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Internal Revenue Service (IRS) headquarters building in Washington D.C. (Photo: AP)

My opinion on taxing corporate income varies with my mood. When I’m in a fiery-libertarian phase, I want to abolish taxes on corporate income for the simple reason that all income taxes should be eliminated. Heck, I would also eliminate October 3 from the calendar because that’s the awful day in 1913 that the income tax was signed into low.

But when I’m going through a pragmatic-libertarian phase, I grudgingly accept that my fantasies won’t be realized and focus on incremental reform. And that means I want a simple and fair system like the flat tax, which is based on the principle that all income should be taxed, but only one time and at one low rate.

And that means corporate income should be taxed.

That being said, while it may be appropriate to tax corporate income, that does not mean the U.S. corporate income tax is ideal.

That’s the bad news.

The good news is that all of these problems can be solved with a flat tax, which would rip off the current corporate income tax and replace it with a very simple, low-rate system that properly measures income (i.e., expensing and territorial taxation) and taxes it only one time (i.e., no double taxation).

By the way, corporate income can be taxed without a corporate income tax. Simply tax the income when it is distributed to shareholders (the people who own the company) instead of taxing it at the business level. The goal, of course, is to make sure it no longer gets taxed twice.

A good business tax system isn’t a fantasy. Jurisdictions such as Estonia and Hong Kong have business tax systems that are very close to the aforementioned ideal. And it goes without saying that jurisdictions such as Bermuda, Monaco, and the Cayman Islands. are even better since they fulfill my dream of no income tax whatsoever.

With this background on good business tax policy, let’s now look at some contentious issues and see how they should be addressed.

We’ll start with the kerfuffle over companies that don’t pay tax, a controversy that was triggered by a somewhat disingenuous report from the Government Accountability Office.

One of the takeaway headlines from the GAO report is the supposedly startling revelation that 70 percent of corporations paid no tax.

But Aparna Mathur of the American Enterprise Institute explained the real story, which is that they didn’t pay tax because they didn’t have profits.

In 2012, out of 1.6 million corporate tax returns, only 51% were returns that had positive “net incomes,” and only 32% were returns that had positive “incomes subject to tax.” …“income subject to tax” allows companies with positive “net incomes” to claim an additional deduction as a result of prior-year operating losses. These losses can be carried forward to offset taxable incomes in years when firms are making a profit or have positive net incomes; this is known as a net operating loss deduction (NOLD). For 2012, the data show that approximately 20% of companies with positive “net incomes” (or profits) claimed a net operating loss deduction resulting in a zero tax liability.

There’s a bit of jargon in that passage, but the main thing to understand is that companies get to use losses from one year to offset profits from another year, which means – for all intents and purposes – that the government’s definition of taxable income does a better job of measuring profits over a longer period of time.

Here are some more details.

…the data shows two things: first, the GAO claim that 70% of companies paid no income tax is largely because more than 50% of these companies had zero profits or net incomes, and therefore they had zero tax liability. Secondly, some of these currently “profitable” (positive net income) companies have experienced large losses in prior years. For these companies, the NOL deduction allowed them to reduce their tax liability to zero. …The intent of this provision is, for example, to avoid a company with 5 years of consecutive operating losses of $20 million each having to pay income tax in year 6 simply because it realizes income of $20 million in that year. The principle underlying NOLD is intended to allow companies to get out of the hole of accumulated losses before the government can start claiming…the company’s income.

Her conclusion is completely sensible and appropriate.

…the GAO clearly acknowledges that the reason 70% of companies are paying no taxes is because they are either not currently profitable or they are able to offset taxes because of prior-year losses.

The Tax Foundation also has weighed in on this issue.

…the Government Accountability Office (GAO) published a report on corporate income taxes, which found that 19.5 percent of “profitable large corporations” paid zero corporate income taxes in 2012. …Should you be…outraged…about the number of U.S. corporations that pay no corporate income tax? In fact, there is good reason to think that many of the corporations that the GAO identifies as “profitable” did not actually earn a profit. In such cases, it would have been a mistake to collect corporate income taxes from these companies.

Echoing the explanation from Ms. Mathur, the Tax Foundations makes the same point about current year profits being offset by prior years’ losses, but also add a few additional reasons why “profitable” companies aren’t paying tax.

…some of the corporations that were categorized as “profitable” by the GAO in 2012 did not actually earn positive profits in the United States. …To the extent that some of the “profitable” corporations in the GAO report earned only foreign profits, rather than domestic profits, it is entirely reasonable that these corporations should not be subject to any U.S. corporate tax burden.

Particularly since they already are paying lots of tax on their foreign-source income to foreign governments.

There’s also the issue of depreciation, which journalists always have a hard time understanding.

…when calculating a corporation’s economic profit, it is appropriate to treat the entire cost of an investment as a current year expense. …imagine a corporation with $1 million in operating profits and $2 million in investment costs. Depending on how much of the investment the corporation treats as a current-year expense, the corporation could be making a large profit, no profit, or negative profit.

The bottom line is that you have look closely at how government defines “profit” to correctly ascertain whether companies are somehow avoiding taxation.

And in most cases, you’ll discover that the firms that don’t pay tax are the ones that don’t actually have income, properly defined.

…some U.S. corporations with positive book income might have negative taxable income: not because of any tricks or loopholes, but simply because the tax code operates under different accounting rules. …there are real, legitimate reasons why a “profitable” corporation would not and should not be required to pay corporate income taxes in a given year.

Now let’s return to the issue of double taxation, which occurs when income is taxed at the business level and then a second time when distributed as dividends to shareholders.

The Tax Foundation nicely summarize the issues in a new study, including some much-deserved focus on how this creates a bias for debt.

…income that is earned by corporations and funded by equity (stocks) is subject to a double tax: once on the corporate level, when it is earned, and once on the shareholder level, when it is distributed as dividends. The double taxation of equity-financed corporate income leads to several major economic distortions. It encourages investors to shift their investments from corporate to non-corporate businesses, leading to a less efficient allocation of capital. Furthermore, it incentivizes corporations to fund their operations with debt, rather than equity, leading to excessive leverage.

The solution, needless to say, is something called “corporate integration,” which is simply a wonky way of saying that income should be taxed only one time.

Corporate integration refers to a set of proposals to standardize the taxation of business income across legal forms and methods of financing. The chief advantage of corporate integration is that it would end the double taxation of equity-financed corporate income… The principle of tax neutrality – that a tax system should neither encourage nor discourage specific economic decisions – is embraced by public policy scholars throughout the political spectrum. Corporate integration – taxing all business income at the same top rate, regardless of the legal form of the business or how the income was financed – would minimize the economic distortions created by the U.S. tax code and conform to the principle of neutrality.

Here’s a chart showing how neutrality is violated by double taxing income that is generated by equity. Once again, there’s a bit of jargon, but the main thing to understand is that companies deduct interest payments they make to bondholders, so there’s a tax at the household level but no tax at the business level. But they can’t deduct dividend payments, which effectively means the company is taxed on that money in addition to the household paying tax as well.

The Tax Foundation helpfully suggests how this inequity could be resolved. Allow companies to deduct dividend payments, just as they now deduct interest payments.

Perhaps the simplest way to integrate the corporate and individual tax codes would be to tax dividends received by individuals at ordinary income rates and allow corporations to deduct all of their dividends paid.

Incidentally, this would basically mean that there’s no longer a corporate income tax, though (as discussed above) all corporate income would still be taxed (at the household level).

Let’s close by looking at two pieces of legislation and applying the lessons we’ve learned.

Congressman Devin Nunes (R-CA) has legislation that would address many of the problems outlined above. Here’s how the Tax Foundation describes his plan.

Major elements of his plan are: Cutting the corporate income tax to 25 percent; Limiting the top tax rate on non-corporate business income to 25 percent; Allowing businesses to deduct investment costs when they occur (full expensing); Eliminating most business tax credits and many deductions; Moving to a territorial tax system like most developed nations; …Applying the same tax-rate limitation to individuals’ interest income as now applies to their capital gains and dividend income; and Eliminating the individual and corporate alternative minimum taxes (AMTs).

Wow, that’s fixing many of the problems outlined above.

But here’s the catch. To make the numbers add up, he gets rid of the bias for debt. But he does it by adding a second layer of taxation to interest income rather than abolishing the second layer of tax on dividend income.

The Nunes plan would not let nonfinancial businesses deduct interest payments, but would not tax them on interest receipts. It would generally not allow individuals to deduct interest payments, except that home mortgage interest would remain deductible, and it would apply the same tax-rate limitation to individuals’ interest income as to dividends (top rate of 20 percent). These changes would have a mixed effect on tax biases. On the one hand, they would lessen the tax distortion at the corporate level between debt and equity financing. Because debt is riskier than equity (debt payments are legally required regardless of business cash flow), corporate businesses would be better able to weather economic adversity if the tax system did not push them so strongly toward debt financing. On the other hand, the changes would mean that corporate returns financed through debt would be taxed at both the corporate and individual levels, as is now the case with corporate equity.

For what it’s worth, the Tax Foundation projects that Cong. Nunes’ plan would be very beneficial to growth and job creation, so the benefits of the good reforms are much larger than the harm associated with extending double taxation to interest payments.

That sounds right to me, particularly when you include the fact that companies will make sounder decisions once there’s no longer a bias for debt.

Last but not least, let’s review some recent legislation from Congressman Tom Emmer (R-MN).

Here’s what Americans for Tax Reform wrote about his proposal.

Currently, the U.S. corporate rate is the highest amongst the 34 country Organisation for Economic Development (OECD). At 39 percent, it far exceeds the OECD average rate of 25 percent, and is even further behind developed countries like Ireland, Canada, and the U.K. which have rates of 20 percent or less. The CREATE Jobs act would fix this by reducing the U.S. corporate rate to five points below the OECD average and creating a process by which the U.S. rate is regularly reviewed to ensure economic competitiveness. …bringing the rate below the OECD average would have strong and immediate effects. A 20 percent U.S. corporate rate could create more than 600,000 jobs, increase GDP by 3.3 percent, and increase wages by 2.8 percent over the long-term, according to the Tax Foundation.

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Corporate income can be taxed without a

Trump-Clinton-NY

New York businessman Donald Trump, right, and Hillary Rodham Clinton, left, campaign for their party nomination on the trail. (Photos: AP/Getty)

According to a new Indiana primary poll, frontrunners Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton hold leads over their rivals in the Hoosier State. The races on both sides of the aisle are tight, but Mr. Trump leads his closest rival Texas Sen. Ted Cruz outside the margin of error while Mrs. Clinton is in a statistical tie with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

The WTHR/HPI Indiana Primary Poll finds Mr. Trump with a 6-point lead over Sen. Cruz, 37% to 31%. Ohio Gov. John Kasich, who has yet to win a single state outside of his own, is running third with 22% of the vote. The poll also suggests there could be record turnout for Republicans in the Indiana primary, which will favor Mr. Trump. However, if turnout is lower than anticipated, the race between Mr. Trump and Sen. Cruz becomes far more competitive.

“Winning because of depressed turnout is not an impressive story to tell voters on the campaign trail,” said PPD’s senior political analyst Richard Baris. “If Donald Trump takes that narrative and runs with it, it can do real damage to Ted Cruz.”

The state votes on Tuesday May 3, which follows several other contests where Sen. Cruz is expected to receive rather underwhelming support. On Tuesday, Mr. Trump won his home state by a 35-point margin, making it mathematically impossible for Sen. Cruz to secure the delegates he needs to win the nomination without a contested convention. There are 57 delegates up for grabs on the Republican side.

Baris also said Indiana demographics should favor the Texas senator, but the wind is at Mr. Trump’s back.

“Voters in the Hoosier State can effectively put an end to the Republican nomination,” he added. “If Sen. Cruz cannot beat Mr. Trump in Indiana he will get routed in California. Worse, he will not have a very persuasive argument to make to the delegates even if Mr. Trump falls short of 1,237 (the number of delegates needed to clinch the nomination).”

On the Democratic side, the race is much closer with Mrs. Clinton holding a small 3-point lead over Sen. Sanders, 48% to 45%. The results are within the margin of error, though the frontrunner has already begun to transition into the party’s presumptive nominee. There are 92 delegates up for grabs for Democrats, but Sen. Sanders is almost already at the point where he is mathematically incapable of catching up to Mrs. Clinton’s delegate lead.

Hillary has a commanding lead with Democrats in the poll, but Sanders is leading with independents and first-time voters.

According to a new Indiana primary poll,

Ted Cruz SC AP

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz speaks to the crowd during a Conservative Leadership Project presidential forum in Columbia, South Carolina, on Friday, January 15, 2016. (Photo: AP Photo/Sean Rayford)

In the year of the outsider, the last name a Republican candidate should want to be branded as is “establishment.” However, with party elites and pols lining up to endorse him and award him their state’s delegates without a vote, it would appear that is what Donald Trump has managed to do to Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.

According to a new YouGov survey conducted for the Huffington Post, Republican primary voters no longer see Sen. Cruz as an outsider. More voters than not and ever (62%) now say he is more of an establishment candidate rather than an outsider.

Mr. Trump has made the debate about the party’s delegate selection process and alignment behind Sen. Cruz a top issue on the stump and interviews, and it’s working. In New York, nearly 70% of GOP primary voters said they wanted their next president to be from outside the political class and they broke big for Mr. Trump (85%).

Meanwhile, Sen. Cruz finished in third place behind Gov. John Kasich with an abysmal 14% of the vote. The results represent a marked shift among primary voters since December of 2015, when just 36% considered him part of the Republican Establishment.

Ted Cruz Establishment vs. Outsider Huffington Post YouGov Poll

As a result, Sen. Cruz’s image has taken a hit in recent polls. Another YouGov survey conducted for The Economist found he had a 56% favorability rating among Republican and Republican-leaning voters, but that is down significantly from 67% measured in January.

The HuffPost/YouGov poll consisted of 1,000 completed interviews conducted April 14-15 among U.S. adults, using a sample selected from YouGov’s opt-in online panel to match the demographics and other characteristics of the adult U.S. population.

According to a new YouGov survey conducted

North-Korea-Nuclear-Test

South Koreans watch a TV news program showing North Korean leader Kim Jong-un’s New Year speech at the Seoul Railway Station. (Photo: Associated Press)

The Iranian nuclear “deal” just keeps getting better; it’s the gift that keeps on giving in the morbid sort of way. While testifying at a congressional hearing on the “ballistic axis,” a reference to Iran’s and North Korea’s space program, Tal Inbar of Israel’s Fisher Institute for Air and Space Strategic Studies said that a solid rocket engine tested in March by North Korea was built with technology acquired from Iran. North Korea has also made significant progress with its own ballistic missile technology.

The analyst stressed that North Korean advances in missile technology were also being shared back with the Islamic Republic, reported UPI.

So not only is Iran thumbing its nose at the Iranian nuclear deal negotiated by the Obama administration by openly and routinely testing ballistic missiles, it is sharing this technology with the unstable regime of North Korea, which just so happens to be routinely threatening the United States with nuclear destruction.

We have written several times about the new axis in the Middle East of Russia, Syria and Iran, which now controls the ground in Iraq, where thousands of Americans died to prevent a new terrorist haven for the development of weapons to be used against America and her allies. Now its seems this axis goes further to include North Korea in the development and sharing of technology to harm the interests of the United States and our remaining friends around the world.

The continuation of the terms of this agreement, that will eventually enable Iran to acquire nuclear weapons to place on the missiles they are developing, will allow Iran to threaten the West with nuclear ICBMs in time. The new American president in 2017 will have to deal with the Iranian issue and terminate the deadly course of these developments as the alternative is unacceptable.

(H/T Threat Assessment/Washington Times)

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Tal Inbar of Israel's Fisher Institute for

Gravis Marketing, Baruch College Top Pollsters in Empire State

Donald Trump

Donald Trump appears at a rally for his New York Republican primary campaign at the Grumman Studios in Bethpage New York April 6, 2016. (Photo: Peter Carr/The Journal News)

Donald Trump was expected to win the New York Republican Primary, but some of the polling again grossly underestimated the frontrunner’s margin and some nailed it. In the first edition of “Inside the Numbers: Grading the Pollsters,” we are going to tell you who performed well and who missed the mark.

All polls scrutinized were published on the PPD average of New York Republican Primary polls prior to the contest.

Mr. Trump won by more than 35 points on Tuesday, trouncing Ohio Gov. John Kasich 60.4% to 25.1%. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz didn’t pick up a single delegate with his abysmal 14-point, third place finish.

The two most accurate pollsters in the Empire State for the GOP were Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan polling firm run by Doug Kaplan, and Baruch College. While the latter called Mr. Trump’s 60-percent share of the vote and Sen. Cruz’s 14-percent share on the dot, they underestimated Gov. Kasich by 8 points. In their defense, the poll was conducted from April 4 to April 10.

Meanwhile, Gravis Marketing conducted a poll on April 13 that almost nailed the vote shares for all three candidates, to the tee. They pegged Mr. Trump at 57% and and overestimated Sen. Cruz by 6 points, but caught on to Gov. Kasich’s movement.

The worst pollster in the New York Republican Primary was 0ptimus, a Republican Party-sponsored pollster who also widely missed the mark in Wisconsin. Like Baruch, we simply do not have enough data for 0ptimus to comfortably assign them a grade on the PPD Pollster Scorecard, but it’s not looking too good. A poll conducted in late March found Mr. Trump at 50%, Gov. Kasich at 16% and Sen. Cruz at 24%. We don’t believe that was ever the case, even in late March.

Meanwhile, the New York-based Siena Poll performed well, though they also underestimated Mr. Trump’s support by ten points, while Quinnipiac University was once again a reliable pollster. Even if they didn’t nail the vote shares, they were pretty close on the margin. Monmouth University, too, performed as expected. But that’s not necessarily a good thing. Monmouth and NBC News/WSJ polls are now consistently displaying a tendency to underestimate Mr. Trump’s inevitable share of the vote.

Donald Trump was expected to win the

Trump-Putin-AP-Reuters

New York businessman Donald J. Trump, left, and Vladimir Putin. (Photo: Andrew Harnik/AP; Reuters)

When Donald Trump talks dealmaking, he is talking about the use of strategy, negotiating positions and unpredictability to secure one’s best interests and agenda. When President Barack Obama and his aides talk diplomacy, they mean appeasement, predictability and giving the other side everything it wants, so that maybe — just maybe — your adversary will give you something you want in return. Mr. Obama’s Iran “deal” is the latest product of that misguided approach.

I think Vladimir Putin read Mr. Trump’s book.

If the Russian president is anything, he is unpredictable. Mr. Putin has used this playbook in Crimea, eastern Ukraine and now in the Middle East. He has continually been three steps ahead of the White House, surprising it again and again, all the while pushing back American and Western influence around the globe.

Mr. Putin is a master at escalation and de-escalation, pushing the West as far as he can until he gets serious resistance, then retreating and regrouping before going for a bigger slice of the pie, when the U.S. and its allies are no longer focused on the problem.

Russia is preparing for the worst and taking what it can get. Even the U.S. military is becoming concerned with the rapid advances in military capability that the Kremlin is buying with years of increased spending on weapons and a focus on modernization.

The question is, what are the Kremlin’s intentions? How will the Russians use all of this newly created power-projection capability? I would suggest we will see more of what we’ve seen in the recent past, just in unexpected ways and places. Moscow will continue to take back old Soviet territory and influence where it can. These advances will happen in lightning-fast, unpredictable ways, as was the case with Crimea and the Russian landing in Syria. For Mr. Putin, diplomacy doesn’t mean telegraphing Russian intentions so the West can counteract them; it is instead a tool to be used, along with military force, to foster Russia’s interests and agenda. As Clausewitz so famously said, “War is merely the continuation of politics by other means.”

This is a mindset and a strategy that Mr. Trump has suggested he will follow whenever the Republican presidential front-runner is questioned on his national security and foreign policy positions. When asked about waterboarding, Mr. Trump vows to “do much worse,” with a lack of specifics that will keep the terrorists guessing. On NATO, Mr. Trump has said the alliance is obsolete and needs to be revamped, putting free-riding European nations on notice that they will have to pony up for a larger share of their own defense.

Mr. Trump talks of building up the U.S. military so that “no one will mess with us.” This is the opening salvo in an aggressive Trumpian effort to rebuild American power and influence, which has been decimated under the Obama administration. Mr. Trump says he will use this power to ensure security for all Americans and our allies, but not to take territory and become embroiled in conflicts overseas.

Newly commissioned officers in the U.S. military are taught, when training a new command, to start out as a hard and unforgiving taskmaster, someone the troops will respect and fear, someone who is tough but has his unit’s best interests at heart. After you establish this baseline, you can back off.

That, in my humble opinions, is precisely what Mr. Trump is doing — brilliantly, I might add. He is establishing a tough baseline position to begin the process of re-establishing American credibility and respect, honoring Machiavelli’s dictum that “it is better to be feared than loved.” He does not want to destroy NATO but does want to remake it more in line with American interests. He does not want South Korea and Japan to acquire nuclear weapons, but wants them to pay more for their own security.

Mr. Trump will use unpredictability and extreme opening negotiating positions to remake the geopolitical landscape. He intends to reduce America’s financial obligations around the world because we simply can no longer afford it. In the long run, this will enhance America’s security and the security of our allies.

As for Mr. Putin, he is already making Russia great again.

(H/T: This article originally appeared on Behind the Curtain via The Washington Times)

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If Russian President Vladimir Putin is anything,

When Prince Left Hospital, He “Was Not Doing Well”

Prince Atlanta

TMZ reported that the artist known as Prince was treated for a drug overdose only six days before he was found dead. Multiple sources said the doctors gave him a “save shot” typically administered to counteract the effects of an overdose and advised the star to stay in the hospital for 24 hours.

Narcan, or Naloxone Hydrochloride Injection, is given for the complete or partial reversal of opioid depression, including respiratory depression, induced by natural and synthetic opioids.

The singer had postponed a concert in Atlanta, Georgia on April 7, after allegedly coming down with the flu. But only hours after he performed in the same city last Friday, Prince’s private jet made an emergency landing in Moline, Illinois. Again, his representatives said he was battling the flu, though his plane was only 48 minutes from home before the emergency landing.

The entertainment news site said his people demanded a private room. But when they were told it wasn’t possible, he left the hospital against medical advice and “was not doing well.” The singer left the hospital after just 3 hours after his arrival and flew home.

The pop legend, known for his hits including “Little Red Corvette,” ”Let’s Go Crazy” and “When Doves Cry,” was found dead at 57 in his home on Thursday in suburban Minneapolis.

TMZ reported that the artist known as

Vladimir-Putin

Russian President Vladimir Putin responds to the downing of a Russian fighter jet by Turkey in Syria, and blames “a number” of nations for fostering ISIS.

As the Obama administration crows about a ceasefire achieved in Syria in conjunction with Russia and the Assad regime, it becomes clear once again that this administration is in over its head against Vladimir Putin. In a move similar to the constant escalation and deescalation the world has seen in East Ukraine, Russia, Iran and Syrian government forces are once again massing troops and artillery in Northern Syria, preparing for a new assault on the anti-Assad opposition.

There is disagreement in the American leadership as to the seriousness of Russian intentions regarding the halt in the fighting, and to the level of control Moscow has over the Assad government. The Kremlin is famously unpredictable in these matters and the Syrian conflict is obviously no different.

The collapse of the ceasefire prompted President Obama to call the Russian leader yesterday. Josh Earnest, the White House press secretary, used unusually blunt language in describing the exchange between the two leaders, calling it an “intense conversation,” reported the Wall Street Journal.

“About two weeks ago, U.S. intelligence agencies began to detect the redeployment of artillery units to areas near the northern city of Aleppo, the opposition stronghold, and inside Latakia province, near where government forces have been gathering,” according to a senior U.S. defense official.

The Journal reports that administration officials are now drawing up plans to provide anti-artillery and anti-aircraft weapons to the “moderate” Syrian rebels. This should end well.

(H/T Threat Assessment/Washington Times)

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As the Obama administration crows about a

Connecticut Democratic Primary

71 Delegates: Proportional Primary (Tuesday April 26)

Total delegates include 10 base at-large; 36 in the congressional districts, 12 at-large, 7 Pledged PLEOs and 16 Unpledged PLEOs. Read rules below polling data table.

[election_2016_polls]


GNutmeg State Polling Data

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The latest 2016 Connecticut Democratic Primary polls for the Tuesday April 26 proportional contest, where 71 delegates are up for grabs in the Nutmeg State. 55 of 71 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are pledged to presidential contenders based on the results of the voting in the Connecticut Democratic Primary. A mandatory 15% threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be allocated delegates at the national convention either the congressional district or statewide level.

— 36 district delegates are to be pledged proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the State’s 5 congressional districts.

— 19 delegates are to be pledged to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide.

  • 12 at-large National Convention delegates
  • 7 Pledged PLEOs

[ssbp]

Connecticut Democratic Primary 71 Delegates: Proportional Primary (Tuesday April 26) Total

Connecticut Republican Primary

28 Delegates: Winner-Take-Most Primary (Tuesday April 26)

Total delegates include 10 base at-large; 15 total for 5 congressional districts (3 ea.) and 3 party delegates. Read rules below polling data table.

[election_2016_polls]


GNutmeg State Polling Data

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The latest 2016 Connecticut Republican Primary polls for the Tuesday April 26 winner-take-most contest, where 28 delegates are up for grabs. 25 of Connecticut’s 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention are pledged to presidential contenders in today’s Connecticut Presidential Primary. [Article I, Section 17]

— 15 district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the 5 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all 3 of that district’s National Convention delegates. [Article I, Section 17. (b)]

— 13 at-large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 0 bonus delegates plus 3 RNC delegates) are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the statewide primary vote. [Article I, Section 17.(a)]

1) If one candidate receives a majority of the statewide vote (more than 50%), that candidate is allocated all 13 of the at-large delegates.

2) If no candidate receives a majority of the statewide vote, each presidential candidate receiving 20% or more of the statewide vote shall be allocated delegates accordingly based on their percentage of the vote total of those candidates who met the 20% threshold. Round fractional proportions of a delegate to the nearest whole number. If rounding results in too few delegates being allocated, the candidate receiving the most votes receives an additional delegate. [Article I, Section 17.(g)] (no mention of what to do if too many delegates are allocated due to rounding)

The 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Connecticut’s Republican Party, will by virtue of their position, attend the convention as pledged delegates.

The delegates … shall be committed … unless released by the candidate, shall vote for the candidate on the first ballot, and shall not change their vote during the course of that ballot. [Article I, Section 17 (a)]

[ssbp]

Connecticut Republican Primary 28 Delegates: Winner-Take-Most Primary (Tuesday April

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