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Then-Director of National Intelligence James Clapper testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2016, before a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on worldwide threats. (Photo: AP)

Then-Director of National Intelligence James Clapper testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2016, before a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on worldwide threats. (Photo: AP)

James R. Clapper, the former Director of National Intelligence, stood by his previous assessment that there is no evidence of collusion between Donald Trump and Russia. When asked by Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., the Chairman of the Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Terrorism, if his prior statement is still his judgement today, he responded simply.

“It is.”

As the nation’s former top spy, Mr. Clapper for nearly 7 years was the bottleneck through which all agency intelligence was funneled through, including during the Obama Administration’s probe into potential “collusion” between members of the Trump campaign and Russia officials.

Former acting Attorney General Sally Yates at first refused to answer the question on the grounds she might reveal classified information, but then added a caveat that her refusal to do so doesn’t mean that she is suggesting there’s evidence.

Worth noting, neither Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas., nor Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., even brought up a question related to potential collusion. They also sit on the Senate Intelligence Committee, which gives them access to raw intel data that paints a more complete picture than the information than can be shared in public during a hearing or even with other committee members behind closed doors.

Lt. General Michael Flynn, the former national security advisor, was fired after it was revealed he misled Vice President Mike Pence over a conversation he had with a Russian ambassador. The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) reportedly cleared Mr. Flynn of any wrongdoing in regards to the content of the phone call, which is what members of the subcommittee focused on during the hearing.

James Clapper, the former Director of National

President Donald J. Trump and House Speaker Paul Ryan., R-Wis., in the Rose Garden at the White House in Washington, Thursday, May 4, 2017, after Republicans in the House passed through the ObamaCare repeal bill, the American Health Care Act (AHCA). (Photo: AP)

President Donald J. Trump and House Speaker Paul Ryan., R-Wis., in the Rose Garden at the White House in Washington, Thursday, May 4, 2017, after Republicans in the House passed through the ObamaCare repeal bill, the American Health Care Act (AHCA). (Photo: AP)

ObamaCare architect Jonathan Gruber on Fox News Sunday blamed President Donald Trump for the collapse of individual insurance markets in certain states.

But is there any truth to this claim?

“Professor Gruber, in Iowa there is now only one insurance company left in all but five counties in Iowa and they just announced that they’re thinking of dropping out which means there would be no insurance companies for the marketplace in all but five counties in Iowa,” host Chris Wallace said.

Gruber, who infamously said on video Democrats relied upon “the stupidity of American voter” to pass the health care law, blamed the current president and was immediately challenged by Wallace.

“And whose fault is this?” he asked Wallace in response. “Before President Trump was elected, there were no counties in America that did not have an insurer. Since President Trump’s been elected, a massive … ”

Wallace interrupted: “Wait, you’re going to blame the problems with ObamaCare on President Trump?”

Gruber, an MIT economist, knows full well insurers make decisions to pull out of individual markets roughly a year before.

For instance, United HealthGroup Inc. (NYSE:UNH), the nation’s largest insurer, announced in April 2016 it was withdrawing from all but a “handful” of exchanges in 2017. Stephen J. Hemsley, Chief Executive Officer of UnitedHealth Group, said during the announcement last year the “co-operatives have failed” and were just too risky.

Humana (NYSE:HUM) said in early August 2016 that it would reduce its participation on the exchanges from 15 to just 11 states.

Later that same month, Aetna (NYSE:AET), the nation’s third largest insurer, announced what was then the most significant withdrawal from the ObamaCare marketplaces. Chairman and CEO Mark T. Bertolini cited the number of payers that had already decided to stop selling plans in 2015 and 2016 to argue this was an industry-wide trend indicating collapse.

More than 40 payers of various sizes have similarly chosen to stop selling plans in one or more rating areas in the individual public exchanges over the 2015 and 2016 plan years, collectively exiting hundreds of rating areas in more than 30 states.

As a result of these decisions, many counties in the country have no insurers offering Americans individual plans. Iowa, the state Wallace was referencing, has suffered a total collapse of the individual market. We are now seeing the real-world impact of those decisions, which were made way before President Trump took the Oath of Office.

At that time, he was warning the American voter, whom Gruber thinks so highly of, that this was the inevitable result of the law. Worse than Gruber’s claim being false is that he knows it to be so. When challenged, he said the President “undercut enrollment,” presumably referencing his executive order directing the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to no longer enforce the penalty for not buying insurance established by the individual mandate.

That is more than a stretch, it’s irrelevant. Enforcement of the mandate as a practical matter had to be suspended for those who no longer even have options.

Gruber’s claim is egregiously false.

[brid video=”138376″ player=”2077″ title=”Obamacare Architect Blames Trump For ObamaCare Failing”]

Fact-checking ObamaCare architect Jonathan Gruber's claim President

[brid video=”138376″ player=”2077″ title=”Obamacare Architect Blames Trump For ObamaCare Failing”]

Jonathan Gruber, the MIT economist and architect of ObamaCare, is still relying on the “stupidity of the American voter” to enable Democrats to blame Donald Trump for the law’s failure. On Fox News Sunday, Gruber, blamed the current president for the news last week that Iowa will lose the last insurer to provide individual insurance plans next year.

“Professor Gruber, in Iowa there is now only one insurance company left in all but five counties in Iowa and they just announced that they’re thinking of dropping out which means there would be no insurance companies for the marketplace in all but five counties in Iowa,” Wallace said.

Gruber, who infamously said on video Democrats relied upon the ignorance of Americans to pass the health care law, blamed the current president.

“And whose fault is this?” he said to Wallace. “Before President Trump was elected, there were no counties in America that did not have an insurer. Since President Trump’s been elected, a massive … ”

Wallace interrupted: “Wait, you’re going to blame the problems with Obamacare on President Trump?”

Gruber went on to argue insurance companies wanted to participate markets and still made money, though they say otherwise. Further, insurers began to pull out of the ObamaCare exchanges well before President Trump ever took office.

United HealthGroup Inc. (NYSE:UNH), the nation’s largest insurer, announced in April 2016 it would bail on all but a “handful” of ObamaCare exchanges in 2017.

“In recent weeks, growth expectations for individual exchange participation have tempered industrywide, co-operatives have failed, and market data has signaled higher risks and more difficulties while our own claims experience has deteriorated, so we are taking this proactive step,” Stephen J. Hemsley, chief executive officer of UnitedHealth Group said during the announcement.

A few months later in August, Aetna (NYSE:AET), the nation’s third largest insurer, announced what was then the most significant withdrawal from the marketplaces set up by ObamaCare.

“Following a thorough business review and in light of a second-quarter pretax loss of $200 million and total pretax losses of more than $430 million since January 2014 in our individual products, we have decided to reduce our individual public exchange presence in 2017, which will limit our financial exposure moving forward,” Aetna Chairman and CEO Mark T. Bertolini said in a statement at the time. “More than 40 payers of various sizes have similarly chosen to stop selling plans in one or more rating areas in the individual public exchanges over the 2015 and 2016 plan years, collectively exiting hundreds of rating areas in more than 30 states.”

Humana (NYSE:HUM) said earlier that month it would reduce its participation on the exchanges from 15 states to just 11 . As a result of these decisions, many counties in the country have no insurers offering Americans plans, while states like Iowa have seen a total collapse of the individual market.

Last week, Medica, the last insurer in the Hawkeye State, announced it cannot do business in the state anymore.

“Without swift action by the state or Congress to provide stability to Iowa’s individual insurance market, Medica will not be able to serve the citizens of Iowa in the manner and breadth that we do today. We are examining the potential of limited offerings, but our ability to stay in the Iowa insurance market in any capacity is in question at this point,” the company’s statement said.

The same decision to pull out of Iowa’s individual health insurance market for 2018 has already been made by Aetna and Wellmark Blue Cross & Blue Shield. Medica Vice President Geoff Bartsh said in an interview on Wednesday his company lost $1.5 million covering 14,000 Iowans last year, and couldn’t afford to take on tens of thousands more from the other two carriers.

Those companies are the only three choices Iowans had for individual health insurance in most areas of the state.

“The real issue is that our healthcare system is more screwed up because government now is playing a bigger role,” contends CATO economist and PPD contributor Dan Mitchell. “And keep in mind that fixing the problem means a lot more than simply repealing ObamaCare.”

Jonathan Gruber, the chief architect of ObamaCare,

Businesswoman wrapped in red tape. (Occupational Licensing Graphic)

Businesswoman wrapped in red tape. (Occupational Licensing Graphic)

What word best describes the actions of government? Would it be greed? How about thuggery? Or cronyism? Writing for Reason, Eric Boehm has a story showing that “all of the above” may be the right answer.

At first it seems like a story about government greed.

When Mats Järlström’s wife got snagged by one of Oregon’s red light cameras in 2013, he challenged the ticket by questioning the timing of the yellow lights at intersections where cameras had been installed. Since then, his research into red light cameras has earned him attention in local and national media—in 2014, he presented his evidence on an episode of “60 Minutes”…on how too-short yellow lights were making money for the state by putting the public’s safety at risk.

Three cheers for Mr. Järlström. Just like Jay Beeber, he’s fighting against local governments that put lives at risk by using red-light cameras as a revenue-raising scam.

But then it became a story about government thuggery.

…the Oregon State Board of Examiners for Engineering and Land Surveying…threatened him. Citing state laws that make it illegal to practice engineering without a license, the board told Järlström that even calling himself an “electronics engineer” and the use of the phrase “I am an engineer” in his letter were enough to “create violations.” Apparently the threats weren’t enough, because the board follow-up in January of this year by officially fining Järlström $500 for the supposed crime of “practicing engineering without being registered.”

Gasp, imagine the horror of having unregistered engineers roaming the state! Though one imagines that the government’s real goal is to punish Järlström for threatening its red-light revenue racket.

But if you continue reading the story, it’s also about cronyism. The Board apparently wants to stifle competition, even if it means trying to prevent people from making true statements.

Järlström is…arguing that it’s unconstitutional to prevent someone from doing math without the government’s permission. …The notion that it’s somehow illegal for Järlström to call himself an engineer is absurd. He has a degree in electrical engineering from Sweden… it’s not the first time the Oregon State Board of Examiners for Engineering and Land Surveying has been overly aggressive…the state board investigated Portland City Commissioner Dan Saltzman in 2014 for publishing a campaign pamphlet that mentioned Saltzman’s background as an “environmental engineer.” Saltzman has a bachelor’s degree in environmental and civil engineering from Cornell University, a master’s degree from MIT’s School of Civil Engineering, and is a membership of the American Society of Civil Engineers

In other words, this is yet another example of how politicians and special interests use “occupational licensing” as a scam.

The politicians get to impose “fees” in exchange for letting people practice a profession.

And the interest groups get to impose barriers that limit competition.

A win-win situation, at least if you’re not a taxpayer or consumer.

Or a poor person who wants to get a job.

Some of the examples of occupational licensing would be funny if it wasn’t for the fact that people are being denied the right to engage in voluntary exchange.

Such as barriers against people who want to help deaf people communicate.

If you want to help a deaf person communicate in Wisconsin, you’ll have to get permission from the state government first. Wisconsin is one of a handful of states to require a license for sign language interpreters, and the state also issues licenses for interior designers, bartenders, and dieticians despite no clear evidence that any of those professions constitute a risk to public health in other states without similar licensing rules. …It’s hard to imagine any health and safety benefits to mandatory licensing for sign language interpreters, which is one of eight licenses highlighted in a new report from Wisconsin Institute of Law and Liberty, a conservative group. …Since 1996, the number of licensed professions in the Badger State has grown from 90 to 166—an increase of 84 percent, according to the report. Licensing cost Wisconsin more than 30,000 jobs over the last 20 years and adds an additional $1.9 billion annually in consumer costs.

Or restricting the economic liberty of dog walkers.

…according to the Colorado government, people who watch pets for money are breaking the law unless if they can get licensed as a commercial kennel—a requirement that is costly and unrealistic for people working out of their homes, often as a side job. This is not simply a case of an outdated law failing to accommodate modern technology. There are more nefarious motives—those of special interests who want to protect their profits by keeping out new competition. …it is time to add “Big Kennel” to the list of special interests that support ridiculous occupational licensing schemes.

Or trying to deny rights, as in the case of horse masseuses.

…an Arizona state licensing board finally backed down from an expensive, unnecessary mandate that nearly forced three women to give up their careers as animal masseuses. …the Arizona State Veterinary Medical Examining Board said it would no longer require animal massage practitioners, who provide therapeutic services to dogs, horses, and other animals, to obtain a veterinary license. Obtaining that license requires years of post-graduate schooling, which can cost as much as $250,000. “All I want is the freedom to do my job, and I have that now,” Celeste Kelly, one of three plaintiffs in the lawsuit, said in a statement. …the state board tried to driver her out of business by threatening her with fines and jail time if she didn’t get a veterinary license.

The good news is that there’s a growing campaign to get rid of these disgusting restrictions of voluntary exchange.

The acting head of the Federal Trade Commission is getting involved. On the right side of the issue!

Maureen K. Ohlhausen, the new acting chair of the Federal Trade Commission, thinks it’s high time that the FTC start giving more than lip service to its traditional mandate of fostering economic liberty. And the first item in her crosshairs is the burgeoning growth in occupational licenses. Over the past several decades, licensing requirements have multiplied like rabbits, she noted. Only 5 percent of the workforce needed a license in 1950, but somewhere between one-quarter and one-third of all American workers need one today. …depending on where you live, you might need a license to be an auctioneer, interior designer, makeup artist, hair braider, potato shipper, massage therapist or manicurist. “The health and safety arguments about why these occupations need to be licensed range from dubious to ridiculous,” Ohlhausen said. “I challenge anyone to explain why the state has a legitimate interest in protecting the public from rogue interior designers carpet-bombing living rooms with ugly throw pillows.”

Hooray for Ms. Ohlhausen. She’s directing the FTC to do something productive, which is a nice change of pace for a bureaucracy that has been infamous in past years for absurd enforcement of counterproductive antitrust laws.

column in the Wall Street Journal highlights Mississippi’s reforms.

State lawmakers in Mississippi are taking the need for reform to heart. Two weeks ago Gov. Phil Bryant signed into law H.B. 1425, which will significantly rein in licensing boards. …H.B. 1425 explicitly endorses competition and says that the state’s policy is to “use the least restrictive regulation necessary to protect consumers from present, significant and substantiated harms.” Under the law, the governor, the secretary of state, and the attorney general must review and approve all new regulations from professional licensing boards to ensure compliance with the new legal standard. This should be a model for other states. …Mississippi’s law…covers all licensing boards controlled by industry participants, spells out a pro-competition test, and requires new rules to be approved by elected officials accountable to voters. Mississippi has smartly targeted the core problem: Anticompetitive regulations harm the economy, slow job growth, and raise consumer prices.

Here’s some of the national data in the WSJ column.

Keep in mind, as you read these numbers, that poor people disproportionately suffer as a result of these regulatory barriers to work.

In the 1950s only about 1 in 20 American workers needed a license, but now roughly 1 in 4 do. This puts a real burden on the economy. A 2012 study by the Institute for Justice examined 102 low-income and middle-income occupations. The average license cost $209 and required nine months of training and one state exam. …Even the Obama administration saw the problem. A 2015 report from the White House said that licensing can “reduce employment opportunities and lower wages for excluded workers.” In 2011 three academic economists estimated that these barriers have result in 2.85 million fewer jobs nationwide, while costing consumers $203 billion a year thanks to decreased competition.

Professor Tyler Cowen explains in Time that licensing laws explain in part the worrisome decline in mobility in America.

Some of the decline in labor mobility may stem from…the growth of occupational licensure. While once only doctors and medical professionals required licenses to practice, now it is barbers, interior decorators, electricians, and yoga trainers. More and more of these licensing restrictions are added on, but few are ever taken away, in part because the already licensed established professionals lobby for the continuation of the restrictions. In such a world, it is harder to move into a new state and, without preparation and a good deal of investment, set up a new business in a licensed area.

Last but not least, we have a candidate for the Bureaucrat Hall of Fame. Elizabeth Nolan Brown explains for Reason that a paper pusher in Florida managed to use occupational licensing fees as a tool of self-enrichment.

In Palm Beach County, Florida, all topless dancers are required to register with county officials and obtain an Adult Entertainment Work Identification Card (AEIC), at the cost of $75 per year. The regulation is ridiculous for a lot of reasons, but at least applicants—many of whom are paid exclusively in cash—were able to pay the government-ID fee with cash, too, making things a little more convenient and a little less privacy-invading. But not anymore, thanks to the alleged actions of one sticky-fingered government employee. …Pedemy “diverted” at least $28,875 (and possibly an additional $3,305) from county coffers between October 2013 and mid-November 2016. The money came from both adult-entertainer fees—approximately 70 percent of which were paid in cash—and court-ordered payments intended for a crime Victims Services Fund.

At the end of the article, Ms. Brown looks at the bigger issue and asks what possible public purpose is being served by stripper licensing.

Demanding strippers be licensed in the first place is a problem… There’s no legitimate public-safety or consumer-protection element to the requirement—strip club patrons don’t care if the woman wriggling on their laps is properly permitted. Government officials have portrayed the measure as a means to stop human trafficking and the exploitation of minors, but that’s ludicrous; anyone willing to force someone else into sex or labor and circumvent much more serious rules with regard to age limits isn’t going to suddenly take pause over an occupational licensing rule they’ll have to skirt. The only ones truly affected are sex workers and adult-business owners. Not only does the regulation drive up their costs…, it gives Palm Beach regulators a database of anyone who’s ever taken their clothes off for money locally—leaving these records open to FOIA requests or hackers—and gives cops a pretense to check clubs at random to make sure there aren’t any unlicensed dancers. Those found to be dancing without a license can be arrested on a misdemeanor criminal charge.

Though I guess we shouldn’t be too surprised. If you peruse “Sex and Government,” you’ll find that politicians and bureaucrats like to stick their noses in all sorts of inappropriate places. Including the vital state interest of whether topless women should be allowed to cut hair without a license!

CATO economist Dan Mitchell lays out more

Emmanuel Macron, head of the political movement En Marche !, or Onwards !, and candidate for the 2017 presidential election, attends a campaign rally in Lyon, France, February 4, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

Emmanuel Macron, head of the political movement En Marche !, or Onwards !, and candidate for the 2017 presidential election, attends a campaign rally in Lyon, France, February 4, 2017. (Photo: Reuters)

With 80% of the votes counted, Emmanuel Macron defeated Marine Le Pen 64% to 36% on Sunday to win the French presidential election.

The pro-European Union Macron was painted by the media as a centrist and a political newcomer, while the “Frexit”-promising Len Pen was painted as the far right candidate. Neither are accurate depictions of where the candidates stood on the issues.

“A new page in our long history is opening tonight. I want it to be one of hope and renewed confidence,” Mr. Macron said. “I know the divisions in our nation that led some to extreme votes. I respect them. I know the anger, the anxiety, the doubts that a large number of you also expressed. It is my responsibility to hear them.”

With his victory. 39-year-old investment banker became the youngest president in the 59-year-history of the French Fifth Republic.

Macron, while leftwing, proposed a reform agenda that would only reduce the burden of government spending to 52% of economic output, down from about 57% today. While Le Pen ran opposed to unfettered immigration from Islamic countries, she was rather liberal on every other issue, particularly on the size and scope of government. She is a big-government nativist who wanted to preserve the welfare state.

Le Pen was the leading candidate in the first round of voting, but all other political powers and coalition backed Macron to keeping her and her National Front party out of power. Despite her loss, her vote totals are historic for the movement she represents and she immediately turned her attention to the upcoming parliamentary elections in June.

Macron will need a working majority to govern effectively, but Le Pen said her “historic and massive” score turned her party into “the leading opposition force against the new president’s plans.”

“I call on all patriots to join us,” Le Pen said. “France will need you more than ever in the months ahead.”

She claimed she would receive 11 million votes. If true, that would be double the support her father and National Front co-founder Jean-Marie Le Pen ever had during the same period of the 2002 presidential election.

“Now we enter combat,” said Didier Roxel, a National Front legislative candidate.

With 80% of the votes counted, Emmanuel

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives to a rally, Wednesday, Sept. 14, 2016, in Canton, Ohio. (Photo: AP)

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives to a rally, Wednesday, Sept. 14, 2016, in Canton, Ohio. (Photo: AP)

A big majority of Ohio voters approve of the job that President Donald J. Trump is doing and Democrat incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown is in deep trouble. The PPD Buckeye State Battleground Poll finds voters approve of President Trump by a large 10-point margin, 53% to 43%, while feelings about Gov. John Kasich are far more mixed.

Gov. Kasich, who was one of President Trump’s most vocal rivals during the 2016 Republican nomination (and general election), now enjoys only 47% approval in Ohio and 47% disapprove. The demographics show the governor has a lot of work to do among reliably Republican voters.

President Trump carried the battleground state of Ohio over Hillary Clinton by the largest margin since George H. W. Bush rode Ronald Reagan’s coattails in the 1988 presidential election. He took 51.8% of the vote to just 43.7% for Clinton. Now, Josh Mandel leads Sen. Brown 49% to 44%, making it a steep uphill climb for the Democrat in the 2018 midterm elections.

[wpdatatable id=94]

Sixty-two percent (62%) of white voters in Ohio approve of the job the president is doing, while just 54% approve of the job their governor is going. Fifty-seven (57%) back Mandel over Brown. Ten percent of black votes in the Buckeye State approve of the president, 7% of the governor, and 5% will back Mandel. Brown enjoys 90% support among blacks for his reelection.

Unlike other oft-cited surveys, PPD Battleground State Polls pegged President Trump’s victories on the statewide level in all but two states we identified as battlegrounds within tens of percentage points, including Florida, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In Ohio, we underestimated his support by about 4 points.

The People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) Sunshine State Battleground Poll released earlier this week finds President Trump’s approval rating in Florida far above water. In his adopted state, 52% approve of the job he is doing as president juxtaposed to 45% who disapprove. Our final PPD Sunshine State Battleground Poll released on Nov. 6 found him leading Hillary Clinton by 1.6%, rounded up to two points.

He won by 1.2%.

If he was up for reelection today, it is highly likely President Trump would carry the states of Florida and Ohio, again.

The PPD Poll follows level 1 AAPOR standards of disclosure and WAPOR/ESOMAR code of conduct. All publicly released surveys are subscriber– and individual reader donations-funded, not sponsored by any other media outlet, partisan or political entity.

The national poll was conducted from April 27 to May 3 and are based on 1561 interviews of likely voters participating in the PPD Internet Polling Panel. The Sunshine State Battleground Poll, a subsample of the PPD Battleground State Likely Voter Metrics, are collected in separate state-wide samples.

The PPD Poll has a 95% confidence interval and is not weighted based on party affiliation (party ID), but rather demographics from the U.S. Census Current Population Survey–i.e. age, gender, race, income, education and region. Partisan affiliation is derived from a proprietary likely voter model and demographic weighting, not the other way around.

The sample identified a partisan split of 38.6% Republican, 36.7% Democrat and 24.7% Independent/Other. Read about methodology here.

A big majority of Ohio voters approve

[brid video=”137895″ player=”2077″ title=”Donald J. Trump First 100 Days The Ad the Corrupt Media Refuses to Run”]

In an unprecedented and ironic act of censorship, CNN, CBS, ABC, and NBC have all decided you cannot see the ad “Donald J. Trump – First 100 Days” on their airwaves.

The ad was produced by Jamestown Associates, a firm that played a big role in producing highly effective online and television ads for the 2016 election cycle

“No matter your ideology, the notion of censorship should send a chill up your spine. The First Amendment is first for a reason – no right is more fundamental and inherently American than freedom of speech,” the group said in an emailed statement to People’s Pundit Daily. “To our knowledge, this has never happened before… And, fortunately, the internet is not subject to the mainstream media’s censorship.”

Big Media outlets hate the fact President Trump, whom they used to love before he ran for office, has finally unmasked them. His candidacy and now administration has ended the charade of them parading around like respectable objective journalists. Each and every one of these “news” organizations have prominent journalists who have been completely exposed as bias.

From left to right: Andrea Mitchell, a longtime Clinton ally who cried on Election Day; Wolf Blitzer, a CNN anchor who took suggestions from the DNC before interviewing Trump; far leftwing MSNBC anshor Rachel Maddow; former Clinton lackey George Stephanopoulos; and CBS 60 Minutes anchor Scott Pelley, who repeatedly cut tape in interviews to cover for WikiLeaks revelations.

From left to right: Andrea Mitchell, a longtime Clinton ally who cried on Election Day; Wolf Blitzer, a CNN anchor who took suggestions from the DNC before interviewing Trump; far leftwing MSNBC anshor Rachel Maddow; former Clinton lackey George Stephanopoulos; and CBS 60 Minutes anchor Scott Pelley, who repeatedly cut tape in interviews to cover for WikiLeaks revelations.

NBC anchor Andrea Mitchell, a longtime Clinton ally who cried on election night when President Trump won, has played a pivotal albeit lackey role in the formation of the Russian “collusion” story. This was hatched almost immediately by Democrats, many of whom were in the Clinton campaign, as a way to undermine the legitimacy of the Trump presidency.

To this day, there remains no evidence anyone in the Trump campaign worked with Russia to leak damaging (but true) information during the election. Yet, she continues to this very day.

Perceived leftwing bias at CNN has long earned it the nickname the “Clinton News Network,” but WikiLeaks emails revealed complete corruption and collusion. The emails show the DNC actually gave CNN anchors Wolf Blizter and Jake Tapper suggestions and questions to help their narrative before interviews with then-candidate Mr. Trump.

Chuck Todd, one of NBC’s “senior” political analysts, helped former and now-disgraced DNC chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz squash Morning Joe from covering emails showing they had a Clinton bias over Bernie Sanders. There were repeated emails with storylines to Todd suggesting that they might be good stories to tell about Trump during the campaign.

Of course, it was NBC News themselves who illegally leaked the Access Hollywood tape to the Trump-hating Washington Post right before the WikiLeaks dump was expected.

Far leftwing MSNBC anchor Rachel Maddow… enough said.

George Stephanopoulos has long posed as an objective journalist hosting “This Week” on ABC News. In reality, he’s a former Clinton lackey who owes his very existence in politics to Bill and Hillary Clinton.

CBS 60 Minutes anchor Scott Pelley willingly cut tape in interviews to cover for WikiLeaks revelations. Their coverage got so pathetic they were relegated to covering the activity of Reddit users who were unhappy with WikiLeaks over the dump.

CNN, CBS, ABC, and NBC have all

Incumbent President Harry Truman holds up a Chicago Tribune headline stating that he had been defeated by Thomas E. Dewey, the Republican candidate in the 1948 presidential election.

Incumbent President Harry Truman holds up a Chicago Tribune headline stating that he had been defeated by Thomas E. Dewey, the Republican candidate in the 1948 presidential election.

The 2016 presidential election wasn’t the first major polling blunder in U.S. politics, but it does appear to be the one in which pollsters lost the public trust. President Donald J. Trump easily defeated Hillary Clinton in the Electoral College by carrying states Republicans haven’t carried since the 1980s.

In several of them–including Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania–he trailed outside the average margin of error.

In 1948, Gallup had incumbent Democratic President Harry S. Truman trailing Republican Thomas E. Dewey by five points in their final survey, 49.5% to 44.5%.

Dewey lost.

But Gallup was the only serious pollster in the 1940s and even the former “Gold Standard” is going to be wrong from time to time. Gallup would go on to earn back what little trust they lost in the elections to follow, only to decide not to even poll presidential elections after they misfired in 2012. Now, Big Media has a plethora of polls to cherrypick from for their reports.

But Americans aren’t buying it anymore.

A new survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 3-4, 2017, shows just how badly the polling industry is viewed by Americans. A meager 26% say they trust most political polls juxtaposed to 55% who do not. Nineteen percent (19%) indicated they were undecided.

Worse still, only roughly a third (35%) believe most pollsters are interested in accurately reporting Americans’ public opinions in an unbiased manner when they poll on President Trump. Forty-three percent (43%) think most pollsters are trying to block the president from passing his agenda, while 12% say most are trying to help.

Majorities of Republicans (66%) and unaffiliated voters (56%) do not trust most political polls, and while Democrats agree, it’s a far tighter 44% to 36% margin. Americans also feel pollsters are just like journalists, liberals living in a bubble who want the rest of the nation to think the way they do. Only 25% of all voters feel the average pollster is ideologically close to them, with 35% saying they are more liberal.

Unsurprisingly, Republicans are far more likely than the others to feel as if the average pollster is more liberal than they are.

“There are too many polls and not enough pollsters,” R. D. Baris, the head of polling at People’s Pundit Daily said. “Not all polls perform equally and not all should be given equal consideration. In fact, there are numerous big name polling firms often cited by network and cable news that don’t even deserve any recognition, at all.”

Worth noting, Rasmussen Reports was widely criticized for showing a much tighter race at the national level than other pollsters. But both Real Clear Politics and American Research Group admitted their national poll was most accurate as it relates to the nationwide popular vote. Now, they continue to show the President’s approval rating higher than most surveys, as does PPD.

The People’s Pundit Daily (PPD) Battleground State Polls were the most accurate Electoral College polls in 2016, and it wasn’t even close. We were also frequently criticized for going against the Big Media grain, but we outperformed even some of our own goals and expectations.

The final PPD Keystone State Battleground Poll released on November 6 found Mr. Trump taking 48.4% of the vote to Hillary Clinton’s 47.8%, a statistical tie that nearly nailed the margin exactly. In Florida, where we are based, the final PPD Sunshine State Battleground Poll found Mr. Trump leading by 1.6% rounded up to two points. He carried the state by about 1.2%.

In Colorado, the final PPD Rocky Mountain Battleground State Poll found Mrs. Clinton leading Mr. Trump by 3 points, 48% to 45%. She won by 3 points, 47% to 44%. The final PPD Tar Heel State Battleground Poll found Mr. Trump leading by 3 points, 49% to 46%. He won by 4 points, 51% to 47%.

The most recent PPD Sunshine State Battleground Poll released earlier this week finds President Trump’s approval rating in Florida far above his national numbers, 52% to 45%. By adjusting the findings according to the demographics of each, our best estimate of how the counties would vote if the President was up for reelection today finds it is highly likely he would carry the nation’s largest battleground state, again.

As Mr. Baris noted, many of the media-favorite pollsters had the President trailing in every single battleground state–including Public Policy Polling (PPP), the Monmouth Poll, the Quinnipiac Poll and YouGov.

These firms also met with similiar debacles during the 2014 midterm elections, the worst being misses by PPP in the Virginia Senate race and YouGov in the Maryland gubernatorial election.

“No pollster is going to have a perfect record, but at some point these same repeat offenders should just stop embarrassing themselves. They are damaging the industry as a whole,” Mr. Baris added. “If Big Media was ethical they would cite them with disclaimers. Americans are rightfully ignoring them until they prove their worth and earn back the public trust.”

“The jig is up.”

The 2016 presidential election wasn't the first

Barack Obama, center, talks with advisor Ben Rhodes, to his right, at the White House. (Photo: Reuters)

Barack Obama, center, talks with advisor Ben Rhodes, to his right, at the White House. (Photo: Reuters)

One of the points I repeatedly make is that big government breeds corruption for the simple reason that politicians have more power to reward friends and punish enemies.

It’s especially nauseating when big companies learn that they can get in bed with big government in order to obtain unearned wealth with bailoutssubsidiesprotectionism, and other examples of cronyism.

And these odious forms of government intervention reduce our living standards by distorting the allocation of labor and capital.

But just as crime is bad for society but good for criminals, it’s also true that cronyism is bad for the economy and good for cronies.

Two professors at the University of the Illinois decided to measure the “value” of cronyism for politically connected companies.

Gaining political access can be of significant value for corporations, particularly since governments play an increasingly prominent role in influencing firms. Governments affect economic activities not only through regulations, but also by playing the role of customers, financiers, and partners of firms in the private sector. …Therefore, gaining and maintaining access to influential policymakers can be an important source of competitive advantage… In this paper, we investigate the characteristics of firms with political access as well as the valuation effects of political access for corporations. Using a novel dataset of White House visitor logs, we identify top corporate executives of S&P 1500 firms that have face-to-face meetings with high-level federal government officials. …We match the names of visitors in the White House visitor logs to the names of corporate executives of S&P1500 firms during the period from January 2009 through December 2015. We are able to identify 2,286 meetings between corporate executives and federal government officials at the White House.

And what did they find?

That cronyism is lucrative (I deliberately chose that word rather than “profitable” because money that it legitimately earned is very honorable).

Here are some of the findings.

…we find that firms that contributed more to Obama’s presidential election campaigns are more likely to have access to the White House. We also find that firms that spend more on lobbying, firms that receive more government contracts… Second, we find that corporate executives’ meetings with White House officials are followed by significant positive cumulative abnormal returns (CARs). For example, the CAR is about 0.865% during a 51-day window surrounding the meetings (i.e., 10 days before to 40 days after the meetings). We also find that the result is driven mainly by meetings with the President and his top aides.

For those interested, here are the companies that had a lot of interaction with the Obama White House.

And here are the officials that they met with.

For what it’s worth, I would be especially suspicious of the meetings with Valerie Jarrett and the three Chiefs of Staff. Those officials are political operatives rather than policy experts, so companies meeting with them were probably looking for favors.

Interestingly, it turns out that it wasn’t a good idea for companies to “invest” a lot of time and effort into cultivating relationships with Democrats.

…we exploit the election of Donald J. Trump as the 45th President of the U.S. as a shock to political access. We find that firms with access to the Obama administration experience significantly lower stock returns following the release of the election result than otherwise similar firms. The economic magnitude is nontrivial as well: after controlling for various factors that are likely correlated with firms’ political activities, such as campaign contributions, lobbying expenses, and government contracts, the stocks of firms with access to the Obama administration underperform the stocks of otherwise similar firms by about 80 basis points in the three days immediately following the election.

Though I guess you can’t blame the companies. Most observers (including me, though not PPD) expected Hillary to win, so the firms were simply playing the odds (albeit from an amoral perspective).

By the way, there are two very important caveats to share.

  • First, we can’t universally assume that corporate executives who met with White House officials were seeking special favors. They may simply have been urging the Obama Administration not to raise taxes or impose new regulations (i.e., honorable forms of lobbying).
  • Second, we can’t assume that the bad forms of lobbying have disappeared simply because there’s a Republican in the White House. As we saw during the Bush years, the GOP is more than capable of creating opportunities for unearned wealth by expanding the size and scope government.

For what it’s worth, I fear Trump will be tempted to play favorites as well. Which is why the real message for today is that smaller government is the only way to limit the corrupt interaction of big business and big government.

This image from the libertarian page on Reddit illustrates why my leftist buddies are naive to think that a bigger government will be a weapon against cronyism.

 

Just as crime is bad for society

People browse booths at a military veterans' job fair in Carson, California October 3, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

People browse booths at a military veterans’ job fair in Carson, California October 3, 2014. (Photo: Reuters)

The Labor Department said the U.S. economy added 211,000 jobs in April and the unemployment rate fell to a 10-year low at 4.4%, easily beating the median forecast. Economists were expecting around 185,000 jobs to be created last month after a revised 79,000 in March.

But instead the jobs report marks the third 200,000 plus reading so far this year.

The labor force participation rate, at 62.9 percent, changed little in April and has shown little movement over the past year. The employment-population ratio, at 60.2 percent, was also little changed over the month but was up by 0.5 percentage point since December.

In April, 1.5 million persons were still marginally attached to the labor force, but that’s down 181,000 from a year earlier. Among those, there were 455,000 discouraged workers, down by 113,000 from a year earlier.

The April jobs report is welcome news to working Americans and President Donald J. Trump, who just wrapped up his first 100 days in office. Working Americans overwhelmingly voted for the New York businessman with the belief he could get the economy firing on all four cylinders again.

Despite the weakness in the previous report, it is true that President Trump saw the strongest job creation in his first 100 days than his prior three predecessors.

100 Days Job Creation Trump Obama Bush Clinton

100 Days Job Creation Trump Obama Bush Clinton. Source: BLS

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for February was revised up from +219,000 to +232,000. But it’s not just the number, as we’ve seen during the period of recovery following the Great Recession, but the jobs that make up the number.

Employment in mining rose by 9,000 in April after struggling hitting a recent low in October 2016. Now, mining has added 44,000 jobs. While construction (+6,877) and manufacturing (12,396) showed slower growth than in the previous three months, the higher-paying sectors are trending higher after years of seeing little gains to frequent losses.

Wages, average hourly earnings, rose a decent 0.3% in the month, but fell 1 tenth to a very soft 2.5% for the previous 12 months.

The Labor Department said the U.S. economy

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