Widget Image
Follow PPD Social Media
Monday, February 24, 2025
HomeStandard Blog Whole Post (Page 631)

McCarthy-Boehner

Outgoing House Speaker John Boehner of Ohio listens at right as House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy of Calif. speaks during a new conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Sept. 29, 2015. McCarthy is assuring Republicans he can bring them together, even as emboldened conservatives maneuver to yank their party to the right in the wake of the leader of the U.S. House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner’s sudden resignation. (Photo: AP/Carolyn Kaster)

House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy said Monday on America’s Newsroom that he “will support anyone who wins the Republican nomination,” even Donald Trump.

“I will support Trump,” McCarthy vowed. “I will support anyone.”

McCarthy said that–even though he hasn’t endorsed and wants to remain neutral–he sees the nomination as a two-man, not a three-man race.

“I personally think this race is down to two people,” McCarthy said. “This is race is between Donald Trump and Marco Rubio. I have not endorsed anyone in this race, but when I looked at Cruz’s plan he needed South Carolina.”

While he insists he is neutral, he did appear to sing Rubio’s praises and story before declaring “he needs to win in Florida” in order to move forward. But, ultimately, he said he will do everything to support the eventual nominee.

“Whomever becomes the Republican nominee, they’re going to want to be successful. They’re going to want the country to be successful.”

House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy said Monday

London-Mayor-Boris-Johnson

London Mayor Boris Johnson talks to journalists about his decision to oppose Prime Minister David Cameron on EU plan. (Photo: Chris Ratcliffe/Getty Images)

London Mayor Boris Johnson said on Sunday he will oppose Prime Minister David Cameron on his plan to remain in the European Union. The development marks the first and most prominent British politician to come out against Cameron ahead of the June 23 referendum that will determine the country’s future in the EU.

“I want a better deal for the people of this country: To save them money and to take back control,” he said on Sunday.

While public opinion polls still slightly favor Brits wanted to remain in the EU, the trend line favors separation and the gap has narrowed expeditiously. In a sign the vote is even more volatile, a whole one in five people say they are undecided. Johnson’s support could help to sway a significant number are voters.

Johnson, a Conservative like Cameron, said the EU was eroding Britain’s sovereignty. However, in what is surely a temporary penalty by the markets, the British pound (GBPUSD) dropped on Monday after Johnson said he was not on board with Cameron’s bid to persuade Britons that they should remain in the European Union. The pound was down around 1.3% against the U.S. dollar at $1.4119, but was at one time as low as 2% off, the sharpest daily fall in percentage terms since early 2009.

“The market is obviously taking into account the political developments,” said Roger Hallam, chief investment officer for currency at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Working against Cameron’s favor are the strong concerns over the high levels of immigration to Britain, much of which comes from the EU thanks to the freedom of movement permitted throughout the bloc, and the pressure this puts on public services like health care. But Cameron’s cause is likely to be aided by the general uncertainty that would stem from leaving the EU. Big businesses also support him.

Conservative London Mayor Boris Johnson said on

healthcare-capitol-hill

Capitol Hill and healthcare emblem.

I wrote last June about an unfortunate British guy who, after his leg was broken by thieves, was told by the government that his injury wasn’t serious enough for an ambulance.

The poor chap eventually was driven home by some cops and then had to take an Uber to the hospital. While writing about this story, I semi-joked about what would be required to get an ambulance.

If you’re about to die, they’ll send an ambulance. But not for anything less than that.

Little did I realize that the bureaucrats would prove me wrong.

Here are some amazing excerpts from a story in the U.K.-based Telegraph.

A dying pensioner wrote a heartbreaking ‘I love you note’ to his daughters while he waited two hours for an ambulance to respond to his call for help following a heart attack. …The retired mechanical fitter… pulled a cord in his flat in Prenton in Birkenhead, Merseyside, to sound an alarm in a 24/7 emergency call centre and could be heard by the call handler shouting: “Help”. …The call handler dialled 999 but Mr Volante’s case was given a low priority by the ambulance service and paramedics took 1hr 40mins to arrive. They found him dead on his living room floor.

ronald-volante-1_3563047bIn a touching but tragic gesture, the deceased spent some of his wait time writing a note to his daughters.

A heartbreaking note was found in Mr Volante’s flat after his death, which read: “I love you Rita, I love you Deb, Dad.” This was a reference to his two daughters, Debbie Moore and Rita Cuthell.

I suppose, to be fair, that we can’t fully blame Mr. Volante’s death on government incompetence. He may have died even if the ambulance arrived in a timely fashion.

But imagine what it would be like to place a very serious call and to be treated like an afterthought.

Though the government at least offered an insincere apology, so I guess that counts for…um, nothing.

…a North West Ambulance Service spokesperson said: “The Trust would like to express its sincere condolences to Mr Volante’s family during this difficult time.

But let’s look at the bright side. If the ambulance had been on time and Mr. Volante had been admitted to the hospital, the government may have starved him to death instead.

I’m guessing a heart attack – even one where it takes you 90 minutes to die – would be preferable.

Particularly since you can’t be sure whether government-run healthcare will kill you accidentally or kill you deliberately.

P.S. Here’s my collection of horror stories about the U.K.’s version of ObamaCare:

Hereherehereherehereherehereherehere,herehereherehereherehere and here.

By the way, Paul Krugman tells us that all these stories are false. So who are you going to believe, him or your lying eyes?

P.P.S. To be fair, some screw-ups are inevitable, even in a perfectly designed healthcare system. But I would argue that horror stories are more common when the profit motive is weakened or eliminated. If you’re a Brit and you die or suffer because of crappy government-run healthcare, there’s no feedback mechanism to punish the doctor and/or hospital (or, in the above case, ambulance service). Their budgets already are pre-determined. Likewise, if you’re an American and you die or suffer because of sub-standard Medicare or Medicaid treatment, there’s presumably no effective feedback budgetary mechanism.

You can never be sure whether government-run

[brid video=”28476″ player=”2077″ title=”Ted Cruz on NBC’ Meet the Press February 21 2016″]

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz didn’t offer a confident response Sunday when asked if he was going to defeat Donald Trump in his own home state of Texas. When asked on Meet The Press by host Chuck Todd whether he was going to win Texas, Cruz responded with “I hope so.”

Worth noting, an internal campaign poll leaked to PPD last week showed Cruz trailing the national frontrunner in The Lone Star State by single digits. The interview comes after Cruz finished a disappointing third place in South Carolina. He did his best to put a spin on the fact he finished slightly behind Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and way behind Trump despite the electorate being nearly 7 in 10 evangelical Christians.

“In South Carolina we were effectively tied for second,” Cruz said later. “A week ago Donald was 20 points ahead, we closed that gap.”

Trump beat Cruz among white evangelicals by double-digits, carried the voter-rich religious Up-Country and took all 50 of the state’s delegates, though it wasn’t a winner-take-all primary.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz didn't offer a

Cruz-Trump-Rubio-NH-Debate-Getty

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, left, Donald Trump, center, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, right (Photos: Getty/AP/Getty)

In total, approximately $47,407,000 was spent on behalf of the candidates in the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, which Donald J. Trump won by 10 points. So, who got the most bang for their buck and how much did each of the candidates spend per vote in the Palmetto State?

South-Carolina-Campaign-Spending

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and his super PAC(s) spent roughly $13,783,000. As of Sunday morning, he is the last candidate in a once 19-strong field to drop out of the race for the Republican nomination. Bush came in a distant fourth place with just 7.8% of the vote and only 0.8% more than Ohio Gov. John Kasich, who spent just $882,000. Kasich finished in fifth place, but Bush paid $238.20 per vote juxtaposed to $15.69 per vote for the Buckeye State governor.

Kasich didn’t spend much less than Dr. Ben Carson, who doled out $1,055,000. Dr. Carson says he will continue to Nevada after his last place finish with 7.2% of the vote. He paid $19.78 for each vote he received, which is a respectable ratio, no doubt, for a clearly weak finish.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and his supporting PAC(s) spent the second most in the Palmetto State behind Bush. Rubio dished out $12,050,000 and placed second with 22.5% of the vote. That breaks down to roughly $72.64 per vote. Not bad considering his finish and how some of the others spent for less. However, he did have the backing of a popular governor, a senator and the most popular representative. In light of these other factors, it’s not as good as they undoubtably will try to spin it.

Rubio will desperately need Bush’s donors moving forward.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who has raised the most behind Bush this cycle, spent a total $7,070,000 for what was unequivocally a disastrous third place showing with 22.3% of the vote. While it is true that Rubio finished only slightly ahead, the state is tailor-made for the model the Cruz campaign has staked his entire run on. The electorate was made up of a record-breaking, nearly three-quarter evangelical bloc. But he was beat on his own turf, with Trump carrying the big evangelical Up-Country counties handily.

Still, Cruz paid considerably less than Rubio for each one of his votes–$42.90.

Now, we come to The Donald, who undeniably won a resounding victory with across-the-spectrum appeal. Trump carried all but two counties, which in truth, he barely lost. It’s still quite possible he takes all of the state’s delegates when it all gets worked out. For his first-place finish with 32.5% of the vote, Trump paid just $7.09 for each one of his 239,851 votes.

That’s a 65,970-vote margin in a six-way race. So much for Citizens United allowing big money to take over the country? (As if they didn’t already?)

In total, approximately $47,407,000 was spent on

[brid video=”28440″ player=”2077″ title=”Donald Trump&#39s South Carolina primary victory speech”]

Donald J. Trump gave his victory in Spartanburg, South Carolina, which he carried by 10 points, and thanked supporters and rivals in the race. While Trump was gracious in victory, there were a few people The Donald couldn’t help but to slam.

“I was watching upstairs. It was really amazing to be watching what I was watching. And some of the pundits, a number of them said, well, if a couple of the other candidates dropped out. If you add their scores together, it is going to equal Trump. Right? These geniuses. They’re geniuses. They don’t understand as people drop out, I’m going to get a lot of those votes also,” Trump said.

“You don’t just add them together. So I think we’ll do very, very well. I want to also congratulate the other candidates. In particular I have to say Ted and Marco did a really good job. They did quite well.”

In fact, according to aggregate data, of those who were backing former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, a surprising high 21% say Trump is their second choice. Still, even if 100% of Bush’s supporters went to Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, he would still lose his own state by double-digits to the New York billionaire real estate mogul.

Donald J. Trump gave his victory in

Will Mitt Romney Help Rubio in Nevada Republican Caucus?

Mitt Romney, Connie Mack, Marco Rubio

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is greeted by Rep. Connie Mack, R-Fla., and Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., left, as he steps off his plane to attend campaign events in Pensacola, Fla., Saturday, Oct. 27, 2012. (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)

Gov. Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican nominee, will endorse Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., The Huffington Post reported citing two sources. The development comes just days before the Nevada Republican caucus, where Donald J. Trump has a 26-point lead on the PPD aggregate average of polls.

Romney, a Mormon, will no doubt seek to court the last bloc of religious Mormon voters that caucus in the state. Further, while it’s not wildly reported, Rubio once stayed in the area and has relationships with these voters. Unfortunately, for the Rubio camp, who long-planned to blunt Trump in the Silver State, it hasn’t resonated.

Worth noting, in 2012 Mitt Romney actively and vociferously courted Trump for his endorsement in the prior Republican primary. The Donald did give him the endorsement based on his economic experience, which definitely helped him to beat back former House Speaker New Gingrich.

Gov. Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican nominee,

Campaign Ends for the Man Everyone (Except PPD) Said Was the Frontrunner

Donald-Trump-Jeb-Bush-CNN-GOP-Debate-AP

Republican presidential candidates, businessman Donald Trump, left, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush talk together before the start of the CNN Republican presidential debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library and Museum on Wednesday, Sept. 16, 2015, in Simi Valley, Calif. (PHOTO: AP/Chris Carlson)

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has suspended his campaign after coming in at best a disappointing fourth place in the South Carolina Republican primary. The development comes after a report claimed that his staff were shopping their resumes and a serious push to coalesce the anti-Trump vote before its too late.

“The people of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina have spoken and I really respect their decision. So tonight I am suspending my campaign,” Bush said at a post-election party in Columbia.

It is a far fall from the once-presumed frontrunner in the cycle. Donald J. Trump, who won the South Carolina primary, hung the “low energy” noose around his neck. Despite his brother, a former president, and mother, a former first lady, he never gained traction. After spending nearly $23 million in New Hampshire, Bush came in ahead of Florida Sen. Marco Rubio but still far behind the other second tier candidates.

“Thank you for the opportunity for running for the greatest office on the face and the earth,” Bush said choking up. “God bless you.”

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has suspended

Donald-Trump-Clemson-SC

Donald Trump smiles after telling a record crowd at the Civic Center of Anderson that he heard Clemson University’s football team is pretty good. (Photo: AP)

Donald J. Trump has won the South Carolina Republican primary with his strength among evangelicals and widespread appeal, PPD projects. Trump carried all the counties that he needed and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz desperately needed to remain competitive, despite evangelicals making up nearly three-quarters of the primary electorate.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio are in a battle for second, though exit polls and raw vote returns appear to give Cruz the edge. However, the South Carolina exit polls clearly understated Trump’s support, as he is running the table on the important voter-rich counties.

In Horry County, a bellwether that is now home to Northeastern and Midwest transplants, is going for Trump big time. The Donald took 48% of the vote with 5.7% of precincts reporting. If that holds, it will be the largest margin in the history of competitive Republican primaries.

According to South Carolina exit polls, Trump carried men with 34% (10 points) and women with 26% (1 point). Ted Cruz carried voters age 18 to 29 by 30% to 25% for Trump, while both him and Marco Rubio each took 28% of the 30 to 44 age group.

A whopping 74% of South Carolina Republican primary voters said they support Trump’s temporary ban on Muslim immigration to the U.S., while just 23% do not. That’s an even larger margin than the 65% support found in New Hampshire, where the frontrunner won with an 18-point margin.

[brid video=”28440″ player=”2077″ title=”Donald Trump&#39s South Carolina primary victory speech”]

Donald J. Trump has won the South

Cruz-Trump-Rubio-NH-Debate-Getty

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, left, Donald Trump, center, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, right (Photos: Getty/AP/Getty)

Early South Carolina exit polls show a deeply distrustful and angry Republican primary electorate and a record-breaking evangelical vote. Donald J. Trump is leading among men with 34% and women with 26%. Ted Cruz carried voters age 18 to 29 by 30% to 25% for Trump, while both him and Marco Rubio each took 28% of the 30 to 44 age group.

But Trump is carrying every other age demographic, including 45 to 64 (32% to 25% for Rubio) and 64 plus (31% to 24% for Rubio).

(PPD will continuously update the numbers)

Voters who said they are angry with the federal government chose Donald Trump first with 38%, 28% chose Cruz, Rubio took 18% and Ben Carson 8%. These voters made up 46% of Republican primary voters, while 48% said they prefer someone with experience.

Late deciders went for Rubio 30%, Cruz 28%, Trump 16% and Kasich by 11%. While there are a substantial number of late deciders–about 4 in 10 say they made up their minds only today or in the last few days–that’s down from 47% in New Hampshire. Early deciders, in previous states, have been good for Trump.

More than 4 in 10 favored illegal immigrants, another strong showing of support for Trump in New Hampshire. But, more importantly, 4 in 10 say Trump is best among the five top candidates to handle the economy, more than twice as many as those who chose his nearest competitor on this issue, Ted Cruz.

A whopping 74% of South Carolina Republican primary voters said they support Trump’s temporary ban on Muslim immigration to the U.S., while just 23% do not. That’s an even larger margin than the 65% support found in New Hampshire, where the frontrunner won with an 18-point margin.

That said, South Carolina exit polls show nearly three-quarters of Republican primary voters identify themselves as born-again or evangelical Christians. That’s far higher than the models predicts and, if it holds, will set another record, up from 65% in 2012. Eight in 10 GOP voters in South Carolina identify themselves as conservative, and 4 in 10 as very conservative, which could benefit Cruz. However, exit polls show they are split between Trump (30%) and Cruz (30%) evenly.

White evangelicals backed Trump slightly over Cruz, 31% to 29%. Polls showed Trump carrying both voters, but the models polled a smaller group and both are on track to set records in exit poll data in the state back to 1992. In the final day, Cruz dispatched some 10,000 evangelical volunteers to do a little Christian-to-Christian persuading.

In what could potentially hurt Trump, nearly half said it matters “a great deal” to them that a candidate shares their religious beliefs, which is up very sharply from the 26% who said so in 2012. The top candidate attribute voters are seeking is someone who “shares my values,” again a much weaker group for Trump in earlier contests, and one that is consistently better one for Cruz, though it was the most-desired quality in New Hampshire and Iowa, as well.

The problem for anti-Trump voters, is that they split that vote and could allow Trump to win with less than a third of the vote. For those who said the Supreme Court appointment was their number one issue, Cruz got 30%, Trump got 26%, and Rubio got 21%.

Of those who said terrorism was their top issue, Cruz won 31%, Trump won 27%, while Rubio took 25% and Bush 7%.

Early South Carolina exit polls show a

People's Pundit Daily
You have %%pigeonMeterAvailable%% free %%pigeonCopyPage%% remaining this month. Get unlimited access and support reader-funded, independent data journalism.

Start a 14-day free trial now. Pay later!

Start Trial