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[brid video=”32083″ player=”2077″ title=””I will fundamentally rewrite NAFTA” Sanders rails against TPP & Trade Agreements”]

Vermont socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders supporters in Pennsylvania that he “will fundamentally rewrite NAFTA,” “other trade agreements” and oppose TPP.

“Not only did I oppose permanent normal trade relations with China,” Sen. Sanders said at a rally in Pennsylvania. “I stood with Steel workers and united electrical workers in opposition to it. Normalized trade with China cost us 3.2 million jobs including over 120,000 here in Pennsylvania.”

Vermont socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders supporters in

Hillary-Clinton-Bernie-Sanders-Iowa-Caucus

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, left, at the at the Holiday Inn on Feb. 1, 2016 in Des Moines, Iowa, while Hillary Clinton, right, speaks on the evening of the Iowa Democratic caucus, Feb. 1, 2016. (Photo: Joshua Lott/Getty Images/AP)

The debate over socialism shouldn’t even exist. Everywhere big government has been tried, it has failed. And we have reams of evidence that free-market economies dramatically out-perform statist economies.

Yet, the siren song of socialism still appeals to a subsection of the population, either because of naiveté or an unseemly lust to exercise power over others. So, let’s once again wade into this debate that shouldn’t be happening.

Writing for the Dallas Morning News, former Texas A&M economics professor Svetozar Pejovich explains that adding “democratic” to “socialism” doesn’t change anything. What really matters is that Sanders and his supporters want bigger government. And that never ends well.

Sanders’ policies…are…incompatible with the American tradition of self-responsibility, self-determination and limited government under a rule of law. …putting those premises into practice requires the acceptance of two institutions: the redistribution of income initiated and monitored by federal government, and the attenuation of private property rights.

And these policies don’t lead to good results, something that Professor Pejovich understands very well given that he was born in the former Yugoslavia.

Of course, the lunch is not free. The short-run consequence of redistributive policies is erosion of the link between performance and reward, which, in turn, reduces economic efficiency and the pie available for redistribution. The long-run cost is the transformation of the American culture of self-responsibility and self-determination into the culture of dependence on the state. …Sanders’ democratic socialism bribes people to voluntarily accept the erosion of private property rights…via laws and regulations. Those law and regulations (such as reducing the right of employers to fire workers at will, giving tenants rights at the expense of apartment owners, granting special privileges to some rent seeking groups, etc.) transfer some decision-making rights from owners to public decision makers, or non-owners. …In the end, the attenuation of private property rights impedes the flow of resources to higher-valued uses and reduces economic efficiency of the economy.

Allow me to augment Professor Pejovich’s analysis by elaborating on how these policies hurt the economy. The redistributionism doesn’t lead to immediate disaster, but it inevitably lures a larger share of the population into dependency over time and the higher taxes required to finance the growing welfare burden gradually erode incentives for work, saving, investment, and entrepreneurship.The combination of those factors slowly but surely dampens the economy’s growth. And as I’ve repeatedly explained, even small difference in growth have enormous long-run implications for a nation’s prosperity.

And there comes a point, particularlygiven modern demographics, that the system breaks down.

The erosion of property rights has a similar effect, largely by causing a reduction in both the level of investment and the quality of investment. And since every economic theory agrees that capital formation is a key to long-run growth, the net effect of “democratic socialism” it to further weaken potential growth.

What’s especially frustrating is that leftists then point to reduced growth rates as an argument for even bigger government.

I’m not joking. Robert Kuttner of the American Prospect argues that young people are attracted to Sanders because their economic outlook is so grim.

Bernie Sanders has…broad and enthusiastic support, especially among the young…voters who say they are attracted rather than repelled by Sanders’s embrace of socialism. …this is the stunted generation—young adults venturing into a world of work, loaded with student debt, unable to find stable jobs or decent careers.

I basically agree that the economic situation for young people is tepid, but I’m baffled that this is an argument for bigger government since the statist policies of both Bush and Obama deserve much of the blame for today’s sub-par economy.

In other words, we’re seeing Mitchell’s Law in action. Politicians have adopted bad policies that have led to stagnation and now they’re using the resulting economic malaise as an argument for even bigger government. And young people, who are among the biggest victims, are getting seduced.

I’m tempted to simply say young people are too stupid to be allowed to vote, but instead let’s take a serious look at why so many of them are misguided.

Christine Emba of the Washington Post has a column pointing out young people openly embrace socialism.

…it seems that socialism is cool. …socialism does seem to have become the political orientation du jour among voters of a certain (read: young) age. …A January YouGov poll asked respondents whether they had a “favorable or unfavorable” view of socialism and capitalism. While capitalism rated significantly higher overall, those younger than 30 gave socialism higher marks: Forty-three percent viewed it very or somewhat favorably, compared with only 32 percent for capitalism.

The problem is that both Ms. Emba and a lot of young people apparently believe the nonsense spouted by people like Robert Kuttner. They actually blame capitalism for the economic weakness caused by government intervention.

…simple economics have pushed a younger generation of voters to embrace what used to be a dirty word. The past 10 years – for many millennials, the formative years of adulthood – have eroded the credibility of economic [classical] liberalism. The financial crisis and recession weakened youths’ faith in markets… Yet they were also told that the solution to the these problems was more [classical] liberal capitalism. But those solutions haven’t delivered… Underemployment, excessive debt, out-of-reach health care and delayed life goals are young peoples’ defining concerns, and the traditional assumption – that free markets and limited state intervention lead to good outcomes – just doesn’t ring true to them.

Wow, it’s bad enough that people blame free markets for a government-caused financial crisis, but Ms. Emba (and perhaps others) think that we’ve tried capitalist “solutions” after the crisis.

What planet is she on? Can she identify one thing that Obama has done that would count as a free-market response to the financial crisis? The fake stimulus?Obamacare? Dodd-Frank?

By the way, she points out that young people presumably have no idea what socialism actually entails. They just want traditional welfare-state redistributionism.

…for many millennials, “socialism” is simply shorthand for “vaguely Scandinavian in the best way” – free health care, free education and subsidized child care, a state that supports its citizens rather than leaving them at the mercy of impersonal corporations bent on profit. …the socialism that most millennials want is simply a return to a more muscular form of traditional liberalism, one that would have felt right at home in the administration of FDR.

Given that President Roosevelt was either malicious or ignorant, and given that his policies lengthened and deepened the Great Depression, I’m not exactly encouraged that millennials merely want traditional liberal (as opposed to classical liberal) policies.

Though it’s worth noting (in a very depressing sense) that a lot of young people are embracing more totalitarian versions of socialism. Here are some brief excerpts from a longer article in Vox.

Jacobin has in the past five years become the leading intellectual voice of the American left, the most vibrant and relevant socialist publication in a very long time. …That’s an opportunity that Jacobin is seizing to great effect, even if Sanders isn’t far enough left for their taste. The Sanders campaign “could begin to legitimate the word ‘socialist,’ and spark a conversation around it, even if Sanders’s welfare-state socialism doesn’t go far enough,” Sunkara wrote earlier this year. …Jacobin…now boasts a print circulation of about 20,000 and has gained about 400 more subscribers a week since Bernie started his ascent in November. …even if Bernie fades, there’s still a constituency for socialist ideas — a fact that could turn out to be much more important than the Sanders campaign itself.

And they really, really mean socialism. With all its warts.

“It is unapologetic about its interests in political economy and Marxism…,” Brooklyn College professor Corey Robin, a longtime leftist writer who signed on early and is now a contributing editor at Jacobin, says. …any Jacobin editor would be the first to tell you, Sanders is a normal labor liberal, or at most a social democrat. He doesn’t go far enough. …What we really need, Sunkara insists, is democratic worker control of the means of production. …A number of Jacobin’s contributors are members of the International Socialist Organization (ISO), the largest Trotskyist group in North America. …Sunkara’s allegiances…lie with Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). …Frase recalls working with the Freedom Road Socialist Organization, a post-Maoist group, while in high school.

I’m not sure to be more amazed that some people really believe this evil nonsense or more worried that Jacobin may actually represent the future of the left in America.

Time for some good news.

My Cato colleague Emily Ekins writes that young people are not hopeless idiots, at least not all of them. Though she phrases her argument in a much nicer fashion ina column she wrote for the Washington Post.

She starts with grim polling data.

A national Reason-Rupe survey found that 53 percent of Americans under 30 have a favorable view of socialism compared with less than a third of those over 30. Moreover, Gallup has found that an astounding 69 percent of millennials say they’d be willing to vote for a “socialist” candidate for president — among their parents’ generation, only a third would do so.

But she notes that for the most part they don’t actually believe in real socialism.

…millennials tend to reject the actual definition of socialism — government ownership of the means of production, or government running businesses. Only 32 percent of millennials favor “an economy managed by the government,” while, similar to older generations, 64 percent prefer a free-market economy. …what does socialism actually mean to millennials? Scandinavia. …In contrast with the 1960s and ’70s, college students today are not debating whether we should adopt the Soviet or Maoist command-and-control regimes that devastated economies and killed millions.

In other words, the nutjobs at Jacobin are still a minority on the left.

Best of all, young people are capable of learning lessons from the real world.

…as millennials age and begin to earn more, their socialistic ideals seem to slip away. …millennials become averse to social welfare spending if they foot the bill. As they reach the threshold of earning $40,000 to $60,000 a year, the majority of millennials come to oppose income redistribution, including raising taxes to increase financial assistance to the poor. …When tax rates are not explicit, millennials say they’d prefer larger government offering more services (54 percent) to smaller government offering fewer services (43 percent). However when larger government offering more services is described as requiring high taxes, support flips and 57 percent of millennials opt for smaller government with fewer services and low taxes, while 41 percent prefer large government.

And she explains that previous generations also have shifted away from big government.

In the 1980s, the same share (52 percent) of baby boomers also supported bigger government, and so did Generation Xers (53 percent) in the 1990s. Yet, both baby boomers and Gen Xers grew more skeptical of government over time and by about the same magnitude. Today, only 25 percent of boomers and 37 percent of Gen Xers continue to favor larger government.

My two cents, for what it’s worth, is that the infatuation with socialism (however defined) among the young underscores why it is so important to “win the narrative” about the causes of the financial crisis and the resulting weak economy.

To the extent that voters actually think capitalism caused the mess in 2008, they will be susceptible to statist ideologies.

In some sense, this is history repeating itself. The Great Depression largely wascaused by misguided policies from Hoover and Roosevelt. Yet the left very cleverly peddled the story that capitalism had failed. As a result, generations of voters were more sympathetic to big government.

Thank goodness there are places such as the Cato Institute that are working to correct the narrative, not only about the Great Depression, but also with regards to the financial crisis.

Let’s close with a clever description of the difference between various strains of statism.

I put forth a similar analysis back in 2014, but I confess it wasn’t as clever as the above image. Or as clever as the sign I recently shared.

And let’s not forget the famous two-cow explanation of various ideologies.

Everywhere big government has been tried, it

jobs-search-station-reuters

Job Search Station (Photo: Reuters)

The Labor Department released the March jobs report on Friday showing the U.S. economy added 215,000 jobs, coming in higher than expectations for 205,000. The survey, which is conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, said the unemployment rate rose to 5.0%, missing the median forecast for 4.9%.

Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate remained relatively unchanged, ticking up slightly to 63.0% from 62.9%. The less-cited by more telling employment-population ratio remained flat at a weak 59.9%.

Wages continued to underperform fueled by flat work weeks and job creation in lower-paying sectors.

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 34.4 hours in March. The manufacturing workweek edged down by 0.1 hour to 40.6 hours. Factory overtime was 3.3 hours for the fourth month in a row. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 33.6 hours.

In March, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 7 cents to $25.43, following a 2-cent decline in February. Over the year, average hourly earnings have risen by 2.3 percent. In March, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 4 cents to $21.37.

Employment in professional and business services, which averaged 52,000 each month in 2015, changed little for the third month in a row. But Employment in manufacturing, a higher-paying sector that has struggled to recover in recent years, declined by 29,000, according to the March jobs report. Most of the job losses occurred in durable goods industries (-24,000), including machinery (-7,000), primary metals (-3,000), and semiconductors and electronic components (-3,000).

Under the burden of heavy government regulations, the higher-wage mining sector continued to decline in March (-12,000), with losses heavy in supported activities (-10,000). Employment in mining since 2014 has fallen by 185,000, while other major industries to include wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing, information, and government, changed little over the month.

Retail trade (+48,000), which are lower-paying opportunities, as well as the health care (+37,000) industry led the way. Construction also added a healthy 37,000 jobs in March.

The Labor Department released the March jobs

Establishment Trying to Disenfranchise South Carolina Primary Voters After Trump Romps

Donald-Trump-South-Carolina-Speech

Donald Trump delivers his victory speech in Spartanburg, South Carolina on February 20, 2016. (Photo: Getty)

The South Carolina Republican Party is trying to use statements made by Donald J. Trump to deny him the state’s 50 delegates, disenfranchising primary voters. At a CNN town hall on Tuesday night, Mr. Trump was asked if he was keeping to his promise to support the eventual nominee, and now party elites are hoping to use his response against him.

“No, I don’t anymore,” he said in response. “I have been treated very unfairly.”

The state, which hasn’t yet selected its delegates for the Republican National Convention, requires candidates to make roughly the same pledge the candidates made to the Republican National Committee in order to be on the primary ballot. Now, after the delegates are selected, PPD has learned the state party will attempt to file a lawsuit attempting to release them from their binding status.

This will allow them to cast their votes for other candidates not named Donald Trump on the first ballot.

“Breaking South Carolina’s presidential primary ballot pledge raises some unanswered legal questions that no one person can answer,” South Carolina GOP Chairman Matt Moore told Time. “However, a court or national convention Committee on Contests could resolve them. It could put delegates in jeopardy.”

The plan, according to sources, was just one proposal in a multi-pronged plan outlined by Karl Rove, a longtime Bush and party operative. The plan aims to deny Mr. Trump the 1,237 delegates necessary to clinch the Republican nomination. Billionaires, Silicon Valley CEOs and members of the Republican Establishment were first briefed on it when they flew to a private island resort off the coast of Georgia in early March under the guise of the American Enterprise Institute’s (AEI) annual World Forum.

Sources tell PPD that the plan was cooked months ago almost immediately after Mr. Trump won the South Carolina Republican primary, forcing former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush to drop out of the race after coming in fourth. However, even though voters took a different position, Republican elites in South Carolina are still very much loyal to the Bush wing of the party.

Rove and Bush allies have been waiting until Mr. Trump responded in kind to the other candidates, all of whom, to include his closest rival Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, have either alluded or outright admitted that they would no longer abide by their own pledge far before Mr. Trump’s statements.

Consequently, Sen. Cruz recently received the endorsement of South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, who dropped out of the race before voting even got underway. Gov. Bush also jumped on the Cruz train earlier this month, but he withheld his endorsement until after the Florida Republican Primary, which resulted in a big Trump win and the end of Sen. Marco Rubio’s campaign.

The loss in The Palmetto State defeat was particularly stinging to Bush and Co., who have long-believed the state to be strongly supportive of the Establishment. The state allocates delegates proportionately based on voting results by congressional district. However, because Mr. Trump’s win was so dominant–he won all three regional breakdowns, to include the heavily evangelical upstate–he forced a winner-take-all.

South Carolina was pivotal to both Sens. Cruz and Rubio, as well. Rubio placed second with the full backing of the state’s governor, popular senator and congressman, while Cruz came in third. Sen. Cruz was hoping for a record-breaking evangelical turnout, which he got. Unfortunately, Mr. Trump won the demographic handily, as well as the highly-educated Horry County with nearly 50% of the vote.

Meanwhile, Mr. Trump met with RNC Chair Reince Priebus on Thursday in his latest effort to unite the party. The meeting focused on the Republican National Convention in July, campaign and party finances, as well as the general election. In truth, Trump’s efforts to put members at ease and unite the party has been underway since the first Super Tuesday, though one might never know that from coverage.

However, a faction in the Republican Establishment never had any intention of trying to work with the front-runner and likely never will, no matter how many votes or delegates he wins

“Being the Republican nominee doesn’t even entitle him to loyalty,” Mr. Rove said in February.

The dirty little secret in D.C. is that Mr. Rove, as well as many RNC members, would rather Democrat Hillary Clinton win in November than Donald Trump. They aren’t afraid of him losing, they’re afraid of him winning.

The South Carolina Republican Party is trying

Donald-Trump-vs-Barack-Obama

Billionaire real estate mogul Donald Trump, left, and President Barack Obama, right.

I really worry that the Trump movement is a misguided reaction to the abuses of power by the ruling class in Washington, D.C. In our dire predicament, we need to be very thoughtful about our remedy.

Some presumably well-intentioned people are convinced that because federal politicians have caused the problems threatening America, only an “outsider” can fix them. I understand the sentiment, but a mere cursory comparison of the two leading candidates vying for the GOP presidential nomination exposes the fallacy.

It’s silly to define outsider so literally. Donald Trump cannot be considered an outsider in any true sense, since he has been involved all his adult life in buying influence from, cavorting with, and enabling a whole host of D.C. politicians. Sen. Ted Cruz, by contrast, has fought the establishment more than anyone.

Let’s not forget that the primary movers in destroying America’s liberty, prosperity and solvency hail from the political left. The right hasn’t done nearly enough to stop them, but progressives have actively tried to supplant America’s founding ideas for half a century.

Why is that relevant? Because Donald Trump has happily supported these agents of destruction throughout his career, probably even more than he’s helped the Republican politicians who have been ineffective in stopping them. If you excuse Trump on the specious grounds that all is fair in business, then you are deluding yourself about the importance of adhering to America’s founding principles.

It deeply troubles me that Trump supporters, most of whom are Republican voters, seem unconcerned about Trump’s seeming indifference to many political issues and the scheme of limited government enshrined in the Constitution. “That’s not important to us. What matters is that he has a lifelong record of getting things done.”

They argue that things have so deteriorated that they cannot be fixed through ordinary means. “Don’t give us your pseudo-sophisticated lawyer talk. You lawyers are the ones who have messed things up. Only a seasoned businessman can make them right.”

While I think that business acumen can be a great attribute for a chief executive, and even a commander in chief, a savvy, no-nonsense alpha businessman can’t run things with the same degree of autonomy he might run his businesses.

Haven’t we conservatives been horrified at President Obama’s flagrant usurpations of power — his continuous end runs around the Constitution? Why in the world would we condone similar actions on the right? If I am unfairly characterizing the Trump supporters’ position here, then what do they think Trump could do that other presidents could not?

I’ve conversed with a number of Trump supporters who have simply said that we need someone to go in there and shake things up — not a little bit, mind you, but at the level of a Richter scale magnitude 8 earthquake. “We’ll root out the establishment toxins, and then we’ll go about rebuilding our system.”

Sorry, but it doesn’t work like that. If we ignore the Constitution, ostensibly to save it, we’ll never get it back. And that means we’ll never get America back, no matter how often we repeat the slogan, “make America great again.”

It is not just lawyers who appreciate the Constitution. We make ideal scapegoats, but constitutional patriots span the full range of vocations. It would be a grave mistake to chuck aside the Constitution just because it has been under relentless assault by progressives. I’m all for reinforcing it’s integrity through an Article V process, but let us never join the left in torching the document William Gladstone referred to as “the most wonderful work ever struck off at a given time by the brain and purpose of man.”

Do we really want to grant Obama his lifelong wish of exacting revenge on America, as founded, by reacting irrationally and thereby abetting him in the destruction of the our constitutional order? Can you imagine the joy he’s feeling as he witnesses the havoc he’s caused? What a cruel irony if Obama crosses the finish line with the help of people who should be uniting to push him back to the other end zone.

Don’t surrender to the seductive lie that our national salvation depends on cashiering the Constitution, or that we must choose between presidential character and effectiveness, especially when we can have both. We are poised in this election cycle to elect a man who is uniquely qualified to restore our constitutional order.

It’s as if Ted Cruz has been preparing all of his life for this pivotal moment in our history to roll back the regulatory state, substantially reduce federal taxing and spending, structurally reform entitlements, stem the infernal explosion of federal power and restore power to the states, institute market reforms to health care, rebuild America’s military, seal our borders, end the environmental madness, and unleash market forces and robust economic growth.

We must not replace authoritarianism on the left with authoritarianism on the right. We must not dishonor the Constitution and the rule of law to preserve them. But we can turn things around if we’ll finally stand up to progressives with the same vigor that they stand up to America’s founding principles.
Let us keep our heads, behave like adults, and truly make America unique again.

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It's troubling that supporters ignore Trump's seeming

Ted-Cruz-Carly-Fiorina-WI

Republican presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, right, is seen here on Monday, March 28, 2016, with former Republican candidate and Hewlitt-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina in Rothschild, Wisconsin. (Photo: AP)

CIA lie detection experts say Sen. Ted Cruz and Hewlitt-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina are engaging in “collective deception” over the Cruz sex scandal. In a follow-up analysis in LawNewz.com, QVerify CEO Phil Houston and his colleague Don Tennant, who previously revealed Sen. Cruz displayed textbook deceptive behavior immediately after a National Enquire story alleged marital infidelity, said the press conference on Monday in Wisconsin “was pivotal” in their continual assessment (video below).

During the presser, Fiorina quickly intercepted a straightforward question posed by Daily Mail reporter David Martosko, which Houston and Tennant said “marked the first time we have seen an instance of collective deception in what appears to be a desperate effort to keep Cruz sufficiently unsullied” before the Wisconsin Republican primary.

“Can you please swat down more definitively this National Enquirer piece by telling us on the record that you’ve never been unfaithful to your wife?” Martosko asked.

Without actually responding to the charge, Fiorina jumped into a “multi-pronged” attack that targeted the reporter, the media, President Barack Obama and Republican front-runner Donald J. Trump.

“This response floored us, because it indicated to us not only that Fiorina likely thinks Cruz has indeed been unfaithful, but that she is willing to provide cover for him—and in doing so, displayed the same behaviors that we have seen from the Senator,” they said. “In failing to make the denial that we’ve been waiting to hear directly from Cruz, instead choosing to go into attack mode, Fiorina has left us to conclude that the greater good in her mind is to do whatever it takes to prevent Trump from winning, and she sees her defense of Cruz as furthering that aim.”

In their initial assessment of the senator, Mr. Houston and Mr. Tennant found him to be extremely deceptive. Though Mr. Houston, who has conducted thousands of interviews and interrogations for the CIA and other federal agencies, as well as Mr. Tennant were reserving judgement until more material became available, both “were struck by the volume of deceptive behavior” identified in Cruz’s initial statements.

Behaviorally, when the facts are on an individual’s side, he or she almost always explicitly denies the allegation(s). Except, he didn’t and at best implied a denial–followed by a disproportionate, non-factual attack on Mr. Trump–which is not the same as actually denying.

“He implied it by saying the allegations are false, and that they’re lies, but behaviorally, such statements are not equivalent to saying he never had the affairs,” they wrote. “Even if we were to overlook that fact and consider his statements to be a denial, there is an overwhelmingly higher proportion of attack behavior compared to the effort expended at denial. This type of lopsided attack-to-denial ratio is very consistent with what we have historically seen with deceptive people when allegations are levied against them.”

On Monday, according to Mr. Houston, who developed a human lie detection model while at the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), Fiorina not only displayed the same deceptive behavior but also displayed a willingness to cover for Sen. Cruz. That is not a particularly flattering character trait.

Martosko repeatedly interrupted Fiorina to demand Sen. Cruz answer the question definitively, alone. Without her help. “Well that’s fine, too,” he said. “But Senator, I’m sorry, this is a very serious question about your character. Will you just, if the answer is, ‘Yes, I’ve always been faithful to my wife,’ just say so, please?”

If Sen. Cruz was telling the truth, he would’ve simply said, “Yes, I have always been faithful to my wife.” But, when given the chance yet again, he did not even utter something that remotely resembles a definitive denial. Instead, he again chose to level an attack on the reporter and repeated what he knows to be a false, “seemingly scripted attack” on Mr. Trump as the one behind the National Enquirer story.

Kirsten Powers, writing for The Daily Beast, confirmed what PPD previously reported about the source of the National Enquirer story, which is that it was peddled by allies of Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. The senator, who was soundly defeated in his own home state, launched an unprecedented bid to keep his delegates after suspending his presidential campaign.

“But in so many cases, when we see deception carried out to this extreme—relentless, almost vicious attacks, accompanied by staunchly positioning oneself as a champion of more important matters—the actual problematic behavior is even more egregious than anything that was ever alleged,” the analysts said. “What we characterize as the collective deception of Fiorina and Cruz is beginning to raise that specter.”

To be fair, both human lie detection experts have also applied the same techniques to conclude Mr. Trump and other candidates were deceiving (lying) to the public in previous statements. And they were adamant to point that out.

“That said, no one should construe the conclusions we’ve drawn here as an argument in favor of Donald Trump or any other presidential candidate,” Houston and Tennant said. “Indeed, we have observed and documented plenty of deceptive behavior not only on the part of Trump, as we previously mentioned, but on the parts of the Democratic candidates, as well. We have no interest in taking sides. If we are advocates for anyone in this discussion, it’s the American electorate, which we don’t want to see swayed by deception.”

CIA lie detection experts said Sen. Ted

2016 Wisconsin Democratic Primary

96 Delegates: Proportional Allocation (April 5, 2016)

Total delegates include 57 district, 19 at large, 10 Pledged PLEOs and 10 Unpledged PLEOs. Rules explained below polling table.

[election_2016_polls]


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The latest Wisconsin Democratic Primary polls for the proportional contest on Tuesday April 5. There are 96 delegates up for grabs in The Badger State. A whole 86 of 96 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are pledged to candidates based on the results of the vote in the 2016 Wisconsin Democratic Primary.

A mandatory 15% threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be pledged National Convention delegates at either the congressional district or statewide level. Here’s the Democratic Proportional Delegate Allocation Math:

  • 57 district delegates are to be pledged proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the State’s 8 congressional districts.
  • In addition, 29 delegates are to be pledged to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide.
    • 19 at-large National Convention delegates
    • 10 Pledged PLEOs

[ssbp]

2016 Wisconsin Democratic Primary 96 Delegates: Proportional Allocation (April 5,

Midwest-Auto-manufacturing-factory

Auto manufacturing plant and worker in Midwest. (Photo: Reuters)

The Chicago Business Barometer, the Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of factory activity in the Midwest region jumped to 53.6 in March from 47.6. The median economist forecast called for a rise to 50.0.

“The most signficant result from the March survey is the pick-up in the Employment component which has remained weak for much of the past year,” Chief Economist of MNI Indicators Philip Uglow said. “Looking through some of the recent volatility, the data are consistent with steady, not spectacular, economic growth in the US.“

Readings above 50 point to expansion, while those below indicate contraction.

The jump in the Chicago Business Barometer in March was led by sharp bounce backs in Production and Employment. Four of the five Barometer components increased between February and March, with only Supplier Deliveries declining on the month.

The Chicago Business Barometer, the Institute for

unemployment-benefits

Weekly jobless claims, or first-time claims for unemployment benefits reported by the Labor Department.

The Labor Department said on Thursday that weekly unemployment claims rose by 11,000 to 276,000 last week,  higher than the estimate for 265,000. The prior week was unchanged at 265,000.

A Labor Department analyst said there were no special factors impacting this week’s initial claims and no state was triggered “on” the Extended Benefits program during the week ending March 12.

The 4-week moving average–which is widely considered to be a better gauge, as it irons-out weekly volatility–was 263,250, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week’s unrevised average of 259,750. Still, the report marks 56 consecutive weeks first-time weekly jobless claims were below 300,000, the longest streak since 1973.

There were 11,691 former Federal civilian employees claiming UI benefits for the week ending March 12, a decrease of 1,258 from the previous week. Newly discharged veterans claiming benefits totaled 14,243, a decrease of 373 from the prior week.

The highest insured unemployment rates in the week ending March 12 were in Alaska (4.4), New Jersey (3.1), Wyoming (3.1), Pennsylvania (3.0), West Virginia (3.0), Connecticut (2.9), Montana (2.8), Rhode Island (2.8), Illinois (2.7), and Massachusetts (2.7).

The largest increases in initial claims for the week ending March 19 were in Missouri (+585), Florida (+342), Illinois (+334), Colorado (+332), and South Carolina (+304), while the largest decreases were in California (-2,350), Pennsylvania (-1,407), New York (-1,041), Washington (-695), and Nebraska (-657).

The Labor Department said on Thursday that

Donald-Trump-Rally-Michigan

Donald J. Trump holds a rally in Michigan in March, 2016.

According to a new Reuters/Ipsos Poll, nearly two-thirds of all Americans agree with Donald Trump that the U.S. should torture terrorists to prevent future attacks. The level of support in the U.S. is now at a level of support similar to that seen in countries like Nigeria where militant attacks are far more common.

reuters ipsos poll on terrorism torture enhanced interrogation

Roughly two-thirds of respondents also said they expected a terrorist attack on U.S. soil within the next six months.

TERRORISM NOW TOP CONCERN FOR VOTERS

Looking at the aggregate data by other polling agencies, U.S. support for the use of torture in recent years has floated around 50%. A 2014 survey by Amnesty International, which is a fairly liberal-leaning survey, found American support for torture at about 45%, compared with 64% in Nigeria, 66% in Kenya and 74% in India.

But in November, shortly after militants affiliated with the Islamic State killed 130 people in Paris, terrorism overcame the economy as the top concern for many Americans in Reuters/Ipsos polling. The same is true in multiple other polling, to include Rasmussen Reports and snap polling from news outlets. A recent Morning Consult Poll put security at the top, which resulted in a new national high for Mr. Trump among Republican primary voters.

Trump has surged in popularity among Republicans in the Reuters/Ipsos Poll, as well, as they view him as the strongest candidate to handle terrorism. Mr. Trump has been all alone on his advocacy of waterboarding, and has said that he would “bomb the hell out of ISIS.” However, it is also his reluctance to nation-build that makes him more appealing on the issue of national security, as a whole.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll included 1,976 people. It has a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of 2.5 percentage points for the entire group and about 4 percentage points for both Democrats and Republicans. Read the complete poll.

According to a new Reuters Ipsos Poll,

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