Widget Image
Follow PPD Social Media
Monday, March 10, 2025
HomeStandard Blog Whole Post (Page 893)

obama_la_raza_amnesty

President Obama speaks at La Raza gathering regarding executive amnesty.

DEVELOPING: President Obama will announce his plan to move on executive amnesty Thursday at 8PM ET, providing the details of an order that will expand temporary protections to millions of illegal immigrants.

Following through on his unprecedented move to sidestep Congress, the Constitution and existing immigration law, Obama will announce in a prime-time TV speech the executive actions he will take to unilaterally change U.S. immigration law. The 10-point plan is expected to protect roughly 5 million illegal immigrants from deportation in the first year alone. After speaking to the American people from the White House, Obama will go to Las Vegas to push the plan Friday.

“What I’m going to be laying out is the things that I can do with my lawful authority as president to make the system better, even as I continue to work with Congress and encourage them to get a bipartisan, comprehensive bill that can solve the entire problem,” Obama said via Facebook.

House Speaker John Boehner has warned Obama that taking such action before January would be tantamount to “playing with fire.”

The newly elected Republican majority, who Obama is ignoring altogether, is drafting several plans to respond to the power grab. The Republican-controlled Congress will pass a series of spending bills that will limit the president’s ability to spend on Social Security cards for illegal immigrants. Similar tactics have been used successfully by both Democrats and Republicans in the past few years to prevent Obama from closing the Guantanamo Bay prison camp, another move that is widely unpopular among the American people.

President Obama will announce his plan to

National and State Mortgage Risk Indices

National and State Mortgage Risk Indices are tracked and released by AEI’s International Center on Housing Risk.

AEI’s National Mortgage Risk Index for home purchase loans was little changed at 11.44 percent in October from the average of the prior three months. However, it has climbed almost 1 percentage point above the October 2013 level. A total of 220,000 loans were added in October, bringing the total number of loans included in the index to 4.78 million.

The gauge, which is the first-ever measure of how mortgage loans originated month-by-month would perform under severely stressed conditions, found loans to FTHBs (first time homebuyers) in October had a risk rating of 14.46 percent. That is roughly 3 points higher than the composite rating, an elevation of risk largely due to the concentration and lack of diversity of FHA loans.

The FHA’s NMRI in October stood at 24.19 percent, which represents an increase over the average for the prior three months and a clim of 2 percentage points year-over-year. This is an extremely high level of risk that suggests FHA loans would perform very poorly in a serious stress event. The resulting performance would fuel home price volatility, particularly devastating to lower-income and minority precincts.

AEI’s National Mortgage Risk Index for home

housing_starts

Housing market data released this week show an unstable housing sector trying to recover.

The Commerce Department Wednesday said U.S. housing starts unexpectedly fell in October, as groundbreaking slipped 2.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual 1.009 million-unit pace. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast starts rising to a 1.025-million unit rate from September’s previously reported 1.017-million unit pace.

Starts for single-family homes, which is by far the largest segment of the market, rose for a second straight month to their highest level in nearly a year. However, volatile multi-family homes segment weighed down housing starts last month. Starts for single-family homes jumped 4.2 percent last month to a 696,000-unit pace, which was the highest since November of 2013, while multi-family homes starts tanked 15.4 percent to a 313,000-unit rate in October.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Home Builders said Tuesday their gauge of home-builder sentiment climbed in November, with the index of builder confidence in the market for new single-family homes increasing by four points to a seasonally adjusted level of 58 this month.

A reading over 50 means most builders generally see conditions as positive.

“Growing confidence among consumers is what’s fueling this optimism among builders,” said NAHB Chairman Kevin Kelly, a home builder and developer from Wilmington, Del. “Members in many areas of the country continue to see increasing buyer traffic and signed contracts.”

The measurement has been rather volatile in recent months, and has conflicted with some government data released in the same period.

In September, the index increased 59, its highest reading since November of 2005. Then, in October, it fell to 54 when economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected the index to climb. They also expected it to increase to 55 in November.

“Low interest rates, affordable home prices and solid job creation are contributing to a steady housing recovery,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “After a slow start to the year, the HMI has remained above the 50-point benchmark for five consecutive months, and we expect the momentum to continue into 2015.”

Yet, according to the Commerce Department, new home sales in the first 9 months of 2014 rose by just 1.7 percent, with single-family home construction increasing by only 3.8 percent from a year earlier.

Further, it is unclear how much of the groundbreaking will result in stable loans. While AEI’s National Mortgage Risk Index for home purchase loans was little changed at 11.44 percent in October from the average of the prior three months, it has climbed almost 1 percentage point above the October 2013 level.

A total of 220,000 loans were added in October, bringing the total number of loans included in the index to 4.78 million.

Conflicting housing market data suggest a unstable

There are mounds of snow piling up in western New York State, with more than four feet of snow falling in parts of Buffalo on Tuesday, alone. A second snowstorm is expected to hit the region on Thursday, with temperatures dropping well below freezing from coast to coast.

In fact, the deep freeze sent temperatures in all 50 states plummeting to the freezing point or below Tuesday, hitting record-lows more indicative to January than November. School closings and delays are plaguing municipalities from the Midwest to the South, but more severe consequences in the nation’s northeastern regions are racking up quick..

Erie County officials in New York said a 46-year-old man was discovered early Wednesday in his car located in a ditch and buried in snow. He was found in the town of Alden, which is roughly 24 miles east of Buffalo.

Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz said about 140 motorists were stranded. Many chose to stay with their cars, while others left them, he said.

“Other than wishing they weren’t stuck in traffic, they’re warm and safe in their vehicles,” Kennedy said.

On Tuesday, county officials said four more people had died, including three from heart attacks believed to have stricken them while shoveling snow. The other victim who was found pinned beneath a car that he was trying to free from the snow.

Two other deaths were reported in New Hampshire and Michigan.

The Weather Channel reported that low temperatures were expected to spread south and east on Wednesday and that relief would not reach parts of America until the weekend.

A deep freeze across the nation sent

bernalillo-middle-school-math-teacher-arrested

Benjamin Nagurski, a middle school math teacher still getting paid after being arrested for pulling a knife on a student for talking in class during a test. (Photo: KRQE-TV)

A middle school math teacher, Benjamin Nagurski, who was jailed after he allegedly threatened a student with a knife for speaking during a test, is outrageously still on paid administrative leave.

Bernalillo Police Chief Tom Romero said Nagurski was arrested Friday after school officials took him out of the classroom following the incident, but school district confirmed to PPD that Nagurski is on paid administrative leave..

According to a family member of a 12-year-old Bernalillo Middle School student, Nagurski pointed a steak knife at the student Friday. Family members say Nagurski told the class they could discuss the test problems with the person sitting next to them. But when the victim spoke, Nagurksi allegedly pulled out the knife.

“Students interviewed later by officers all corroborated the story,” said Chief Romero. “At one point, the teacher told the student the next time he could bring a machete.”

He said Nagurksi faces charges of aggravated assault with a deadly weapon and possession of an unlawful weapon, and that he was jailed on $10,000 bail

When questioning the procedural reasons for Nagurski still receiving pay and for how long, Bernalillo Public Schools Superintendent Allan Tapia didn’t return a request for comment.

Benjamin Nagurski, a middle school math teacher

fed_police_state

Question: What do the U.S. Agriculture Department, the Internal Revenue Service and the Supreme Court of the United States have in common?

Answer: They all employ specially trained agents to conduct secret investigations against the American people, to root out suspicious activities and alleged illegal actions.

Move over FBI. It’s the new face of the U.S. government – one of suspicion and accusation, where tax-paid officials feel empowered enough to conduct surveillance on unsuspecting Americans absent any warrant. And it’s just such cart-before-the-horse type of people-policing that reeks of curious constitutional interpretation — that sets up the government as the power and the public as the suspicious subject. Due process? Innocent until proven guilty?

Forget about all that.

This is what the New York Times found: More than 40 different government agencies now employ officers who act like businessmen and businesswomen, welfare recipients, political agitators and activists – even physicians and members of the clergy. These officials are tasked with seeking out illegalities, irregularities and outright acts of wrongdoing among the American people.

“At the Supreme Court,” for example, the newspaper wrote, “small teams of undercover officers dress as students at large demonstrations outside the courthouse and join the protests to look for suspicious activity. … At the Internal Revenue Service, dozens of undercover agents chase suspected tax evaders worldwide by posing as tax preparers, accountants, drug dealers or yacht buyers.”

And at the U.S.D.A., 100-plus specially trained agents reportedly adopt the personas of food stamp recipients and fan out to community stores across the nation, checking on shopkeepers, cashiers and clerks to make sure they’re not giving out benefits when benefits shouldn’t be given.

One could perhaps make the case that it’s heartening to see the federal government take a strong stand for the little guy – for the taxpayer – and against corruption and thievery. But one shouldn’t.

That’s because the idea of the government serving as a no-nonsense, zero-tolerance enforcer of law is fox-watching-the-henhouse logic. In other words, the federal government is hardly the arbiter of truth, justice and the American way, and it certainly has enough of its own internal scandals, corruptions and taxpayer wastes to investigate to keep it busy, well into the coming decades. Still, hypocrisy is hardly the only problem with this emerging trend of federal policing.

What about civil liberties? What about the unfairness of entrapment?

What about the unseemly aspect of agencies like the IRS and Supreme Court sending out trained minions to scour the streets, eavesdrop on conversations — even set the stage for crimes to occur? If safety and security is the ultimate goal line, then perhaps the goal posts need to be moved.

Remember, this is the same government that put the kibosh on FBI agents conducting undercover and surveillance operations in mosques, after the Council on American-Islamic Relations, or CAIR, teamed with the American Civil Liberties Union and threatened to sue. The two groups alleged the FBI violated the rights of Muslims in Los Angeles by sending in undercover agents to monitor activities and check for terror ties within the mosque.

The ACLU and offended Muslims alleged the same in New York – that civil rights were violated — when the city’s police department labeled mosques as terrorist organizations and sent in undercover officers to conduct secret surveillance and root out intelligence that would actually help stop attacks on U.S. soil.

In both cases, Muslims and their advocates were shocked – Shocked! – that those of Islamic faith were being watched for terrorism ties. The FBI hasn’t been allowed to conduct any mosque operations without first obtaining permission from the Justice Department’s Sensitive Operations Review Committee. And in New York, outraged Muslims who saw their initial suit against the city dismissed have filed an appeal, and are turning up the heat on Mayor Bill de Blasio to put a halt to the practice voluntarily.

Apparently, Americans of faiths other than Islam aren’t entitled to the same sorts of civil rights or constitutional protections.

Look at some of these ongoing operations: One agency used underage decoy hirelings to try to buy alcohol and cigarettes from local convenience stores, the New York Times found. Other operations at the Department of Education and the Office of Inspector General use secret agents to ferret out fraud. And the powers-that-be at the Medicare offices train some of their employees to pose as patients and go forth into the hospitals, clinics and health care facilities of the nation to weed out financial finagling and deceptions. Other federal agencies that have their own P.I.-like teams: the Small Business Administration, NASA and the Smithsonian, the New York Times reported.

Big Brotherish? Without a doubt. Creepy? You bet – and go ahead add in un-American, Gestapo-ish, police state-like politicking, while you’re at it.

We have been warned: Those who sacrifice liberty for security deserve neither. Those who rely on government, not God, as the provider are only a few short years from enslavement.

Cherly Chumley, a full-time news writer with The Washington Times, is also the author of Police State USA: How Orwell’s Nightmare is Becoming Our Reality, available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble. To learn more about Cheryl, visit her website.

[mybooktable book=”police-state-usa-how-orwells-nightmare-is-becoming-our-reality” display=”summary”]

The U.S. police state is employing Fed

Mary_Landrieu_Bill_Cassidy_Louisiana_Senate_runoff

Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu badly trails Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy in the Louisiana Senate runoff. (Photos: AP)

Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu badly trails Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy in the latest independent survey of the Louisiana Senate runoff. A new Gravis Marketing Poll finds Cassidy trouncing Landrieu 59 – 38 percent with only a few weeks before the Dec. 6 runoff.

“The results don’t surprise me,” said Gravis President Doug Kaplan. “The National Democrats have basically given up on the race, the incumbent and only Democrat in the race — Landrieu — only got 43 percent in the general election.”

The DSCC said a little over a week after the midterm elections that they would be pulling out of the race, as strategists looking at the data found simply little-to-no path for Landrieu in the runoff. Even though Landrieu slightly edged out Cassidy 42 – 41 percent, which was a difference of just over 16,000 votes, tea party candidate Rob Maness, who finished with 14 percent, has thrown his full support behind Cassidy now and is actively campaigning for him in more conservative precincts.

But digging a little deeper, she never had the voter support to win. Landrieu polled at just 20 percent of the white vote in PPD’s tracking survey and, according to exit polls, she only won 18 percent on Election Day. She would need 30 percent — at least — to overcome the 19 percent of white voters who backed Maness voting for Cassidy.

At this point, her prospects of doing so look very grim. The president continues to be deeply unpopular in the state, with just 33 percent approval of the job he is doing in the latest poll, while 61 disapprove. Cassidy now has an 89 percent of defeating her in the runoff, according to PPD’s election projection model, which was hands down the accurate of 2014.

“The runoff will be an even more conservative electorate then she faced a few weeks ago,” Kaplan added. “She trails significantly among independents and Cassidy has even making gains among older white Democrats.”

Landrieu was scrambling to find one more senator in the run-up to a critical vote on the Keystone XL pipeline, but she’s failed. The still Democratic-controlled Senate voted down approval of the Keystone XL pipeline Tuesday night, further dooming her already scant political future.

Gravis holds a stellar rating on PPD’s Pollster Scorecard, outperforming so-called reliable public pollster in several races earlier this month, including in North Carolina where they bucked the polling trend and found Sen.-elect Thom Tillis ahead by almost the exact margin that he ended up defeated Sen. Kay Hagan by.

“The final poll in the North Carolina Senate race came from Gravis Marketing, which put Tillis over the edge in the PPD average of polls,” said PPD’s senior political analyst Richard Baris. “They were right when everyone else was wrong. So, if they say Cassidy has a big lead, I don’t doubt it.”

Human Events-Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 643 likely voters regarding opinions of races in Louisiana. The poll carries a margin of error of 4%. The poll was conducted 11-12-2014-11-14-2014

The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

Poll Date Sample MoE Cassidy (R) Landrieu (D) Raw Spread
PPD Average 11/12 – 11/19 56.0 40.3 Cassidy +15.7
Rasmussen Reports 11/16 – 11/19 1000 LV 3.0 56 41 Cassidy +15
Vox Populi (R) 11/16 – 11/17 761 LV 3.6 53 42 Cassidy +11
Gravis Marketing 11/12 – 11/14 643 LV 4.0 59 38 Cassidy +21

Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu badly trails

keystone-xl-pipeline

Nearly thirds of Americans support the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline.

Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu was scrambling to find one more senator in the run-up to a critical vote on the Keystone XL pipeline, but she’s failed. The still Democratic-controlled Senate voted down approval of the Keystone XL pipeline Tuesday night, further dooming her already scant political future.

Landrieu was forced into a Dec. 6 runoff against Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy, who PPD’s election projection model strongly favors to win, and she quickly moved to resurrect the House Keystone pipeline bill in a last-minute attempt to tout her her Washington clout. She ran a campaign that touted the benefits Louisiana voters would enjoy with her controlling the Senate Energy Committee, the best she can hope for now is holding the title of ranking Democrat.

Now, however, Cassidy, meanwhile is boasting a formal commitment from soon-to-be Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to give him a seat on the Energy Committee if he wins, which he now has an 89 percent of doing according to PPD’s model. Even though Landrieu slightly edged out Cassidy 42 – 41 percent, which was a difference of just over 16,000 votes, tea party candidate Rob Maness, who finished with 14 percent, has thrown his full support behind Cassidy now and is actively campaigning for him in more conservative precincts.

But digging a little deeper, she never had the voter support to win. Landrieu polled at just 20 percent of the white vote in PPD’s tracking survey and, according to exit polls, she only won 18 percent on Election Day. She would need 30 percent — at least — to overcome the 19 percent of white voters who backed Maness voting for Cassidy.

A source at the DSCC told PPD several weeks ago they would be pulling their money out of the Louisiana Senate race and bailing on Landrieu, and it now appears her members did, as well. fAt last count, 59 senators publicly voiced support for the bill, which was one short of the 60 needed to secure passage and send the legislation, for the first time, to President Obama’s desk. The vote failed 59 – 41.

Had the bill passed, it would have put enormous pressure on President Obama to sign the bill, which enjoys overwhelming support from the American people. House Speaker John Boehner, who already pushed the bill through the House, had some harsh words for the president ahead of the vote.

“A Keystone pipeline veto would send the signal that this president has no interest in listening to the American people,” Boehner said.”It would be the equivalent of calling the American people stupid.”

The proposed crude-oil pipeline, which would run 1,179 miles from the Canadian tar sands to Gulf coast refineries, has been the subject of a fierce struggle between environmentalists and energy advocates ever since Calgary-based TransCanada proposed it in 2008. The State Department has released multiple studies that not only found the project to be more environmentally friendly than if the pipeline wasn’t built.

The State Department said Canadian tar sands are likely to be developed regardless of whether or not the U.S. will be the benefactor of the pipeline, noting other options to get the oil from Canada to Gulf Coast refineries. Without the pipeline, the product may get to refineries by other means, including railroads, trucks and barges, which they claim would be even worse for climate change.

The president, despite the review from his own State Department, refused to approve the project. The president downplayed the economic benefit of approving the Keystone XL pipeline after caving to radical environmentalists, when he delayed the construction indefinitely. But a recent study found that a 485-mile stretch of the Keystone XL pipeline has been a huge economic boon for some two dozen poor Oklahoma and Texas counties, leading many economists to conclude the construction will pay greater-than-expected economic dividends.

Tom Steyer, a leftist California business man, promised that he would give $50 million of his own money and bundle $50 million more, which was used by many Democratic campaigns who promised to remain anti-Keystone XL. Dozens of Democratic senators are beholden to Mr. Steyer after taking said money, which is largely why the vote went down.

Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu was scrambling to

Democratic representatives have struggled to answer questions over whether President Obama’s anticipated executive order granting amnesty to illegals is, itself, illegal. In an interview with Lawrence O’Donnell, Democratic Representative Peter Welch (D-VT) could not answer whether he thought the move was legal, nor could he identify a single Democrat who has been able to so, either.

“No one at the White House has been able to give me the legal justification for the following component of the President’s plan which was leaked to the New York Times. The part where it says… that the President will allow many parents of children who are American citizens or legal residents to obtain legal work documents. Can you tell me and has the White House told you, what is the legal justification for the President to create a new category of beneficiaries for work documents? How can that be done without legislation?” O’Donnell asked.

“You know, Lawrence, I can’t tell you, and I’m not the lawyer who’s going to be litigating this case,” Rep. Welch replied. “So the answer to that would be decided by the courts as you and I know. But here’s what I can tell you…”

PPD reported last week that President Obama intends to sign a 10-part executive order that grants amnesty to at least 4.5 million illegal immigrants in the first year, alone. Republicans on Capitol Hill have hinted they will use budget tactics akin to those used to stop the president from releasing Guantanamo Bay detainees, a move that is also widely unpopular and, according to the GAO, also illegal.

O’Donnell went to say — in disbelief — that he has yet to find a single Democrat who could answer the question with a straightforward yes or no.

“Congressman, so as far as you know, and I don’t mean to badger about this but I’ve been on this for days now,” O’Donnell interceded. “I haven’t heard from a single elected Democrat, not one Democrat in Washington who can answer the question that I just put to you. Have you heard it Have you heard it answered by any Democrats?”

“I haven’t,” Welch shockingly replied. “I haven’t.”

Democratic representatives have struggled to answer questions

producer prices and Ford factory worker

Producer prices reported by the Labor Department. A Ford Factory worker on the assembly line. (Photo: REUTERS)

U.S. stock were trading in a narrow range but adding small gains on Tuesday as markets reacted to an unexpected increase in producer prices, or wholesale inflation data. The data and news largely weighed down any benefit from a snap election in Japan and better-than-expected data from Germany.

The Labor Department reported prices at the wholesale level rose 0.2 percent in October, missing expectations for a modest 0.1 percent drop. When excluding food and energy prices, prices rose by 0.4 percent, which was the biggest increase since June 2013 and above Wall Street’s expectations of a small 0.1 percent rise.

The U.S. stock market continues to “run deep into bubble territory” and setting itself up for a whopping crash, wrote co-founder and chief investment strategist of Grantham Mayo van Otterloo, Jeremy Grantham, in a quarterly newsletter released Monday. He said bubble territory is at 2,250 on the S&P 500, only another 10 percent gain from where the markets are now.

The S&P 500 index (INDEXSP:.INX ) was up 8.4 percent to 2,049, while the Dow industrials (INDEXDJX:.DJI) increase by 42 points to 17,690. Futures for the Nasdaq-100 index (INDEXNASDAQ:NDX) added 20 points to 4,233.

Grantham is certainly not alone in his worry that the market is now grossly overpriced after years of Fed policy artificially propping up equity prices. Billionaire investor Carl Icahn told a Reuters conference on Monday that he’s also worried about a market selloff, and Mislav Matejka, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Cazenove, said in a note Monday that they have moved on the eurozone and cut positions in U.S. equities.

In a nutshell, the thinking is that U.S. equities are overpriced and the eurozone has grossly underperformed, now being posed for a gain.

U.S. stock were trading in a narrow

People's Pundit Daily
You have %%pigeonMeterAvailable%% free %%pigeonCopyPage%% remaining this month. Get unlimited access and support reader-funded, independent data journalism.

Start a 14-day free trial now. Pay later!

Start Trial