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Warren-Clinton

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., left, and Sec. of State Hillary Clinton, right. (Photo: Boston Globe)

There is no way to know what is going on in someone else’s mind. But sometimes their behavior tells you more than their words. The political left’s great claim to authenticity and honor is that what they advocate is for the benefit of the less fortunate.

But how could we test that?

T.S. Eliot once said, “Half the harm that is done in this world is due to people who want to feel important. They don’t mean to do harm — but the harm does not interest them. Or they do not see it, or they justify it because they are absorbed in the endless struggle to think well of themselves.”

This suggests that one way to find out if those who claim to be trying to help the less fortunate are for real is to see if they are satisfied to simply advocate a given policy, and see it through to being imposed — without also testing empirically whether the policy is accomplishing what it set out to do.

The first two steps are enough to let advocates feel important and righteous. Whether you really care about what happens to the supposed beneficiaries of the policy is indicated by whether you bother to check out the empirical evidence afterwards.

Many, if not most, people who are zealous advocates of minimum wage laws, for example, never check to see if these laws do more good by raising some workers’ wages than harm by preventing many young and inexperienced workers from finding jobs.

One of my own pieces of good fortune, when I left home at age 17, was that the unemployment rate for black 17-year-old males was in single digits that year — for the last time. The minimum wage law was ten years old, and the wage specified in that law was now so low that it was irrelevant, after years of inflation. It was the same as if there were no minimum wage law.

Liberals, of course, wanted the minimum wage raised, to keep up with inflation. The result was that, ten years later, the unemployment rate for black 17-year-old males was 27.5 percent — and it has never been less than 20 percent in all the years since then.

As the minimum wage kept getting raised, so did the unemployment rate for black 17-year-old males. In 1971 it was 33.4 percent — and it has never been under 30 percent since then. It has often been over 40 percent and, occasionally, over 50 percent.

But people who advocate minimum wage laws seldom show any interest in the actual consequences of such laws, which include many idle young males on the streets, which does no good for them or for their communities.

Advocates talk about people who make minimum wages as if they are a permanent class of people. In reality, most are young inexperienced workers, and no one stays young permanently. But they can stay inexperienced for a very long time, damaging their prospects of getting a job and increasing their chances of getting into trouble, hanging out with other idle and immature males.
There is the same liberal zeal for government intervention in housing markets, and the same lack of interest in checking out what the actual consequences are for the people who are supposed to be the beneficiaries of government housing policies, whether as tenants or home buyers.

Government pressures and threats forced mortgage lenders to lower their lending standards, to allow more low-income and minority applicants to qualify. But, after the housing boom became a bust, the biggest losers were low-income and minority home buyers, who were unable to keep up the payments and lost everything — which was the very reason they were turned down before lending standards were lowered.

Rent control laws have led to housing shortages in cities around the world. More than a thousand apartment buildings have been abandoned by their owners in New York alone — more than enough to house all the homeless in the city.

High tax rates on “the rich” — however defined — are an ever popular crusade on the left. Who cares about the consequences — such as the rich investing their money overseas, where it will create jobs and economic growth in other countries, while American workers are unemployed and American economic growth is anemic?

All these policies allow the political left to persist in their fact-free visions. And those visions in turn allow the left to feel good about themselves, while leaving havoc in their wake.

The political left's great claim to authenticity

Nick-Denton

Nick Denton, founder of the gossip-mongering website Gawker.

 

The truth will make you free, the more horrible the better. And the more humiliating the truth the richer you get — certainly if you’re Nick Denton, founder of the gossip-mongering website Gawker.

But that was Phase One.

Denton recently pulled an item about a married media executive’s allegedly seeking the services of a gay porn star, after about a half-million people saw it. He and other moguls in the nastier corners of the Internet are noting that though hits on such stories may reach stratospheric levels, advertisers don’t want to get within smelling distance of the reportage.

Let’s turn this discussion to members of Gawker’s editorial staff. Several quit over not being consulted on the decision to take the story down.

Summoning the most noble of mainstream media explanations, Denton said the move was an “editorial call.” In a statement, the unhappy writers and editors said they wanted to protect the site’s editorial independence from the influence of “business-side concerns.”

Children, CHILDREN! Were you laboring under the impression that you weren’t working for the Man? Just because your CEO wears a T-shirts, spouts liberal causes and says the F-word a lot doesn’t mean you’re not gerbils running all day on the digital wheel.

Wall Street has valued the Gawker Media empire at about $250 million, yet you felt the need to unionize for such basic perks as consistent salaries. You were being paid for the number of hits. That’s piecework, guys, like in the old garment industry sweatshops.

Much has been written about Gawker’s cool “headquarters” office in Manhattan. Actually, Gawker Media is incorporated in the Cayman Islands, where its corporate privacy is well-protected and U.S. tax collectors are kept at bay.

Let’s now look at Gawker Media’s current business. You will note that Denton’s larger concern is not the hurt feelings of its content providers. It’s the money, guys.

The Wall Street Journal reports that in June, Gawker saw a 13 percent drop in the number of unique visitors. The competition is growing, and perhaps audiences are being numbed into indifference by the flood of flamboyant gossip.

Meanwhile, Hulk Hogan is suing Gawker for posting a video of the wrestler having sex with someone else’s wife. The wronged spouse is Hogan’s friend, a shock jock going under the name of Bubba the Love Sponge. (In this world, humiliation is something one inflicts unto others.)

Anyhow, Hogan’s lawyers are asking for $100 million, and if they were to get even a small part of it, Denton would be in trouble. He might be forced to sell the company or surrender much of his equity to others. Outside investors are now keeping their distance until the Hogan case is resolved, the Journal reports.

It’s one thing for a liberal site such as Gawker to mortify an entertainer in professional wrestling — home of casual homophobic slurs — and quite another to out a gay man of high social status. In this case, the victim was media giant Conde Nast’s chief financial officer — a husband, father of three and brother of former Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner.

That puts Gawker at risk of losing the few powerful friends it has left. Journalist/gay advocate Glenn Greenwald recently hyperventilated over the injustice of exposing a closeted gay man to ridicule. To Greenwald, this was not acceptable behavior like outing classified information tied to national security.

There will always be a wild west of digital media, but those wanting to make fortunes off its freewheeling nature are beginning to fence it in. To traditional media types, that sounds a lot like “gatekeeping,” and not a bad thing.

Froma Harrop: the more humiliating the truth

I’m very fond of Estonia, and not just because of the scenery. Back in the early 1990s, it was the first post-communist nation to adopt a flat tax.

More recently, it showed that genuine spending cuts were the right way to respond to the 2008 crisis (notwithstanding Paul Krugman’s bizarre attempt to imply that the 2008 recession was somehow caused by 2009 spending cuts).

This doesn’t mean Estonia is perfect. It is ranked #22 byEconomic Freedom of the World, which is a respectable score, but that puts them not only behind the United States (#12), but also behind Switzerland (#4), Finland (#10), the United Kingdom (#12), Ireland (#14), and Denmark (#19).

And you can see from the chart that Estonia’s overall score has dropped slightly since 2006.

But I don’t believe in making the perfect the enemy of the good. Estonia is still a reasonably good role model for reform, particularly for nations that emerged from decades of communist enslavement.

You can see how good policy makes a difference, for instance, by comparing Estonia with Croatia (#70). At the time of the breakup of the Soviet Empire, living standards in Croatia were low, but they were about twice as high as they were in Estonia. Today, though, per-capita economic output in Estonia is about $4000 higher than in Croatia.

That’s a dramatic turnaround and it shows that markets are much better for people than statism. Sort of like the lesson we learn by comparing Poland (#48) and Ukraine (#122).

Let’s now take a closer look at one of the policies that has helped Estonia prosper. The flat tax was first adopted in 1994 and the rate was 26 percent. Since then, the rate has been gradually reduced and is now 20 percent.

For some people, the most amazing aspect of the Estonian flat tax is its simplicity, as noted by Kyle Pomerleau of the Tax Foundation.

Republican Presidential hopeful Jeb Bush claimed that it only takes 5 minutes to file taxes in Estonia. This claim was confirmed by a number of reporters and tax authorities in Estonia. For those of us that do our taxes by hand, this sounds like a dream. Depending on your situation, filing your taxes can tax a significant amount of time and due to the numerous steps involved (especially if you are claiming credits) may lead some to make errors. According to the IRS, it takes an average taxpayer with no business income 8 hours to fill out their 1040 and otherwise comply with the individual income tax. Triple that for those with business income.

For those keeping score, this means Estonia is kicking America’s derriere.

But Kyle is even more impressed by other features of the Estonian system.

…that it is not the best part of the Estonian tax code. The best part of the Estonian tax code has more to do with its tax base (what it taxes) rather than how fast people can pay their taxes. Specifically, the Estonian tax code has a fully-integrated individual and corporate income tax. This means that corporate income is taxed only once either at the entity level or at the individual level.

And this means Estonia’s flat tax is far better for growth than America’s system, which suffers from pervasive and destructive double taxation.

In total, the tax rate on corporate income is 20 percent in Estonia. Compare this to the integrated tax rate on corporate profits of 56 percent in the United States. Even more, this tax system provides de facto full expensing for capital investments because the corporate tax is only levied on the cash distributed to shareholders, which is also a significant boon to investment and economic growth.

Wow. No double taxation and expensing of business investment. There is a lot to admire about Estonia’s sensible approach to business taxation.

Particularly when compared to America’s masochistic corporate income tax, which ranks below even the Greek, Italian, and Mexican systems.

Having the world’s highest statutory corporate tax rate is part of the problem. But as Kyle pointed out, the problem is actually far worse when you calculate how the internal revenue code imposes extra layers of tax on business income.

That’s why, at a recent tax reform event at the Heritage Foundation, I tried to emphasize why it’s economically misguided to have a tax bias against saving and investment.

[brid video=”11924″ player=”1929″ title=”Dan Mitchell Explains Why Double Taxation is Economically Destructive”]

The bottom line is that high taxes on capital ultimately lead to lower wages for workers.

Estonia, back in the early 1990s, was

Ohio-Gov-John-Kasich-2016-Announcement

Ohio Gov. John Kasich is accompanied by his wife Karen as he arrives to formally announce his campaign for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination in Columbus, Ohio, July 21, 2015. (Photo: Reuters/Aaron P. Bernstein)

Gov. John Kasich became the 16th candidate to enter the 2016 Republican nomination race on Tuesday during a rally in Columbus at his alma mater, Ohio State University. “I have to humbly tell you, I believe I do have the skills” to serve as president, Kasich said during the announcement, arguing he was ready to take on the “daunting challenge” of restoring America.

But despite haling from a key swing state, Gov. Kasich is facing an uphill battle to win the party nomination and earn the right to take on Hillary Clinton.

Kasich, 63, a former congressman, served as the House Budget Committee chairman and often cites his role in balancing the federal budget during President Bill Clinton’s administration when touting his fiscal conservative credentials. However, the Supreme Court decision in June to uphold ObamaCare subsidies ensured the president’s signature health care law will become one of the hottest issues during the GOP primary, and this will not work in the governor’s favor.

“John Kasich’s decision to expand Medicaid in Ohio in 2013 was a costly mistake,” said Club for Growth President David McIntosh. “Medicaid enrollment in Ohio has far outpaced Kasich’s projections and more than doubled in cost. The Club for Growth is concluding its research into Kasich’s broader record on issues of economic freedom. But, our presidential white paper on the Ohio governor will, no doubt, warn of the long-lasting consequences from his decision to burden Ohio with an ever-growing price tag for Medicaid expansion.”

As governor of Ohio, Kasich bucked the Republican governor trend nationwide and opted to expand Medicaid under ObamaCare, arguing that Ohioans’ tax dollars would have been spent on the program, regardless. However, federal payments to states are not finite and depreciate over time, leaving those who chose to opt in with a potentially costly burden.

And as the Club for Growth noted, the Kasich administration widely underestimated the cost to Ohio taxpayers, something the self-proclaimed budget hawk will have to answer for on the debate stage and town halls across New Hampshire. The administration initially projected 365,616 people to enroll by June 2015 under Ohio’s Medicaid expansion, but as of May of this year a whopping 537,010 additional enrollees have exploded the Medicaid rolls to 2.9 million. The cost in real dollars will far exceed promised estimates.

The projected before-tax amount of the state’s share of Medicaid expansion in fiscal year 2017 was $55.5 million. However, considering actual enrollment, the figure will come in at roughly $130 million. Because of Kasich’s decision to move forward with the unpopular Medicaid expansion, the state’s share has skyrocketed from the $7 billion (20 percent) seen in the 2010-11 budget to $11.9 billion, or 25.9 percent that is marked for the current two-year budget.

“PPD’s model identifies Walker, Bush and Rubio as the top three candidates in the crowded 2016 field,” says senior political analyst Richard D. Baris. “We will discuss this more in the following days when we release our expanded analysis, but as of now, Gov. Kasich may be too little too late to overcome fundamental challenges with the party base and a general lack of room in the party establishment.”

“We’ve always thought he had serious potential as a 2016 candidate, but the odds are stacking up against him.”

According to the PPD average of national nomination polls, the Buckeye State governor registers at a statistically-insignificant 1.5 percent. In order to gain support, name recognition and stature in a crowded field in a hurry, Kasich plans to dump almost $3 million in TV advertising in New Hampshire. Unfortunately, on average, he enjoys just 1.7 percent support among Granite State Republican primary voters.

 

Despite haling from a key swing state,

Bill Cosby Performs At The Treasure Island

Comedian/actor Bill Cosby performs at the Treasure Island Hotel & Casino on September 26, 2014 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Bill Cosby (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

Following reports that Bill Cosby admitted to drugging several women with the intent to have sex with them, his favorability has plummeted among Americans. According to a new Rasmussen Reports survey, just 21 percent of American adults now have a favorable view of Bill Cosby.

In 2005, Cosby admitted to obtaining quaaludes — which are no longer distributed — with the intent of giving them to women he wanted to have sex with. He further admitted to giving the drug to several women in testimony for a sexual-abuse case filed by former Temple University employee Andrea Constand. In documents obtained by The Associated Press, who sought the contents of the deposition in court, Cosby said he obtained seven quaalude prescriptions in the 1970s during questioning by Constand’s lawyer, who also asked if he had kept the powerful sedatives through the 1990s, after they were banned.

A poll conducted in November found nearly half of Americans thought it was likely the rape allegations against the comedian were true, but also that networks shouldn’t have cancelled his shows. Americans apparently still held an innocent until proven guilty mindset, at least in this case, because they say the television networks were wrong to cancel Cosby’s shows until he was officially charged with a crime. On November 19, NBC became the second outlet to cancel projects with Bill Cosby, which came only one day after famous model and well-known TV host Janice Dickinson told “Entertainment Tonight” that she was sexually assaulted by the comic in 1982.

 

However, since the latest poll, Cosby’s favorability ratings have seen a 21-point drop. Sixty-six percent (66 percent) now view Cosby unfavorably, up 30 points from the 36 percent in the November survey, including 7 percent with a “very favorable” opinion and 36 percent with a “very unfavorable” opinion. Meanwhile, 13 percent are still undecided.

Cosby, 77, has been accused by more than two dozen women of sexual misconduct in episodes dating back more than four decades. Cosby has never been charged with a crime, and the statute of limitations on most of the accusations has expired. Cosby resigned in December from the board of trustees at Temple University, where he was the popular face of the Philadelphia school in advertisements, fundraising campaigns and commencement speeches.

Following reports that Bill Cosby admitted to

existing homes sales reuters

(Photo: REUTERS)

Existing home sales in the U.S. rose in June to their highest level in nearly 8-1/2 years, according to a report from National Association of Realtors. The NAR said on Wednesday the report is a sign of a clear housing market recovery fueled by growth of the overall economy.

Existing home sales increased 3.2 percent to an annual rate of 5.49 million units, the highest level since February 2007.

“Buyers have come back in force, leading to the strongest past two months in sales since early 2007,” Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said. “This wave of demand is being fueled by a year-plus of steady job growth and an improving economy that’s giving more households the financial wherewithal and incentive to buy.”

Existing sales this year are on track to record their biggest gain in roughly eight years, the NAR report said, while May’s sales pace was revised slightly down to 5.32 million units from the previously reported 5.35 million units.

“June sales were also likely propelled by the spring’s initial phase of rising mortgage rates, which usually prods some prospective buyers to buy now rather than wait until later when borrowing costs could be higher,” Yun added.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast home resales rising to a 5.40 million-unit pace last month, and existing home sales were up 9.6 percent from a year ago. While June’s solid home sales report followed last week’s stronger-than-expected housing starts and building permits data, the economy contracted in the first quarter and consumer spending has given some indication that second quarter gross domestic product will also disappoint.

“Limited inventory amidst strong demand continues to push home prices higher, leading to declining affordability for prospective buyers,” said Yun. “Local officials in recent years have rightly authorized permits for new apartment construction, but more needs to be done for condominiums and single-family homes.”

The percent share of first-time buyers fell to 30 percent in June from 32 percent in May, but remained at or above 30 percent for the fourth consecutive month. A year ago, first-time buyers represented 28 percent of all buyers.

According to Freddie Mac, the average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage rose in June to 3.98 from 3.84 percent in May, but remained just below 4.00 percent for the seventh straight month.

Existing home sales in the U.S. rose

hillary-clinton-united-nations-march-10-2015

Hillary Rodham Clinton speaks to the reporters at United Nations headquarters, Tuesday, March 10, 2015. Clinton conceded that she should have used a government email to conduct business as secretary of state, saying her decision was simply a matter of “convenience.” (Photo: AP/Seth Wenig)

Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton is now trailing the top Republican candidates in several key swing states, including Colorado, Iowa and Virginia. According to a new Quinnipiac University Poll, the former secretary of state can no longer dismiss her abysmal favorability and trustworthy numbers, while underscoring her leadership numbers and overall lead.

“Hillary Clinton’s numbers have dropped among voters in the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa and Virginia. She has lost ground in the horserace and on key questions about her honesty and leadership,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “On being a strong leader, a key metric in presidential campaigns, she has dropped four to 10 points depending on the state and she is barely above 50 percent in each of the three states.”

Clinton trails both Floridians — Sen. Marco Rubio and former Gov. Jeb Bush — in all three states, but Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker performs the best out of the three top candidates. Further, Vermont socialist Democratic candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders trails the three Republican candidates by roughly the same margins as Hillary Clinton.

Matchups in each state show:
	          Colorado  Iowa    Virginia
*	Clinton   38        36      41
*	Rubio     46        44      43
*	Clinton   36        36      39
*	Bush      41        42      42
*	Clinton   38        37      40
*	Walker    47        45      43
*	Biden     35        37      41
*	Rubio     49        45      45
*	Biden     36        37      40
*	Bush      45        44      45
*	Biden     36        36      41
*	Walker    48        47      45
*	Sanders   35        36      37
*	Rubio     46        43      44
*	Sanders   37        38      36
*	Bush      43        42      46
*	Sanders   36        36      36
*	Walker    44        44      44

 

“That’s compared to the April 9 Quinnipiac University poll in which she was clearly ahead in five of the matchups and too-close-to-call in the other four,” Brown added. “One other key takeaway is that Vice President Joseph Biden, who is considering a 2016 run, does better than Clinton on honesty and on caring about voter needs, always a key Democratic strong point.”

Colorado voters — who choose Walker over Clinton by a 9-point margin — say by 62 – 34 percent that Hillary is not honest and trustworthy. A far smaller 52 – 46 percent say that she has strong leadership qualities and 57 – 39 percent that she does not care about their needs and problems. Walker, who much narrower name recognition, gets a 35 – 25 percent favorability rating in Colorado. Voters say 40 – 30 percent that he is honest, while 46 – 23 percent say that he has strong leadership skills and 38 – 33 percent that he cares about their needs.

2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Clinton              38%    37%    40%
Walker               47     45     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      5      5
DK/NA                 6      9      8

“Hillary Clinton’s numbers on honesty and trust may border on abysmal but Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, the GOP front runner, is still battling a name recognition handicap,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Do Colorado voters trust Hillary? No, they do not. Do they think she cares about their needs? No they do not.”

“So the door is open to a GOP candidate voters can believe in,” Malloy said of the most demographically diverse purple state polled in the survey.

Though not as bad as Clinton, Jeb Bush is also struggling with key fundamental questions. Bush has a negative 35 – 50 percent favorability among voters in Colorado, who say by 48 – 40 percent that he is honest and trustworthy, 58 – 31 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 48 – 40 percent that he does not care about their needs and problems.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Clinton              36%    36%    39%
Bush                 41     42     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       5      5      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      9     10      7
DK/NA                 8      8      8

In all three states, Sen. Rubio, who continues to enjoy above water favorability ratings, polls second best against Hillary Clinton.

3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Clinton              38%    36%    41%
Rubio                46     44     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      6      5
DK/NA                 7     10      7

“Because Iowa is the scene of the first caucus, Iowa voters are exposed to the presidential campaign more and much earlier than those in any other state with the possible exception of New Hampshire,” Brown said. “The result is that they see campaign television ads many months before most of the rest of the country. The large drop in Secretary Clinton’s favorability in Iowa, from a split 45 – 47 percent in Quinnipiac University’s April 9 survey to a big negative 33 – 56 percent today, has to be worrisome for her.”

 

According to a new Quinnipiac Poll (Q-Poll),

Jeb-Bush-announcement-Miami

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush waves to the crowd as he takes the stage at a rally in Miami Monday June 15, 2015, to announce he is running for president in 2016. (Photo: Getty)

A few days ago, I had some fun by writing a tongue-in-cheek column about the world’s most misleading headlines. Today, I want to share a strong contestant for the world’s most depressing headline.

It’s from The Hill, and it’s the lead to a story about giddy times for Washington’s lobbying community.

So why are lobbyists rolling in cash? What accounts for all the dollars flowing to the influence-peddling community?

The answer, as noted in the article, is that there’s been an end to gridlock.

Nearly all of Washington’s top lobby shops saw gains in revenue in the first half of 2015 as an uptick in activity within both Congress and the Obama administration translated to a boon for K Street. Following a period of relative stagnation in the two-year span preceding the 2014 elections, the Beltway’s biggest lobbying firms have broken through the malaise… “Corporations are a lot more optimistic about whether to invest in Washington,” said Marc Lampkin, a former aide to Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio)… K Street’s top firm — Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld — continued to bolster its advocacy revenue, earning $10.23 million in the second quarter. …“I think our success during the first half of 2015 reflects the…high degree of activity in Congress,” said Don Pongrace, head of the firm’s public law and policy practice.

In other words, an “uptick in activity” in what gives special interests an incentive to “invest in Washington.”

So the obvious lesson is that if you want to reduce lobbying in Washington, the best option is for Washington to do nothing. My personal preference is to make Congress a part-time legislature. That’s worked out quite well for Texas, so why not try it in the nation’s capital?

But if that option isn’t available, then I’m a big fan of gridlock. Simply stated, if my choices are for politicians to do nothing or to have politicians make government bigger, the answer is obvious.

Which is why I was initially very worried when I saw this headline from another story published by The Hill.

This sounds like my worst nightmare. The last thing we should want is productive politicians!

That’s sort of like having productive pickpockets.

But if you read the story, Governor Bush says he wants a lot of activity as part of an effort to shrink “the federal footprint.”

…the GOP presidential candidate said he’d announce tax and regulatory reform proposals over the “coming months,” as well as changes to entitlement programs and a replacement for ObamaCare. …”The overspending, the overreaching, the arrogance and the sheer incompetence in that city — these problems have been with us so long that they are sometimes accepted as facts of life…” Bush criticized Washington for operating on autopilot, ticking off a slew of pitches meant to push back against what he characterized as a needless expansion of the federal footprint.

And it’s true. Fixing all these problem will require lots of legislation.

So while I’m generally very uneasy with the notion of a “productive” Congress, I also realize that lots of reforms will be needed to restore economic vitality.

Now let’s consider one final headline. This one is from a report in the New York Times, and it also revolves around Jeb Bush and his campaign.

And here’s some of what’s in the article.

Jeb Bush…outlined a wide-ranging plan on Monday to rein in the size of the federal government and curb the influence of lobbyists who live off it. …His proposals, modeled on his record as a budget-cutting governor, amounted to…an assault on the culture of Congress

By and large, this sounds good.

But here’s the catch. You don’t need specific anti-lobbying reforms (such as Bush’s proposed six-year ban on lobbying when Senators and Representatives leave office) if you actually are serious about reducing the size and scope of the federal government.

Reducing the power of Washington is the best way of starving DC’s special-interest community.

Indeed, it’s the only genuinely effective way. I explain in this video that laws to control corruption in Washington don’t work because they don’t address the real problem of politicians having far too much influence over the economy.

[brid video=”8397″ player=”1929″ title=”Mitchell Want Less Corruption Shrink the Size of Government”]

I hope you noticed the balloon analogy at the end of the video. If you don’t likeWashington’s parasite class, the only way to curtail their privileged existence is with smaller government.

By the way, I don’t want to imply that all lobbying is bad. It all depends on whether lobbyists are engaged in self-defense or extortion. Here’s some of what I wrote last year.

…lobbying is not necessarily bad. If a handful of business owners want to join forces to fight against higher taxes or more regulation, I’m all in favor of that kind of lobbying. They’re fighting to be left alone. But a big chunk of the lobbying in Washington is not about being left alone. It’s about seeking undeserved benefits by using the coercive power of government.

Moreover, I also pointed out two years ago that we need to respect what the Founding Fathers envisioned.

…the First Amendment protects our rights to petition the government and to engage in political speech.

So at the risk of repeating myself, I urge people to fix the real problem of big government and not get overly distracted by the symptom of favor-swapping and corruption in Washington.

CATO economist Dan Mitchell offers helpful advice

obama-executive-amnesty-speech

U.S. President Barack Obama pauses during a ceremony honoring the National Medal of Technology and Innovation awardees at the White House in Washington November 20, 2014. Obama briefly touched upon his planned executive amnesty action on immigration, which was announced that same night. (Photo: Reuters/Kevin Lamarque)

The outrage over another multiple murder of American military personnel on American soil by another Islamic extremist has been exacerbated by the fact that these military people had been ordered to be unarmed — and therefore sitting ducks.

Millions of American civilians have also been forbidden to have guns, and are also sitting ducks — for criminals, terrorists or psychos.

You might think that, before having laws or policies forcing fellow human beings to be defenseless targets, those who support such laws and policies would have some factual basis for believing that these gun restrictions save more lives, on net balance, than allowing more legal access to firearms. But you would be wrong.

Most gun control zealots show not the slightest interest in testing empirically their beliefs or assumptions. There have been careful factual studies by various scholars of what happens after gun control laws have been instituted, strengthened or reduced.

But those studies are seldom even mentioned by gun control activists. Somehow they just know that gun restrictions reduce gun crime, no matter how many studies show the opposite. How do they know? Because other like-minded people say so — and say so repeatedly and loudly.

A few gun control advocates may cherry-pick examples of countries with stronger gun control laws than ours that have lower murder rates (such as England) — and omit other countries with stronger gun control laws than ours that have far higher murder rates (such as Mexico, Russia and Brazil).

You don’t test an assumption or belief by cherry-picking examples. Not if you are serious. And if you are not going to be serious about life and death, when are you going to be serious?

Unfortunately, gun control is just one of many issues on which the political left shows no real interest in testing their assumptions or beliefs. The left glorifies the 1960s as a turning point in American life. But they show no interest in testing whether things turned for the better or for the worse.

Homicide rates had been going down substantially, for decades on end — among both blacks and whites — until the 1960s. Plotted on a graph, there is a big U-shaped curve, showing the turnaround after the bright ideas of the left were applied to criminals in American courts of law in the 1960s.

This was not the only U-shaped curve, with its low, turnaround point in the 1960s. The same was true of the venereal disease gonorrhea, whose rate of infection went down in every year of the 1950s — and then skyrocketed, beginning in the 1960s.

Teenage pregnancies had also been going down for years, until the late 1960s, when “sex education” was introduced in schools across the country. Then pregnancy rates rose nearly 50 percent over the next decade, among girls 15 to 19 years old — exactly the opposite of what had been predicted by the left.

Another program that had the opposite effect from its advocates’ claims was the “war on poverty” program created by President Lyndon Johnson in 1964.

Contrary to what was said during the celebrations of its 50th anniversary last year, the loudly proclaimed purpose of the “war on poverty” was not simply to transfer money or other benefits to the poor. Both Presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson, and their supporters in Congress and in the media, all clearly stated that the central purpose of the “war on poverty” was to reduce dependency on government.

Both poverty and dependency on government had already been declining for years before this massive program began. The proportion of people whose earnings put them below the poverty level — without counting government benefits — declined by about one third from 1950 to 1965.

This was yet another beneficial trend that reversed itself after another bright idea of the left was put into practice in the 1960s. After half a century and trillions of dollars, the only response of the left has been to change the criteria, so that now the “war on poverty” could be portrayed as a success because it proved that, if you transferred more resources from X to Y, then Y would now have more resources. Who could have doubted that?

Changing the goal after the fact is just one of the ways the left has portrayed its failures as successes.

Since the 1960s, the political left has

Hillary-Clinton-campaign-announcement

Hillary Clinton officially launched her presidential campaign on Friday June 12, 2015.

Hillary Clinton gave a speech warning that the new “sharing economy” of businesses such as the rideshare company Uber is “raising hard questions about workplace protections.”

Democrats hate what labor unions hate, and a taxi drivers’ union hates Uber, too. Its NYC website proclaims, “Uber has the money. But we are the PEOPLE!”

The taxi cartels, which provide inferior service and are micromanaged by government, don’t like getting competition from efficient companies like Uber.

Clinton didn’t mention Uber by name, but we don’t have to wonder which company she meant. The New York Times reports that Clinton contacted Uber and told them her speech would threaten to “crack down” on companies that don’t treat independent contractors as full employees. Apparently, Democrats think something’s wrong if people are independent contractors.

But no driver is forced to work for Uber. People volunteer. They like the flexibility. They like getting more use out of their cars. It’s win-win-win. Drivers earn money, customers save money while gaining convenience and Uber makes money. Why does Clinton insist on interfering with that?

Clinton’s “social democrat” pal, New York’s Mayor Bill de Blasio, wants to crack down on Uber by limiting how many drivers they may hire. Uber cleverly responded with an app — a “de Blasio option” — that shows people how much longer they’d have to wait if de Blasio gets his way.

Good for Uber for fighting back. I wish more companies did.

Federal Express didn’t.

FedEx classified drivers as independent contractors. Again, drivers were willing to drive, FedEx was willing to pay, and customers got packages faster and more reliably than they did from the U.S. Postal Service.

But lawyers built a class action suit on behalf of FedEx drivers, saying they should be treated as employees, paying payroll tax, getting workman’s compensation, receiving benefits. FedEx settled the case for $228 million and began abandoning its independent contractor system.

Uber’s use of independent drivers — who use their own cars — is now called analogous to FedEx’s use of delivery drivers.

That means Uber may soon have to treat its drivers as employees. Business analysts at ZenPayroll estimate that the changes will cost $209 million. We customers will pay for that, and we’ll have fewer ride-share choices, too.

Lawsuits and politicians’ attacks against one company have a chilling effect on others. The “independent contractor” assault will destroy all sorts of companies we’ll never even know about because now they won’t come into existence

Some of the entrepreneurs who dreamed of starting them will look at the additional costs, crunch the numbers and decide there’s not enough profit potential to risk investing their money.

Who knows what odd but popular sharing-economy innovations aren’t happening even now — ones we’d use and love — because businesspeople with great ideas are frightened by the Clintons, deBlasios and lawyers?

In France, the old-fashioned cabbies rioted against Uber, blocking Uber cars and dropping rocks on them from a bridge. Instead of arresting rioters, the French government threatened to arrest Uber executives for breaking taxi rules. Once again, without even a new law directed specifically at Uber, the enemies of free choice got their way. Paris police have been ordered to forbid use of the Uber app.

I disagree with Jeb Bush about many things, but he was right to praise Uber for “disrupting the old order” of business.

The New York Times responded with a sarcastic piece pointing out that when Bush used an Uber car, the driver, Munir Algazaly, didn’t recognize Bush. He said he plans to vote for Clinton, though Bush seemed like a “nice guy.” Another site mocked Bush because he talked about “hailing” an Uber, not “hiring” one. Another pointed out that the car Bush rode in had a license plate holder that said “Fresh as F—” on it. Ha, ha.

But it’s the sneering media who miss the point. Bush is smart to see serious benefits from “reputation” businesses like Uber. Politicians and lawyers who threaten to destroy such companies threaten us all.

Hillary Clinton, Democrats and their allies have

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