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Opinion

Hillary-Clinton-Bill-Clinton-Arizona

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, right, and former President Bill Clinton in Phoenix, Ariz.

Last weekend, Hillary Clinton dispatched her husband, former President Bill Clinton, to offer a defense of her alleged espionage. The espionage allegations against her are that in order to escape public and Obama administration scrutiny, she had all of her emails as secretary of state diverted from a secure government server to a non-secure server in her home in Chappaqua, New York, and, in so doing, failed to protect state secrets in at least 2,200 instances during her four-year tenure.

The essence of her husband’s defense is that the secrets were not secrets when she saw them and the investigation of her is all “a game.”

We know that the FBI is getting closer to Hillary Clinton, because Bill Clinton had not addressed her email issues publicly before last weekend. The defense he offered belies the facts and the law.

He argued that prosecuting his wife over her emails is akin to prosecuting someone for driving a car in a 50-mile-per-hour zone at 40 mph because the police have arbitrarily and without notice changed the speed limit to 35 mph.

The implication in his argument is that Mrs. Clinton’s emails were retroactively classified as confidential, secret or top-secret after she received or sent them and therefore she had no notice of their sensitivity.

His argument is unavailing for two reasons. The first is that it is untrue. Emails are confidential, secret or top-secret at the time they are created, whether marked or not.

The second reason is that Mrs. Clinton signed an oath on her first full day as secretary of state — after she received a two-hour tutorial from two FBI agents on the proper care and lawful handling of state secrets. In that oath, she acknowledged that she had an obligation to recognize and protect state secrets on the basis of the sensitive nature of the information contained in them — whether they bore classified warnings or markings or not.

State secrets are materials that, if revealed, could harm the national security of the United States.

Bill Clinton’s speed zone example, if true, would be a profound violation of due process, the foundation of which is notice. In a free society, for a prosecution to be successful, the government must show that the defendant had notice of the behavior expected of her. Hence, changing the speed limit without notice would be a profound violation of due process and fatal to a prosecution for speeding.

His example is not even remotely analogous to Mrs. Clinton’s behavior while secretary of state.

Why did he address this last Saturday?

He probably did so for two reasons. The first is that people in Hillary Clinton’s inner circle from her time as secretary of state have been offered interviews by the FBI. They all hired the same lawyer, and with that lawyer, they are in the process of answering FBI questions. Bill Clinton — for whom the FBI once worked — knows that the investigation will soon be at his wife’s doorstep, and he wanted to get her version out to Democratic primary voters.

The second reason for Mr. Clinton’s broadside relates to an obscure but profound admission by the Department of Justice. Here is the back story.

One of the 39 Freedom of Information Act lawsuits brought in connection with Mrs. Clinton’s email scandal was filed recently by Jason Leopold, a reporter for Vice News. He seeks copies of the emails Clinton tried unsuccessfully to wipe clean from her server, as well as copies of communications between the DOJ and Mrs. Clinton.

The DOJ moved to dismiss his lawsuit, and in support of its motion, it filed a secret affidavit with the court, signed by an FBI agent familiar with the bureau’s investigation of Mrs. Clinton. In its brief filed the day before Mr. Clinton made his silly speeding prosecution analogy, the DOJ — which also once worked for him — characterized the secret affidavit as a summary of the investigation of Mrs. Clinton. The DOJ argued that compliance with Leopold’s FOIA request would jeopardize that investigation by exposing parts of it prematurely.

In the same brief, the DOJ referred to the investigation of Mrs. Clinton as a law enforcement proceeding.

That was the first public acknowledgment by the DOJ that it is investigating criminal behavior — a law enforcement proceeding — and it directly contradicts Mrs. Clinton’s oft-repeated assertions that the FBI investigation is merely a routine review of the State Department’s classification procedures.

Many in the legal and intelligence communities have discounted her assertions because reviewing classification procedures of the State Department is not a function of the FBI, but now we have the government’s own words that its investigation of Mrs. Clinton’s email handling is one implicating law enforcement. Since that late Friday filing, Mrs. Clinton has ceased referring publicly to the FBI probe as an evaluation of the State Department’s security procedures.

Perhaps she should tell her husband what was on that server before she tries to use him as a not-so-secret weapon.

Perhaps she now recognizes how hard-pressed she will be to claim to the FBI or to a jury that she did not know that satellite photos of a North Korean nuclear facility or transcripts from wiretaps of Yemeni intelligence agents’ cellphone calls or the itinerary of the late U.S. Ambassador to Libya Chris Stevens in the days before his murder or true names of American undercover intelligence agents — all of which were in her emails — were state secrets.

Perhaps she knows now that this is not a game.

Last weekend, Hillary Clinton dispatched her secret

Opinion

Donald-Trump-Indianapolis-Indiana

Donald Trump speaks during his rally at the Indiana Farmers Coliseum in Indianapolis on Wednesday. His speech railed against current US trade policy. (Photo: IDS)

Republican party leaders may have worried that Donald Trump would not only lose the general election for the presidency, but would so poison the image of the party as to cause Republican candidates for Congress and for state and local offices to also lose. Now they seem to be trying to patch things up, in order to present an image of unity before the general elections this fall.

Regardless of how that attempt at patching up an image turns out, Trump’s candidacy could be not only a current political setback for Republicans, but an enduring affliction in future elections.

For decades after Republican President Herbert Hoover was demonized because the Great Depression of the 1930s began on his watch, Democrats warned repeatedly, in a series of later presidential elections, that a vote for the Republican candidate was a vote to return to the days of Herbert Hoover.

It was 20 years before another Republican was elected president. As late as the 1980s, President Ronald Reagan was called by the Democrats’ Speaker of the House, “Hoover with a smile.” When a high official of the Reagan administration appeared before Congress to explain the administration’s policy, a Democratic Senator said, “That’s Hoover talk, man!”

Actually, it was a policy proposal the opposite of that of the Hoover administration, but who in politics worries about the truth? The point is that Hoover was still being used as a bogeyman, more than 40 years after he left office, and nearly two decades after he was dead. Trump’s image could easily play a very similar role.

The political damage of Donald Trump to the Republican party is completely overshadowed by the damage he can do to the country and to the world, with his unending reckless and irresponsible statements. Just this week, Trump blithely remarked that South Korea should be left to its own defenses.

Whatever the merits or demerits of that as a policy, announcing it to the whole world in advance risks encouraging North Korea to invade South Korea — as it did back in 1950, after careless words by a high American official left the impression that South Korea was not included in the American defense perimeter against the Communists in the Pacific.

The old World War II phrase — “loose lips sink ships” — applies on land as well as on the water. And no one has looser lips than Donald Trump, who repeatedly spouts whatever half-baked idea pops into his head. A man in his 60s has life-long habits that are not likely to change. Age brings habits, even if it does not bring maturity.

Nations around the world risk their own survival when they ally themselves with the United States in the fight against international terrorists — and we need their cooperation in that fight, in order to track down hidden terrorists and the hidden money that finances them.

If nations cannot have confidence in American commitments and American leadership, we are not likely to get their cooperation. And the stakes are life and death.

What the Republican establishment once feared most — that Trump would lose the nomination and run on a third party — now seems to be a danger that has passed. But a far larger danger to something far more important, American society, is that Trump could be elected President of the United States.

Those who talk about “the will of the people” need to know that neither Donald Trump nor Hillary Clinton represents the will of the people. Polls repeatedly show these two with the highest negative reactions of any of the candidates in either party. A majority of the people polled have negative reactions to each.

Hillary Clinton’s much-vaunted “experience” has been an experience in carrying out a policy that has failed disastrously from the Middle East to Ukraine to North Korea. We don’t need more of that kind of experience.

What was once feared most by the Republican establishment — a third party candidate for President — may represent the only slim chance for saving this country from a catastrophic administration in an age of proliferating nuclear weapons.

If a third party candidate could divide the vote enough to prevent anyone from getting an electoral college majority, that would throw the election into the House of Representatives, where any semblance of sanity could produce a better president than these two.
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Republican leaders may have worried that Donald

Politics

Donald-Trump-Indiana-New-York

Donald Trump gives his victory speech the night of the Indiana Republican primary on Tuesday May 3 at Trump Tower in New York. (Photo: Mary Altaffer/Associated Press)

Donald Trump, the billionaire real estate mogul from New York City who was repeatedly dismissed, ridiculed and mocked by the punditocracy, is now the presumptive Republican nominee. Make no mistake, Mr. Trump has accomplished the extraordinary. The 2016 Republican presidential field was the deepest bench the party put in front of the voters in recent memory, perhaps ever.

From Texas Sen. Ted Cruz to Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, the voters chose from movement conservative icons to sitting governors to the brother and son of two former presidents. Yet, it was a political novice who emerged the winner currently on track to receive more popular votes than any other Republican primary candidate in history. And he did it with a 17-strong field.

For the pundits, we will release the promised and highly anticipated list exposing the “Worst Pundits of 2016.” Before we do, let this be a warning to the talking heads: Stop pretending you know what you’re talking about. You don’t. Now that Mr. Trump has sown it up beyond your grasp, it’s time for your mouths to close and your ears to open. Network and cable news panelists, pontificators and prognosticator have proven themselves to be the most incompetent group of professionals in any sector of the U.S. economy.

Let me attempt to provide some clarity as to what was behind this historical event because, let’s face it, Donald Trump made fools of the professional pundit class. With the exception of only a handful of voices, such as former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, not one of you geniuses saw this coming. To his credit, Charles Krauthammer, the former speechwriter for Walter Mondale now-turned “conservative” syndicated columnist, at the very least displayed an ability to admit he was wrong.

Still, Speaker Gingrich, who is first and foremost a historian, is truly the exception. Pretentious, condescending and hubris are a few words that come to mind as I wrestle with how to describe the punditry’s reaction to the Trump phenomena. What we witnessed this cycle was nothing less than the machinations of a desperate class of elitists forced to face the reality of their own increasing irrelevance. Election 2016 will go down in history as the cycle all of you mediates figured out you didn’t matter and would no longer be permitted to manipulate voters.

What did you miss?

The very first mistake you made was failing to take a man who built a multi-billion dollar business seriously. In fact, you took him for a fool, a “clown” and a “baffoon.” The Huffington Post relegated coverage of Mr. Trump, still a major party candidate who led in national polling since the summer, to the entertainment section. The only cable news station Republican primary voters bother to turn on booked and lined up one tool after another to attack Mr. Trump over his positions on immigration, trade and the economy.

Believing phony polling numbers, as all of you in the Beltway do, you were blind to the fact everyone outside the Beltway supports those positions. Worth noting, the left-to-right pile on that followed his call to temporarily ban non-U.S. Muslim immigration was widely popular, something I explained before a single caucus or primary vote was cast.

The same was true of the phony outrage that followed remarks by Dr. Ben Carson, who flat-out said what most average Americans know to be true–by the book Islam isn’t compatible with the U.S. Constitution. The vast majority of Americans–not just Republican primary voters–agree with Dr. Carson.

Well, who are the fools, the clowns and the baffoons now?

The bottom line is that Mr. Trump championed the issues that Main Street Americans care most deeply about won the debate months ago. Exit polls repeatedly found Mr. Trump dominating among voters who made up their minds a month or more before the election and they almost always outnumbered late-deciders.

The issues Mr. Trump was brilliant enough to raise are the same issues career politicians have been afraid to support for years, particularly Republicans. If the Republican consultant class has learned anything about the politics of immigration this cycle, it should be that voters view immigration as an economic issue. Trade workers in Michigan don’t believe illegal immigrants only fill jobs American workers aren’t willing to fill because they are too busy watching their friends and family get outbid by a crew who will work for half the pay.

Working class Americans in Indiana don’t want to hear about how afraid of a trade war you are with China because, unlike them, you don’t have to worry about your job being in jeopardy. While your biggest concern may be how much money you have left in your pocket for a latte in the event the cost of goods rises, they have to worry about having the money to buy a new pair of pants, never mind how deep their pockets are.

In the future, don’t ever prematurely mistake anger for irrational behavior. That is to say, simply because voters are angry doesn’t mean that their anger isn’t justified or even rational. American national government is a representative republic, but for too long the ruling class has not only failed to represent those they feed off of like parasites, but have actively worked to subvert their happiness and way of life.

Last but not least, you forgot your place. Ultimately, you deluded yourself until thinking you matter more than you truly do. For too many years, Americans no doubt have allowed members of the media to do much of the thinking for them. But that’s was never because they are incapable of making their own decisions, but rather what I referred to in my book as “rational ignorance.” They are simply too damn busy to follow politics on a daily basis, which is the way politicians and your media sycophants like them.

But when policy (or a lack thereof) begins to personally impact their lives on a negative level, it is inevitable for them to begin to care. Donald Trump inspired them to care again, to engage in a process many had abandoned because they didn’t have a champion. With a champion, they awoke from their slumber to force you to realize you mistook that lack of engagement for stupidity.

The difference between stupidity and ignorance is the ability to learn and understand. Which one are you?

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The People's Pundit explains how Donald Trump,

Economy

jobs-fair-weekly-jobs-report

An unemployed American speaks to a recruiter at a jobs fair. (Photo: Mark Ralston AFP/Getty)

The payroll processing firm ADP said Thursday that only 156,000 people were added to private sector payrolls in April, way below the median estimate for 196,000. In March, the previously reported payrolls were revised lower by 6,000, down to 194,000.

“The Trade, Transportation and Utilities sector had its best month of employment gains since last June,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, VP and head of the ADP Research Institute. “Steady employment growth and accelerating wage growth in the workforce appear to be benefitting the Trade segment in particular.”

Continuing an unfortunate trend for wages, low-paying jobs paved the way for job creation in April. Service-providing employment opportunities, which are lower-paying jobs, rose by 191,000 jobs in March, down from 204,000 in February. The ADP National Employment Report indicates that professional/business services contributed 28,000 jobs, down sharply from February’s 51,000. Trade/transportation/utilities grew by 42,000, well above the 24,000 jobs added the previous month.

Financial activities added 14,000 jobs which is in line with the average monthly increase in that sector over the past year.

“The job market continues on its amazing streak. The March job gain of 200,000 is consistent with average monthly job growth of the past more than four years,”Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said. “The only industry reducing payrolls is energy as has been the case for over a year. All indications are that the job machine will remain in high gear.”

The ADP National Employment Report is published monthly by the ADP Research Institute in close collaboration with Moody’s Analytics and its experienced team of labor market researchers. The ADP National Employment Report provides a monthly snapshot of U.S. nonfarm private sector employment based on actual transactional payroll data.

The payroll processing firm ADP said that

Economy

post-office-service-sector-reuters

(PHOTO: REUTERS)

The Non-Manufacturing Report on Business, the Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of service-sector growth, increased to 55.7 last month from 54.5 in March. The reading also topped the expectation for a reading of 54.7.

Readings above 50 in the NMI indicate expansion, while those below point to contraction.

The Business Activity Index in April registered 58.8%, a decrease of 1 percentage point from March’s reading of 59.8%. However, this marks growth in business activity for the 81st consecutive month. Employment activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in April for the second consecutive month, up 2.7% to 53.

Non-Manufacturing Sector Industry Performance

The 13 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in April — listed in order — are: Information; Management of Companies & Support Services; Accommodation & Food Services; Wholesale Trade; Health Care & Social Assistance; Utilities; Finance & Insurance; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Construction; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Public Administration; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Retail Trade. The four industries reporting contraction in April are: Other Services; Mining; Transportation & Warehousing; and Educational Services.

ISM® NON-MANUFACTURING SURVEY RESULTS AT A GLANCE
COMPARISON OF ISM® NON-MANUFACTURING AND ISM® MANUFACTURING SURVEYS*
APRIL 2016
Non-Manufacturing Manufacturing
Index Series
Index
Apr		 Series
Index
Mar		 Percent
Point
Change		 Direction Rate
of
Change		 Trend**
(Months)		 Series
Index
Apr		 Series
Index
Mar		 Percent
Point
Change
NMI®/PMI® 55.7 54.5 +1.2 Growing Faster 75 50.8 51.8 -1.0
Business Activity/Production 58.8 59.8 -1.0 Growing Slower 81 54.2 55.3 -1.1
New Orders 59.9 56.7 +3.2 Growing Faster 81 55.8 58.3 -2.5
Employment 53.0 50.3 +2.7 Growing Faster 2 49.2 48.1 +1.1
Supplier Deliveries 51.0 51.0 0.0 Slowing Same 4 49.1 50.2 -1.1
Inventories 54.0 52.5 +1.5 Growing Faster 13 45.5 47.0 -1.5
Prices 53.4 49.1 +4.3 Increasing From
Decreasing		 1 59.0 51.5 +7.5
Backlog of Orders 51.5 52.0 -0.5 Growing Slower 4 50.5 51.0 -0.5
New Export Orders 56.5 58.5 -2.0 Growing Slower 3 52.5 52.0 +0.5
Imports 54.0 53.0 +1.0 Growing Faster 3 50.0 49.5 +0.5
Inventory Sentiment 61.0 62.5 -1.5 Too High Slower 227 N/A N/A N/A
Customers’ Inventories N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 46.0 49.0 -3.0
Overall Economy Growing Faster 81
Non-Manufacturing Sector Growing Faster 75

* Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for Business Activity, New Orders, Prices and Employment Indexes. Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for New Orders, Production, Employment and Supplier Deliveries.

The Non-Manufacturing Report on Business, the Institute

Video

[brid video=”36473″ player=”2077″ title=”So Honorable Donald Trump Praises Ted Cruz in Victory Speech Indiana Victory Speech May 3rd 2016″]

In a speech on Tuesday, Donald Trump responded to his big Indiana victory, vowing to bring the party together and praising his closest rival Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. Mr. Trump, who defied the political odds, easily won the Hoosier State on Tuesday and is now the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party.

“What Ted did tonight was brave and it was a good thing,” Mr. Trump said. “Ted is one hell of a competitor. He’s a tough, smart guy.”

In a speech on Tuesday, Donald Trump

Video

[brid video=”36468″ player=”2077″ title=”FNN Bernie Sanders Reacts to Indiana Win FULL”]

Sen. Bernie Sanders responded to his big win in the Indiana Democratic primary, vowing to continue to fight on and arguing superdelegates should rethink their support.

“In understand Secretary Clinton thinks this campaign is over,” Sen. Sanders said to reporters following the race being called. “I’ve got some bad news for her. She’s wrong.”

Last weekend, Sen. Sanders said the nomination would be decided at a contested convention, making his most forceful argument to and against superdelegates this cycle.

Sen. Bernie Sanders responded to his big

Opinion

Trump-Clinton-NY

New York businessman Donald Trump, right, and Hillary Rodham Clinton, left, campaign for their party nomination on the trail. (Photos: AP/Getty)

The Republican and Democratic presidential nominees have been chosen. Ignore the deluded supporters of Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz. It’s over. The odds at ElectionBettingOdds.com make it clear: It will be Donald vs. Hillary.

A closer contest would be: Who will bankrupt America first, Trump or Clinton?

Trump’s a contender because he promises a trade war. That’s what gave us the Great Depression. Trump claims that China is “raping” America. No, Donald, rape is force. Your proposed tariffs are also force. Trade is voluntary and good. Big difference.

Clinton might bankrupt America first, however, because Democrats promise more regulation and handouts — free college, free pre-K, higher minimum wage, etc. Similar activist government spending just destroyed Puerto Rico.

This week, Puerto Rico defaulted on $370 million worth of bonds.

The territory’s “generous” government squandered the island’s resources. Decades of leftist governors hired their friends. In Puerto Rico and Greece, about one in four workers works for government, compared to 14.6 percent in the mainland U.S.

Puerto Rico’s current governor points out that Puerto Ricans enjoy 30 days of paid vacation every year, 18 sick days and 14 paid holidays. That’s about two months paid leave every year. No wonder businesses wither.

The government gives “free” energy to government-owned enterprises. This encouraged “investments” like the government-owned ice rink. Yes, ice skating was what bureaucrats thought the tropical island needed. Maybe they saw that movie, “Cool Runnings,” and thought winter sports in the tropics sounded fun.

Puerto Rico’s long reliance on handouts and welfare created a culture of helplessness and entitlement. A U.S. inspector general found that some Puerto Ricans got Social Security disability payments because of their “inability to communicate in English.” Really. They live on a Spanish-speaking island.

After years of decline, one Puerto Rican governor tried to do the right thing. Luis Fortuno, a free market guy who admired Ronald Reagan, froze government salaries, cut spending by 20 percent, eliminated some stupid regulations and fired 17,000 government workers. At the time, 250 policemen did nothing but approve liquor licenses.

Fortuno’s policies might have helped the economy, but voters didn’t like the cuts. Thousands of union protesters held demonstrations outside his house, calling him a Nazi. Fortuno was defeated in the 2012 election by a leftist, Garcia Padilla.

Padilla pledged to “create 50,000 jobs.” But governments don’t create real jobs. Padilla destroyed jobs by doing things like raising corporate taxes. As the island went broke, he promised to “cut down on tax evasion,” “create two working groups to find ways to boost liquidity,” and so on.

Give me a break.

This week, former governor Fortuno emailed me, “The territory’s government increased expenses by almost 10 percent in 2013. That move commenced a downward spiral.”

Now, more than a thousand Puerto Ricans leave the island every week for places with slightly less-bad politicians. But this will make life even tougher for Puerto Ricans left behind. Government having fewer suckers to tax makes it even harder to pay the bills.

Puerto Rico’s debt has risen in the past 15 years from 60 percent to 100 percent of its gross domestic product. If it were a country, its fiscal situation would be about as bad as that of Greece. Like Greece, Puerto Rico is discovering that, eventually, other people get tired of bailing you out.

A group of hedge funds issued a report recommending going farther down the free market path Fortuno started on. They call for further simplification of labor regulations, cutting the number of government workers and privatizing government-run firms.

But some in Congress, warning of a “humanitarian crisis,” want to bail the island out instead. Fortuno says that’s a terrible idea. “That would reward irresponsible behavior.”

It would. The real solution is to build a future in which bailouts aren’t necessary, in which growing businesses, not government spending projects, flourish.

I hope Clinton and Trump learn something by watching other economies fail before the entire U.S. ends up like Puerto Rico and Greece.

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I hope Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump

Elections

Hillary-Clinton-Bernie-Sanders-Getty

Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton, left, and Vermont socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders, right. (Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images; Joshua Lott/Getty Images)

Vermont socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders has defeated frontrunner Hillary Clinton in the Indiana Democratic primary with overwhelming support from independents. While the Hoosier State served to secure the nomination with Republican frontrunner Donald Trump, independent-leaning Democrats and Democratic primary voters are clearly not resigned to Mrs. Clinton, though she has an overwhelming delegate lead.

Sen. Sanders last weekend vowed to bring the battle for the nomination to a contested convention. While the exit polls appeared to be off on both sides of the aisle, the electorate still appeared to be more liberal than is historically typical for Indiana.

Sixty-seven percent of Democratic voters were self-described liberals in the exit poll results, compared with 62% on average in previous Democratic contests to date. Twenty-seven percent were “very” liberal, similar to previous races and another comparatively strong Sanders group; the difference in Indiana was that he won them by 64-36 percent, compared with 50-50 in earlier contests this year.

While the talk of party division from mediates has focused on the Republican race, it was clear that voters in Indiana have not resigned to voting for Mrs. Clinton. While she has secured 90% of the delegates needed to secure the nomination, the lead is far smaller without superdelegates. Plagued by trust issues and a lack of excitement, the Clinton campaign faces stronger than anticipated opposition in California, which votes on June 7.

Fifty-eight percent in Indiana exit polls said Sen. Sanders was the more inspiring candidate, juxtaposed to just 4 in 10 who chose Mrs. Clinton. Sen. Sanders’ result was close to his best on this question measured at 59% in Wisconsin.

The Clinton campaign sought to downplay expectations heading into the state, which they admitted

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has defeated frontrunner

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