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Economy

Homes are seen for sale in the northwest area of Portland, Oregon, in this file photo taken March 20, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

Homes are seen for sale in the northwest area of Portland, Oregon, in this file photo taken March 20, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (HPI) covering all 9 U.S. Census Bureau divisions showed home prices in April climbed only 0.3% and 5.7% on the year. While the rate of price increases missed the 0.6% median economic forecast, it still set records for a 5th consecutive month.

“As home prices continue rising faster than inflation, two questions are being asked: why? And, could this be a bubble?” says David M. Blitzer Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “Since demand is exceeding supply and financing is available, there is nothing right now to keep prices from going up. The increase in real, or inflation-adjusted, home prices in the last three years shows that demand is rising.”

Seattle, Portland, and Dallas reported the highest year-over-year gains among the 20 cities. In April, Seattle led the way with a 12.9% year-over-year price increase, followed by Portland with 9.3%, and Dallas with an 8.4% increase. Seven cities reported greater price increases in the year ending April 2017 versus the year ending March 2017.

“At the same time, the supply of homes for sale has barely kept pace with demand and the inventory of new or existing homes for sale shrunk down to only a four month supply,” Mr. Blitzer also said. “Adding to price pressures, mortgage rates remain close to 4% and affordability is not a significant issue.”

San Fransisco down 0.6%, Boston down 0.7% and Cleveland down 1.0% all showed weakness.

“The question is not if home prices can climb without any limit; they can’t. Rather, will home price gains gently slow or will they crash and take the economy down with them? For the moment, conditions appear favorable for avoiding a crash. Housing starts are trending higher and rising prices may encourage some homeowners to sell. Moreover, mortgage default rates are low and household debt levels are manageable. Total mortgage debt outstanding is $14.4 trillion, about $400 billion below the record set in 2008. Any increase in mortgage interest rates would dampen demand. Household finances should be able to weather a fairly large price drop.”

S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (HPI)

Politics

WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 20: U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) (C) approaches the microphones before talking with reporters with Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) (L), Sen. John Thune (R-SD) and Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn (R-TX) (R) following the weekly GOP policy luncheon at the U.S. Capitol June 20, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo: Reuters)

WASHINGTON, DC – JUNE 20: U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) (C) approaches the microphones before talking with reporters with Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) (L), Sen. John Thune (R-SD) and Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn (R-TX) (R) following the weekly GOP policy luncheon at the U.S. Capitol June 20, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo: Reuters)

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, D-Kty., has postponed the vote on the health care bill until after the July 4 recess. The delay comes a day after the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) scored H.R. 1628, Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017, the Senate amendment to the American Health Care Act (AHCA) passed by the U.S. House of Representatives in May.

UPDATE: An earlier version of this article claimed the vote was delayed until after the August recess, when in fact it was the July 4 recess. The mistake has been corrected.

“We’re going to continue the discussion,” Leader McConnell said after a closed-door meeting with Republicans where he informed them of the delay. “We will not be on the bill this week.”

The CBO and Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) said the legislation would reduce the cumulative federal deficit over the 2017-2026 period by $321 billion, about $202 billion more than the estimated net savings for the version of H.R. 1628 that was passed by the House.

The report also claimed the Senate bill would increase the number of people who are uninsured by 22 million in 2026 relative to the number under ObamaCare, slightly fewer than the increase in the number of uninsured estimated for the House-passed legislation.

Leader McConnell said he wants changes to be scored again by CBO before a vote.

Four conservative Republican senators including Ron Johnson, R-Wis., Mike Lee, R-Utah, Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Rand Paul, R-Kty., have all said they don’t support the bill in its current form. Moderate Republican senators including Susan Collins, R-Maine, and Dean Heller, R-Nev., also indicated they would not support it.

“I want to work w/ my GOP & Dem colleagues to fix the flaws in ACA,” Sen. Collins tweeted in the first of 3 tweets. “CBO analysis shows Senate bill won’t do it. I will vote no on mtp.”

The conservative Club for Growth, which backed the House version of the AHCA, said they will oppose the Senate bill. Club for Growth President David McIntosh said in a statement that it will “restore” ObamaCare, not repeal it, and create new mandates and taxes.

“Only in Washington does repeal translate to restore,” Mr. McIntosh said in email. “Because that’s exactly what the Senate GOP healthcare bill does: it restores Obamacare.

“And while it’s hard to imagine, in some ways the Senate’s legislation would make our nation’s failing healthcare system worse,” he said.
Outside conservative groups have been cool to the Senate bill, which could face a procedural vote on Wednesday. But most of the groups have held their fire so far.

McIntosh said the Club for Growth will support the bill’s passage if it makes three changes: allow insurers that sell ObamaCare plans to sell other plans that don’t comply with ObamaCare requirements or allow states to opt out of all ObamaCare regulations, allow people to pay for premiums with health savings accounts (HSAs), and repeal all ObamaCare taxes.

“Absent these reasonable changes to drive down the cost of premiums and provide consumers with more choices and more freedom, the Club for Growth will oppose the ‘Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017,’” McIntosh said.

Meanwhile, President Donald J. Trump has invited all 52 Senate Republicans to the White House on Tuesday afternoon to discuss the bill. Sen. Paul already met with President Trump on Tuesday to discuss health care.

The meeting is set for 4 p.m. ET.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, D-Kty., has

Policy

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) (Photo: Reuters)

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) (Photo: Reuters)

If I was Captain Ahab in a Herman Melville novel, my Moby Dick would be the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). I have spent more than 15 years fighting that Paris-based bureaucracy. Even to the point that the OECD threatened to throw me in a Mexican jail.

So when I had a chance earlier today to comment on the OECD’s statist agenda, I could barely contain myself.

Notwithstanding the glitch at the beginning (the perils of a producer talking in my ear), I greatly enjoyed the opportunity to castigate the OECD.

Indeed, returning to my Moby Dick analogy, I’m increasingly hopeful that the harpoons I keep throwing at the OECD may finally draw some blood.

In his budget, President Trump has proposed to cut overall spending for international organizations. And we’re talking about a real budget cut, not the phony kind of cut where spending merely grows at a slightly slower rate.

The budget doesn’t specify funding levels for the various bureaucracies, but various Administration officials have told me that their goal is to completely defund the Paris-based bureaucracy.

To quote Chris Matthews, this definitely sends a thrill up my leg.

But I’m trying not to get too excited. It’s still up to Congress to decide OECD funding, and the bureaucrats in Paris have been very clever about currying favor with the members of the subcommittee that doles out cash for international organizations.

Though as I mentioned in the interview, the OECD didn’t do itself any favors by openly trashing Trump last year. Even if they have their doubts about Trump, I suspect most GOPers in Congress aren’t happy that the bureaucrats in Paris were trying to tilt the election for Hillary Clinton.

Here are some examples.

The OECD’s number-two bureaucrat, Doug Frantz, actually equated America’s president with the former head of Germany’s National Socialist Workers Party.

The Deputy Secretary General of the OECD has described…Donald Trump as a “lunatic” whose political rise mirrors that of Hitler and Mussolini. …Speaking on RTÉ’s This Week, Doug Frantz said…“if you look at the basis ‘us and them’ that Donald Trump sets up, that Hitler set up, that Mussolini set up, then you can begin to at least be concerned and I’m concerned: I think any right-minded person should be concerned…The person who sits in the White House is the most powerful person in the world and if that person is someone who follows every whim and appeals to the most base instincts of a population, then we’re all under real threat”.

And another news report caught the OECD’s Secretary General, Angel Gurria, basically asserting that Trump is racist.

Angel Gurria, secretary general of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development  and former Mexican foreign minister,says the word “racist” can be applied to Donald Trump. …Gurria tells UpFront’s Mehdi Hasan: “I would tend to agree with those who say that this is not only misinformed, but yes, I think the word racist can be applied. I think that because the American public is wise, it will then act in consequence,” Gurria adds.

By the way, I’m making sure to share these partisan statements with lots of people in Congress and the Administration.

In an ideal world, lawmakers would defund the OECD because it is an egregious waste of money. But if they defund the bureaucracy because its top two officials tried to interfere with the US election, I’ll still be happy with the final outcome.

I’ll close by recycling the video on the OECD that I narrated for the Center for Freedom and Prosperity.

President Donald Trump and Republicans should end

Politics

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at the U.S. Cellular Center in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, U.S. June 21, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at the U.S. Cellular Center in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, U.S. June 21, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

President Donald J. Trump reacted to the unanimous decision by the Supreme Court to reinstate the travel ban until oral arguments are heard in October, 2017. The Court’s ruling on Monday largely reinstated an executive order prohibiting travel from six Muslim-majority countries

“Today’s unanimous Supreme Court decision is a clear victory for our national security,” President Trump said in a statement following the ruling. “It allows the travel suspension for the six terror-prone countries and the refugee suspension to become largely effective.”

It was a big win for the White House, politically. The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, the most liberal and overturned appellate court in the land, along with the Fourth Circuit, the second most liberal court in the land, ruled against the Trump Administration and issued injunctions. The High Court granted the Trump Administration’s request to lift those injunctions and will hear arguments in the fall.

“As President, I cannot allow people into our country who want to do us harm. I want people who can love the United States and all of its citizens, and who will be hardworking and productive,” President Trump added. “My number one responsibility as Commander in Chief is to keep the American people safe. Today’s ruling allows me to use an important tool for protecting our Nation’s homeland. I am also particularly gratified that the Supreme Court’s decision was 9-0.”

The “Executive Order Protecting The Nation From Foreign Terrorist Entry Into The United States” cited executive authority granted by the U.S. Constitution and the U.S. Congress, specifically the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) of 1952, to suspend refugee entries for 120 days.

Whenever the President finds that the entry of any aliens or of any class of aliens into the United States would be detrimental to the interests of the United States, he may by proclamation, and for such period as he shall deem necessary, suspend the entry of all aliens or any class of aliens as immigrants or nonimmigrants, or impose on the entry of aliens any restrictions he may deem to be appropriate.

However, unlike the first order that had been rescinded, it detailed categories of people eligible to enter the United States for business or medical travel purposes and no longer suspended Syrian refugee admissions, indefinitely. It also excluded Iraq.

With the Supreme Court’s ruling, the order is back in effect with the exception of those who have bona fide relations to U.S. citizens or institutions etc.

The People’s Pundit Daily (PPD Poll) Big Data Poll has repeatedly found majority support for President Trump’s executive order.

President Donald Trump reacted to the unanimous

Economy

An SUV moves through the assembly line at the General Motors Assembly Plant in Arlington, Texas June 9, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

An SUV moves through the assembly line at the General Motors Assembly Plant in Arlington, Texas June 9, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

The Dallas Federal Reserve said Monday the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey continued to expand in June, albeit at a slightly slower pace than last month. The survey found the production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell 11 points to 12.3, suggesting output was tampered back from an overheated pace than in May.

The new orders and growth rate of orders came in at 9.6 and 4.7, respectively. The capacity utilization index ticked down to 12.3, while the shipments index pulled back to 8.5 after skyrocketing last month.

The general business activity index edged down to a still-strong 15.0. The company outlook index posted a 10th consecutive positive reading but fell 9 points to 10.8.

The labor market showed continued employment gains and longer workweeks this month, a welcomed result. The employment index has now increased for a sixth consecutive month and increased to 9.6 this month. Nineteen-percent (19%) of firms reported net hiring juxtaposed to 10% reporting net layoffs. The hours worked index fell from its 6-year high last month to 8.9.

Prices and wages also rose in June, with the raw materials prices index ticking down 2 points to 15.6. The finished goods prices index fell from 5.9 to 3.6 and the wages and benefits index remained high at 21.1.

Still, expectations for future business conditions continued to improve. The index of future general business activity held steady at 31.9, while the index of future company outlook came in at 35.6, a gain of 5 points from last month.

Next release: Monday, July 31

Data were collected June 13–21, and 113 Texas manufacturers responded to the survey. The Dallas Fed conducts the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey monthly to obtain a timely assessment of the state’s factory activity. Firms are asked whether output, employment, orders, prices and other indicators increased, decreased or remained unchanged over the previous month.

Survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease. Data have been seasonally adjusted as necessary.

The Dallas Federal Reserve said Monday the

Politics

File Photo: The U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS). (Photo: Reuters)

File Photo: The U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS). (Photo: Reuters)

The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday largely reinstated President Donald J. Trump’s travel ban until oral arguments are heard in October, 2017. The two cases surrounding the ban on travelers from six Muslim-majority countries were consolidated in a ruling that is a big win for the White House.

“We grant the petitions for certiorari and grant the stay applications in part,” the Court wrote. “The clerk is directed to set a briefing schedule that will permit the cases to be heard during the first session of October Term 2017.”

The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, the most liberal and overturned appellate court in the land, along with the Fourth Circuit, the second most liberal court in the land, ruled against the Trump Administration and issued injunctions. The High Court granted the Trump Administration’s request to lift those injunctions and will hear arguments in the fall.

“The Government has made a strong showing that it is likely to succeed on the merits – that is, that the judgments below will be reversed,” an opinion on the ban filed by Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch said. “The Government has also established that failure to stay the injunctions will cause irreparable harm by interfering with its ‘compelling need to provide for the Nation’s security.’”

Anticipating a wave of lawsuits, the White House counsel addressed the concerns of the liberal activist courts that previously granted opposition a temporary stay on the first order signed by President Trump, which was rescinded.

The “Executive Order Protecting The Nation From Foreign Terrorist Entry Into The United States” specifically cited the president’s authority granted by the U.S. Constitution and the U.S. Congress, specifically the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) of 1952, to suspend refugee entries for 120 days.

Whenever the President finds that the entry of any aliens or of any class of aliens into the United States would be detrimental to the interests of the United States, he may by proclamation, and for such period as he shall deem necessary, suspend the entry of all aliens or any class of aliens as immigrants or nonimmigrants, or impose on the entry of aliens any restrictions he may deem to be appropriate.

However, unlike the first order, it detailed categories of people eligible to enter the United States for business or medical travel purposes. It also no longer suspended Syrian refugee admissions indefinitely and excluded Iraq. Still, lawyers for the state of Hawaii, the most liberal state in the country, moved for a temporary restraining order on March 15, the day before the new executive order was supposed to take effect.

With the Supreme Court’s ruling, the order is back in effect with the exception of those who have bona fide relations to U.S. citizens or institutions etc.

“We grant the Government’s applications to stay the injunctions” blocking the implementation of the ban “to the extent the injunctions prevent enforcement of Section 2(c).”

“An American individual or entity that has a bona fide relationship with a particular person seeking to enter the country as a refugee can legitimately claim concrete hardship if that person is excluded,” the Court wrote. “As to these individuals and entities, we do not disturb the injunction. But when it comes to refugees who lack any such connection to the United States, for the reasons we have set out, the balance tips in favor of the Government’s compelling need to provide for the Nation’s security.”

President Trump’s executive order came on the heels of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) revealing nearly a third of the 1,000 domestic terrorism cases currently being investigated by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) involve those admitted to the U.S. as refugees.

Officials said some of those 300 came to “infiltrate” the U.S., while others were radicalized once they were in the country.

In 2015, FBI Director James Comey said the Bureau was investigating roughly 900 terror probes including every U.S. state. But the leaked report represented the first official solid tie between the refugee resettlement program and an increase in terrorism.

The People’s Pundit Daily (PPD Poll) Big Data Poll has repeatedly found majority support for President Trump’s executive order.

[pdfviewer width=”740px” height=”849px” beta=”true/false”]https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/SCOTUS-Travel-Ban-Injunction-Decision.pdf[/pdfviewer]

The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday largely

Politics

Trinity Lutheran Church in Missouri, the plaintiff in a potential landmark First Amendment case at the U.S. Supreme Court.

Trinity Lutheran Church in Missouri, the plaintiff in a potential landmark First Amendment case at the U.S. Supreme Court.

The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday ruled 7-2 in favor of Trinity Lutheran Church in a landmark case that represents a big win for religious freedom and liberty. Justice Sonia Sotomayor dissented in an opinion larger than the majorities, with Ruth Bader Ginsburg joining the dissent.

The Missouri church backed by a conservative Christian legal group sued after being denied state taxpayer funds for a playground improvement project because of a Missouri constitutional provision barring state funding for religious entities.

In 2012, the state of Missouri began an initiative to to use recycled tires to produce softer playground surfaces. The preschool run by Trinity Lutheran Church was denied a state grant to participate in the program based on religion.

James Layton, Missouri’s former solicitor general, claimed that Trinity Lutheran “remains free, without any public subsidy, to worship, teach, pray, and practice any other aspect of its faith however it wishes. The state merely declines to offer financial support.”

Republican Gov. Eric Greitens has since changed the state policy, but Monday’s opinion could have an impact on other cases as roughly three-dozen other states have implemented similiar policies under mostly Democratic control.

The opinion, which was authored by Chief Justice John Roberts and joined by Justices Anthony Kennedy, Samuel Alito, and Elena Kagan in full, reversed the decision in favor of the state by the Eight Circuit.

Chief Justice Roberts wrote that, while the state policy “is nothing so dramatic as the denial of political office,” it is also true “the exclusion of Trinity Lutheran from a public benefit for which it is otherwise qualified, solely because it is a church, is odious to our Constitution all the same, and cannot stand.”

Justices Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch joined the opinion with the exception of a footnote reading as follows: “This case involves express discrimination based on religious identity with respect to playground resurfacing. We do not address religious uses of funding or other forms of discrimination.”

Without getting into the weeds, the footnote does not represent the official opinion of the Court.

[pdfviewer width=”740px” height=”849px” beta=”true/false”]https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Trinity-Lutheran-Church-v-Missouri.pdf[/pdfviewer]

The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday ruled

Economy

SUV parts are fabricated in the stamping facility at the General Motors Assembly Plant on June 9, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

SUV parts are fabricated in the stamping facility at the General Motors Assembly Plant on June 9, 2015. (Photo: Reuters)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined in May to -0.26, down from 0.57 in April as production-related indicators pointed to slower growth. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, fell to 0.04 in May from 0.21 in April.

The production component fell to -0.16 from a strong 0.53 last month, while the employment component declined to -0.02 from 0.12. The consumer and housing component was at -0.09 as a result of weak housing permits.

National manufacturing surveys haven’t reflected the incredibly strong growth regional factory indexes have shown. This morning, the Commerce Department also said durable goods in the U.S. fell more than expected in May.

The Chicago Business Barometer hit the highest level since November 2014, while the Empire State Manufacturing Survey rebounded strongly and crushed the median economic forecast by a factor of four. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey also easily beat the median forecast.

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)

Economy

A 787 Dreamliner being built for Air India is pictured at South Carolina Boeing final assembly building in North Charleston, South Carolina. (Photo: Reuters)

A 787 Dreamliner being built for Air India is pictured at South Carolina Boeing final assembly building in North Charleston, South Carolina. (Photo: Reuters)

The Commerce Department said Monday that durable goods orders in the U.S. fell as aircraft and the transportation component weighed down in May. The median economic forecast called for a -0.4%, but orders for long-lasting manufacturing goods fell 1.1% from April to a seasonally adjusted $228.18 billion in May.

The drop was fueled by large declines in two volatile components, a 30.8% drop in military-aircraft orders and a 11.7% drop in orders for civilian airplanes and parts. Excluding transportation, durable goods orders rose 0.1%. Excluding defense products, orders were down 0.6% from last month.

While the latest government report is weak, factory demand and activity overall has gained strength in 2017. Durable-goods orders rose 2.8% in the first five months of 2017 compared with a year earlier.

Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft–which serves as a closely-watched proxy for business investment in new equipment–fell 0.2% in May. But it was up 2.3% year-to-date.

The report also wasn’t without positives, including a strong 0.6% gain in machinery orders and a stronger 1.2% gain in orders for vehicles. The latter follows a 0.5% increase in the prior month. Shipments of vehicles are on a similar upward trend.

The Commerce Department said Monday that durable

Politics

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., hugs his wife Jane O’Meara Sanders, during the inaugural luncheon in honor of President Donald Trump at the Statuary Hall in the Capitol, Friday, Jan. 20, 2017, in Washington. (Photo: AP)

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and his wife, Jane Sanders have reported hired defense attorneys amid an FBI probe into potential bank fraud and influence-peddling. The investigation surrounds a $10 million loan the senator’s wife procured for Burlington College to purchase 33 acres of land while she was school president, as reported by Politico.

The hiring of the attorneys was confirmed to CBS News by Jeff Weaver, the campaign manager for Sanders in his bid to win the 2016 Democratic Party nomination. Sen. Sanders hired supporter Rich Cassidy to represent him, while Washington defense attorney Larry Robbins has been retained for his wife.

Mrs. Sanders purportedly distorted school donor levels in the loan application she filed to People’s United Bank. A complaint was filed to the U.S. attorney in Vermont by Brady Toensing in 2016. That same year the liberal arts college closed.

According to reports, Sen. Sanders’ office tried inappropriately to get the bank to approve the loan.

Mr. Toensing, who sent a “Request for an Investigation into Apparent Federal Bank Fraud,” led President Donald J. Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign in the state. However, the investigation started under the Obama Administration.

“I filed a request for an investigation in January 2016 and an investigation appears to have been started right away,” he said in an email. “It was started under President Obama, his Attorney General, and his U.S. Attorney, all of whom are Democrats.”

“My only hope is for a fair, impartial, and thorough investigation,” Mr. Toensing added.

Sen. Sanders previously called the allegations “nonsense,” but last month during an interview with Kyle Midura of Burlington TV station WCAX he was pressed and his response was noticeably different. He added that commenting on the matter would be “improper.”

“Well, as you know, it would be improp— this implication came from Donald Trump’s campaign manager in Vermont,” Sen. Sanders said. “ Let me leave it at that, because it would be improper at this point for me to say anything more.”

Midura followed up: “You’ve previously said it was nonsense.”

“Yes, it is nonsense,” he acknowledged. “But now that there is a process going on, which was initiated by Trump’s campaign manager, somebody who does this all of the time, has gone after a number of Democrats and progressives in this state. It would be improper at this point for me to add any more to that.”

Sen. Bernie Sanders and his wife Jane

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