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obama guantanamo bay

Obama renewing his push to close Guantanamo Bay detention center is a radical left position, unlikely to help his numbers recover.

The Obama administration has order the Pentagon to release more detainees from Guantanamo Bay, otherwise known as Gitmo, despite continued wide-spread and Republican opposition.

According to The Wall Street Journal, defense and congressional officials say five detainees were transferred last week, and that there will be another round in December. However, defense officials refused to disclose further information on their numbers or nationalities.

“The closing of Guantanamo Bay and releasing of detainees remains a radical left position in America,” says PPD’s senior political analyst Rich Baris, who has examined public opinion on the issue for years. “The anti-Guantanamo crowd is loud, but they have been in the minority since Obama first made the issue a central campaign promise in 2008. Even a majority of Democrats oppose that idea.”

President Obama promised since before he took office that he would close the controversial detention center, a move that has been opposed by most Republicans, and Americans. The Wall Street Journal, citing congressional and defense officials, say senior officials at the White House are growing impatient as the president’s term draw closer to its end. They are pressing him to fulfill the promise of the closure of Guantanamo Bay.

A recent report U.S. intel officials believe upwards of 20 to 30 Guantanamo Bay detainees released by the Obama administration have joined the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria. In response to the early October report, House Speaker John Boehner said that closing the Guantanamo Bay detention center was opposed by an “overwhelming majority of Americans” and, according to PPD’s analysis, he’s absolutely correct.

The moves come shortly after Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel announced his resignation and, despite criticisms over pressuring Hagel to be the fall man for a failed foreign policy, administration officials who spoke to The Wall Street Journal say the president is still moving too slowly to certify detainees for release.

House and Senate negotiators are debating whether to revise the rules governing transfers as a part of this year’s defense authorization bill, which sets Pentagon policy. The House version of the measure has proposed much stricter restrictions on transfers.

A recent Government Accountability Office investigation concluded that the Obama administration violated the law when it ordered the Pentagon to swap the Taliban Five detainees for Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl, a known deserter who was held prisoner in Afghanistan for five years after abandoning his post. The government watchdog agency said the administration’s failure to notify the relevant congressional committees at least 30 days in advance of the exchange was a clear violation of the law.

Under current law, which was passed in a broad bipartisan fashion, the executive branch is prohibited from releasing Guantanamo Bay detainees without first receiving the aforementioned notice and approval.

The Obama administration has order the Pentagon

The-First-Thanksgiving-

The First Thanksgiving 1621, oil on canvas by Jean Leon Gerome Ferris (1899).

In 1863, President Abraham Lincoln proclaimed a national day of “Thanksgiving and Praise to our beneficent Father who dwelleth in the Heavens,” and America became the first nation to establish a holiday based upon gratitude. Americans were thankful for their faith, good fortune, and the political and economic systems that nurtured their way of life.

Every year since that year of untold hardship during the Civil War, we Americans take the day to reflect on the things in each of our own lives we are thankful to have. However, rarely do we as a nation collectively reflect on things we have to be thankful for as a result of living in this great nation.

Much to the chagrin of collectivists, the national character of America is still very much individualistic. And this Thanksgiving, I thank God that it is.

The “First Thanksgiving” nearly never happened. Before they had a chance to be thankful for anything, the Pilgrims almost starved to death.

Schools often teach our children that Squanto, a Patuxet Native American who resided with the Wampanoag tribe, taught the Pilgrims how to catch eel, fish and grow corn. Unfortunately, they skip over the rest of the story.

Pilgrims operated under a communal system when they first settled Plymouth. The charter dictated that they would share in common property and farms and, as a result, each family was to receive an equal share of food, despite how much work they put in. It was a colonial era wealth redistribution scheme.

The result was as expected — widespread starvation.

“Much was stolen both by night and day,” Gov. William Bradford wrote. But he quickly noticed the less-agreeable aspects to human nature — notably, the innate human desire to free-ride if and when allowed — and he changed course. Adopting a free market capitalism mentality, which was strengthened by the Protestant ethic, Gov. Bradford noticed that the Pilgrims now “went willingly into the field.”

“They began now to gather in the small harvest they had, and to fit up their houses and dwellings against winter, being all well recovered in health and strength and had all things in good plenty,” Bradford wrote.

Due to property incentives, self-interests and the tenets of their faith, including their unique work ethic, the soon-be-founders of Plymouth Rock and Massachusetts Bay Colony prospered. But without capitalism, there would’ve been no true right to property, thus little to no incentive.

Sadly, there are those in American society that seek to distort and diminish the true Sprit of capitalism, those who seek to define this system in terms of greed and selfishness. Yet, just as today’s Thanksgiving celebrations would likely be unrecognizable to attendees of the original 1621 harvest meal, the same is true with modern capitalism. Our Protestant-dominated Founding Fathers believed capitalism to be a means to a much different end than many view it to be now.

Faith lays at the heart of this disparity in thought.

“Virtues and ethics are all that separate classical American capitalism from the simple pursuit of wealth that transpired in antiquity, European-style capitalism, and the modern American free market,” I explain in Our Virtuous Republic. “The removal of one’s virtuous obligation to ‘worldly asceticism,’ or frugality, has made the pursuit of wealth an object of greed.”

The book was a defense of traditional American values, political, economic and cultural systems. Early Americans faithfully believed it was their duty to work, harvest and provide, hence their unique work ethic. The goal was not to become a burden on civil society and, further, to achieve the social and economic status that enables you to serve and help others.

“The secularization of American capitalism has made the pursuit of wealth an end,” I further observed from their writings. “Whereas with Protestantism, wealth historically was a means to achieve a strong civil society.”

But don’t take my word for it. Max Weber, the German sociologist and political economist, wrote of the origins, history, and the true Spirit of capitalism long before I did.

“The impulse to acquisition, pursuit of gain, of money, of the greatest possible amount of money, has in itself nothing to do with capitalism,” Weber wrote in The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism. “It should be taught in the kindergarten of cultural history that this naive idea of capitalism must be given up once and for all. Unlimited greed for gain is not in the least identical with capitalism, and is still less its spirit.”

A free market, where people are free to make choices and, ultimately to live as they wish, is the true cradle of liberty.

Our Founding Fathers established a political and economic system in a new nation that would nurture the more-agreeable characteristics of human nature. Though it has unquestionably been distorted and diminished, I am thankful that it still survives today.

To all of our loyal readers and first-time visitors, Happy Thanksgiving from Team PPD!

Richard D. Baris is the founder and senior political analyst at People’s Pundit Daily, the most-accurate election projection model on the Internet. He is also the author of the must-read book on American political philosophy, Our Virtuous Republic: The Forgotten Clause in the American Social Contract.

[mybooktable book=”our-virtuous-republic-forgotten-clause-american-social-contract” display=”summary”]

From Plymouth to 2014, the real Thanksgiving

white_house_regulations_thanksgiving_2014

President Barack Obama and daughters Sasha and Malia look in on Mac, one of two turkeys spared this year from the Thanksgiving dinner table by presidential pardon, in the East Room of the White House prior to the annual National Thanksgiving Turkey pardon ceremony, Nov. 26, 2014. (Photo: Pete Souza)

While President Obama pardoned two turkeys — “Mac” and “Cheese” — for the Thanksgiving holiday, he had no such good-will for American workers, families, and economy. The White House has a different Thanksgiving message to these three elements to society — “choke on it.”

In accordance with Obama’s federal “Unified Agenda,” the White House quietly released some 3,415 new rules, marking the fifth time the Obama administration dumped the regulatory road map using a major holiday as cover. New regulations cover everything from further expanding EPA overreach to directing the Federal Communications Commission to begin regulating the Internet like it does radio, utilities and television.

The president’s “Net Neutrality” plan to “Fix the Internet” is widely opposed by the American people. According to a new survey conducted by Rasmussen Reports, just 26 percent of American adults agree the Federal Communications Commission should regulate the Internet, and 68 percent are concerned that if the FCC does gain regulatory control over the Internet, then the government will abuse the power and attempt to control online content, or promote a political agenda.

A whole 44 percent plurality are “very concerned.”

Public opinion has consistently shown Americans oppose unilateral regulations from the White House that harm the economy in the name of global warming or climate change. If the mainstream media public opinion polls that show the opposite, which are the outliers to Gallup and others, then the White House wouldn’t have dumped the regulations in such a secretive manner.

“The president said his policies were on the ballot, and the American people spoke up against them,” said incoming Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican. “It’s time for more listening, and less job-destroying red tape. Easing the burden already created by EPA regulations will continue to be a priority for me in the new Congress.”

The EPA rule set to be finalized is the so-called coal ash rule for coal-fired power plants, which will actually be issued by Dec. 19, and will cost $20.3 billion in compliance costs. However, a U.S. Chamber of Commerce study that focused on the overall coal agenda found the rules will kill 224,000 jobs every year through the year 2030, and will impose $50 billion in annual costs.

Among the states that will be severely affected by the regulation are Kansas, Kentucky, Virginia, West Virginia, Pennsylvania and Ohio.

Another EPA rule change to the Clean Water Act, which PPD previously reported on in March, would create granted authority over temporary wetlands and waterways. The new proposal will translate into new EPA regulations that extend into seasonal ponds, streams and ditches, including those on private property.

“The ‘waters of the U.S.’ rule may be one of the most significant private property grabs in U.S. history,” said Louisiana Republican Sen. David Vitter. “They want to take another step toward outright permitting authority over virtually any wet area in the country, while at the same time providing a new tool for environmental groups to sue private property owners.”

The Supreme Court already struck down Obama EPA regulations this year, but did not address the aforementioned rule.

Other regulations handed down involve some of the roughly 20,000 encompassing ObamaCare, or the Affordable Care Act. For instance, every restaurant and food supplier, not just fast food restaurants, must calculate exactly how many calories are in each of their meals and make that information available to government inspectors and clients.

Happy Thanksgiving, America!

In accordance with Obama's federal "Unified Agenda,"

bill-cosby-rape-accusations

Despite nearly half of Americans saying they think it’s likely the rape allegations against comedian Bill Cosby are true, they say networks shouldn’t have cancelled his shows. Americans apparently still hold an innocent until proven guilty mindset, at least in this case, because they say the television networks were wrong to cancel Cosby’s shows until he was officially charged with a crime.

On November 19, NBC became the second outlet to cancel projects with Bill Cosby, which came only one day after famous model and well-known TV host Janice Dickinson told “Entertainment Tonight” that she was sexually assaulted by the comic in 1982.

But Americans don’t agree with the networks’ decisions.

(Video – Four4Four: Will Bill Cosby Ever Work Again?)

A new Rasmussen Reports survey found that 42 percent of American adults have a favorable impression of Cosby, including 16 percent who have a “Very Favorable” impression of him. However, now, a significant 36 percent view the star of “The Cosby Show” unfavorably, including 14 percent with a “Very Unfavorable” opinion, while 22 percent are not sure what they think of Cosby.

The survey’s wording is noteworthy, because the favorability questions were posed before they brought up the crime, though a high number of people reported to be familiar with the allegations.

  1. Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Bill Cosby?
  2. Is the media covering rape allegations against Bill Cosby too much, too little or is the coverage about right?
  3. Should media networks wait until Cosby is charged with a crime before pulling any shows he appears in or should they take down the programs right away?
  4. How likely is it that the allegations against Cosby are true?

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on November 23-24, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Despite nearly half of Americans saying they

Israeli_Prime_Minister_Benjamin_Netanyahu_Knesset

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the opening of the winter session of Knesset. October 27, 2014. (Photo: Haaretz)

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Knesset Wednesday he is determined to pass the controversial Jewish nation-state bill, Haaretz reported.

Speaking at a tempestuous Knesset hearing originally meant to be on the cost of living, Netanyahu said Palestinian civil rights are heralded above the rights of Jews to have their own state, and questioned why many support the establishment of a Palestinian state et object to a Jewish state.

“Those who speak domestically about two states for two peoples and oppose the nation-state law are making a contradictory statement: ‘The Palestinians deserve a nation-state of their own, and this state [Israel] will be binational,'” Netanyahu said.

The controversial nation-state bill is a draft of a quasi-constitutional Basic Law, defining Israel as a Jewish state and granting national rights to the Jewish people, while recognizing all citizens’ rights as individuals. But there are multiple version of the bill, and it is a watered-down version that both Prime Minister Netanyahu and Justice Minister Tzipi Livni support.

“Israel is a Jewish and democratic state, and for the sake of creating a balance and resisting those who challenge, I am determined to advance my version of the nation-state law,” Netanyahu said. “Over the years, a distinct imbalance has been created between the Jewish element and the democratic one. There is an imbalance between individual rights and national rights in Israel.”

Netanyahu, whose speech was widely accepted and met with repeated interruptions of members cheering and applauding, acknowledged that non-Jews must have equal rights.

“I oppose a binational state. I want a state of one nation — the Jewish nation-state — which also includes non-Jews with equal rights,” said Netanyahu. “I understand why Hamas opposes the nation-state law, but some of my good friends [also] oppose this nation-state law.”

Opposition leader Isaac Herzog, the chairman of the Labor Party, said the bill was putting Israeli’s “democracy and egalitarian” nature in danger. Herzog also said asking the Knesset to recognize Israel as a Jewish nation-state was the wrong political move.

“In a deal with the Palestinians, I think there does need to be a national recognition for each other’s state,” he said. “But when you take this law to the Knesset to change the balance in the country, you are violating Israeli democracy.”

Netanyahu, who has been dealing with an increased level of Palestinian violence in Israel following the conflict over the summer with Hamas, has been cracking down on Islamic terrorism.

Following the gruesome synagogue killing in mid-November, Israel revived a controversial home destruction policy, which consisted of demolishing the homes of the Islamic radicals who killed innocent people while they were praying. Home destruction was abandoned a decade ago, but increasing Islamic violence that has taken 11 lives thus far prompted Israeli officials to revive it.

Last week, Israeli forces also destroyed the home of a Palestinian man who killed two pedestrians with his car prior to the synagogue attacks.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the

new home sales

Commerce Department reports for new home sales and other housing market data from the National Association of Realtors. (Photo: REUTERS)

The Commerce Department said on Wednesday U.S. single-family home sales rose for a third straight month in October, but issued another downward revision to the prior month.

New home sales gained 0.7 percent to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 458,000 units, while September’s home sales pace was revised down to 455,000 units from 467,000 units.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast new home sales rising to a 472,000-unit pace last month.

New home sales account for roughly 8 percent of the housing market and tend to be volatile on a month-to-month basis, but when compared to October last year, sales were up 1.8 percent. However, AEI’s National Mortgage Risk Index for home purchase loans was up year-over-year, with FHA loans showing an elevated level of risk that would perform poorly in a low liquidity market.

The housing market remains weak in large part due to slow if any wage growth in the overall U.S. economy, which is causing a slow pace of household formation. In the month prior, new home sales increased by 7.1 percent in the Northeast and 15.8 percent in the Midwest. In the South, sales dropped 1.9 percent and also fell 2.7 percent in the West.

With sales rising only modestly, the stock of new houses available on the market increased 1.0 percent last month, which is the highest level since June of 2010.

At the current sales pace measured in October, it would take 5.6 months to clear the supply of houses on the market, up from 5.5 months in September. The median new home price jumped 15.4 percent from a year ago to a record $305,000.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors said on Wednesday that contracts to buy previously-owned U.S. homes unexpectedly fell in October, falling to their lowest level in 4 months. The data sparked serious concerns over the housing market’s recovery.

The Pending Home Sales Index, which is based on contracts signed last month, dropped 1.1 percent to 104.1. The NAR, which is indisputably the strongest of the housing market lobby, attempted to spin the report after its released.

“In addition to low interest rates, buyers entering the market this autumn are being lured by the increase in homes for sale and less competition from investors paying in cash,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Demand is holding steady but would be more robust if it weren’t for lagging wage growth and tight credit conditions that continue to hamper those individuals looking for relief from rising rents.”

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast pending home sales rising 0.5 percent last month. These contracts become sales after a month or two. Contracts rose in the Northeast, but fell in the South, West and Midwest.

Compared to October of last year, contracts were up 2.2 percent.

Previous and existing home sales data released

us consumer sentiment

Shoppers look over the offerings at the new Trader Joe’s store in Boulder, Colorado February 14, 2014.
(Photo: REUTERS/RICK WILKING)

U.S. consumer sentiment increased less-than-expected ahead of late November’s pivotal holiday shopping season, but still hit its highest level in more than seven years. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan’s final November reading on the overall index on consumer sentiment came in at 88.8, its highest reading since July 2007 on a final basis. The reading was up from the 86.9 the month before but slightly below the preliminary reading of 89.4.

Despite the uptick, it was still below the median forecast of 90.0 expected from economists polled by Reuters.

“Consumers more frequently reported hearing about positive rather than negative economic developments in the November survey, with reports of improving employment the dominant news item,” survey director Richard Curtin said in a statement.

“While there was no change in evaluations of the current performance of the economy or the year-ahead outlook – both remained at positive levels – the longer term economic outlook improved substantially.”

The survey’s barometer of current economic conditions rose to 102.7 from 98.3, which was also slightly below the forecast of 103.0, while the survey’s gauge of consumer expectations edged up to 79.9 from the 79.6 in October. The latter measurement also fell short of expectations, as economists forecast 80.8.

The survey’s one-year inflation expectation slipped to 2.8 percent, the lowest year-ahead inflation rate expected since October 2010, from the 2.9 percent in the prior month. The survey’s five-to-10-year inflation outlook was at 2.6 percent from 2.8 percent in October.

The index, while widely cited, doesn’t comport with all the economic tracking data released this week.

Gallup found a majority — 54 percent — report that they have spent or plan to spend roughly the same amount on gifts as they did last year. However, 29 percent reported planning to spend less, while 18 percent plan to spend more this holiday season. These numbers are less optimistic than what Gallup found in October.

The Rasmussen Consumer Index, which measures consumer confidence on a daily basis, was steady this Wednesday at 105.4. While consumer confidence was up 3 points from one week ago and up 7 points from a month ago, it remained flat from 3 months ago.

Further, despite the increased positive outlook in the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey, Rasmussen found nearly 40 percent of Americans believe the U.S. economy is in a recession.

The Rasmussen Investor Index went up 3 points at 122.8 on Wednesday. Investor confidence is up 5 points from a week ago and up 11 points from a month ago. It is down 1 point from 3 months ago.

Meanwhile, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday that consumer spending rose 0.2 percent in October, which was slightly below the 0.3 percent expected. Personal income for the month rose 0.2 percent, also below economists’ expectations for a 0.4 percent increase.

U.S. consumer sentiment increased less-than-expected ahead of

(Photo: REUTERS)

The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago’s Midwest manufacturing index of activity in the region fell to 60.8 in November from 66.2 the month prior. Economists polled by Reuters forecast a smaller drop to 63.

Readings above 50 indicate expansion, while those below 50 in the gauge suggest contraction.

Wednesday has seen a slew of weak economic data.

The Commerce Department said Wednesday orders for U.S. durable goods unexpectedly rose last month only due to a surge in military spending, but underlying data suggest broad weakness in business investment.

The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago’s Midwest manufacturing

durable-goods-reuters

American workers at a manufacturing plant for long-lasting durable goods. (PHOTO: REUTERS)

Orders for U.S. durable goods unexpectedly rose last month largely thanks to a surge in military spending, but underlying data suggest broad weakness in business investment.

The Commerce Department said Wednesday orders for durable goods, which are products designed to last at least three years, rose by a seasonally adjusted 0.4 percent in October on a year-over-year basis. The gains slightly offset a 0.9 percent drop in September, but one sector carrying the measure is underlying weakness in the long-term.

Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected overall orders to fall 0.5 percent, but the ramping up of defense contracts reversed expectations. The rise was almost entirely reflective of a 45.3 percent surge in demand for defense aircraft and parts, which is masking weak demand for other goods.

Excluding transportation orders fell 0.9 percent, which was the biggest drop since December of 2013. When excluding defense-related products, orders actually fell 0.6 percent.

Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft — a measurement of business spending on equipment and software, for instance — dropped 1.3 percent in October after falling by the same rate in September. Meanwhile, orders for machinery, computer products, fabricated metal products and primary metals all fell last month.

While so far this year orders for durable goods have gained 7.5 percent from levels in 2013, and orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft have climbed 5.4%, the latest monthly data also suggest the economy may be cooling from its level of growth in the spring and summer.

The U.S. economy grew at an annualized pace of 3.9% in July through September, concluding a six-month stretch that marked the strongest growth in more than a decade, the government reported this week. Many economists expect economic growth to slow to between 2 percent and 3 percent in the fourth quarter, and Wednesday’s report will certainly reaffirm those expectations.

Orders for U.S. durable goods unexpectedly rose

job-fair-weekly-jobless-benefits

Job seekers applying for weekly jobless benefits at a state-run job fair. (Photo: REUTERS)

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week rose to the highest level since September, as initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 21,000 to a seasonally adjusted 313,000 for the week ended Nov. 22.

The Labor Department said on Wednesday that despite the low number of eligible unemployed, due in large part to long-term unemployment, it was the first-time since early September that claims broke above the 300,000 threshold.

The four-week moving average of claims, which is widely considered a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, remained below 300,000 for an 11th straight week.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims falling to 288,000 last week, and the Labor Department analyst said there were no special factors influencing last week’s claims data.

The claims report showed the number of people still receiving benefits after an initial week of aid fell 17,000 to 2.32 million in the week ended Nov. 15, which is the lowest since December 2000. However, the number is extremely misleading. The number is as low as it is due to the number of long-term unemployed Americans who are no longer eligible for benefits.

The so-called continuing claims covered the household survey week from which the unemployment rate for November will be calculated. Continuing claims fell 71,000 between the October and November survey period, suggesting the unemployment rate could fall from a six-year low of 5.8 percent.

The number of applications for first-time weekly

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