 unique industries and all businesses in 12 asset-classes (firm size bins).

And what did he find as he looked at the difference between firms with lower tax rates and higher tax rates?

It turns out that even modest differences in tax rates can have a big impact.

I find that the DPAD has a large effect on corporate behavior. A one percentage point reduction in the effective corporate income tax rate via the DPAD increases investment by 4.7 percent of installed capital, increases payouts by 0.3 percent of revenues, and decreases debt usage by 5.3 percent of total assets. …corporations respond strongly to the DPAD, and corporate income tax rate cuts more generally, by increasing investment and payouts and decreasing debt usage. The average firm does not report more taxable income per dollar of asset, suggesting that any increases in revenue generated by corporate tax rate reductions are the product of real effects such as investment but not decreased avoidance activity.

Here are a couple of charts from the study. The dark blue line represents companies with lower tax rates and the dashed line represents the ones with higher tax rates.

And since it’s good to have more investment and good to have less debt, both these findings re very positive.

Interestingly, the benefits of fixing depreciation laws — by moving in the direction of expensing — are quite similar to the benefits of lowering the corporate tax rates.

…a dollar spent by the government stimulates virtually the same amount of investment whether it is used to reduce corporate tax rates or accelerate depreciation expenses.

I hate to digress, but I can’t resist pointing out that I’m irked by the language about “a dollar spent by the government.” Professor Ohrn certainly seems to be a rigorous and capable economist, but he has a bit of a moral blind spot. If the federal government adopts a policy that allows a business to keep more of the money it earns, that is not “a dollar spent” by government.

Unless you have the bizarre mindset of some statists who think all output belongs to the state.

Anyhow, back to regularly scheduled programming.

We’re now at a critical point in the battle for tax reform. The House passed its version and now the Senate has passed its version. The good news is that there’s strong agreement on Capitol Hill to slash the corporate tax rate.

This latest study underscores why that reform will boost investment. And remember, when investment increases, that translates into higher wages for workers.

New research forthcoming in the American Economic

In this March 3, 2016 file photo, RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, then the Michigan Republican Party chair, speaks before a Republican presidential primary debate in Detroit. (Photo: AP)

In this March 3, 2016 file photo, RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, then the Michigan Republican Party chair, speaks before a Republican presidential primary debate in Detroit. (Photo: AP)

Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel praised Republicans in the U.S. Senate for passing the Tax Cut and Jobs Act. The vote was a major victory for President Donald Trump, who made tax cuts his key agenda item and signature piece of legislation for the first year of his presidency

“Thanks to Republican leadership, we are one step closer to delivering historic tax reform for the American people,” said Chairwoman McDaniel said in a statement emailed to People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) early Saturday morning. “President Trump and Republican leaders in Congress made a pledge to expand economic opportunity for all, cut taxes for the middle class and small business owners—and tonight, they kept their promise.”

The bill now heads to conference between the upper and lower chambers, the House of Representatives having passed another version of the bill. Nevertheless, if an agreement is reached, which is expected, it will be sent to President Trump’s desk for his signature. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., called the lower chamber into session early for Monday rather than Tuesday.

It will be the first overhaul to the U.S. tax code in 31 years. While the U.S. was paralyzed for decades on the issue until now, the rest of the world lowered their corporate tax rates. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act slashes the U.S. corporate tax rate to 20%, making the U.S. far more competitive in a global economy.

OECD Global Corporate Tax Rates“According to the non-partisan Joint Committee on Taxation, every income bracket would see tax relief under this bill,” Senator John McCain, R-Ariz., said in a statement. “The child tax credit would be doubled to $2,000 per child and the tax code would be substantially simplified.”

Worth noting, with the approval of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Republicans voted for the repeal of ObamaCare’s individual mandate, a major step forward toward ending an unpopular part of the healthcare law. Given the more conservative bent in the U.S. House, the repeal is not expected to be problematic on conference.

Meanwhile, the markets are continuing to climb on overwhelmingly positive economic data and the potential for tax reform. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 24,000 for the first time ever, only days after the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) earlier in the week revised gross domestic product (GDP) up to 3.3%.

If 4Q GDP forecasts hold, the first year under President Donald Trump will at least match the strongest year (2.7%) under Barack Obama. As People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) recently reported, it’s likely the first year under Mr. Trump will surpass the strongest year under Mr. Obama.

That’s also much more likely if Republicans send tax reform to President Trump to sign. It will be the first time the U.S. economy grew at 3% or higher for 3 consecutive quarters since 2004.

Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel

The headquarters of bankrupt Solyndra LLC is shown in Fremont, California, September 20, 2011. (Photo: Reuters)

The headquarters of bankrupt Solyndra LLC is shown in Fremont, California, September 20, 2011. (Photo: Reuters)

I have a fantasy of junking the entire corrupt tax system and adopting a simple and fair flat tax. I have an even bigger fantasy of shrinking the size and scope of the federal government to what America’s Founders intended, in which case Washington wouldn’t need any broad-based tax.

But in the real world, where I know “public choice” determines political behavior, I have much more limited hopes and dreams.

I’ve been saying for months that tax reform will be a worthwhile success if it leads to a significantly lower corporate tax rate and the elimination of the deduction for state and local income taxes.

And I recently added repeal of the death tax as a third item that would make me very happy.

Now let’s add a fourth item to my wish-list. The House version of tax reform actually does  a decent job of curtailing some of the egregious distortions that line the pocket of companies that peddle so-called green energy.

I know it must be a decent job since the GOP plan is causing angst for leftist journalists.

The Republican-controlled House of Representatives…bill would slash incentives for renewable energy and the electric car industry. Environmental groups are frantic. …The House provision raising the most ire are proposed changes tothe renewable electricity production tax credit, which benefits producers of wind, solar, geothermal and other types of renewable energy. …The House GOP plan would also repeal the Investment Tax Credit for big solar projects that start construction after 2027. House Republicans also propose eliminating the $7,500 credit for electric vehicle purchases. …the Senate bill may not include all of the House’s cuts to clean energy.

It is true that the Senate bill is very timid. But given that there will be a lot of pressure to find “offsets” in any final deal, I’m vaguely hopeful that some of the good provisions in the House bill will survive.

Let’s explore why that would be a very good outcome.

Veronique de Rugy of the Mercatus Center is not a fan of cronyist subsidies to solar energy.

Under President Barack Obama, green energy subsidies were given out like candy. The failure of solar panel company Solyndra is well-known, but the problem extends well beyond the shady loan deal and its half-billion-dollar cost to taxpayers. Between 2010 and 2013, federal subsidies for solar energy aloneincreased by about 500 percent, from $1.1 billion to $5.3 billion (according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration), and all federal renewable energy subsidies grew from $8.6 billion to $13.2 billion over the same period. …However, that didn’t stop the largest U.S. solar panel manufacturer, SolarWorld, from filing for bankruptcy earlier this year despite $115 million in federal and state grants and tax subsidies since 2012, along with $91 million in federal loan guarantees. SolarWorld and fellow bankrupt manufacturer Suniva are now begging for even more government assistance, in the form of a 40-cent-per-watt tariff on solar imports and a minimum price of 78 cents (including the 40-cent tariff) a watt on solar panels made by foreign manufacturers.

Mark Perry of the American Enterprise Institute explains that wind energy is reliant on taxpayer handouts.

…government data shows that offshore wind power cannot survive in a competitive environment without huge taxpayer subsidies. Today, wind power receives subsidies greater than any other form of energy per unit of actual energy produced. …public subsidies for wind on a per megawatt-hour basis are 26 times those for fossil fuels and 16 times those for nuclear power. …The tax credit gives $23 for every megawatt-hour of electricity a wind turbine generates during the first 10 years of operation. …Yet, even with these incentives, only 4.7 percent of the nation’s electricity is currently supplied by wind power and that is entirely wind power from on-land turbines. …Think about it: Four large power plants could produce as much electricity as offshore wind turbines placed side by side along the entire Atlantic seaboard from Maine to Florida. Moreover, power plants last longer than wind turbines. A British study found that turbines need to be replaced within 12 to 15 years, and they must be imported from Europe.

Given the disgusting nature of ethanol subsidies, I wonder whether Mark’s headline can possibly be accurate.

In any event, Senator Alexander of Tennessee agrees that wind subsidies are a bad idea.

As we look at all the wasteful and unnecessary tax breaks that are holding us back, I have a nomination: At the top of the list should be ending the quarter-century-old wind production tax credit now — not two years from now. This giveaway to wind developers was meant to end in 1999 but has been extended by Congress ten different times. While the wind production tax credit is scheduled to be phased out by the end of 2019, we should do better and end it at the end of this year, and use the $4 billion in savings to lower tax rates. …Congress needs to stop its habit of picking winners and losers in the marketplace. Twenty-five years of picking wind developers over more-reliable sources of electricity hasn’t paid off. Imagine what innovation we might unleash if we used the billions wasted on wind energy to invest in research to help our free-enterprise system provide the abundance of cheap, clean, reliable energy we need to power our 21st-century economy.

A recipient of tax preferences discusses his undeserved benefits in a Wall Street Journal column.

…it’s only appropriate that I express appreciation for the generous subsidy you provided for the 28-panel, four-array, 8,540-watt photovoltaic system I installed on my metal roof last year. Thanks to the investment tax credit, I slashed my 2016 federal tax bill by $7,758. …thanks to the incentives for rooftop solar, I’ve snared three subsidies. …fewer rooftop solar projects are being installed in low-income neighborhoods. …According to a study done for the California Public Utility Commission, residents who have installed solar systems have household incomes 68% higher than the state average. Ashley Brown, executive director of the Harvard Electricity Policy Group, calls the proliferation of rooftop solar systems and the returns they provide to lucky people like me, “a wealth transfer from less affluent ratepayers to more affluent ones.” It is, Mr. Brown says, “Robin Hood in reverse.” Do I feel bad about being a solar freeloader? Yes, a little. …the local barista or school janitor—people who likely can’t afford solar panels—are paying incrementally more for the grid’s maintenance and operation. And the more that people like me install panels, the more those baristas and janitors have to pay.

By the way, the United States is not the only nation with green-energy boondoggles (remember Solyndra?).

I’ve previously written about the failure of such programs in Germany.

Let’s add to that collection with an all-too-typical story from the United Kingdom.

Britain is wasting hundreds of millions of pounds subsidising power stations to burn American wood pellets that do more harm to the climate than the coal they replaced, a study has found. Chopping down trees and transporting wood across the Atlantic Ocean to feed power stations produces more greenhouse gases than much cheaper coal, according to the report. It blames the rush to meet EU renewable energy targets… Green subsidies for wood pellets and other biomass were championed by Chris Huhne when he was Liberal Democrat energy and climate change secretary in the coalition government. Mr Huhne, 62, who was jailed in 2013 for perverting the course of justice, is now European chairman of Zilkha Biomass, a US supplier of wood pellets.

In a perverse way, I admire Mr. Huhne, who didn’t follow the usual revolving-door strategy of politician-to-cronyist. He apparently went politician-to-prisoner-to-cronyist.

If you head north in Great Britain, the foolishness mostly revolves around wind power.

…the blackmailing, money-printing sausage factory is a wind farm in Scotland. There are currently about 750 wind farms north of the border, with roughly 3,000 wind turbines. …The wind farms are distributed across Scotland, sometimes in very remote regions, so there is a real problem in getting their energy down to the English border – let alone getting it across. …Why has so much been built? Partly, it is because of income-support subsidies. This top-up of nearly 100 per cent over the wholesale price – funded, of course, from consumer bills – makes wind farms very attractive… Subsidies to onshore wind in the UK now cost a little under £600 million a year, with Scottish wind taking about half, yet the Scottish government continues to ignore the protests and consent to new wind farms as if they cost almost nothing at all. Which as far as Holyrood is concerned, is in fact true. Part of the attraction for Scottish politicians is that the subsidies that pay for Scottish wind farms come from consumers all over Great Britain. Scottish consumption is about 10 per cent of the British total – so when the Scottish government grants planning permission to the wind industry, it is simply writing a cheque drawn overwhelmingly on English and Welsh accounts. …The result is that there is a perverse incentive to locate wind farms in Scotland, even though they aren’t welcome and the grid can’t take their output.

You won’t be surprised to learn, by the way, that taxpayers in the U.K. have been subsidizing green groups.

From an economic perspective, the bottom line is that green energy is more expensive and it requires subsidies that line the pockets of politically connected people and companies. That’s true in America, and it’s true in other nations.

Which is unfortunate, because it gives a bad name to energy sources that probably will be capable of producing low-cost energy in some point in the future.

Indeed, my long-run optimism about green energy is one of the reasons why I’m such a big believer in capitalism and private property. I just don’t want politicians to intervene today and make it harder to achieve future innovation.

As Solyndra demonstrated, green energy is more

File: The $4 trillion U.S. federal budget proposed by Barack Obama in 2016. (Photo: Reuters)

File: The $4 trillion U.S. federal budget proposed by Barack Obama in 2016. (Photo: Reuters)

Since the House has passed a tax cut and the Senate has passed a tax cut, it’s quite likely that there will be a consensus deal that will be signed into law.

Which makes me happy since any agreement presumably will include a lower corporate tax rate and the elimination of the deduction for state and local income taxes.

But some folks don’t think this is good news.

Writing for U.S. News & World Report, Pat Garofalo argues that taxes should be going up.

The entire bill is premised off the belief that taxes are too high and need to go down, when the opposite is actually true. …the U.S. is, by developed country standards, a very low-tax country. It raises about a quarter of its gross domestic product in revenue at all levels of government, compared to about a third in the rest of the developed world, and well more than 40 percent in some countries. For the last several decades, the U.S. at the federal level alone has raised roughly 18 percent of GDP in taxes, while spending around 20 percent. Sorry, but that just doesn’t cut it. …other countries prove there’s plenty of room to raise more revenue without kneecapping economic growth. …America’s concentration of wealth is such that there’s plenty of room to raise taxes on the rich with nary an economic blip… it is possible, as Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., does all the time, to make a case that, yes, taxes on the middle class will go up, but that the benefits will be more than worth it.

I won’t bother responding to all his inaccurate assertions, but I will give Mr. Garofalo credit for honesty. Unlike a lot of folks on the left, he openly acknowledges that the middle class will have to be pillaged to finance a European-style welfare state. I’ll add him to my list of honest leftists.

But honesty is not the same as accuracy.

Chris Edwards put together a very helpful chart showing federal taxes and revenues as a share of economic output. As you can see, America’s real fiscal problem is government spending. The tax cut being considered on Capitol Hill only causes a small – and completely temporary – drop in revenues.

This is such good information that it deserves a closer look.

I decided to look at the raw year-to-year numbers. I got the latest 10-year budget projections from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), as well as the 10-year projections for the Senate tax bill from the Joint Committee on Taxation. The House bill’s numbers are very similar, so these figures presumably are a very accurate proxy of any final package.

Let’s start with a look at the annual baseline revenues (blue) and annual baseline spending (orange), along with the annual post-tax cut revenues (grey). As you can see, there’s very little difference in the two revenue lines. There’s some short-run aggregate tax relief, but that quickly begins to shrink. And by the 10th year, the federal government actually will be collecting more revenue!

Some people nonetheless will oppose even a tiny and temporary tax cut. They will claim they want to balance the budget, though oftentimes these are the same people who supported the faux stimulus and wanted the new ObamaCare entitlement. So, judge for yourself whether they are sincere.

Even in the unlikely event that they are sincere, their complaints don’t make sense since revenues will be higher after 10 years. And that’s not even properly considering the impact of additional economic growth, which would cause tax receipts to grow even faster.

But let’s set that aside and consider what would be necessary to balance the budget over the 10-year budget window. Earlier this year, I calculated that it would be possible to balance the budget and enact a $3 trillion tax cut so long as politicians would simply restrain federal spending so that it grew by 1.96 percent per year.

Based on the most recent numbers (and starting the spending restraint in 2019 rather than 2018), the budget can be balanced if federal spending grows by 2.67 percent annually. Since that’s much faster than what would be necessary to keep pace with inflation (projected to average about 2 percent per year), this wouldn’t require any “harsh” austerity.

By the way, if you want an example of successful multi-year spending restraint, we had a five-year de facto spending freeze from 2009-2014 — yes, those fights over debt limitssequestration, and government shutdowns produced a big payoff).

Heck, when Clinton was in the White House, overall government spending grew by 3.2 percent annually between 1993 and 1999.

Surely Republicans can beat Bill Clinton’s record, right?

I’ll close by observing that we shouldn’t fixate on balancing the budget in any particular year. It’s much more important to shrink the burden of government spending. And that happens when the private sector grows faster than the federal budget.

To be sure, it’s also a good idea to shrink red ink, at least relative to our ability to finance debt. That happens whenever the private economy grows faster than federal borrowing.

The good news is that spending restraint is the one policy that achieves both goals.

Congressional Budget Office and Joint Committee on

President Donald Trump speaks to the press alongside Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R), Republican of Kentucky, in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, October 16, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

President Donald Trump speaks to the press alongside Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R), Republican of Kentucky, in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, October 16, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

The U.S. Senate passed the Republican tax reform bill known as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, paving the way for the first overhaul to the U.S. tax code in 31 years. The vote is a major victory for President Donald Trump, who made tax cuts his key agenda item and signature piece of legislation for the first year of his presidency.

The bill now heads to conference between the upper and lower chambers, the House of Representatives having passed another version of the bill. Members of the House and Senate will meet Monday after House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., called the chamber into session early rather than Tuesday.

If an agreement is reached, which is expected, it will be sent to President Trump’s desk for his signature.

“I commend my Senate colleagues for this historic action. For the first time since 1986, both the House and the Senate have passed a major overhaul of our nation’s tax code,” House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., said in a statement. “Now we will move quickly to a conference committee so we can get a final bill to President Trump’s desk.”

The bill got a boost on Thursday when Senator John McCain, R-Ariz., said in a statement he will vote “Yes” on the tax overhaul. The Arizona senator was one of a handful of Republicans uncertain about how they would vote. On Friday, his colleague Senator Jeff Flake, R-Ariz., announced he will vote in favor of the president’s signature tax reform bill.

“According to the non-partisan Joint Committee on Taxation, every income bracket would see tax relief under this bill,” Senator McCain said in a statement. “The child tax credit would be doubled to $2,000 per child and the tax code would be substantially simplified.”

The corporate tax rate is also lowered to 20%, making the U.S. far more competitive in a global economy where other nations have moved to lower their rates.

OECD Global Corporate Tax RatesPresident Trump was in Missouri this week pushing his tax cut and tax reform agenda, a Red State represented by vulnerable incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill.

“If we do this, then America will win again like never before. A vote to cut taxes is a vote to put America first, again,” President Trump said. “It’s time to take care of our workers, to protect our communities and to rebuild our great country.”

Senator Bob Corker, R-Tenn., a holdout who wanted automatic triggers in place to re-hike taxes if growth didn’t meet projections, was the only Republican defector. He’s retiring this year due to his unpopularity and feud with President Trump. Senator Susan Collins, R-Maine, after she won a concession for a $10,000 deduction in local property taxes.

“Tonight’s tax cut vote in the Senate was a historic victory for the American people,” Vice President Mike Pence said in a statement. “Grateful for the support of Senate Republicans for passing President Trump’s “middle-class miracle” for millions of hard-working families. On track to have the President sign the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act into law by Christmas!”

The push to get above 50 votes was worthwhile for Republicans, who had hoped at least 3 and as many as 5 Red State Democrats to crossover and vote for the bill. That did not happen.

Senator Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., repeatedly said that he wanted to be a part of the process but that Majority Leader McConnell saw to it that would not be an option. He proposed an amendment that failed, which increased the corporate tax rate. Republicans said his proposal demonstrated that he was never serious about working on reform.

Democrats did have a victory in the vote-a-rama, defeating a proposal by Senator Pat Toomey, R-Penn., to extend an exemption on endowments for colleges and universities that didn’t take federal funding. They targeted Hillsdale College, one which focuses on the founding of the country and civil duty.

Worth noting, with the approval of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Republicans voted for the repeal of ObamaCare’s individual mandate, a major step forward toward ending an unpopular part of the healthcare law.

“Families ought to be able to make decisions about what they want to buy and what works for them –not the government,” Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo., said after the vote. “I believe if people don’t want to buy the Obamacare insurance, they shouldn’t have to pay a tax penalty to the IRS.”

Meanwhile, the markets are continuing to climb on overwhelmingly positive economic data and the potential for tax reform. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 24,000 for the first time ever, only days after the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) earlier in the week revised gross domestic product (GDP) up to 3.3%.

If 4Q GDP forecasts hold, the first year under President Donald Trump will at least match the strongest year (2.7%) under Barack Obama. As People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) recently reported, it’s likely the first year under Mr. Trump will surpass the strongest year under Mr. Obama.

That’s also much more likely if Republicans send tax reform to President Trump to sign. It will be the first time the U.S. economy grew at 3% or higher for 3 consecutive quarters since 2004.

The U.S. Senate passed the GOP tax

ABC News' Chief Investigative Correspondent Brian Ross is a longtime purveyor of fake news.

ABC News’ Chief Investigative Correspondent Brian Ross is a longtime purveyor of fake news.

ABC News is trying to clarify a fake news story “reported” by Brian Ross that singlehandedly tanked U.S. markets on Friday. The chief investigative correspondent claimed Lt. General Michael Flynn was prepared to testify in his cooperation with Special Counsel Robert Mueller that then-candidate Donald Trump had instructed him to reach out to Russia.

Lt. General Flynn, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) under Barack Obama and national security advisor under President Trump, was charged with making false statements to federal investigators Friday. Giddy with the prospect it would trickle up to President Trump, Ross spit unverified and false statements of his own.

Multiple aspects of the report were completely false, including that key point that it was Mr. Trump himself. As PPD and others have reported and court documents back up, it was a “senior” official, whom we now know to be Jared Kushner. More importantly, the timeline was wrong. It took place during the transition, which is normal behavior for incoming administrations who always want to “reset” relations with countries.

“During a live Special Report, ABC News reported that a confidant of Lt. General Michael Flynn was prepared to testify that then-candidate Donald Trump instructed Flynn to contact Russian officials during the campaign,” ABC News said in a tweet. “That source later clarified that during the campaign, Trump assigned Flynn and a small circle of other senior advisors to find ways to repair relations with Russia and other hot spots. It was shortly after the election, that President-elect Trump directed Flynn to contact Russian officials on topics that included working jointly against ISIS.”

In other words, then-President-elect Trump instructed Flynn to get to work on the agenda he ran on. That’s exactly what transition teams do. There’s nothing odd and certainly nothing illegal about it. But one day after the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared above 24,000 for the first time ever, this crockpot report sent it and other indices into a spiral.

Brian Ross has a long history of pushing fake news, and ABC News has a long history of pretending his “sources” later clarify false information.

John Cook at Gawker once said this about Brian Ross: “When there’s breaking news, especially about terrorism and national security, ABC News’ Brian Ross is there. And under no circumstances should you listen to anything he says.”

Mr. Ross straight cooked sources to embellish a story about the Ft. Hood shooter, Major Nidal Hasan. Ross reported he had been speaking to “people” in al-Qaeda, giving the impression the shooter was in contact with numerous people, perhaps even part of a cell. It was Anwar al-Awlaki. A monster, sure, but one person and not a cell of “people.”

He also repeatedly regurgitated former CIA agent John Kiriakou’s false claim the agency only used waterboarding once for a total of 30 seconds. As it turned out, Mr. Kiriakou wasn’t even in the same country where the secret detention centers used for waterboarding were located. The CIA waterboarded two men at the time for a total of 266 times.

Then there was the time Ross helped the Bush Administration push the invasion of Iraq, claiming anthrax was “known to have been used by only one country in producing biochemical weapons – Iraq.”

Very scary… but it’s also false.

Yet another fake news blunder came when Ross insinuated he had found out that a mass shooter was a member of the Tea Party.

“There’s a Jim Holmes of Aurora, Colorado, page on the Colorado Tea Party site as well, talking about him joining the Tea Party last year,” he said.

Bottom line: This is not a “clarification,” it’s a retraction. Everything about this irresponsible story was false and ABC News not taking action against Ross for yet another blunder makes them textbook fake news. Whether by Ross fabricated the story, was careless or just has terrible sources, Ross

ABC News is trying to clarify a

John Cornyn (R-TX) arrive to speak with reporters following the party luncheons on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S. November 14, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

John Cornyn, R-Texas, arrive to speak with reporters following the party luncheons on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S. November 14, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

Multiple Republicans in the U.S. Senate say the GOP has the votes to pass tax reform, including their numbers one and two. Speaking to reporters after a closed-door meeting, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Kty., said “we have the votes.”

“We’re confident in the 50 and we’d like to build on that,” Senator John Cornyn, R-Texas, told reporters on Friday.

If the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act passes, it would be the first overhaul to the U.S. tax code in 31 years, since President Ronald Reagan. It slashes the corporate tax rate to make U.S. businesses more competitive with overseas corporations, offers tax cuts for working families and individuals, as well as eliminates several special interest loopholes and deductions.

The bill got a boost on Thursday when Senator John McCain, R-Ariz., said in a statement he will vote “Yes” on the tax overhaul. The Arizona senator was one of a handful of Republicans uncertain about how they would vote. On Friday, his colleague Senator Jeff Flake, R-Ariz., announced he will vote in favor of the president’s signature tax reform bill.

“From the outset of the current debate on tax reform, my goal has been to ensure that Congress passes a tax reform package that is both fiscally-responsible and promotes economic growth,” Senator Flake said in a statement. “Having achieved both of those objectives, I am pleased to announce I will vote in support of the tax reform bill.”

Senator Ron Johnson, R-Wis., another key holdout, said first in a radio interview with local WISN that he secured changes in the bill relating to taxes paid by businesses. As a result, he is now a “Yes” on the legislation. He tweeted a statement.

“I’ll be voting yes on tax reform. Appreciate Senate leadership and @POTUS willingness to work to close the gap between pass-throughs & C corps,” Senator Johnson voted. “There’s a lot of work still to reconcile Senate & House bills, and I’ve been assured a seat at the table during those negotiations.”

Senator Bob Corker, R-Tenn., a holdout who wanted automatic triggers in place to re-hike taxes if growth didn’t meet projections, echoed Senator Corker’s confidence in the whip count.

Senator Susan Collins, R-Maine, didn’t say whether she would ultimately support the bill or not. However, she claimed to have won an agreement to add a limited deduction for local property taxes. She was pushing for homeowners to be able to deduct up to $10,000 in property taxes, a key demand by the housing lobby on K Street.

UPDATE: The bill has been changed to include local property tax deductions up to $10,000. To pay for it, the new plan doesn’t fully repeal the alternative minimum tax (AMT) on high-income families and would increase a one-time tax on profits held overseas by U.S.-based corporations.

The push to get above 50 votes is worthwhile for Republicans, who expect at least 3 and as many as 5 Red State Democrats to crossover and vote for the bill if it becomes clear it will pass without Vice President Mike Pence casting the tie-breaking vote.

President Donald Trump speaks to the press alongside Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R), Republican of Kentucky, in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, October 16, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

President Donald Trump speaks to the press alongside Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R), Republican of Kentucky, in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, October 16, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

President Donald Trump was in Missouri yesterday pushing his tax cut and tax reform agenda, a Red State represented by vulnerable incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill.

“If we do this, then America will win again like never before. A vote to cut taxes is a vote to put America first, again,” President Trump said. “It’s time to take care of our workers, to protect our communities and to rebuild our great country.”

Staffers and sources tell People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) they expect votes to begin late Friday.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Majority

Roofers work on new homes at a residential construction site in the west side of the Las Vegas Valley in Las Vegas, Nevada April 5, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

Roofers work on new homes at a residential construction site in the west side of the Las Vegas Valley in Las Vegas, Nevada April 5, 2013. (Photo: Reuters)

The U.S. Census Bureau said construction spending in October tripled the median economic forecast, rising 1.4% from the revised estimate in September. Worth noting, non-residential construction spending had been lagging housing in the report but was the primary driver in October.

Overall, construction spending was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,241.5 billion, up from $1,224.6 billion. That’s 2.9% (±1.6%) higher than the October 2016 estimate of $1,206.6 billion. During the first 10 months of this year, construction spending amounted to $1,029.6 billion, 4.1% (±1.2%) above the $988.8 billion for the same period in 2016.

Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $949.9 billion, 0.6% (±0.8%)* higher than the revised September estimate of $943.8 billion.

Residential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $517.7 billion in October, 0.4% (±1.3%)* above the revised September estimate of $515.4 billion. Nonresidential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $432.2 billion in October, 0.9% (±0.8%) above the revised September estimate of $428.4 billion.

In October, the estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate of public construction spending was $291.6 billion, 3.9% (±2.6%) above the revised September estimate of $280.7 billion. Educational construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $79.0 billion, 10.9% (±2.5%) above the revised September estimate of $71.2 billion. Highway construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $86.8 billion, 1.1% (±6.3%)* above the revised September estimate of $85.9 billion.

The U.S. Census Bureau said construction spending

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