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Ted-Cruz-Iowa-Caucus

Ted Cruz’s team is deploying what it says is 12,000 volunteers for the Iowa caucuses. | AP Photo

I realize that as an evangelical Christian I have a dog in this fight, but I want to say a few words about evangelicals and the unfortunate effort afoot to make them the political boogeyman.

There are so many misconceptions about “evangelicals” — from the definition of the word to the intentions of the people themselves — but the most damaging myth is that we evangelicals seek a theocracy for the United States of America, which couldn’t be further from the truth. I’ll get back to that, but first a little background.

Recently I’ve had several people ask me what the deal is with Ted Cruz and “the evangelicals.” The people inquiring are Christians, some even evangelicals. They ask, “What exactly is an evangelical, anyway?”

In our culture, the term is used rather loosely — and, more often than I’d like, pejoratively. I’m seeing columns, blog posts and tweets galore suggesting in hushed terms that Ted Cruz adheres to some fringe philosophy that Christians must take over the world. It’s not enough to accuse them of advocating a theocracy limited merely to the United States. No, world domination is their aim. This fear-mongering propaganda needs to be addressed and discredited.

One tweet to me reads, “TedCruz is a theocrat. He is unbiblical & most Christians theologians/scholars believe he is a heretic. Cruz thinks he’s Christ.” Another asks, “Does Cruz want to be President or the ‘Christian’ Imam for the USA?”

To laugh or cry?

So, let’s examine the meaning of “evangelical.”

One respected dictionary defines it: “Of, relating to, or being a Christian church believing in the Bible as the sole source of religious authority, in salvation only through conversion and spiritual regeneration, and in the necessity of public witness to faith.”

Many use the term loosely, as a synonym for protestant. More precisely, and in line with the dictionary definition, I’d say evangelicals are a subset of Protestants. They are Bible-believing individuals who believe in salvation by faith in Jesus Christ alone. They believe that Christians are spiritually “born again,” but only because the Bible says so, and not because they are snake-handling fanatics, as is sometimes assumed.

Part of the angst over evangelicals, I think, is based on the rise of the Moral Majority in the ’80s, a coalition of mostly evangelicals who became political activists, not just on social issues but for all conservative causes.

It wasn’t only the secular left that reacted adversely to what came to be known as the “religious right” but also some socially liberal and even establishment Republicans, who enjoyed the religious right’s electoral power but feared they would alienate moderates and independents.

When you consider that evangelicals take fire from both sides of the political spectrum it’s not difficult to understand how they’ve been so easily demonized and why misconceptions about their beliefs and intentions abound.

Contrary to popular belief, this nation was largely established by evangelical Christians, united in the unshakable belief that our liberties are God-given, and that the nation’s founding documents are dedicated to preserving those liberties through a sophisticated scheme that limits governmental power to that end.

Indeed, Christians whose ancestors came to America for the very purpose of escaping religious persecution and seeking religious liberty founded the United States. And they enshrined that liberty in the First Amendment to the Constitution, in two separate clauses: the Establishment Clause and the Free Exercise Clause.

But historians have revised our history, and the conventional wisdom is that our liberties are owing to secular enlightenment influences. Christianity, they say, is intolerant, rigid and incompatible with freedom. To the contrary, Christianity undergirds, rather than undermines, our liberties. Christian precepts formed the intellectual underpinnings of American constitutional government. Even if French Enlightenment thinking had its run for a time, America experienced its “Great Awakening” around 1734, which was a nationwide Christian revival that re-energized America’s spiritual flames and gave it a sense of unity. Its unique cultural identity was centered on Christian principles.

Most of America’s Founding Fathers were strong practicing Christians, who believed that man was created in God’s image and likeness, which means that man has intrinsic worth and dignity. It is that firm conviction that leads to the notion that man is endowed with inalienable rights — that he has God-given liberties. The Biblical affirmation of man’s inherent worth, then, is indispensable to the unique political liberty Americans have historically enjoyed.

Don’t believe fear-mongers who preach that evangelicals and other Christians seek to suppress liberties. You can be sure that precisely because of their Christian and biblical worldview, they are theocracy’s worst enemy and liberty’s best friend — the people most committed to preserving our freedoms by honoring the Constitution, whose integrity must be protected to keep government power in check.

Don’t misunderstand. Christians have a right, and, I would argue, a duty, to be engaged in the culture and in politics. They will advocate for issues in which they believe, like any other group, but they do not seek to suppress the freedoms, religious or otherwise, of anyone else. The same cannot be said, sadly, for some other groups.

God bless America.

I realize that as an evangelical Christian

Hillary-Clinton-Bernie-Sanders-Iowa-Caucus

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, left, at the at the Holiday Inn on Feb. 1, 2016 in Des Moines, Iowa, while Hillary Clinton, right, speaks on the evening of the Iowa Democratic caucus, Feb. 1, 2016. (Photo: Joshua Lott/Getty Images/AP)

The death of Antonin Scalia has set off yet another epic partisan struggle as Senate Republicans seek to deny President Obama his constitutional right to nominate the next Supreme Court justice. They want to wait out Obama’s last year in office, hoping his successor will be one of their own.

If the Democrats choose Bernie Sanders as their presidential candidate, Republicans will almost certainly get their wish. Furthermore, the Republican president would probably have a Republican-majority Senate happy to approve his selection.

The makeup of senatorial races this November gives Democrats a decent chance of capturing a majority. Having the radical Sanders on the ballot would hurt them in swing states.

Some Sanders devotees will argue with conviction that these purplish Democrats are not real progressives anyway, not like our Bernie. Herein lies the Democrats’ problem.

No sophisticated pollster puts stock in current numbers showing Sanders doing well against possible Republican foes. The right has not subjected Sanders to the brutality it routinely rains on Hillary Clinton — precisely because he is the candidate they want to run a Republican against. Should Sanders become the nominee, the skies will open.

One may applaud Sanders’ denunciation of big money in politics, but a moderate Democrat in the White House could do something about it. A democratic socialist not in the White House cannot. Campaign finance reform would be a hard slog under any circumstances, but a seasoned politician who plays well with others could bring a reluctant few to her side.

Some younger liberals may not know the history of the disastrous 2000 election, where Republicans played the left for fools. Polls were showing Al Gore and George W. Bush neck-and-neck, particularly in the pivotal state of Florida.

Despite the stakes, prominent left-wing voices continued to back the third-party candidacy of Ralph Nader. You had Michael Moore bouncing on stages where he urged cheering liberals to vote for the radical Nader because there was no difference between Gore and Bush. Republicans, meanwhile, were running ads for Nader. That was no secret. It was in the papers.

When the Florida tally came in, Bush held a mere 537-vote edge. The close results prompted Florida to start a recount of the votes. Then, in a purely partisan play, the conservative majority on the Supreme Court stopped the recount, handing the election to Bush.

The bigger point is that Gore would have been the undisputed winner in 2000 had Nader not vacuumed up almost 100,000 Florida votes, most of which would have surely gone to him.

Same deal in New Hampshire, where Nader siphoned off more than 22,000 votes. Bush won there by only 7,211 ballots.

Now, Sanders is an honorable man running a straightforward campaign for the Democratic nomination. One can’t imagine his playing the third-party spoiler.

But what makes today similar to 2000 is how many on the left are so demanding of ideological purity that they’d blow the opportunity to keep the White House in Democratic hands. Of course, they don’t see it that way. This may reflect their closed circle of like-minded friends — or an illusion that others need only see the light, and their hero will sweep into the Oval Office.

The other similarity to 2000 is the scorn the believers heap on the experienced liberal alternative. They can’t accept the compromises, contradictions and occasional bad calls that attach to any politician who’s fought in the trenches.

The next president will almost certainly be either Clinton or a Republican. Democrats must ask themselves: Whom would you prefer to name future Supreme Court judges?

If the Democrats choose Bernie Sanders as

Justice Antonin Scalia

Amid the petty bickering, loud rhetoric and sordid attack ads in this year’s primary election campaigns, the death of a giant — Justice Antonin Scalia — suddenly overshadows all of that.

The vacancy created on the Supreme Court makes painfully clear the huge stakes involved when we choose a President of the United States, just one of whose many powers is the power to nominate justices of the Supreme Court.

Justice Scalia’s passing would be a great loss at any time. But at this crucial juncture in the history of the nation — with 5-to-4 Supreme Court decisions determining what kind of country America will be — Scalia’s death can be catastrophic in its consequences, depending on who is chosen to be his successor.

Given the advanced ages of other justices, the next president is likely to have enough vacancies to fill to be able to shape the future of the court that helps shape the future of America.

Already many people are complaining that the America they grew up in, and loved, is being changed into something they can barely recognize. Record numbers are renouncing their American citizenship.

Meanwhile, people with high level experience in the military and in the intelligence services are warning us against extreme dangers in a world where our adversaries’ military power and aggressiveness are increasing, while our military forces are being cut back.

Against this background, the frivolous rhetoric and childish antics in the televised political “debates” are painful to watch. If ever there was a time to choose a president with depth, rather than glitter or glibness, this is it.

Whatever the achievements of anyone in some other field, we cannot afford a novice in the complex world of politics and government at a time of grave dangers at home and internationally.

Some seem to think that Donald Trump’s lead in the polls and in the New Hampshire primary make him the most electable candidate, even if he often acts like an overgrown spoiled brat.

But the fact that Trump leads in the polls does not mean that he is electable in the general election this fall. He is ahead only because the majority vote among Republicans has been split among so many other candidates.

Although Hillary Clinton is said to have been beaten badly in the Democrat’s primary vote in New Hampshire, she still had a higher percentage of the Democrats’ vote than Trump had of the Republicans’ votes.

Unfortunately, the way the Republican primaries are set up, Trump can win all the delegates from some states without having to get a majority of the votes in any state. But in the general election in November, a candidate usually has to win a majority in a state, in order to win that state’s votes in the Electoral College.

The Republicans can end up with a candidate who cannot even get a majority of Republicans’ votes, much less a majority of the votes in the general population.
If, by some miracle, Trump became president, what kind of president would he be? Do we need another self-centered know-it-all in the White House to replace the one we have now?

Among the other Republican candidates, Dr. Ben Carson is a monumental figure in his field, and he is clearly revered even by people who would not vote for him. But votes are how elections are decided.

The governors among the Republican candidates can at least be judged by how their track record stands up in running a governmental organization. So can Senator Ted Cruz, who was attorney general in Texas. But Senator Marco Rubio has no comparable experience — and his inexperience has shown up in his abortive attempt to join Democrats in promoting amnesty.

If the Republicans are to avoid having Donald Trump lead them — and the country — to disaster, they are going to have to have the majority of non-Trump supporters get behind some given candidate.

Senator Ted Cruz has been criticized in this column before, and will undoubtedly be criticized here again. But we can only make our choices among those actually available, and Senator Cruz is the one who comes to mind when depth and steadfastness come to mind.

As someone who once clerked for a Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, he will know how important choosing Justice Scalia’s replacement will be. And he has the intellect to understand much more.

The vacancy created on the Supreme Court

[brid video=”27912″ player=”2077″ title=”Dick Cheney Responds to Donald Trump on 911 WMD and Iraq”]

Dick Cheney, the former vice president, responded to Donald Trump over 9/11, WMD and the invasion of Iraq during an appearance on Special Report.

“He sounds like a liberal Democrat,” Cheney said.

Cheney said that he’ll support the nominee of his party, but that if Trump keeps talking the way he’s talking he doesn’t think he’ll get the nomination.

Dick Cheney, the former vice president, responded

[brid video=”27909″ player=”2077″ title=”Ted Cruz Trump Rubio “Start Screaming ‘Liar Liar Liar'” Because I Point Out the Record”]

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz tried to fire back at Donald Trump and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio after they both accused him of being a liar during the campaign. On Saturday, Sen. Rubio said he lied about Ben Carson to get his votes in Iowa and is lying about his record on immigration because “he’ll say and do anything to get elected.”

Trump, the Republican frontrunner have been abysmal and in the Palmetto State, said the same during a press conference Monday, adding that he might sue Cruz over his eligibility for office if he does not stop telling and airing “lies.”

“If he doesn’t take down his false ads and retract his lies, I will [file suit] immediately. Additionally, the RNC should intervene and if they don’t, they are in default of their pledge to me,” Trump said in the statement.

Cruz, who will be badly wounded if he does not perform well in South Carolina, hit back Monday.

“It is not being honest or candid for either Marco Rubio or Donald Trump to pretend their records are different from what they are and simply to yell and scream at anyone who points out the words coming out of their own mouths,” Cruz said Monday at a press conference in South Carolina.

While Cruz gave the presser, at a rally 130 miles away in Mount Pleasant, S.C., Trump called Cruz “the most dishonest guy I think I’ve ever met in politics.”

“I think he’s an unstable person,” Trump said. “He’s nuts.”

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz tried to fire

Tehran-Iran-burn-flags

Iranians burn the American and Israeli flags following the announcement of the negotiated nuclear agreement in Tehran. (Photo: Hamed Malekpour)

Israel’s defense minister said a nuclear arms race is under way in the Middle East as Sunni Arab states seek to counter Shiite Iran post-nuclear deal.

Moshe Ya’alon said Sunday that Sunni Arab states are unsettled following last year’s nuclear deal between Tehran and six world powers, but declined to elaborate, The Telegraph reports.

“We see signs that countries in the Arab world are preparing to acquire nuclear weapons, that they are not willing to sit quietly with Iran on brink of a nuclear or atomic bomb,” he said.

Israel and its Sunni Gulf allies, who have cooperated and grown closer than ever before in recent years, are known to talk through back channels. Their relationships are a result of a united front against Iran, despite not having official diplomatic ties.

Supporters of the nuclear deal, such as President Obama, have argued that it rolls back Iran’s nuclear capabilities.

Ya’alon believes Iran can break the agreement as their economic situation improves with the lifting of crippling international sanctions, and said Israel was following the situation closely “because over many years the Iranians have been deceitful about their nuclear program.”

“If at a certain stage they feel confident, particularly economically, they are liable to make a break for the bomb,” he said.

Israel’s defense minister said a nuclear arms

CBS SC Republican Debate

Republican Presidential Candidates former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, US Senator from Texas Ted Cruz, Neurosurgeon Ben Carson, US Senator from Florida Marco Rubio and Ohio Governor John Kasich at the end of the Republican Presidential Debate sponsored by CBS News and the Republican National Committee at the Peace Center in Greenville, South Carolina, USA, 13 February 2016. The South Carolina Republican presidential primary is 20 February 2016. (Photo: EPA/Erik S. Lesser)

This is a very strange political season. Some of the Senators running for the Republican presidential nomination are among the most principled advocates of smaller government in Washington.

Yet all of them have proposed tax plans that, while theoretically far better than the current system, have features that I find troublesome. Marco Rubio, for instance, leaves the top tax rate at 35 percent, seven-percentage points higher than when Ronald Reagan left town.

Meanwhile, both Ted Cruz and Rand Paul (the latter now out of the race) put forth plans that would subject America to value-added tax.

This has caused a kerfuffle in Washington, particularly among folks who normally are allies. To find common ground, the Heritage Foundation set up a panel to discuss this VAT controversy.

You can watch the entire hour-long program here, or you can just watch my portion below and learn why I want Senator Cruz to fix that part of his plan.

[brid video=”27860″ player=”2077″ title=”Dan Mitchell Debating Sen Cruz Tax Plan at Heritage Foundation”]

Allow me to elaborate on a couple of the points from my speech.

First, a good tax system is impossible in a nation with a big welfare state. If the public sector consumes 50 percent of economic output, that necessarily means very high marginal tax rates.

Second, all pro-growth tax reform plans tax income only one time, either when earned or when spent, which means those plans all are consumption-base taxes in the jargon of public finance economists. Which is also just another way of saying that these tax plans get rid of double taxation.

On this basis, a VAT is fine in theory. Moreover, it could even be good in reality (or, to be technical, far less destructive than the current system in reality) if all income taxes were totally abolished.

Third, since Cruz’s plan leave other taxes in place, I’m worried that future politicians would do exactly what happened in Europe – use the new revenue source to finance an expansion of the welfare state.

Proponents of the Cruz VAT correctly point out that the plan simultaneously will abolish both the corporate income and the payroll tax, which sort of addresses my concern.

But keep in mind this is only an acceptable swap if you think, 1) the plan will survive intact as it move through the legislative process, and 2) the VAT won’t raise more money than the taxes that are abolished.

I’m not sure either assumption is valid.

Last but not least, proponents of the Cruz VAT plan keep denying that the plan includes a VAT. If you recall from my remarks, I think this is silly. It is a VAT.

To bolster my argument, here’s what Alan Viard wrote for the American Enterprise Institute.

Cruz’s proposed VAT would have a 16 percent tax-inclusive rate, and Paul’s proposed VAT would have a 14.5 percent tax-inclusive rate. Both VATs would be administered through the subtraction method rather than the credit invoice method used by most countries with VATs. The use of the subtraction method would not alter the fundamental economic properties of the VAT. A VAT is equivalent to an employer payroll tax plus a business cash flow tax.

Let’s close by citing some very wise words from Professor Jeffrey Dorfman of the University of Georgia (Go Dawgs!). Here are the key parts of his column forForbes.

Conservatives are worried about national consumption taxes for several reasons, principally: these taxes’ ability to raise large sums of revenue and the ease with which politicians can raise the rates. Because national consumption taxes are efficient and can be applied to a larger base than is typical of state and local sales taxes they can raise large sums of money. While liberals think this is a plus, conservatives are rightly wary of taxes that could supply government with more money. More importantly, conservatives are suspicious of the semi-hidden nature of consumption taxes and the ability to raise them incrementally.

Bingo.

The bottom line is that even if we decide to call the VAT by another name, it won’t alter the fact that some of us think it’s too risky to give politicians an additional revenue source.

[mybooktable book=”global-tax-revolution-the-rise-of-tax-competition-and-the-battle-to-defend-it” display=”summary” buybutton_shadowbox=”true”]

Some of the most principled senators running

Mitch-McConnell-AP

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Kty., speaks to the press in the halls of the Senate. (PHOTO: AP)

President Barack Obama gave a televised address after the sudden death of Justice Antonin Scalia and said he will nominate a replacement “in due time.” Scalia, the longest-serving justice on the court and arguably most important conservative voice, died this weekend in rural Texas at 79.

“The American people should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice,” Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Kty., said in a statement. “Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new President.”

The statement set off a firestorm among Senate Democrats, who have been citing modern history and constitutional law to make their case. Unfortunately, facts and fictions are permeating media reports, as well as statements from both Democrats and Republicans, and need to be separated. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., like McConnell, was putting in her two cents before the news even had a chance to settle in.

Warren added that Scalia’s death created an “immediate vacancy on the most important court” that needed to be filled by President Obama and approved by the U.S. Senate, and that Obama’s reelection was an affirmation of his mandate. That’s not how it works, or at least, supposed to work.

Article. II, Section 2 of the U.S. Constitution–pertaining to the president’s appointment power–reads in full as follows:

He [The President] shall have Power, by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, to make Treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur; and he shall nominate, and by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, shall appoint Ambassadors, other public Ministers and Consuls, Judges of the supreme Court, and all other Officers of the United States, whose Appointments are not herein otherwise provided for, and which shall be established by Law: but the Congress may by Law vest the Appointment of such inferior Officers, as they think proper, in the President alone, in the Courts of Law, or in the Heads of Departments.

The phrase by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate is not for show, it was intentional. While it is true that President Obama was reelected in 2012, it is also true that the American people gave control of the U.S. Senate to his political opposition in 2014 precisely to place a check on him (low turnout is a false argument). In modern American politics, the status quo powers on both sides of the aisle have paid lip service and put on a charade to reflect these words. But, for the most part, even Republicans haven’t used their power to influence the court.

For instance, President Obama nominated and, with the help of Republicans, the Senate approved an openly gay, former ObamaCare defender (Elena Kagan) even as major cases regarding the health care law and same-sex marriage were making their way to the high court. As pivotal cases on affirmative action and abortion made their way to the court, those same Republicans approved Sonia Sotomayor, who in the past made her liberal views known on both issues.

So, when Politico attacks McConnell for being “a self-appointing guardian of Senate tradition,” it’s not exactly fair. McConnell, whom we will deal with shortly, has in fact restored long-held chamber rules that were abolished under Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev, in order to ram an unpopular liberal agenda through Congress.

But is it tradition to give a lame-duck president a vote on a justice? Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, vowed in South Carolina to filibuster any liberal nominee put forward by the president. Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said on Sunday in response that denying a vote would be more obstructionism, and challenged Cruz to show him where in the Constitution he has such authority. However, in 2007, Schumer said and did the same exact thing.

In reality, the longest vacancy on the Supreme Court was 27 months and, despite what a report by NPR claimed, the nomination and confirmation of Anthony Kennedy under President Ronald Reagan in 1988 isn’t comparable, at all. Reagan made two prior nominations–one of which didn’t even make it through the committee–that the Democratic Congress drew out and ultimately rejected. Thus, Kennedy, the court’s only true swing vote, was a compromise, not a conservative.

Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, was largely correct when he said in a statement that no one in 80 years has been confirmed in a presidential year. The “Thurmond Rule,” which is more tradition than a rule, does give the ruling party an option to “delay, delay, delay” when a high-stakes judicial nomination runs into a presidential election.

Nevertheless, Kennedy eventually got a vote and, while McConnell’s immediate declaration that there would be no vote on a nominee isn’t exactly unprecedented, as Democrats claim, it also isn’t the codified law. The bottom line is that President Obama has the right and power to nominate a replacement for Justice Scalia, but he doesn’t have the right to get that nominee on the court. It’s ultimately within McConnell’s and the Senate’s power to reject whomever he nominates.

In fact, the media and most politicians seem to not understand that James Madison wanted consensus to be hard. The Madisonian Republic defined in the Constitution, which Justice Antonin Scalia dedicated his entire life to preserve, is supposed to slow down the wheels of the federal government from turning.

It is said in D.C. that Scalia, himself, wanted the president to nominate his replacement, something a White House aide was quick to point out. That’s the system of government Justice Scalia loved so much.

However, he didn’t say the Republican-controlled Senate had to confirm said nominee in the event they didn’t share his believes.

The death of Justice Antonin Scalia set

2016 Nevada Democratic Caucus

43 Delegates: Allocated Proportionately (Saturday — February 20, 2016)

(Please Note: Total delegates include 35 soft pledged and 8 soft unpledged “superdelegates”)

[election_2016_polls]


Polling Data

[wpdatatable id=26]


Above is table listing the latest 2016 Nevada Democratic caucus polls and aggregate PPD polling average. There are 35 delegates up for grabs in the Nevada Democratic caucus on Saturday, Feb. 20, 2016, which are to be allocated proportionately. Democratic Viability Precinct Caucuses meet in each precinct. Each Precinct Caucus chooses delegates to County Conventions based on presidential preference. Voting begins at 12 noon PST.

Twenty-three (23) district delegates will allocated proportionally to presidential candidates based on the support among the delegates to the State Convention from the state’s congressional districts. Further, 12 delegates are to be allocated based on the support among the delegates to the state convention as a whole. The remaining 8 National Convention delegates consist of 6 Democratic National Committee members and 2 Members of Congress (1 senator and 1 representative).

[ssbp]

2016 Nevada Democratic Caucus 43 Delegates: Allocated Proportionately (Saturday -- February

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