Widget Image
Follow PPD Social Media
Tuesday, February 25, 2025
HomeStandard Blog Whole Post (Page 665)

holiday-retail-shopping-consumers

Consumers ready for holiday shopping, the busiest time of the year for retail outlets. (Photo: Reuters)

The Conference Board said its Consumer Confidence Survey rose in December to 96.5 from 92.6 the month prior, beating median expectations for a 93.8 gain. The Present Situation Index increased from 110.9 last month to 115.3 in December, while the Expectations Index improved to 83.9 from 80.4 in November.

“Consumer confidence improved in December, following a moderate decrease in November,” said Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. “As 2015 draws to a close, consumers’ assessment of the current state of the economy remains positive, particularly their assessment of the job market.”

However, optimism about the short-term outlook was somewhat mixed in the month of December. Respondents expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months decreased slightly to 15.2% from 15.7%. However, those expecting business conditions to worsen increased slightly to 11.0% from 10.6%.

The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen Holdings N.V. (NYSE: NLSN). Nielson is a global information and measurement company with leading market positions in marketing and consumer information, television and other media measurement, online intelligence, mobile measurement, trade shows and related properties.

Those saying business conditions are “good” increased from 25.0 percent to 27.3 percent. However, those saying business conditions are “bad” also increased from 16.9 percent to 19.8 percent. Consumers, however, were more positive about the labor market. The proportion claiming jobs are “plentiful” increased from 21.0 percent to 24.1 percent, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” decreased to 24.7 percent from 25.8 percent.

The Conference Board said its Consumer Confidence

Paul Krugman

Paul Krugman, partisan economist and professor at Princeton University, gives a speech on May 12, 2009 in Shanghai, China. (Photo by Zhu Lan/ChinaFotoPress/Getty Images)

When I get my daily email from the editorial page of The New York Times, I scroll through to see whether there’s anything on economic issues I should read. As a general rule, I skip over Paul Krugman because he’s both predictable and partisan. But every so often, his column will grab my attention, usually because the headline will include as assertion that doesn’t make sense.

The bad news is that this is usually a waste of time since most of his columns are ideological rants. But the good news is that I periodically catch Krugman making grotesque errors when he engages in actual analysis. Here are a few examples:

  • Earlier this year, Krugman asserted that America was outperforming Europe because our fiscal policy was more Keynesian, yet the data showed that the United States had bigger spending reductions and less red ink.
  • Last year, he asserted that a supposed “California comeback” in jobs somehow proved my analysis of a tax hike was wrong, yet only four states at the time had a higher unemployment rate than California.
  • And here’s my favorite: In 2012, Krugman engaged in the policy version of time travel by blaming Estonia’s 2008 recession on spending cuts that took place in 2009.

And if you enjoyed those examples, you can find more of the same by clicking here, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.

But perhaps he’s (sort of) learning from his mistakes. Today, we’re going to look at Paul Krugman’s latest numbers and I’ll be the first to say that they appear to be accurate.

But accurate numbers don’t necessarily lead to honest analysis. Krugman has a post featuring this chart, which is supposed to show us that GOP presidential candidates are wrong to pursue “Bushonomics.”

private employment under Obama Bush

In looking at this chart and seeing how Krugman wants it to be interpreted, I can’t help but think of the famous zinger Reagan used in his debate with Jimmy Carter: “there you go again.”

Let’s consider why he’s wrong.

First, he asserts the chart is evidence that GOP candidates shouldn’t follow Bushonomics. I actually agree. That’s because the burden of government spending jumped significantly during the Bush years and the regulatory state became more oppressive. All things considered, Bush was a statist.

Krugman, however, would like readers to believe that Bush was some sort of Reaganite. That’s where we disagree. And if you want to know which one of us is right, just check what happened to America’s rating in Economic Freedom of the World during the Bush years.

Second, Krugman would like readers to think that Presidents have total control over economic policy. Yet in America’s separation-of-powers system, that’s obviously wrong. You also need to consider what’s happening with the legislative branch.

So, I added a couple of data points to Krugman’s chart. And, lo and behold, you can just as easily make an argument that partisan control of Congress is the relevant variable. As you can see, Republican control of Congress boosted job growth for Obama, whereas the Democratic takeover of Congress led to bad results during the Bush years.

private employment under Obama Bush and Republican Democratic control of Congress

By the way, I don’t actually think congressional control is all that matters. I’m simply making the point that it is misleading to assert that control of the White House is all that matters. What is important, by contrast, are the policies that are being implemented–or, just as important–not being implemented.

And since the economic policies of Bush and Obama have been largely similar, the bottom line is that it’s disingenuous to compare job creation during their tenures and reach any intelligent conclusions.

Third, since Krugman wants us to pay attention to job creation during various administrations, we can play this game–and actually learn something–by adding another president to the mix. Krugman doesn’t identify his data source, but I assume he used this BLS calculation of private employment or something very similar.

So, I asked that website to give me total private employment going back to the month Reagan was nominated.

And here’s what I found. As you can see, good private-sector job growth under Reagan and Clinton, but relatively tepid job growth this century.

private employment from Reagan to Obama

Now let’s take a closer look at the total change in private employment for the first 81 months of the Reagan, Bush, and Obama Administrations. And you’ll see that Krugman was sort of right, at least in that Obama has done better than Bush.

And if there’s no recession before he leaves office, he’ll look even better than Bush than he does now. But Obama doesn’t fare well when compared against Reagan.

employment under Reagan Bush Obama

So does this mean Krugman will now argue GOP candidates should follow Reaganomics rather than Obamanomics or Bushonomics?

I’m not holding my breath waiting for him to make a correction. By the way, keep in mind what I said before. Presidents (along with members of Congress) don’t have magical job-creation powers. The best you can hope for is that the overall burden of government diminishes a bit during their tenure so that the private sector can flourish.

That’s what really enables job creation, and that’s the lesson that really matters.

But it’s not easy to find the truth if you put partisanship above analysis. Krugman erred by making a very simplistic Bush-Republican-bad/Obama-Democrat-good argument.

In reality, the past several decades show that it’s more important to look at policy rather than partisan labels. For instance, the fiscal policies of Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton are relatively similar and are in distinct contrast to the more profligate fiscal policies of George W. Bush and Barack Obama.

P.S. Paul Krugman’s biggest whopper was about healthcare rather than fiscal policy. In 2009, he said “scare stories” about government-run healthcare in Great Britain “are false.” But you can find lots of scary stories here.

[mybooktable book=”global-tax-revolution-the-rise-of-tax-competition-and-the-battle-to-defend-it” display=”summary” buybutton_shadowbox=”true”]

CATO economist Dan Mitchell underscores and debunks

Home-Prices-Home-Sales-Reuters

Home sales and home prices data and reports. (Photo: REUTERS)

The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Indices in 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas rose 0.1% in October on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, missing the median forecast of 0.2%.

“Generally good economic conditions continue to support gains in home prices,” said David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “Among the positive factors are consumers’ expectations of low inflation and further economic growth as well as recent increases in residential construction including single family housing starts.”

The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a slightly higher year-over-year gain with a 5.2% annual increase in October 2015 versus a 4.9% increase in September 2015, topping expectations for a 5.4% increase.

“Inventories of existing homes have averaged around a five month supply for the past year, a level that suggests a fairly tight market with limited supplies,” Blitzer added. “Sales of new single family homes, despite recent increases in construction, remain mixed to soft compared to the trend in existing home sales.”

The latest data in the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index wasn’t influenced by the recent decision by the Federal Reserve to raise short-term interest rates for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis. However, Blitzer says that consumers and homebuyers shouldn’t get too concerned about the rate hike yet.

“The recent action by the Federal Reserve raising the Fed funds target rate by 25bp and spreading expectations of further increases during 2016 are leading some to wonder if mortgage interest rate might rise. Typically, increases in short term interest rates lead to smaller increases in long term interest rates,” he added. “These data suggest that potential home buyers need not fear runaway mortgage interest rates.”

Meanwhile, San Francisco, Denver and Portland again reported the highest year-over-year increases among the 20 cities with another month of double-digit price increases of 10.9% for all three. Twelve cities reported greater price increases in the year ending October 2015 juxtaposed to the year ending September 2015. Phoenix had the longest streak of yearover-year increases, reporting a gain of 5.7% in October 2015, the eleventh consecutive increase in annual price gains.

The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Indices

Puerto-Rico-flag

Flag of Puerto Rico. (Photo: Getty)

Puerto Rico is sinking in $73 billion of debt. Mired in a long-running depression, the U.S. territory has already cut essential services to bare bones. Puerto Rico can’t fully pay its bondholders without setting off total economic collapse.

One of two things can happen, short of doing nothing and setting off a humanitarian crisis. One is to let Puerto Rico restructure its debt in a federal bankruptcy court. The U.S. Treasury recommends that route.

A Chapter 9 bankruptcy would cost American taxpayers about nothing. Losses would be borne by the speculators who made the risky investments. The Financial Times has called hedge funds wagering on distressed Puerto Rican debt “bond predators.”

The other option is to have U.S. taxpayers bail out the island with enormous transfers of aid.

Guess which path the hedge funds want to take? The taxpayer bailout, of course.

And guess which side Washington Republicans are on? The hedge funds’. Funny how fast these “fiscal conservatives” forget their distaste for bailouts when their Wall Street benefactors come knocking for theirs.

Puerto Rico’s government debt comes with various levels of government guarantees, but none of it is safe. That some tax-exempt Puerto Rican bonds have recently traded for an average yield of nearly 42 percent illustrates how little that guarantee means.

Has the island’s government been guilty of mismanagement? For sure. The investors knew that all along.

Wall Street’s time-honored strategy for recovering from a bet gone south is to move the risk onto America’s taxpayers. To pull it off here, the funds have to stop a Chapter 9 bankruptcy, whereby the negotiations would move where they belong — between them and the Puerto Rican government.

But Congress must first pass legislation letting Puerto Rico use the bankruptcy option. As the law now stands, American cities can go into bankruptcy court (Detroit was an example), but U.S. states and territories may not.

A bankruptcy proceeding would cost the bondholders, but a flattened Puerto Rico wouldn’t be able to pay them, either. So Republicans are riding to the rescue with sneaky ways to get the American taxpayers to bear the losses.

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch did a clever two-step. He blocked a vote on the bankruptcy legislation while proposing that U.S. taxpayers spend $3 billion helping Puerto Rico meet its obligations. The bondholders think that’s a dandy idea.

Presidential candidate Marco Rubio initially showed interest in the bankruptcy bill and participated in the drafting. After all, huge numbers of Puerto Ricans fleeing the economic disaster on the island have settled in central Florida. They are now the U.S. senator’s constituents — and also an influential voting bloc in a presidential swing state.

But then the Monarch Alternative Capital hedge fund apparently got to him. Rubio abandoned support for the bankruptcy bill shortly after Monarch’s founder helped throw the first of two fundraisers for him.

The predators are now trying to confuse the public by calling the bankruptcy option — the true alternative to a taxpayer bailout — a “bailout.” The Tea Party Patriots fell for the line. (Not so the conservative Americans for Tax Reform, which sees bankruptcy as a preferred alternative to transferring more taxpayer money to the island.)

BlueMountain Capital Management wrote, “Chapter 9 proceedings bail out Puerto Rico on the backs of the very bondholders Congress incentivized to invest in Puerto Rican municipal bonds.”

Some bond predators have no shame.

Adding another chapter to the sob story, some Republicans are now arguing that a bankruptcy could hurt average Americans who invested directly in Puerto Rican bonds or through a mutual fund. Yes, this can happen when average Americans speculate.

That’s capitalism, the grown-up version.

Puerto Rico is sinking in $73 billion

Donald-Trump-Hillary-Clinton-Getty

Donald Trump visits Turnberry Golf Club, after its $10 Million refurbishment, June 8, 2015, in Turnberry, Scotland. | Hillary Clinton speaks at the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials’ (NALEO) 32nd Annual Conference at the in Las Vegas, June 18, 2015. (PHOTO: GETTY)

Hillary Clinton has now learned what some of Donald Trump’s GOP rivals have discovered about him: You won’t attack him with impunity, and you’d better not be vulnerable on the very same issue.

Trump used colorful language to describe Barack Obama’s trouncing of Clinton in 2008 and also disparagingly referred to her prolonged bathroom break during the most recent Democratic presidential debate.

Trump’s tactics and choice of language aside, Clinton clearly miscalculated her response, thinking that she could both brush Trump back and score points on his back by invoking the gender card. But you don’t succeed against someone by attacking the very practice that has elevated him to the top — in this case his skewering of political correctness.

With no more sincerity than when she pathetically lapsed into African-American dialect in a black church some time ago, Clinton opportunistically exclaimed, “I really deplore the tone of his campaign and the inflammatory rhetoric that he is using to divide people and his going after groups of people with hateful, incendiary rhetoric.”

As if that weren’t enough, Clinton added, “His bigotry, his bluster, his bullying have become his campaign.” In a later interview, Clinton continued to pile on, saying Trump has a “penchant for sexism.”

I needn’t defend Trump’s choice of words here, but I will say that I don’t believe he uttered them out of sexism or out of hatred. Trump, in my view, often uses provocative language against his opponents to get under their skin and to further prove that he will not kowtow to political correctness. That is what Trump was doing to Clinton — and it worked.

Clinton fell right into Trump’s trap. By accusing Trump of sexism, she opened herself wide to his counter-counter, and he was ready. He happily threw that back in her face, citing husband Bill Clinton’s undeniable penchant for sexism, which, by the way, Hillary Clinton grossly and persistently enabled — for example, with her ruthless handling of the famed “bimbo eruptions.”

Hillary Clinton also accused the big, bad, mean, powerful, Putin-approved billionaire of bigotry and bullying. One would think that such a politically ambitious woman with ready access to the wisest political advice money can buy would appreciate the risk in her playing the gender card while trying to project an image of toughness and strength. Does it not occur to Clinton that there’s an embarrassing contradiction in portraying herself as a hypersensitive, weak and vulnerable woman while holding herself out as our enemies’ worst nightmare?

It’s silly enough for her to think she can score points against Trump for allegedly bullying her but downright delusional to expect that those points will accrue to her benefit when national security is foremost on Americans’ minds. Clinton is supposed to be the hawkish Democrat, remember? How many hawks do you know who are preoccupied with chivalrous men bending over to pick up their handkerchiefs?

Isn’t the modern feminist’s agenda to impose gender neutrality — to make it taboo to suggest there is any difference between men and women in any way, especially in their respective abilities to handle difficult workplace or political challenges? Of course that’s what they want, except when it serves their interest to have it both ways.

Remember when Clinton and her handlers went ballistic when Rick Lazio, her Republican opponent for the U.S. Senate seat in New York, “invaded her space” on the debate stage? Clinton pretended to be mortified. Uber-feminist Clinton was reduced to “I am woman. Hear me roar, but don’t you dare roar back. Don’t even look at me crossways.”

But in Clinton’s case, there isn’t an ounce of sincerity in her protests of sexism. With all due respect, she does not exude femininity on her softest day, and I don’t believe for a second she’s offended by Trump’s comments any more than she was by Lazio’s innocuous gestures. She is simply a political animal who will use whatever tools she has on any given day — hoping we’ll forget what she did the previous day.

Apart from her bogus invocation of the gender card, we must also note that her counterattacks, some delivered by surrogates, were way more over-the-top than anything Donald Trump said. Clinton ally Ellen Tauscher said: “We are watching The Donald melt down. His racist, sexist, xenophobic rants are now wearing on people generally.” It is a bit rich for Clinton and her gaggle of harridans to complain about Trump’s scatological remarks and then turn around and accuse him of the worst kind of isms and phobias.

There is no chance Clinton will gain ground against Trump with this charade, but there is a real risk she’ll do lasting damage to her coveted mystical image as a competent future commander in chief.

For my fellow Republicans concerned about all the GOP infighting going on, perhaps you can gain some solace in Clinton’s penchant for unforced errors.
[mybooktable book=”the-emmaus-code-finding-jesus-in-the-old-testament” display=”summary” buybutton_shadowbox=”true”]

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton -- Tough

Obama-Biden-Oval-Office

President Barack Obama talks with Vice President Joe Biden, in the Oval Office, July 29, 2015. (Photo: White House/Pete Souza)

How shall we remember 2015? Or shall we try to forget it?

It is always hard to know when a turning point has been reached, and usually it is long afterwards before we recognize it. However, if 2015 has been a turning point, it may well have marked a turn in a downward direction for America and for Western civilization.

This was the year when we essentially let the world know that we were giving up any effort to try to stop Iran — the world’s leading sponsor of international terrorism — from getting a nuclear bomb. Surely it does not take much imagination to foresee what lies at the end of that road.

It will not matter if we have more nuclear bombs than they have, if they are willing to die and we are not. That can determine who surrenders. And ISIS and other terrorists have given us grisly demonstrations of what surrender would mean.

Putting aside, for the moment, the fateful question whether 2015 is a turning point, what do we see when we look back instead of looking forward? What characterizes the year that is now ending?

More than anything else, 2015 has been the year of the big lie. There have been lies in other years, and some of them pretty big, but even so 2015 has set new highs — or new lows.

This is the year when we learned, from Hillary Clinton’s own e-mails, after three long years of stalling, stone-walling and evasions, that Secretary of State Clinton lied, and so did President Barack Obama and others under him, when they all told us in 2012 that the terrorist attack in Benghazi that killed the American ambassador and three other Americans was not a terrorist attack, but a protest demonstration that got out of hand.

“What difference, at this point, does it make?” as Mrs. Clinton later melodramatically cried out, at a Congressional committee hearing investigating that episode.

First of all, it made enough of a difference for some of the highest officials of American government to concoct a false story that they knew at the time was false.

It mattered enough that, if the truth had come out, on the eve of a presidential election, it could have destroyed Barack Obama’s happy tale of how he had dealt a crippling blow to terrorists by killing Usama bin Laden (with an assist from the Navy’s SEALS).

Had Obama’s lies about his triumph over terrorism been exposed on the eve of the election, that could have ended his stay in the White House. And that could have spared us and the world many of Obama’s disasters in the Middle East and elsewhere around the world. That is why it matters, and will continue to matter in the future.

Lying, by itself, is obviously not new. What is new is the growing acceptance of lying as “no big deal” by smug sophisticates, so long as these are lies that advance their political causes. Many in the media greeted the exposure of Hillary Clinton’s lies by admiring how well she handled herself.

Lies are a wall between us and reality — and being walled off from reality is the biggest deal of all. Reality does not disappear because we don’t see it. It just hits us like a ton of bricks when we least expect it.

The biggest lie of 2014 — “Hands up, don’t shoot” — had its repercussions in 2015, with the open advocacy of the killing of policemen, in marches across the country. But the ambush killings of policemen that followed aroused no such outrage in the media as any police use of force against thugs.

Nor has there been the same outrage as the murder rate shot up when the police pulled back, as they have in the past, in the wake of being scapegoated by politicians and the media. Most of the people murdered have been black. But apparently these particular black lives don’t matter much to activists and the media.

No one expects that lies will disappear from political rhetoric. If you took all the lies out of politics, how much would be left?

If there is anything that is bipartisan in Washington, it is lying. The most recent budget deal showed that Congressional Republicans lied wholesale when they said that they would defund ObamaCare, Planned Parenthood, and other pet projects of the Democrats.

As for 2015, good riddance. We can only hope that people who vote in 2016 will have learned something from 2015’s disasters.

As for 2015, good riddance. We can

Catherine-Mann-OECD

The new chief economist for the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Catherine Mann, talks while presenting the advance G-20 OECD Economic Outlook on Nov. 6, at the OECD headquarters in Paris. (Photo: AFP)

It’s time to criticize my least-favorite international bureaucracy. Regular readers probably know that I’m not talking about the United Nations, International Monetary Fund, or World Bank.

Those institutions all deserve mockery, but I think the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) is–on a per-dollar basis–the bureaucracy that is most destructive to human progress and economic prosperity.

One example of the organization’s perfidy is the OECD’s so-called Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) initiative, which is basically a scheme to extract more money from companies (which means, of course, that the real cost is borne by workers, consumers, and shareholders).

I’ve written (several times) about the big-picture implications of this plan, but let’s focus today on some very troubling specifics of BEPS.

Doug Holtz-Eakin, in a column for the The Wall Street Journal, explains why we should be very worried about a seemingly arcane development in BEPS’ tax treatment of multinationals. He starts with a very important analogy.

Suppose a group of friends agree to organize a new football league. It would make sense for them to write rules governing the gameplay, the finances of the league, and the process for drafting and trading players. But what about a rule that requires each team to hand over its playbook to the league? No team would want to do that. The playbook is a crucial internal-strategy document, laying out how the team intends to compete. Yet this is what the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development wants: to force successful global companies, including U.S. multinationals, to hand over their “playbooks” to foreign governments.

Here’s specifically what’s troubling about BEPS.

…beginning next year the BEPS rules require U.S.-headquartered companies that have foreign subsidiaries to maintain a “master file” that provides an overview of the company’s business, the global allocation of its activities and income, and its overall transfer pricing policies—a complete picture of its global operations, profit drivers, supply chains, intangibles and financing. In effect, the master file is a U.S. multinational’s playbook.

And, notwithstanding assurances from politicians and bureaucrats, the means that sensitive and proprietary information about U.S. firms will wind up in the wrong hands.

Nothing could be more valuable to a U.S. company’s competitors than the information in its master file. But the master file isn’t subject to any confidentiality safeguards beyond those a foreign government decides to provide. A foreign government could hand the information over to any competitor or use it to develop a new one. And the file could be hacked.

Doug recommends in his column that Congress take steps to protect American companies and Andy Quinlan of the Center for Freedom and Prosperity has the same perspective.

Here’s some of what Andy wrote for The Hill.

It is…time for Congress to take a more assertive role in the ongoing efforts to rewrite global tax rules. …(BEPS) proposals drafted by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development…threaten the competitiveness of U.S.-based companies and the overall American economy. …We know the Paris-based OECD’s aim is to raid businesses – in particular American businesses – for more tax revenue… The fishing expeditions are being undertaken in part so that bureaucrats can later devise new and creative ways to suck even more wealth out of the private sector. …American companies forced to hand proprietary data to governments – like China’s – that are known to engage in corporate espionage and advantage their state-owned enterprises will be forced to choose between forgoing participation to vital markets or allowing competitors easy access to the knowledge and techniques which fuel their success.

You would think that the business community would be very alarmed about BEPS. And many companies are increasingly worried.

But their involvement may be a too-little-too-late story. That’s because the business group that is supposed to monitor the OECD hasn’t done a good job.

Part of the problem, as Andy explains, is that the head of the group is from a company that is notorious for favoring cronyism over free markets.

The Business and Industry Advisory Committee…has been successfully co-opted by the OECD bureaucracy. At every stage in the process, those positioned to speak on behalf of the business community told any who wished to push back against the boneheaded premise of the OECD’s work to sit down, be quiet, and let them seek to placate hungry tax collectors with soothing words of reassurance about their noble intentions and polite requests for minor accommodations. That go-along-to-get-along strategy has proven a monumental failure. Much of the blame rests with BIAC’s chair, Will Morris. Also the top tax official at General Electric – whose CEO Jeffrey Immelt served as Obama’s “job czar” and is a dependable administration ally – and a former IRS and Treasury Department official, Morris is exactly the kind of business representative tax collectors love.

Ugh, how distasteful. But hardly a surprise given that GE is a big supporter of the corrupt Export-Import Bank.

I’m not saying that GE wants to pay more tax, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the top brass at the company decided to acquiesce to BEPS as an implicit quid pro quo forall the subsidies and handouts that the firm receives.

In any event, I’m sure the bureaucrats at the OECD are happy that BIAC didn’t cause any problems, so GE probably did earn some brownie points.

And what about the companies that don’t feed at the public trough? Weren’t they poorly served by BIAC’s ineffectiveness?

Yes, but the cronyists at GE presumably don’t care.

But enough speculation about why BIAC failed to represent the business community. Let’s return to analysis of BEPS.

Jason Fichtner and Adam Michel of the Mercatus Center explain for U.S. News & World Report that the OECD is pushing for one-size-fits-all global tax rules.

The OECD proposal aims to centralize global tax rules and increase effective tax rates on international firms. U.S. technology firms such as Google, Facebook, Amazon and Apple will likely be harmed the most. …the OECD as a special interest group for tax collectors. Over the past 25 years, they have built an international tax cartel in an effort to keep global tax rates artificially high. The group persistently advocates for increased revenue collection and more centralized control. The OECD has waged a two-decade campaign against low tax rates by blacklisting sovereign countries that don’t comply with OECD directives.

Like the others, Fichtner and Michel worry about the negative consequences of the BEPS plan.

The centralization of tax information through a new international country-by-country reporting requirement will pressure some countries to artificially expand their tax base.  A country such as China could increase tax revenue by altering its definition of so-called value creation… Revenue-hungry states will be able to disproportionately extract tax revenue from global companies using the newly centralized tax information. …while a World Bank working paper suggests there is a significant threat to privacy and trade secrets. Country-by-country reporting will complicate international taxation and harm the global economy.

Instead of BEPS, they urge pro-growth reforms of America’s self-destructive corporate tax system.

…the United States should focus on fixing our domestic corporate tax code and lower the corporate tax rate. The U.S. [has] the single highest combined corporate tax rate in the OECD. …Lower tax rates will reduce incentives for U.S. businesses to shift assets overseas, grow the economy and increase investment, output and real wages. Lowering tax rates is the most effective way policymakers can encourage innovation and growth.  The United States should not engage in any coordinated attempt to increase global taxes on economic activity. …The United States would be better off rejecting the proposal to raise taxes on the global economy, and instead focus on fixing our domestic tax code by substantially lowering our corporate tax rate.

By the way, don’t forget that BEPS is just one of the bad anti-tax competition schemes being advanced by the bureaucrats in Paris.

David Burton of the Heritage Foundation has just produced a new study on the OECD’s Multilateral Convention, which would result in an Orwellian nightmare of massive data collection and promiscuous data sharing.

Read the whole thing if you want to be depressed, but this excerpt from his abstract tells you everything you need to know.

The Protocol amending the Multilateral Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters will lead to substantially more transnational identity theft, crime, industrial espionage, financial fraud, and the suppression of political opponents and religious or ethnic minorities by authoritarian and corrupt governments. It puts Americans’ private financial information at risk. The risk is highest for American businesses involved in international commerce. The Protocol is part of a contemplated new and extraordinarily complex international tax information sharing regime involving two international agreements and two Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) intergovernmental initiatives. It will result in the automatic sharing of bulk taxpayer information among governments worldwide, including many that are hostile to the United States, corrupt, or have inadequate data safeguards.

I wrote about this topic last year, citing some of David’s other work, as well as analysis by my colleague Richard Rahn. The bottom line is that the OECD wants this Multilateral Convention to become a World Tax Organization, with the Paris-based bureaucracy serving as judge, jury, and executioner.

That’s bad for America. Indeed, it’s bad for all nations (though it is in the interest of politicians from high-tax nations).

[mybooktable book=”global-tax-revolution-the-rise-of-tax-competition-and-the-battle-to-defend-it” display=”summary” buybutton_shadowbox=”true”]

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)–on

Franklin-Graham

Franklin Graham, CEO of the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association and of the global Samaritan’s Purse aid organization. (Photo: Steopen Chernin/Getty)

Franklin Graham, CEO of the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association and of the global Samaritan’s Purse aid organization, cut ties with the Republican Party over members’ support and passage of the 2,000-plus page, trillion-plus dollar omnibus package, including its full funding of Planned Parenthood – the organization just outed on video for selling cast-off, aborted baby parts.

And you know what? Good. Finally. Somebody with boldness who isn’t trying to hand the American conservative constituency the tiresome, whiney line, “But if we don’t stick together, then the Democrats will win.”

Because you know what else? Despite the Republican majority in the Senate and House, the Democrats are already winning. Scarcely had Wisconsin’s Paul Ryan dropped the arm he had ceremoniously lifted for his swearing-in ceremony as speaker, then he was off and running to cut a budget deal with the Democrats, the one wanted by President Obama. That vow he took on October 29 to “bear truth, faith and allegiance” to the Constitution? Gone, like a wisp of smoke in a breeze, along with the limited government principles endeared by our Founding Fathers.

The full funding for Planned Parenthood was only one object of objection in the omnibus. As presidential hopeful Sen. Rand Paul said on New York’s AM 970: “Nobody read it.” That, in itself, should be the mother of all objections because it suggests this shocking scenario: Nobody tasked with serving their constituents with due regard for the Constitution can say with any assurance that the package that passed either A) served the constituent, or B) gave due regard to the Constitution.

The wisp of smoke grows larger. It has to – our congressional gate guards need cover as they flee and abandon their posts.

Here’s what Graham said in his Facebook post of the deal: “Shame on the Republicans and the Democrats for passing such a wasteful spending bill … And to top it off, funding Planned Parenthood! … I call it a big loss for America.”

Here’s his goodbye to the Republicans, in the same post: “This is an example of why I have resigned from the Republican Party and declared myself Independent. I have no hope in the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, or Tea Party to do what is best for America. Unless more godly men and women get in this process and change this wicked system, our country is in for trouble.”

And finally, his solution: “I want to challenge Christians, even pastors, across the country to pray about running for office where they can have an impact. We need mayors, [county] commissioners, city council members, school board members who will uphold biblical values.”

Agreed. Wholeheartedly. If the definition of crazy is doing the same thing over and over, yet expecting different results, why are we continuing to look to the Republican Party to save our republic? Our solution for what ails America rests in a higher power.

Just as the Founding Fathers knew, when they declared this great system of constitutional governance for us, that we “are endowed by [our] Creator with certain unalienable Rights,” so should we abide in that principle. In other words, we should look to God, not government – not the Republican Party or the next candidate with an “R” alongside his or her name – for both guidance and oversight of this nation, and not be afraid to part ways with those who don’t toe the line on that standard.

[mybooktable book=”police-state-usa-how-orwells-nightmare-is-becoming-our-reality” display=”summary” buybutton_shadowbox=”true”]

Why Franklin Graham, CEO of the Billy

Tamir-Rice

Tamir Rice died after being shot by a Cleveland police officer who mistook his BB gun for a real weapon. (Photos: AP/Getty)

Cuyahoga County Prosecutor Timothy J. McGinty said a grand jury refused to indict a Cleveland police officer or his partner in the death of Tamir Rice, a black 12-year-old. McGinty said the grand jury, which had been meeting since mid-October, was faced with “indisputable” evidence that the boy drew a weapon before the police officer opened fire.

Patrolman Timothy Loehmann, a white police officer and rookie at the time, shot Rice as the cruiser driven by patrolman Frank Garmback came to a stop on Nov. 22, 2014. Rice, who was “waving around” a BB gun Loehmann mistook for a real handgun, died the next day during surgery. McGinty called the episode “a perfect storm of human error,” but underscored that no crime was committed.

“Viewing the video alone, however, provides an incomplete picture,” Assistant County Prosecutor Matthew Meyer said Monday.

Meyer noted that a witness who had been standing with Rice earlier in the day told authorities that Rice was pulling the gun out “like robbers do,” adding that a short, grainy video of the tragic encounter between Rice and the police was misleading. During a powerful moment during the press conference, Meyer actually held up the model of Rice’s airsoft gun next to the real weapon the BB gun was modeled after.

“To someone who is in a stressful encounter, however, who doesn’t know if the gun is real or fake, it is impossible to tell,” Meyer said.

Further, on the very same day Rice was shot by the police, a man waiting for a bus outside a recreation center called 911 to report that a male, who was likely a juvenile, was waving a gun and pointing it at people. The male caller did tell the 911 operator that the gun the person had probably wasn’t real, but the operator never passed that information to the dispatcher who gave Loehmann and Garmback the high-priority call.

In the video, Rice walked toward the cruiser as it moved toward him. The Rice family and their attorney, nevertheless, were not pleased with the grand jury decision. Subodh Chandra, a Cleveland attorney who represents the Rice family in a federal civil rights lawsuit over the shooting, said he had braced himself for the news that the white officers wouldn’t be indicted.

“This is apparently how long it takes to engineer denying justice to a family when the video of the incident clearly illustrates probable cause to charge the officer,” Chandra said.

While grand jury proceedings are supposed to be kept a secret–with good reason–McGinty released expert reports and investigative documents to the media and public citing his desire for transparency in how the case is being handled. Experts hired by McGinty concluded the shooting was justified. Unsurprisingly, experts hired by the Rice family concluded the opposite. Both sides testified before the grand jury, which argued with the experts put forward by McGinty.

Cuyahoga County Prosecutor Timothy J. McGinty said

Pentagon Officials Say Victory in Ramadi Marks “Proud Moment,” But Islamic State isn’t Routed Yet

Ramadi-Iraq

A soldier in a heavily damaged building in the Huz neighborhood of Ramadi, Iraq, on Sunday. (Photo: Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images)

Shiite Iraqi security forces, backed by Sunni tribal fighters and U.S.-coalition airstrikes, have retaking a key government compound from the Islamic State in Ramadi. The Iraqi flag flew in the center of the city on Monday for the first time since ISIS took the city in the May of 2015.

“The clearance of the government center is a significant accomplishment and is the result of many months of hard work by the Iraqi Army, the Counterterrorism Service, the Iraqi Air Force, local and federal police, and tribal fighters,” Col. Steven H. Warren, the United States military spokesman in Baghdad, said in a statement. “Today’s success is a proud moment for Iraq.”

Retaking control over Ramadi is significant because it would enable Iraq to cut Islamic State supply lines to Falluja, making it extremely difficult for the terror army to continue to hold that city. Not surprisingly, U.S. coalition forces ramped up their airstrikes over the weekend by targeting 18 positions on Sunday, alone. Colonel Warren, the United States military spokesman in Baghdad, told The New York Times the Iraqi forces on the ground had been “supported by over 600 coalition airstrikes since July.”

“The security forces have entered the governmental buildings and raised the Iraqi flags over them after killing many ISIS militants, and the rest have escaped,” said Brig. Gen. Yahya Rasool, a spokesman for the Iraqi military. Rasool also declared the city “fully liberated.”

However, some U.S. Pentagon and Iraqi officials are quietly taking a step back from such claims, waiting for further gains and warning the city is not totally out of ISIS control. Further, once the battle ends, the Shiite-led government in Baghdad will somehow have to put the pieces of a battered city full of distrustful Sunni residents back together. Sunnis are fearful of a majority Shiite army dominated by Iran in the absent of the U.S. As of now, government officials have pledged to hand over security in Ramadi to the Sunni militias in the coming weeks.

Maj. Gen. Ismail al-Mahlawi said that Islamic State fighters are still in control of roughly 30% of the city, while ISIS supporters outright dismissed reports that Ramadi was about to fall on Twitter. There remains reports of heavy fighting in the downtown neighborhood of Huz, as well as in Sajariya and Sufiya, which are located on the eastern outskirts of the city. A battle for Albu Ghanim, located to the north, is also underway. Islamic State fighters captured those villages in April before advancing on the center of Ramadi.

Meanwhile, reports by other news outlets of a new U.S. commando raid in Iraq over the weekend appear to have been premature. U.S. defense officials are denying that U.S. special operators conducted a raid near the town of Hawija in Iraq over the weekend.

In an email, one official said U.S. forces–despite President Obama recently sending an additional 200–have not participated in combat in Iraq since the raid with peshmerga forces in October near Hawija, which resulted in 70 hostages being freed from ISIS and the death of one American Delta Force soldier. He was the first soldier killed in Iraq since Obama withdrew troops and declared an end to combat operations.

Shiite Iraqi security forces backed by Sunni

People's Pundit Daily
You have %%pigeonMeterAvailable%% free %%pigeonCopyPage%% remaining this month. Get unlimited access and support reader-funded, independent data journalism.

Start a 14-day free trial now. Pay later!

Start Trial