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In Mommy Truce, Pulitzer Prize-winning columnist Connie Schultz tackles the issue of vaccines, and overall parenting skills and challenges in light of news.

In the early ’90s, I used to perm my hair into spring coils and wore padded shoulders that gave me the wingspan of a whooper swan, but I thought my biggest problem was my 5-year-old daughter’s occasional bed-wetting.

So off I went to the pediatrician’s office to unravel my woes.

Before we chatted, a kind nurse escorted my daughter to join kids in the supervised playroom, where no one had to worry about exposure to preventable childhood diseases. This column isn’t about our recent measles outbreak or those Republican presidential hopefuls claiming that vaccinations should be left to parental choice. But I can’t stop thinking about the potential damage should this political pandering to the willfully uninformed become an epidemic.

On that day, my daughter’s pediatrician leaned in and nodded thoughtfully as I rambled on about how upsetting it was that my daughter kept waking up in sodden bedclothes. “It makes her cry,” I said, dabbing at tears.

The good doctor smiled. “Easy solution,” he said. “Just have her wear Pull-Ups at night.”

I gasped. “Diapers? She’s 5.”

He smiled again. “Connie, 20 years from now, when you watch your daughter walk down the aisle on her wedding day, you aren’t going to be thinking, ‘She wore diapers to bed until she was 6.'”

I bristled at his example — how hard would it have been to imagine her college graduation instead? — but I really couldn’t summon any outrage. His words released me. I bought the Pull-Ups and assured my daughter that she needn’t worry anymore about wetting her bed. A few weeks later, she didn’t need them anymore.

This memory was brought to you by Similac.

The baby formula brand has a new commercial making the rounds on the Web, including on my Facebook page. It’s that rare gift of an ad that has something to offend everyone because everyone brings her own brand of offensiveness. Nursing mothers swing braless breasts at women wielding baby bottles. Other mothers tug at the lapels of their manly dark jackets and speculate aloud about the idleness of the stay-at-home moms who have just accused them of part-time parenting. One stroller-pushing mother, chastised by a baby-wearing mama, brags about how her Precious came into the world: “Drug-free pool birth. Dolphin assisted.”

There’s a quick shot of lesbian mothers, too, because whom they love is a lifestyle choice, you understand. There’s even a group of dads with babies strapped to their chests. Don’t get your hopes up. It doesn’t take long before they’re making breast jokes. In advertising, dads are such reliable clichés.

The ad ends with a moment of supposed camaraderie as everyone abandons his or her agenda long enough to chase a runaway stroller. What a clever ploy: Let’s traffic in the stereotypical mommy wars to sell baby formula. I thought it was ridiculous until I started reading young mothers’ responses.

One of the most common reactions was to describe a personal experience in which one mother tried to make another mother feel guilty about choices regarding child rearing. Nursing was just the start of it. Bedtimes, reading habits, walking versus carrying — name a parental activity and I can recount several nightmare scenarios involving a judgmental somebody.

What strikes me about these conversations is how readily we as women give more authority to our critics. We may have a dozen friends who support and egg us on, but it’s that nasty one person who gets to pitch a tent in the primary real estate of our heads.

Perhaps this happens because pain is more memorable than camaraderie or even joy. I suspect it also has to do with the inherent insecurities of parenting and the easy shame that catches our breath whenever we fear we’ve screwed up. Again.

This anxiety is as true for many of today’s fathers as it is for mothers. So many men now want to know their children at an early age. A father of two little ones told me recently he sometimes posts photos of his kids on Facebook because parenting is often lonely and he wants his friends to know how he’s spending much of his days. In that moment, he sounded like every mother I knew when I had little ones. He sounded a lot like a younger version of me.

I started this column with the story of my daughter’s bed-wetting because it illustrates how I spent so much time worrying about something that ended up not mattering at all. I did breast-feed, by the way, but my mother didn’t, and both my daughter and I grew up strong anyway. Parenting is an accumulation of skills, always.

When my daughter did walk down that aisle last September, I didn’t think about the day she stopped wearing those Pull-Ups. I didn’t think about how long it took her to string words into a simple sentence, either, or whether I should have nursed her longer.

The only thought flooding my mind as I watched her walk toward the love of her life was, “My girl. My beautiful, beautiful girl.”

Connie Schultz is a Pulitzer Prize-winning columnist and an essayist for Parade magazine. She is the author of two books, including “…and His Lovely Wife,” which chronicled the successful race of her husband, Sherrod Brown, for the U.S. Senate.

In Mommy Truce, Pulitzer Prize-winning columnist Connie

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHWt86QeLvM

Lt. Colonel Ralph Peters said Tuesday night that America and the Obama administration need to get serious about the threat from ISIS, or the Islamic State.

Lt. Colonel Peters appeared with Sean Hannity Tuesday night following the release of a video showing ISIS burning a captured Jordanian pilot alive. Peters said ISIS is “having the the time of their lives” and, unlike it was suggested by other talking heads, are not acting out of desperation.

“It was a brilliant recruiting video,” Lt. Colonel Peters told Hannity. “Those guys who burned that young man alive, they’re having the time of their lives. This kind of violence is captivating, exhilarating, thrilling to these guys. It’s never going to get better for them than this. They have power now. They can exert their will over others.”

Former congressman and retired Lt. Colonel Allen West led the segment off by saying “the only way that you can deal with savage, barbaric animals is to be tough and ruthless.”

Jordan executed two al Qaeda prisoners early Wednesday in response, indicating that Jordan and other Arab nations in the U.S.-led coalition may have come to the same conclusion. Sajida al-Rishawi and Ziad al-Karbouly, two Iraqis connected to al Qaeda were executed by hanging at Swaqa prison about 50 miles south of the Jordanian capital of Amman at sunrise. Two ambulances carrying the bodies of al-Rishawi and al-Karbouly drove away from the prison with security escorts.

“This was better than the best sex they’ve ever had and it’s easier on the goats,” Peters added, underscoring that President Obama’s “false choice” between air power alone or hundreds of thousands of soldiers on the ground is “absolute bull.”

Lt. Colonel Ralph Peters said Tuesday night

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Service sector workers employed in a typical cubicle position. (Photo: Reuters)

A gauge of service sector growth in the U.S. came in stronger than expected in January, but remained near six-month lows as an index on employment bottomed out. The Institute for Supply Management on Wednesday said its services index was 56.7 in January, up slightly from a revised 56.5 in December.

A poll conducted by Reuters showed economists were expecting a reading of 56.3. Despite, the ISM’s Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index reflecting growth for the 66th consecutive month at a faster rate, eight industries reported contraction.

The eight non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in January — listed in order — are: Accommodation & Food Services; Finance & Insurance; Management of Companies & Support Services; Public Administration; Wholesale Trade; Information; Health Care & Social Assistance; and Retail Trade. The eight industries reporting contraction in January — listed in order — are: Mining; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Construction; Other Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Educational Services; and Transportation & Warehousing.

The contraction is particularly concerning in light of the recent ADP private sector jobs report released Wednesday, which found a labor market weakening in job creation. Service sector employment increased by 183,000 in January, down from 207,000 in December.

The NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) is a composite index based on the diffusion indexes for four of the indicators with equal weights: Business Activity (seasonally adjusted), New Orders (seasonally adjusted), Employment (seasonally adjusted) and Supplier Deliveries. The survey’s employment index fell to 51.6 from 55.7, while two other components, prices and order backlogs, came in well below the 50 level that indicates contraction for a second straight month. A third component, imports, entered contraction territory for the first time since February 2014.

The rise in the overall index was fueled by a strong rebound in business activity. That subindex rose from to 61.5, which is its highest level since September and up from 58.6 in December to 61.5.

A gauge of service sector growth in

A discouraged worker sits and waits at a jobs fair. (Photo: REUTERS)

According to payroll processor ADP, U.S. private sector job creation added 213,000 jobs in January, solidly below the 225,000 increase economists expected.

Midsize businesses, those with between 50 to 499 employees, led the way adding 95,000 jobs in the private sector. Employment among these companies was the only segment that showed an increase in January. Employment at large companies – those with 500 or more employees – decreased from 61,000 the previous month to 40,000 jobs added in January. However, payrolls for small businesses with 49 or fewer employees increased by 78,000 jobs in January, down from 115,000 in December.

“Employment posted another solid gain in January, although the pace of growth is slower than in recent months,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics. “Businesses in the energy and supplying industries are already scaling back payrolls in reaction to the collapse in oil prices, while industries benefiting from the lower prices have been slower to increase their hiring. All indications are that the job market will continue to improve in 2015.”

Yet, sector-by-sector data continue to show job creation in low-paying positions far exceeding higher wage opportunities.

The construction industry added just 18,000 jobs, down from last month’s gain of 26,000, while manufacturing added 14,000 jobs in January, far below December’s 23,000. Goods-producing employment rose by 31,000 jobs in January, down from 47,000 jobs gained in December.

Service sector employment, a typical low-pay industry, increased by 183,000 jobs in January, down from 207,000 in December. The ADP National Employment Report found professional/business services contributed just 42,000 jobs in January, a large drop-off from the 72,000 seen in December. Expansion in trade/transportation/utilities grew by 54,000, a sharp increase from December’s 40,000. The 11,000 new jobs added in financial activities is down from last month’s 14,000.

According to payroll processor ADP, U.S. private

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A video of the Jordanian pilot being burned alive is reportedly a month old. (Image: Video)

Jordan executed two al Qaeda prisoners early Wednesday in response to a video released by the ISIS terror group showing a captured Jordanian pilot being burned alive in a cage. Jordan’s government had been negotiating in good faith to secure Lt. Moaz al-Kasasbeh’s release, but according to state television, he was burned alive a month ago.

The release of the grim video has sparked outrage and anti-ISIS demonstrations in Jordan, while Syrian activists reported that the terrorists gleefully played the grisly footage on big-screen televisions in their de facto capital, Raqqa.

Now, a spokesman for the Jordanian government, Mohammed al-Momani, confirmed Jordan had executed Sajida al-Rishawi and Ziad al-Karbouly, two Iraqis with ties to al Qaeda. The executions, which were by hanging, took place at Swaqa prison about 50 miles south of the Jordanian capital of Amman at sunrise. Two ambulances carrying the bodies of al-Rishawi and al-Karbouly drove away from the prison with security escorts.

Jordan agreed to trade al Rishawi for Lt. Muath Al-Kaseasbeh, but put a hold on the trade when ISIS refused to send proof of life. Jordanian TV reported that al-Kaseasbeh was killed as early as Jan. 3, though that could not be immediately confirmed.

jordan-pilot-terrorist-al-rishawi-split

Jordanian pilot Lt. Muath al-Kaseasbeh, left, could be exchanged for Sajida al-Rishawi, right, in a deal that could also free a Japanese journalist held by ISIS. (AP Photo)

Al-Rishawi had been sentenced to death after her 2005 role in a triple hotel bombing that killed 60 people in Amman orchestrated by Al Qaeda in Iraq, the predecessor of the Islamic State group. Al-Karbouly, a former aide to top al Qaeda operative Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, was sent to death row in 2008 for plotting terror attacks on Jordanians in Iraq. Al-Zarqawi was killed in 2006.

In the video, al-Kaseasbeh, showing signs of having been beaten and clad in an orange jumpsuit, speaks under clear duress. A narrator speaking in Arabic blasts Arab nations, including Jordan, for taking part in U.S.-led airstrikes against ISIS. The final five minutes of the video show the caged pilot, his clothing doused in gasoline as the fuel is lit. His screams are audible as he collapses to his knees. After being killed, the burned man and the cage are buried by a bulldozer.

The video ends with ISIS offering “100 golden Dinars” for any Muslims in Jordan who kill other Jordanian pilots, whose names, pictures and hometowns are shown. The video clearly was of high production value, more so than any other previously released ISIS video to date.

President Obama spoke with Jordan’s King Abdullah II in a quickly arranged meeting at the White House. Jordan is a member of the U.S.-led coalition that has been striking ISIS in Syria since this past September.

“It’s just one more indication of the viciousness and barbarity of this organization,” Obama said. “And I think it will redouble the vigilance and determination on the part of the global coalition to make sure that they are degraded and ultimately defeated.”

In a statement before his meeting with Abdullah, Obama vowed the pilot’s death would “redouble the vigilance and determination on the part of our global coalition to make sure they are degraded and ultimately defeated.”

“Lieutenant al-Kaseasbeh’s dedication, courage and service to his country and family represent universal human values that stand in opposition to the cowardice and depravity of ISIL, which has been so broadly rejected around the globe,” Obama said, using another acronym for the terror group.

Rep. Duncan Hunter Jr., R-Ca., said after a meeting with congressional lawmakers and King Abdullah that the Jordanian monarch had been visibly angry and promised swift and certain retaliation against Islamic State group militants.

“They’re starting more sorties tomorrow than they’ve ever had. They’re starting tomorrow,” Hunter told the Washington Examiner in an interview published online Tuesday night.

Hunter added the king also said: “The only problem we’re going to have is running out of fuel and bullets.”

Jordan faces increasing threats from the militants. Jordan borders areas of the group’s self-declared caliphate in Syria and Iraq, while there are have been signs of greater support for the group’s militant ideas among Jordan’s young and poor.

After word spread that the pilot had been killed, dozens of people chanting slogans against the Islamic State group marched toward the royal palace to express their anger. Waving a Jordanian flag, they chanted, “Damn you, Daesh!” — using the Arabic acronym of the group — and “We will avenge, we will avenge our son’s blood.”

Jordanian Army spokesman Mamdouh al-Ameri said the country would strike back hard. “Our punishment and revenge will be as huge as the loss of the Jordanians,” he said.

Protesters marched in the pilot’s home village of Ai and set a local government office on fire. Witnesses said the atmosphere was tense and that riot police patrolled the streets.

The pilot’s father, Safi Yousef al-Kaseasbeh, was attending a tribal meeting in Amman when news of the video surfaced, and he was seen being led from the session. Other men were seen outside, overcome with emotion.

The Islamic State group has released a series of gruesome videos showing the beheading of captives, including two American journalists, an American aid worker and two British aid workers. Tuesday’s was the first to show a captive being burned alive.

Meanwhile, the U.N. Security Council did what they do best; release a statement with no backbone or show of force behind it.

The statement said the U.N. condemns the “brutality of ISIL, which is responsible for thousands of crimes and abuses against people from all faiths, ethnicities and nationalities, and without regard to any basic value of humanity.”

Jordan executed two al Qaeda prisoners early

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From left, clockwise: Mitch McConnell, Harry Reid, John Boehner and Nancy Pelosi. (Photos: AP)

Politicians and lawyers pretend that they are important people doing important work. But often they’re important because they are parasites. They feed off others, while creating no wealth of their own.

We all complain about businesses we don’t like, but because business is voluntary, every merchant must offer us something we want in order to get our money.

But that’s not true for politicians and their businessman cronies. They get to use government force to grab our money.

Those people who take instead of producing things make up “the parasite economy,” says Cato Institute Vice President David Boaz. It’s my favorite chapter in his new book, “The Libertarian Mind.”

The parasite economy, says Boaz, thrives wherever “you use the law to get something you couldn’t get voluntarily in the marketplace.”

That includes much of the military-industrial complex, “green” businesses that prosper only because politicians award them subsidies, banks that can borrow cheaply because they’re labeled “too big to fail” and — unfortunately — me.

All of us are parasites if government granted us special deals. Some parasites (not me) lobbied for their deal. “You might use a tariff to prevent people from buying from your foreign competitors or get the government to give you a subsidy,” says Boaz. “You might get the government to pass a law that makes it difficult for your competitors to compete with you.”

This quickly creates a culture where businesses conclude that the best way to prosper is not by producing superior goods, but by lobbying. Politicians then tend to view those businesses the way gangsters used to view neighborhood stores, as targets to shake down.

Says Boaz, “You have politicians and bureaucrats and lobbyists coming around to these companies and saying, hey, nice little company you’ve got there, too bad if something happened to it. … They start suggesting that maybe you need to make some campaign contributions, maybe hire some lobbyists, and maybe we’ll run an anti-trust investigation, and maybe we’ll limit your supply of overseas engineers. And all of these things then drag these companies into Washington’s lobbying culture.”

And as I mentioned, it’s not just companies that get dragged in.

I built a house on the edge of the ocean. People weigh the costs and benefits of building in risky places like that. Without government’s encouragement, I would have just built someplace else. But because politicians decided that government should be in the flood insurance business, and then other politicians decided that government’s insurance business should offer cheap rates, I did build on the beach.

Even though my property was obviously a high flood risk, my insurance premiums never exceeded $400 a year. Ten years later, my house washed away, and government’s insurance plan reimbursed my costs. Today, the federal flood insurance program is $40 billion in the red.

In other words, you helped pay for my beach house. Thanks! I never invited you there, but you paid anyway. I actually felt entitled to the money. It had been promised by a government program!
But it was wrong, and I won’t collect again. I don’t want to be a parasite.

But it’s tough, because government keeps making offers. Government handouts make parasites out of many of us.

Compare politicians and politicians’ cronies to tapeworms and ticks. Like parasites in nature, the ticks on the body politic don’t want to kill the host organism — meaning us. It’s in politicians’ and regulators’ interest to keep the host alive so they can keep eating our food and sucking our blood.

After watching members of Congress applaud President Obama during his last State of the Union address, I came to think that politicians were worse than tapeworms and ticks. The president bragged about American energy production being up. Domestic energy is up, but it’s up because of private sector innovation, not government. In fact, it’s up in spite of administration rules that make it harder to extract oil from public lands. Yet many in Congress applauded the president’s misleading claim.

At least tapeworms and ticks don’t expect us to clap.

John Stossel is host of “Stossel” on Fox News and author of “No They Can’t! Why Government Fails, but Individuals Succeed.”

John Stossel: Politicians and lawyers pretend that

labor market jobs

Job seekers navigate through a better labor market but still teetering economy. (Photo: REUTERS)

Gallup Chair and CEO Jim Clifton said this week that the unemployment rate measured and reported by the Labor Department “amounts to a Big Lie.”

“There’s no other way to say this,” said Clifton. “The official unemployment rate, which cruelly overlooks the suffering of the long-term and often permanently unemployed as well as the depressingly underemployed, amounts to a Big Lie.”

As Clifton explained, Gallup’s Job Creation Index, which just released data showing the labor market in the same condition as it was in 2014, defines a good job as 30+ hours per week for an organization that provides a regular paycheck. However, the government considers an individual who clocks in a minimum of one hour of work in a week and was paid at least $20, as employed.

Currently,  according to Mr. Clifton, the percentage of those with a good job in the U.S. is at a staggeringly low rate of 44 percent, which is the number of full-time jobs as a percent of the adult population, 18 years and older. The U.S. economy must be “50% and a bare minimum of 10 million new, good jobs to replenish America’s middle class,” as measured by Gallup.

“And it’s a lie that has consequences, because the great American dream is to have a good job, and in recent years, America has failed to deliver that dream more than it has at any time in recent memory,” Clifton said. “A good job is an individual’s primary identity, their very self-worth, their dignity — it establishes the relationship they have with their friends, community and country. When we fail to deliver a good job that fits a citizen’s talents, training and experience, we are failing the great American dream.”

The labor participation rate, which is currently sitting at a 36-year low, receives a good deal of alternative media attention while wholly ignored by the mainstream media. However, the employment-to-population ratio is ignored by all, save for PPD and apparently Mr. Clifton. An economy suffering from chronic long-term employment cannot never recover with an employment-to-population ratio in the mid 50s, particularly when considering Gallup’s methodologies versus the BLS and Labor Department. That is sadly where it has been President Obama’s entire tenure.

“I hear all the time that ‘unemployment is greatly reduced, but the people aren’t feeling it,'” said Clifton. “When the media, talking heads, the White House and Wall Street start reporting the truth — the percent of Americans in good jobs; jobs that are full-time and real — then we will quit wondering why Americans aren’t ‘feeling’ something that doesn’t remotely reflect the reality in their lives. And we will also quit wondering what hollowed out the middle class.”

Gallup Chair and CEO Jim Clifton said

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Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU). (Photo: Reuters)

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU) said January car sales rose 14 percent to 145,007 vehicles, beating expectations with its best January since 2007.

Strong sales of utility vehicles and full-size pickups pushed the automaker’s sales well above last year’s mark of 127,183. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast sales for FCA to reach 144,418.

All five of the U.S. automaker’s brands saw year-over-year increases, with Jeep and Ram brands leading the way. Jeep sales jumped 23 percent and Ram trucks increased 21 percent.

Chrysler said U.S. industry sales in January were projected at an annual rate of 17.0 million, including about 300,000 medium and heavy trucks. A Reuters survey of 47 analysts estimated an annual rate of 16.6 million.

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU) said January car

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President Barack Obama holds a meeting with National Security Advisor Susan E. Rice; John Podesta, Counselor to the President; and Phil Reiner, Senior Director for South Asian Affairs, aboard Air Force One en route to New Delhi, India, Jan. 25, 2015. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

In his recent trip to India, President Obama repeated a long-standing pattern of his — denigrating the United States to foreign audiences. He said that he had been discriminated against because of his skin color in America, a country in which there is, even now, “terrible poverty.”

Make no mistake about it, there is no society of human beings in which there are no rotten people. But for a President of the United States to be smearing America in a foreign country, whose track record is far worse, is both irresponsible and immature.

Years after the last lynching of blacks took place in the Jim Crow South, India’s own government was still publishing annual statistics on atrocities against the untouchables, including fatal atrocities. The June 2003 issue of “National Geographic” magazine had a chilling article on the continuing atrocities against untouchables in India in the 21st century.

Nothing that happened to Barack Obama when he was attending a posh private school in Hawaii, or elite academic institutions on the mainland, was in the same league with the appalling treatment of untouchables in India. And what Obama called “terrible poverty” in America would be called prosperity in India.

The history of the human race has not always been a pretty picture, regardless of what part of the world you look at, and regardless of whatever color of the rainbow the people have been.

If you want to spend your life nursing grievances, you will never run out of grievances to nurse, regardless of what color your skin is. If some people cannot be rotten to you because of your race, they will find some other reason to be rotten to you.

The question is whether you want to deal with such episodes at the time when they occur or whether you want to nurse your grievances for years, and look for opportunities for “payback” against other people for what somebody else did. Much that has been said and done by both President Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder suggests that they are in payback mode.

Both have repeatedly jumped into local law enforcement issues, far from Washington, and turned them into racial issues, long before the facts came out. These two men — neither of whom grew up in a ghetto — have been quick to play the role of defenders of the ghetto, even when that meant defending the kinds of hoodlums who can make life a living hell for decent people in black ghettos.

Far from benefitting ghetto blacks, the vision presented by the Obama administration, and the policies growing out of that vision, have a track record of counterproductive results on both sides of the Atlantic — that is, among low-income whites in England as well as low-income blacks in the United States.

In both countries, children from low-income immigrant families do far better in schools than the native-born, low-income children. Moreover, low-income immigrant groups rise out of poverty far more readily than low-income natives.

The January 31st issue of the distinguished British magazine “The Economist” reports that the children of African refugees from Somalia do far better in school than low-income British children in general. “Somali immigrants,” it reports, “insist that their children turn up for extra lessons at weekends.” These are “well-ordered children” and their parents understand that education “is their ticket out of poverty.”

Contrast that with the Obama administration’s threatening schools with federal action if they do not reduce their disciplining of black males for misbehavior.

Despite whatever political benefit or personal satisfaction that may give Barack Obama and Eric Holder, reducing the sanctions against misbehavior in school virtually guarantees that classroom disorder will make the teaching of other black students far less effective, if not impossible.

For black children whose best ticket out of poverty is education, that is a lifelong tragedy, even if it is a political bonanza to politicians who claim to be their friends and defenders.

The biggest advantage that the children of low-income immigrants have over the children of native-born, low-income families is that low-income immigrants have not been saturated for generations with the rhetoric of victimhood and hopelessness, spread by people like Obama, Holder and their counterparts overseas.

Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305. His website is www.tsowell.com.

Thomas Sowell: In his recent trip to

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December 13, 2014: Delegates attend the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Lima, Peru. (AP Photo/Juan Karita)

It was refreshing to see meteorologists apologize for their dire — and wrong — predictions of an unprecedented snow storm that they had said would devastate the northeast. It was a big storm, but the northeast has seen lots of big snow storms before and will probably see lots of big snow storms again. That’s called winter.

Unfortunately, we are not likely to hear any similar apologies from those who have been promoting “global warming” hysteria for years, in defiance of data that fail to fit their climate models. What is at issue is not whether there is “climate change” — which nobody has ever denied — but whether the specific predictions of the “global warming” crowd as to the direction and magnitude of worldwide temperature changes are holding up over the years.

The ultimate test of any theoretical model is not how loudly it is proclaimed but how well it fits the facts. Climate models that have an unimpressive record of fitting the facts of the past or the present are hardly a reason for us to rely on them for the future.

Putting together a successful model — of anything — is a lot more complicated than identifying which factors affect which outcomes. When many factors are involved, which is common, the challenge is to determine precisely how those factors interact with each other. That is a lot easier said than done when it comes to climate.

Everyone can agree, for example, that the heat of the sunlight is greater in the tropics than in the temperate zones or near the poles. But, the highest temperatures ever recorded in Asia, Africa, North America or South America were all recorded outside — repeat, OUTSIDE — the tropics.

No part of Europe is in the tropics, but record temperatures in European cities like Athens and Seville have been higher than the highest temperatures ever recorded in cities virtually right on the equator, such as Singapore in Asia or Nairobi in Africa.

None of this disproves the scientific fact that sunlight is hotter in the tropics. But it does indicate that there are other factors which go into temperatures on earth.

It is not only the heat of the sunlight, but its duration, that determines how much heat builds up. The sun shines on the equator about 12 hours a day all year long. But, in the temperate zones, the sun shines more hours during the summer — almost 15 hours a day at the latitude of Seville or Athens.

It is also not just a question of how much sunlight there is falling on the planet but also a question of how much of that sunlight is blocked by clouds and reflected back out into space. At any given time, about half the earth is shielded by clouds, but cloudiness varies greatly from place to place and from time to time.

The Mediterranean region is famous for its cloudless summer days. The annual hours of sunlight in Athens is nearly double that in London — and in Alexandria, Egypt, there are more than twice as many annual hours of sunlight as in London.

How surprised should we be that cities around the Mediterranean — Alexandria, Seville, and Tripoli — have had temperatures of 110 degrees or more, while many tropical cities have not? Clouds and rain are common in the tropics.

American cities like Phoenix and Las Vegas often hit summer temperatures of 110 degrees or more, because they are located where there are not nearly as many clouds during the summer as are common in most other places, including most places in the tropics. The highest temperatures on earth have been reached in Death Valley, California, for the same reason, even though it is not in the tropics.

Putting clouds into climate models is not simple, because the more the temperature rises, the more water evaporates, creating more clouds that reflect more sunlight back out into space. Such facts are well known, but reducing them to a specific and reliable formula that will predict global temperatures is something else.

Meteorology has many facts and many scientific principles but, at this stage of its development, weather forecasts just a week ahead are still iffy. Why then should we let ourselves be stampeded into crippling the American economy with unending restrictions created by bureaucrats who pay no price for being wrong?

Certainly neither China nor India will do that, and the amount of greenhouse gasses they put into the air will overwhelm any reductions we might achieve, even with draconian restrictions at astronomical costs.

Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305. His website is www.tsowell.com.

Thomas Sowell, a senior fellow at the

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